Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Wednesday - August 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-4   WIN (7/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $24.60 $16.60 208%
TDN-7   EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-2 $13.80 $7.80 130%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   08/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:00     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BOLD BUCKEYE 3 6 1½ 12   15½ 19¾ (poole m)BRACHO A 123 3.50 2.70  
  (by BOLD TRUTH out of LADY BUCKEYE by QUIET AMERICAN)
8  RIVER BYE 8 2 3½ 32   25½ 29¾ (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 119 1.80 59% 0.70 2.40 P
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of STORM ON BYE by WOKE UP DREAMIN)
4  FORMYBOYS 4 1 2½ 22   39½ 315 (radosevich jef)DIAZ I 123 2.50 8% 11.20 3.50 S
  (by TAPIDOR out of NIPPY'S VENTURE by MAUK FOUR)
2  STRIKE PLATE 2 7 51¾ 46   413 419¼ (langley joshua)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 3.00  
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of ADDED DELIGHT by NORTHERN AFLEET)
5  SKUNK APE 5 4 77¼ 617½   519 524 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 20.00 46.90  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of QUEEN YELLENA by TOCCET)
1  SLIPOFFTHEARIATS 1 8 810¼ 718   619½ 626 (szczepanski emil)BAEZ M 119 12.00 14.40  
  (by QUICK CHANGE out of HIGH HEELED DIVA by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
7  HIDDEN HEART 7 5 41½ 59½   719½ 734¾ (skerrett j)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 10.00 6% 16.20 15.60  
  (by ANIMO DE VALEROSO out of PRECOCIOUS by EXPLOIT)
6  HURRYCANE DON 6 3 64¾ 8100   8100 8100 (bookman donald)HOUGHTON D 123 6.00 19.50  
  (by DARK KESTREL out of WILD ISLAND STORM by WILD HORSES)
 
TDN-2   08/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:221 :461 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SUPERWOLF 5 1 11 13   16 113 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 2.00 56% 0.80 0.05 W
  (by INSTAGRAND out of SUNSHINEANDSILENCE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  FULL SPECTRUM 1 5 21 23   26 213 (jackson james)SIMPSON JASON 118 8.00 6% 16.70 19.10 P
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of STREET SUCCESS by STREET CRY (IRE))
4  ED'S REWARD 3 4 57 37   38½ 314¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.50 6.50  
  (by IMPROBABLE out of LEONA'S REWARD by PARENTS' REWARD)
7  FOURDATESFORHOCO 6 2 33 47½   410 421½ (sweeting craig)NEGRON LUIS 118 4.50 14% 6.20 8.80  
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of PREACHINTOTHECHOIR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
5  MOR STORMY 4 3 44 510   515 523¾ (cline c)AVILES YAN 118 12.00 57.80  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of STORMY JUSTICE by REGAL RANSOM)
3  TAKE DICTATION 2 6 610 617   623 635¾ (flores israel)PEREZ A 118 15.00 94.40  
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of FOLLOW BOURBON by NOT BOURBON)
SCR  KICKSTART               (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.50    
  (by PAYNTER out of SPEAK NO EVIL by HEAR NO EVIL)
 
TDN-3   08/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:002     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GOOD MUSIC 4 2 11 12½   15 12 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 4.10  
2  A PRAYER FOR KIDS 2 4 45½ 48   47 22 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 1.80 23% 3.40 1.20 P
4  AFLEET O ME 3 3 31½ 33   35½ 35¾ (flores christ)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 44% 1.30 1.40 S
6  TAMMY'S TOY 5 1 21 22½   25 45¾ (brown gl)FERNANDEZ R 119 4.50 13.30  
1  HARSH TRUTH 1 5 57½ 510   510½ 58¼ (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 8.80  
SCR  ORLEANS STORM               (gonzalez don)HALDAR J 119 12.00    
 
TDN-4   08/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:222 :462 1:001     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FLASHY N 4 3 43½ 46½   45½ 1½ (rivera nestor)FELICIANO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 11.30 W
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of FLASHY G by NOTIONAL)
1  BELLE BOTTOMS 1 6 31½ 32   22 2½ (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 8.00 19.30  
  (by TAPITURE out of BELLAMY BROOKE by BELLAMY ROAD)
6  SIOFRA 6 1 11½ 12   12 3¾ (wolochuk davi)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.00 4.10  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PRETTY MUCH MINE by HALF OURS)
2  ILLUMINATE (IRE) 2 7 66½ 610   57½ 43 (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 118 15.00 20% 4.00 8.00  
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of BLAZING BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
7  SECRET VALENTINE 7 2 56 58½   69 55¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 2.00 36% 1.80 3.10  
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of BETROTHED by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  COMPLEXITY GIRL 3 5 21½ 22   35 68 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 2.50 21% 3.70 1.20  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of ARTISTIC LICENSE by HEART OF THE STORM)
5  ANOTHERWINNER 5 8 810¾ 713   713 712¼ (waltz brian)BRACHO A 118 12.00 29.30  
  (by CONGRATS out of RICHMOND SPIDER by UNION RAGS)
8  MARABELLA 8 4 710½ 814   813 812½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 6.00 13.00  
  (by BERNARDINI out of JUSTALITTLESMOKE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
 
