Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mountaineer Park
Monday - August 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-2   TRI (5/7/8/4)-(5/7/8/4)-(5/7/8/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00  8-7-4 $26.10 $2.10 9%
MNR-6   WIN (6/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $6.60 $0.60 10%
    EXA (6/1/8)-(6/1/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-6 $19.40 $7.40 62%
    TRI (6/1/8)-(6/1/8)-(6/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-6-8 $28.30 $22.30 372%
MNR-7   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $16.00 $10.00 167%
MNR-8   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $42.60 $36.60 610%
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-7 $227.60 $209.60 1164%
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2/7)-(5/6/2/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00  2-7-5 $476.30 $458.30 2546%
    DD (2/1/4)-(5/6/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-2 $202.80 $184.80 1027%
    PK3 (6/1/8)-(2/1/4)-(5/6/2) 27 $2.00 $54.00  1-1-2 $857.20 $803.20 1487%
    PK4 (3/4/1/5)-(6/1/8)-(2/1/4)-(5/6/2) 108 $2.00 $216  4-1-1-2 $2556 $2340 1084%
    PK5 (2/4/7/3)-(3/4/1/5)-(6/1/8)-(2/1/4)-(5/6/2) 432 $2.00 $864  2/5-4-1-1-2 $13407 $12543 1452%

Simulator Race results

 
MNR-1   08/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:223 :461       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASILY INFLUENCED 1 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 11 (wilson jr)YARANGA Y 123 6.00 4.90  
MANCHESTER 4 2 2nk 2nk   2½ 21 (bright derri)TAPARA BRANDON 120 2.50 46% 1.20 1.10 P
SCRATCHOFF 3 6 6 5   4 3 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 12.00 17% 5.00 2.50 S
WHOOP GONE 2 5 5 34   3 4 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 10.00 8.70  
10  PITCH DARK 6 4 4 4   59 5 (bright derric)BARBARAN ERIK 120 10.00 15% 5.50 8.10  
CHIEF HOWCOME 5 3 31 6   611 614¼ (blankenship )GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00 11.20  
SCR  ADIOS COOL ARROWS               (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 116 8.00    
SCR  HIJACK THE PARTY               (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 2.00    
SCR  MINDSHIP Q               (winters mi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 30.00    
SCR  ON HIS TOES               (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00    
 
MNR-2   08/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:23 :46 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMMING CAMERON 7 1 1 1   14 1 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 123 8.00 11% 8.40 0.80 W
POSEIDON'S SON 6 2 4 3   24 2 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 12.00 29% 2.40 8.00 P
JUSTWAVEANDSMILE 3 6 85 7   411 3 (viands gregory)VEGA L 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.10 S
12  JUST U AND ME KID 8 3 5 2   37 4 (cain crystal)GILBERT KYLE 120 15.00 17.40  
READYSEEKGO 1 5 3 4   513 5 (lawrence )HERNANDEZ H 120 30.00 60.00  
TAKECHARGEJUSTICE 4 7 6 57   615 610¾ (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 2.00 38% 1.60 3.80  
GOTTAGETITBACK 2 8 74 8   719 720 (silva juan)CASTELLANO JESUS 120 20.00 28.00  
FEDERALE 5 4 2 68   821 821¼ (pease harry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 8.10  
SCR  BROTHER SKYE               (langley c)YARANGA Y 120 15.00    
SCR  HARTEL               (sipp burton )VILCHEZ MAIKOL 120 30.00    
SCR  WESTWARD LOOK               (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 123 3.50    
SCR  YEUDIEL               (montano wilf)TAPARA BRANDON 120 5.00    
 
MNR-3   08/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
See original race card.
:223 :453 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SACOS STOGIE 3 1 12 15   17 19 (acevedo israel)NEGRON LUIS 116 1.20 0.10  
XHILARATINGPURPOSE 1 4 22 36   27 29 (fiesman rob)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 6.00 9% 10.30 21.40 P
HEBRIDES 4 5 5 511   411½ 3 (norris stephani)YARANGA Y 120 8.00 25% 3.00 31.70 S
SHE'S A SAINT 5 6 6 612   614 412¼ (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 116 4.50 9.40  
SUFFICE 2 3 4 410   310 513¾ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00 19.90  
MAGNA CAT 6 2 3 25   512 618¼ (godsey mars)BRACHO A 116 4.00 29% 2.50 8.50  
 
