Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Wednesday - August 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (8/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-2   Win (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-3   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-4   Win (7/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-5   Win (1/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-6   Win (2/6/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-7   Win (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-8   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   08/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLIPOFFTHEARIATS Aug07         (szczepanski emily)BAEZ M 119 12.00    
STRIKE PLATE Aug19 Aug07       (langley joshua)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
BOLD BUCKEYE         (poole m)BRACHO A 123 3.50    
FORMYBOYS Jul29 Jun17 May28 May07 Apr08 (radosevich jeff)DIAZ I 123 2.50 8% 11.20    
SKUNK APE Aug19 Aug07 Jul29 Jul01 Jun12 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 20.00    
HURRYCANE DON May10         (bookman donald)HOUGHTON D 123 6.00    
HIDDEN HEART         (skerrett jef)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 10.00 6% 16.20    
RIVER BYE Aug07         (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 119 1.80 59% 0.70    
 
TDN-2   08/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KICKSTART         (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.50    
FULL SPECTRUM Aug10 Jul08       (jackson r)SIMPSON JASON 118 8.00 6% 16.70    
TAKE DICTATION Aug10         (flores israel)PEREZ A 118 15.00    
ED'S REWARD Jul23 May29       (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.50    
MOR STORMY Aug10         (cline c)AVILES YAN 118 12.00    
SUPERWOLF Aug10         (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 2.00 56% 0.80    
FOURDATESFORHOCO         (sweeting craig)NEGRON LUIS 118 4.50 14% 6.20    
 
TDN-3   08/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARSH TRUTH Aug13 Jul18 Jun27 May28 May07 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
A PRAYER FOR KIDS Jul23 Jul04 Jun18 Jun08 May15 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 1.80 23% 3.40    
SCR  ORLEANS STORM Aug13 Jul16 Jun19 May28 May21 (gonzalez donac)HALDAR J 119 12.00    
AFLEET O ME Aug13 Jul16 Jun05 May09 Sep28 (flores christia)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
GOOD MUSIC Aug13 Jul16 May30 May09 Mar06 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00    
TAMMY'S TOY Aug13 Jul16 Jun27 May22 May01 (brown glen)FERNANDEZ R 119 4.50    
 
TDN-4   08/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLE BOTTOMS Aug07         (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 8.00    
ILLUMINATE (IRE)         (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 118 15.00 20% 4.00    
COMPLEXITY GIRL Aug07 Jul22       (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 2.50 21% 3.70    
FLASHY N Aug10 Jul22 Jul04     (rivera nestor)FELICIANO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
ANOTHERWINNER Aug14         (waltz brian)BRACHO A 118 12.00    
SIOFRA Aug07 Jul22 Jun17     (wolochuk david)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.00    
SECRET VALENTINE Jun26 Jun15       (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 2.00 36% 1.80    
MARABELLA Aug14         (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 6.00    
 
TDN-5   08/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN PANCITA         (morales m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 25% 2.90    
MOONSHINE JOE Jun20         (radosevich ja)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 15.00    
INDY'S HOPE Aug07         (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 5.00    
SWAYBACK MOBIL Aug07 Jul22 Jul01 Jun12 May29 (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 119 3.50 25% 2.90    
VECCHI Aug07 Jul01 Oct28 Oct11 Sep25 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 4.00    
COLORFUL LAD Jul31 Jul15 Apr22 Jun06   (zielinski richa)CEDILLO MAURO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
FORT GRANDE         (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 15% 5.80    
BUMPKIN Aug07 Jul22 Jul01 May29 May21 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.00    
 
TDN-6   08/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLLIN FREEDOM Aug10 Jul23 Jul02     (zielinski richa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00    
OLYMPIC WINGS Mar20 Feb28 Feb14 Jan30 Jan15 (zielinski rich)HALDAR J 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
JUSTWORTHASHOT Aug10 Jul23 Feb28     (schuster robin)PEREZ A 119 12.00    
BEAUTIFUL CHARADE Aug10 Jul02 Jun17 May09 Jan30 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 16% 5.40    
APPALACHIAN SPIRIT Jun18 May29 May03 Apr01 Mar14 (overholt paul )BERRIOS HECTOR 123 12.00    
SMARTASSET Aug10 Jul23 Jun17 Dec21 Dec11 (cline c)AVILES YAN 123 3.50 17% 4.90    
MANDAVILLA Aug10 Jul23 Jul02     (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 123 6.00    
J. P INDY Jul23 Jul02 Dec21 Dec11 Nov22 (cline c)BOWEN ROCCO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-7   08/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GO GIRL Jul10 Jun19 May14 Apr25 Mar28 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50    
EXACTITUDE Aug01 Jul09 Jun18 May06 Mar14 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 21% 3.70    
DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT Nov07 Oct23 Sep04 Aug03 Jun05 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
TWISTED JUSTICE Jul25 Jul09 Jun19 May28 Apr11 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 117 4.50    
SALUTE THE KID Jul31 Jul10 Jun22 May23 May07 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 2.50    
KAT TRAX Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 May28 May07 (gorham m)DIAZ I 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
TDN-8   08/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREERS FERRY Jul11 Jun22 Jun04 May14 Apr27 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80 58% 0.70    
HE'S A PISCES Feb04 Jan06 Oct25 Oct07   (winters michell)CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.50 9% 9.90    
SCR  LORD MARXMAN Jul11 Jun22 May21     (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 119 2.00    
LEAVENWORTH Aug05 Jun19 Jun04 Apr20 Mar28 (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
MIRO Aug05 Jul24 Jul10 Dec29 Dec08 (reust megan)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 15.00    
PLAIN AND SIMPLE May26         (skerrett jeffre)BRACHO A 119 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.