Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Wednesday - August 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (8/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $7.40  
TDN-2   Win (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $2.10 $2.10  
TDN-3   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $10.20  
TDN-4   Win (7/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $24.60 $24.60 16.60
TDN-5   Win (1/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $3.00  
TDN-6   Win (2/6/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $5.00  
TDN-7   Win (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
TDN-8   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $9.40  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   08/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:00     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BOLD BUCKEYE 3 6 1½ 12   15½ 19¾ (poole m)BRACHO A 123 3.50 2.70  
8  RIVER BYE 8 2 3½ 32   25½ 29¾ (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 119 1.80 59% 0.70 2.40 P
4  FORMYBOYS 4 1 2½ 22   39½ 315 (radosevich jeff)DIAZ I 123 2.50 8% 11.20 3.50 S
2  STRIKE PLATE 2 7 51¾ 46   413 419¼ (langley joshua)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 3.00  
5  SKUNK APE 5 4 77¼ 617½   519 524 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 20.00 46.90  
1  SLIPOFFTHEARIATS 1 8 810¼ 718   619½ 626 (szczepanski emily)BAEZ M 119 12.00 14.40  
7  HIDDEN HEART 7 5 41½ 59½   719½ 734¾ (skerrett jef)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 10.00 6% 16.20 15.60  
6  HURRYCANE DON 6 3 64¾ 8100   8100 8100 (bookman donald)HOUGHTON D 123 6.00 19.50  
 
TDN-2   08/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:221 :461 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SUPERWOLF 5 1 11 13   16 113 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 2.00 56% 0.80 0.05 W
2  FULL SPECTRUM 1 5 21 23   26 213 (jackson r)SIMPSON JASON 118 8.00 6% 16.70 19.10 P
4  ED'S REWARD 3 4 57 37   38½ 314¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.50 6.50  
7  FOURDATESFORHOCO 6 2 33 47½   410 421½ (sweeting craig)NEGRON LUIS 118 4.50 14% 6.20 8.80  
5  MOR STORMY 4 3 44 510   515 523¾ (cline c)AVILES YAN 118 12.00 57.80  
3  TAKE DICTATION 2 6 610 617   623 635¾ (flores israel)PEREZ A 118 15.00 94.40  
SCR  KICKSTART               (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.50    
 
TDN-3   08/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:002     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GOOD MUSIC 4 2 11 12½   15 12 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 4.10  
2  A PRAYER FOR KIDS 2 4 45½ 48   47 22 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 1.80 23% 3.40 1.20 P
4  AFLEET O ME 3 3 31½ 33   35½ 35¾ (flores christia)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 44% 1.30 1.40 S
6  TAMMY'S TOY 5 1 21 22½   25 45¾ (brown glen)FERNANDEZ R 119 4.50 13.30  
1  HARSH TRUTH 1 5 57½ 510   510½ 58¼ (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 8.80  
SCR  ORLEANS STORM               (gonzalez donac)HALDAR J 119 12.00    
 
TDN-4   08/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:222 :462 1:001     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FLASHY N 4 3 43½ 46½   45½ 1½ (rivera nestor)FELICIANO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 11.30 W
1  BELLE BOTTOMS 1 6 31½ 32   22 2½ (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 8.00 19.30  
6  SIOFRA 6 1 11½ 12   12 3¾ (wolochuk david)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.00 4.10  
2  ILLUMINATE (IRE) 2 7 66½ 610   57½ 43 (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 118 15.00 20% 4.00 8.00  
7  SECRET VALENTINE 7 2 56 58½   69 55¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 2.00 36% 1.80 3.10  
3  COMPLEXITY GIRL 3 5 21½ 22   35 68 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 2.50 21% 3.70 1.20  
5  ANOTHERWINNER 5 8 810¾ 713   713 712¼ (waltz brian)BRACHO A 118 12.00 29.30  
8  MARABELLA 8 4 710½ 814   813 812½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 6.00 13.00  
 
TDN-5   08/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :464 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BUMPKIN 8 1 12 12   14 13¾ (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 0.50  
5  VECCHI 5 2 22 22   24 23¾ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 4.00 5.90  
4  SWAYBACK MOBIL 4 6 66 68¾   48½ 36 (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 119 3.50 25% 2.90 4.00 S
7  FORT GRANDE 7 4 44 43½   38½ 49 (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 15% 5.80 37.80  
1  RUN PANCITA 1 7 76½ 79¼   610¼ 513¼ (morales m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 25% 2.90 24.30  
3  INDY'S HOPE 3 8 811 812¼   813¾ 618½ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 5.00 24.60  
6  COLORFUL LAD 6 3 32½ 32   510 719¼ (zielinski richa)CEDILLO MAURO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
2  MOONSHINE JOE 2 5 54 58½   711¾ 821¼ (radosevich ja)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 15.00 21.70  
 
TDN-6   08/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:002     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROLLIN FREEDOM 1 7 31½ 21   21 11¼ (zielinski richa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 1.50  
6  SMARTASSET 6 1 1½ 11   11 21¼ (cline c)AVILES YAN 123 3.50 17% 4.90 2.70 P
4  BEAUTIFUL CHARADE 4 5 64 52½   32½ 33 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 16% 5.40 3.50 S
8  J. P INDY 8 2 2½ 31½   46 47½ (cline c)BOWEN ROCCO 123 12.00 5% 19.00 21.30  
7  MANDAVILLA 7 3 54 42½   56½ 511¼ (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 123 6.00 17.20  
3  JUSTWORTHASHOT 3 8 85¾ 77¼   68½ 611¾ (schuster robin)PEREZ A 119 12.00 44.70  
2  OLYMPIC WINGS 2 6 42½ 62¾   79½ 716 (zielinski rich)HALDAR J 119 3.00 38% 1.60 4.30  
5  APPALACHIAN SPIRIT 5 4 74¼ 87¼   813½ 819½ (overholt paul )BERRIOS HECTOR 123 12.00 35.20  
 
TDN-7   08/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :462 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  KAT TRAX 5 2 43½ 32   21 11 (gorham m)DIAZ I 121 3.00 26% 2.80 2.20 W
2  EXACTITUDE 1 5 58½ 57½   54½ 21 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 21% 3.70 3.70 P
5  SALUTE THE KID 4 1 21 11   11 32¼ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 2.50 1.40  
3  DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT 2 4 31 43½   44 42¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00 15.70  
4  TWISTED JUSTICE 3 3 11 21   31½ 53½ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 117 4.50 3.50  
SCR  GO GIRL               (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50    
 
TDN-8   08/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:151     1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PLAIN AND SIMPLE 5 2 23 21 2nk 2½ 1hd (skerrett jeffre)BRACHO A 119 3.00 3.70  
1  GREERS FERRY 1 5 510½ 44½ 3.2 1½ 2hd (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80 58% 0.70 0.10 P
4  LEAVENWORTH 3 4 34 31½ 41¾ 42 31½ (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00 5% 19.00 41.80 S
2  HE'S A PISCES 2 1 13 11 1nk 32 47¼ (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 123 4.50 9% 9.90 8.20  
5  MIRO 4 3 46½ 57 513¾ 517 526¼ (reust megan)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 15.00 43.40  
SCR  LORD MARXMAN               (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 119 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.