MNR-4   08/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:224 :47 :593     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONTENT (IRE) 2 5 5 4   22 1 (walker charle)BRACHO A 123 6.00 50% 1.00 1.20 W
TUNSTALL 1 1 2½ 1nk   12 2 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 123 6.00 3.80  
MAYSVILLE MISS 3 7 7 6   32 35 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 123 20.00 5% 19.00 19.80 S
GORMLEYESQUE 4 3 41 32   5 410 (delong ben)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.00 20% 3.90 3.50  
PERFECTINGTHEVIEW 7 4 31 5   6 510¼ (norris ste)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 15.00 21.20  
UNTOUCHED ELEGANCE 6 2 1½ 2nk   45 613½ (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 123 3.50 8% 11.70 3.30  
ANCIENT BROWN 5 6 6 7   711¼ 715 (mcgaffic g)CASTELLANO JESUS 123 30.00 58.60  
SCR  KHOZZY VALINTINE               (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 123 1.40    
 
MNR-5   08/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
See original race card.
:223 :463 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREMAN 4 4 32 21   2 1¾ (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 120 3.50 18% 4.40 1.60 W
CONSIDER ME 1 1 1nk 11   1 2¾ (tumblin andrew)PAUCAR E 120 3.00 10% 9.30 1.60 P
SHAMELESS RISK 3 3 4 34   3 3 (sanders meli)TAPARA BRANDON 120 2.00 44% 1.30 2.80 S
DON H 7 5 5 6   510½ 412 (barbaran hora)BARBARAN ERIK 120 12.00 43.40  
STUNNING HERO 5 6 6 55   4 513 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 8.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
DADDY Z 6 7 7 711¼   714 614¾ (ewell sr)GILBERT KYLE 120 20.00 60.70  
CITY HUMOR 2 2 2nk 45   613½ 720 (bracho jose)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 4.00 10.50  
 
MNR-6   08/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($6.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:224 :464 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL BUNNY 1 1 1½ 11   12 1 (ewell devan )TAPARA BRANDON 120 5.00 19% 4.30 2.30 W
S S FLAMINGO 4 2 3 21   22 2 (jimenez mi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 3.50 37% 1.70 2.30 P
SHOTGUN MARGARET 5 5 5 32   3 3 (shuler r)NEGRON LUIS 116 5.00 10% 8.70 1.80 S
PORTIA'S HOPE 2 4 4 42   4 4 (dixon geoffr)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00 3.40  
LADY GANGSTER 3 3 2½ 54   510½ 514 (ewell s)BRACHO A 120 20.00 20.80  
SCR  S S COSMOPOLITAN               (jimenez mig)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.00    
SCR  SWEET WINDSOR               (shuler r)VEGA L 123 4.50    
SCR  SWIPE THAT CANDY               (rideout ant)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 116 6.00    
 
MNR-7   08/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:121     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH DOLLAR DATE 1 3 23 2 2½ 2 1¼ (langley c)YARANGA Y 120 4.00 25% 3.00 7.00 W
SHE'S SO BEARRISH 3 1 13 1 1½ 1 2¼ (poole c)BRACHO A 120 3.00 2.30  
MAMBO KITTEN 2 4 5 34 3 3 3 (norris ste)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 2.50 35% 1.80 1.30 S
AGENDA 4 2 36 69 510½ 412½ 413¼ (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 6.00 7% 13.90 9.90  
POLYESTER BRIDE 5 6 6 55 410½ 514½ 516 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 3.50 9.70  
TWELVEO'CLOCKROCK 6 5 46 45 617½ 622½ 627¾ (viands gregory)VEGA L 120 6.00 4.50  
 
MNR-8   08/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:223 :463       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDDEN RULER 2 3 3 4   21 1 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 8.00 5% 19.00 20.30 W
GENIUS 7 5 5 5   43 2 (inman rober)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 8.00 4.90 P
HIPPODROME 5 4 4 31   3 3 (barker jame)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 3.50 49% 1.00 3.00 S
INDOCTRINATE 8 8 8 6   6 4 (viands gregory)NEGRON LUIS 123 6.00 7.50  
ACT OF VALOR 3 7 6 77   56 5 (murtough )HERNANDEZ H 123 10.00 12.90  
FLAMING EAST 4 1 21 1nk   11 6 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 123 2.50 1.80  
ENZOEXPRESS 6 2 11 2nk   78 710½ (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 3.00 23% 3.30 4.10  
VASY SAYS NYET 1 6 7 812   814 820½ (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 123 20.00 57.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.