TDN-5   08/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :464 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BUMPKIN 8 1 12 12   14 13¾ (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 0.50  
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of BUMP BUMP by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
5  VECCHI 5 2 22 22   24 23¾ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 4.00 5.90  
  (by VERTIFORMER out of BLUE AS THE NILE by SPUNKY RASCAL)
4  SWAYBACK MOBIL 4 6 66 68¾   48½ 36 (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 119 3.50 25% 2.90 4.00 S
  (by MOBIL out of RIBBONS AND ROSES by BIONDETTI)
7  FORT GRANDE 7 4 44 43½   38½ 49 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 15% 5.80 37.80  
  (by FORT LARNED out of RAIN FOREST by EXCHANGE RATE)
1  RUN PANCITA 1 7 76½ 79¼   610¼ 513¼ (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 25% 2.90 24.30  
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of DAYLIGHT KATY by UNUSUAL HEAT)
3  INDY'S HOPE 3 8 811 812¼   813¾ 618½ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 5.00 24.60  
  (by INDY WIND out of WITHALITTLEHOPE by HOLD ME BACK)
6  COLORFUL LAD 6 3 32½ 32   510 719¼ (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
  (by SENOR AMIGO out of REAL DISTINCTIVE by WITH DISTINCTION)
2  MOONSHINE JOE 2 5 54 58½   711¾ 821¼ (radosevich )CESPEDES JHORMA 114 15.00 21.70  
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of MOONSHINE PROMISE by WILL HE SHINE)
 
TDN-6   08/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:002     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROLLIN FREEDOM 1 7 31½ 21   21 11¼ (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 1.50  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of FLIGHT ELEVEN by MIDAS EYES)
6  SMARTASSET 6 1 1½ 11   11 21¼ (cline c)AVILES YAN 123 3.50 17% 4.90 2.70 P
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SOME GIVEN LEGEND by POINT GIVEN)
4  BEAUTIFUL CHARADE 4 5 64 52½   32½ 33 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 16% 5.40 3.50 S
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PEYTONA by MR. GREELEY)
8  J. P INDY 8 2 2½ 31½   46 47½ (cline c)BOWEN ROCCO 123 12.00 5% 19.00 21.30  
  (by CONGRATS out of JANNES PAUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  MANDAVILLA 7 3 54 42½   56½ 511¼ (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 123 6.00 17.20  
  (by ALTERNATION out of MANDABULL by NEWFOUNDLAND)
3  JUSTWORTHASHOT 3 8 85¾ 77¼   68½ 611¾ (schuster robin)PEREZ A 119 12.00 44.70  
  (by BOLD WARRIOR out of ESTHERS BALL by PARTY MANNERS)
2  OLYMPIC WINGS 2 6 42½ 62¾   79½ 716 (zielinski ri)HALDAR J 119 3.00 38% 1.60 4.30  
  (by MOHAYMEN out of OLYMPIC SMOKE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
5  APPALACHIAN SPIRIT 5 4 74¼ 87¼   813½ 819½ (overholt pau)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 12.00 35.20  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of PRETTY MUCH MINE by HALF OURS)
 
TDN-7   08/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :462 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  KAT TRAX 5 2 43½ 32   21 11 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 121 3.00 26% 2.80 2.20 W
2  EXACTITUDE 1 5 58½ 57½   54½ 21 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 21% 3.70 3.70 P
5  SALUTE THE KID 4 1 21 11   11 32¼ (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 2.50 1.40  
3  DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT 2 4 31 43½   44 42¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00 15.70  
4  TWISTED JUSTICE 3 3 11 21   31½ 53½ (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 117 4.50 3.50  
SCR  GO GIRL               (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50    
 
TDN-8   08/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:151     1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PLAIN AND SIMPLE 5 2 23 21 2nk 2½ 1hd (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 119 3.00 3.70  
  (by DESTIN out of WILDLY by WILD WONDER)
1  GREERS FERRY 1 5 510½ 44½ 3.2 1½ 2hd (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80 58% 0.70 0.10 P
  (by MORE THAN READY out of DEE DEE BERTIE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
4  LEAVENWORTH 3 4 34 31½ 41¾ 42 31½ (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00 5% 19.00 41.80 S
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of ELECTIVE by GRAND SLAM)
2  HE'S A PISCES 2 1 13 11 1nk 32 47¼ (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 4.50 9% 9.90 8.20  
  (by HARD SPUN out of MISS HOROSCOPE by ASTROLOGY)
5  MIRO 4 3 46½ 57 513¾ 517 526¼ (reust megan)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 15.00 43.40  
  (by SENOR SWINGER out of BEAUTIFUL CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  LORD MARXMAN               (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 2.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of MARCO GROOM by MARCO BAY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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