Handicappers' Racing Form
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Thistledown
Tuesday - September 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-3   Win (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-4   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-6   Win (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-7   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-8   Win (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TDN-1   09/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORO DE MORO MORO Aug06 Jul18 Jul02 Jun22 May30 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 6.00 ★    
2  KNOCK WOOD Aug12 Jul29 Jun22 Jun05 Apr29 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  TIER ONE Aug06 Jul18 Jun28 Jun12 May14 (fletcher jeff)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 4.00 20% 4.00    
4  OILER Aug17 Aug05 Jul18 Jun27 Jun15 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 119 15.00    
5  HITE Aug20 Aug12 Jul15 Jun22 Jun10 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 10.00    
6  SPELLCAST Jul29 Jun22 Jun07 May10 Apr13 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 117 2.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  EKATI'S WAY Aug21 Jul23 Jun27 Jun07 May04 (cline c)BRACHO A 115 3.50    
8  VERBIER (IRE) Aug31 Aug06 Jul17 Jul05 Jun13 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 121 5.00    
 
TDN-2   09/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Aug14 Jul17 Jul03 Jun18 Jun05 (romero o)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50    
2  ROLLIN ALL THE WAY Aug14 Nov28 Nov14 Oct28 Sep26 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 4.50 63% 0.60    
3  CARMEN OHIO Aug14 Jun27 Jun08 May21 Oct12 (radosevich just)BRACHO A 123 4.00    
4  CHLOES ANGEL Aug07 Jul17 Jun27 Jan23 Jan01 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 10.00 9% 10.40    
5  DANZA MAGIC Aug10 Aug01 Jul09 Jun18 May18 (yoder d)FELICIANO R 123 3.00    
6  JETTIN PEGASUS Aug14 Aug01 Jul09 Jun11 Apr29 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  TWENTY FOUR KARAT Aug14 Jul17 Jul04 Jun11 May28 (johnson ga)FERNANDEZ R 123 6.00    
 
TDN-3   09/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAL NAUGHTY Jul23 Jul08 Jun13 May21 Apr23 (cline c)BRACHO A 121 4.50    
2  POWERFUL MOON Aug12 Jul23 Jun22 Jun04 May14 (ray kevin)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THE DRAKE Aug06 Nov20 Oct06 Aug22 Jul31 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 119 15.00    
4  AUGER Aug21 Aug06 Jul02 Jun22 May29 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 8.00    
5  SMOKIN' HOT Jul23 Jul02 Jun03 May14 Apr27 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
6  I'LL FIGURE IT OUT Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 May20 Apr22 (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  JAMMING CAMERON Aug19 Jul21 Jun25 May26 May07 (treharne)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.80    
 
TDN-4   09/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IMA SURE BET Apr03 Mar26 Mar07 Feb27 Feb14 (morales m)ROSARIO L 119 3.00    
2  FLATTERING HEART Aug15 Jul29 Jun19 Jun04 May08 (urieta johanna)HALDAR J 115 1.80 39% 1.50    
3  POSITIVELY Aug19 Jul22 Jul03 Jun08 May22 (sweeting craig)PEREZ A 115 5.00    
4  UNESCORTED Aug19 Jul23 Jul04 Jun10 Apr25 (urieta joh)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 24% 3.20    
5  MALI BALI Aug22 Jul23 Jun24 Jun04 May15 (morales m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00 13% 6.90    
6  MO RISSA Aug19 Jul23 Jul04 Jun24 Jun10 (skerrett)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00    
 
TDN-5   09/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR INVESTIGATOR         (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 5.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  MIRO Aug28 Aug05 Jul24 Jul10 Dec29 (reust megan)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 3.50    
3  MO SNOW Aug27 Jul10 Jun22 Jun12 May21 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 123 2.00 18% 4.70    
4  AROUND THE MOON         (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 123 12.00    
5  PANTHERA'S FATE Jul10 May21 Apr29 Jul28 Jun10 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 123 1.80 27% 2.60    
6  DASH TO FINISH Aug27 Aug05 Mar24 Feb16 Jan31 (reust megan)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00    
 
TDN-6   09/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTO GOLD Aug21 Jul29 Jun28 Nov09 Oct23 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 24% 3.20    
2  K KID Oct23 Oct06 Aug23 Jul31 Jul06 (zielinski richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  MIDNIGHT VOYAGE Aug21 Jul04 Jun05 May09 Apr13 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 8.00    
4  WHO DA BOSS Jul29 Jun22 Jun07 May10 Mar18 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.00    
5  FACT NOT FICTION Aug19 Jun22 Jun07 May22 May04 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
TDN-7   09/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCE DRAMA Jun30 Jun17 May26 May07 Apr03 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  I'M JAC'D Aug22 Aug14 Jul25 Jul09 Jan31 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 8.00    
3  SUGAR LOVES IT Aug12 Jul08 Jun17 Nov09 Sep28 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50    
4  SPICE ICE Aug14 Feb08 Jan10 Dec12 Nov28 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 41% 1.40    
5  RUBY LAYNE Aug18 Jul29 Jun10 May20 Jan11 (fletcher)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 3.00 33% 2.10    
6  SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL Aug14 Jul25 Jul16 Jun07 May06 (huffman candace)BRACHO A 115 4.00    
 
TDN-8   09/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPUTE THIS Aug12 Mar27 Mar04 Jan30 Jan15 (wolochuk david)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.50 15% 5.50    
2  DERBY DAY KISS Aug12 Jul08 Jun07 May18 Apr13 (cline c)AVILES YAN 115 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  BUCKEYE CRUISER Aug15 Jul27 Jul08 Jun18 May30 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 115 1.80 52% 0.90    
4  BIG FACTS Aug10 Jun18 May18 Nov14 Oct28 (farrior anth)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
SCR  BONNIE'S BEST Apr03 Mar04 Feb20 Feb05 Jan11 (gilmartin )FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00    
6  HERE COMES DOLLY Jan09 Dec07 Nov21 Oct23 Oct04 (zielinski richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.