Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Tuesday - September 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00  6-2-3 $34.40 $16.40 91%
    SFT (6/3/2)-(6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2) 18 $0.10 $1.80  6-2-3-1 $13.64 $11.84 658%
TDN-4   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $9.40 $3.40 57%
TDN-6   EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-1 $9.20 $3.20 53%
TDN-8   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.60 $1.60 27%

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:131     1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPELLCAST 6 1 2½ 1nk 1 14 11 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 117 2.50 55% 0.80 0.20 W
KNOCK WOOD 2 3 4 3 43 34 21 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 23.20 P
TIER ONE 3 4 54 5 5 5 3 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 4.00 20% 4.00 9.00 S
ORO DE MORO MORO 1 7 67 6 6 45 44 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 6.00 9.30  
VERBIER (IRE) 7 6 32 4 2 24 5 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 121 5.00 16.60  
OILER 4 2 1½ 2nk 3 6 6 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 119 15.00 13.30  
HITE 5 5 7 711¼ 7 7 7 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 10.00 36.60  
SCR  EKATI'S WAY               (cline robert )BRACHO A 115 3.50    
 
TDN-2   09/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :462 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLLIN ALL THE WAY 1 5 2½ 22   1nk 1 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 4.50 63% 0.60 1.90 W
DANZA MAGIC 4 2 43 5   4 2 (yoder d)FELICIANO R 123 3.00 2.30  
CARMEN OHIO 2 3 3 34   3 3 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 123 4.00 1.80  
TWENTY FOUR KARAT 6 1 1½ 12   2nk 4 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 123 6.00 5.80  
CHLOES ANGEL 3 6 6 45   5 5 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 10.00 9% 10.40 15.20  
JETTIN PEGASUS 5 4 53 6   6 6 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 8.00 5% 19.00 39.90  
SCR  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE               (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50    
 
TDN-3   09/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:221 :451 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAL NAUGHTY 1 5 1½ 1½   14 1 (cline robert )BRACHO A 121 4.50 1.00  
SMOKIN' HOT 4 3 4 33   24 2 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 40% 1.50 1.30 P
POWERFUL MOON 2 4 2½ 43   45 3 (ray kevin)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 14.50 S
AUGER 3 2 3½ 2½   34 4 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 8.00 11.30  
I'LL FIGURE IT OUT 5 1 5 59   511 515½ (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 21% 3.70 5.70  
SCR  JAMMING CAMERON               (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.80    
SCR  THE DRAKE               (flores christian)AVILES YAN 119 15.00    
 
TDN-4   09/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:144     1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNESCORTED 3 1 1½ 11 3½ 1 1 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 24% 3.20 3.70 W
POSITIVELY 2 3 3 5 5 2 2 (sweeting craig)PEREZ A 115 5.00 5.20  
MO RISSA 5 4 42 31 4¾ 5 3 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 9.40  
FLATTERING HEART 1 5 5 4 2nk 3 4 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 115 1.80 39% 1.50 1.30  
MALI BALI 4 2 2½ 21 1nk 4 5 (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00 13% 6.90 2.00  
SCR  IMA SURE BET               (morales saul)ROSARIO L 119 3.00    
 
TDN-5   09/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :462 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PANTHERA'S FATE 4 2 1 1   19 112¼ (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 123 1.80 27% 2.60 0.40 W
MO SNOW 2 1 2 2   39 212¼ (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 2.00 18% 4.70 4.60 P
DASH TO FINISH 5 3 3 36   29 313 (reust megan)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00 17.10  
MR INVESTIGATOR 1 5 5 412   419 427¾ (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 5.00 17% 4.80 2.80  
AROUND THE MOON 3 4 4 512   525 536½ (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 123 12.00 23.50  
SCR  MIRO               (reust megan)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 3.50    
 
TDN-6   09/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:23 :461 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FACT NOT FICTION 5 1 3 1½   1 1 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 31% 2.20 0.80 W
INTO GOLD 1 2 2 3½   32 2 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 24% 3.20 3.60 P
WHO DA BOSS 4 3 5 4   2 3 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.00 1.80  
MIDNIGHT VOYAGE 3 4 1 2½   4 411¼ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 115 8.00 14.90  
K KID 2 5 43 58   513½ 523¼ (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 5.00 5% 19.00 16.70  
 
TDN-7   09/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:221 :46 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGAR LOVES IT 3 6 5 22   15 1 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 2.70  
SPICE ICE 4 5 611 6   3 2 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 41% 1.40 1.40 P
I'M JAC'D 2 2 4 5   4 311¼ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 8.00 26.20  
SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL 6 1 14 12   25 413 (huffman canda)BRACHO A 115 4.00 2.50  
DANCE DRAMA 1 4 24 4   57 513¼ (flores christian)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
RUBY LAYNE 5 3 35 35   6 614¾ (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 3.00 33% 2.10 5.60  
 
TDN-8   09/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:224 :463 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DERBY DAY KISS 2 3 3 3.2   1½ 1 (cline c)AVILES YAN 115 5.00 5% 19.00 2.80 W
BIG FACTS 4 1 2 2nk   2½ 2 (farrior an)RIVERA R 119 2.50 2.10  
BUCKEYE CRUISER 3 2 5 4   44 3 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 115 1.80 52% 0.90 2.30 S
COMPUTE THIS 1 4 1 1nk   3 4 (wolochuk david)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.50 15% 5.50 2.50  
HERE COMES DOLLY 5 5 4 5   512 523 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00 16.60  
SCR  BONNIE'S BEST               (gilmarti)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.