Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - October 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-2   WIN (9/1/5/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $12.16 $2.16 22%
    EXA (9/1/5/7/3)-(9/1/5/7/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00  5-1 $50.30 $10.30 26%
    TRI (9/1/5/7/3)-(9/1/5/7/3)-(9/1/5/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  5-1-7 $71.97 $41.97 140%
CD-3   WIN (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $17.40 $11.40 190%
    EXA (2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00  8-3 $59.28 $47.28 394%
    DD (9/1/5/7/3)-(2/3/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00  5-8 $128.41 $113.41 756%
CD-5   TRI (10/4/6/1)-(10/4/6/1)-(10/4/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  10-4-1 $13.53 $1.53 13%
CD-7   EXA (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-6 $26.74 $2.74 11%
    TRI (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-6-1 $21.11 $9.11 76%
CD-8   EXA (6/4/9/2)-(6/4/9/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-9 $25.46 $1.46 6%
CD-10   WIN (1/4/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $18.60 $10.60 133%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   10/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:214 :443 :57     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEACH BUNNY 1 4 1½ 1½   1½ 11¼ (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 122 4.00 5.80  
5  MINK STOLE 4 5 2½ 2½   2½ 21¼ (arnold georg)MONCADA IRVING 115 6.00 5% 19.00 4.93 P
6  STARCOURT 5 1 53 44   34½ 36½ (puhich mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.50 3.19  
2  AVALON GIRL 2 6 42½ 65½   45½ 47 (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 2.15  
7  INVENTING ANNA 6 3 63¼ 54½   56½ 511 (medina ro)TORRES A 124 6.00 14% 5.90 8.03  
4  MATERIAL WITNESS 3 2 3½ 32½   67 619 (atras rob)TORRES A 124 2.50 43% 1.30 3.33  
SCR  FOUR THE GIRLS               (reed eric )CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00    
 
CD-2   10/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 ALL PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:121 1:252   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  AMERICAN CITY 5 8 63½ 41¾ 3½ 1½ 1½ (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.50 5% 19.00 5.08 W
1  DOWN THE ISLANDS 1 5 31½ 31½ 41 2½ 2½ (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 28% 2.50 1.49 P
7  NOBLE REIGN 7 7 95¾ 95¾ 53 43½ 34½ (milligan )TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 8.52 S
6  MORALLY 6 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 32 46½ (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 4.50 5.33  
8  BEGFORFORGIVENESS 8 9 83¾ 53¼ 74¾ 66 59¼ (cano mu)TORRES A 119 20.00 37.31  
2  BEST DRESSED MAN 2 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 54 610 (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 34.74  
4  FINANCIAL WHIZ 4 3 73½ 63¾ 64½ 76 712¼ (hamilton sarah)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00 16.27  
3  SUPER SMOOTH 3 4 42 74¾ 89¼ 818 841 (cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 44.99  
9  VSOP 9 6 52½ 85¼ 99¾ 925 995 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.00 44% 1.30 2.98  
 
CD-3   10/31/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:221 :45 1:094     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ROWDY RIOT 6 3 31 2nk   11 11 (morse l)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 5% 19.00 7.70 W
  (by RUNHAPPY out of AUGUSTA QUEEN by FORESTRY)
3  TOP GUN ROCKET 3 6 69 68   44½ 21 (mott riley)TORRES A 122 2.50 24% 3.20 3.11 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ROCKET TWENTYONE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  I'M MCDREAMY 4 1 2½ 1nk   21 33¼ (ortiz alex)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.50 4.77  
  (by HARD SPUN out of NIGHT WITCH by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  HOP SING 2 4 41½ 42   34½ 49¼ (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 48% 1.10 1.25  
  (by CURLIN out of SWEET ASSASSIN by TAPIT)
7  MOMENTUM FILES 5 2 52 57   68¼ 510½ (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 6.02  
  (by UNCLE MO out of MOLTO VITA by CARSON CITY)
1  INTO PLEASURE 1 5 1½ 31½   54¾ 613¼ (lynch bria)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 9.37  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SETTLE 'N SPEIGHT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  LORD NARCISSE               (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 12.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of MALIBU DRIVE by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  PARTYVICIOUS               (west m)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of BUSY BEV by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
CD-4   10/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:211 :444 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ANTIQUE SILVER 6 1 51½ 41   2nk 13 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 4.59  
7  GOURMET 7 2 3½ 1nk   1nk 23 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 42% 1.40 3.33 P
3  EDGE OF TOWN 3 8 66 75½   65½ 35¼ (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 10.90  
4  TROTTER 4 7 76¼ 65   44½ 46 (west aaron)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
2  FANCY FASCINATOR 2 6 1nk 2nk   31½ 58¾ (moger jr)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 9.21  
1  END OF INNOCENCE 1 5 2nk 3½   55 612 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 4.00 3.76  
5  SISTER ELLA 5 3 86¾ 87½   78 713 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 15.54  
8  HOUSE OF MAGIC 8 4 41 54½   810½ 821 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 3.00 35% 1.90 3.80  
 
CD-5   10/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:213 :442 :563     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  RAGING 6 2 2½ 2nk   2½ 1¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 32% 2.10 0.77 W
4  PROTEGE 2 3 1½ 1nk   1½ 2¼ (hancock j)LEPAROUX R 121 3.50 25% 3.10 3.05 P
1  RIVER RIDGE 1 6 42 45   55½ 35¼ (cline robe)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 9.40 S
8  ROCKETEIGHTYEIGHT 4 5 32 33   34 45¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 5.90  
9  JAMMIN JUSTICE 5 1 53½ 55¼   45½ 59¼ (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 25.44  
6  PROFESSOR HIGGINS 3 7 64 67¾   68 610¼ (poulos dee)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00 13% 6.50 27.14  
11  COACH CAMPBELL 7 4 74¼ 78¾   710½ 714 (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00 10.48  
SCR  CRUISIN AND BOOZIN               (jarvis kathy)MOJICA JR 118 20.00    
SCR  MR MCGREGOR               (cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00    
SCR  READIER               (lightner mar)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 6.00    
SCR  TRIPLE TREA               (walsh brenda)MONCADA IRVING 111 6.00    
 
CD-6   10/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:102 1:23   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TOUR PLAYER 6 6 31 32 1nk 1½ 14¼ (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 18% 4.50 2.30 W
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of INSHANNITY by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  NYQUIST FREQUENCY 5 5 2nk 2½ 2nk 2½ 24¼ (blair jor)TORRES A 120 12.00 11.57  
  (by NYQUIST out of IS IT GOLD by INDYGO SHINER)
6  IT'S MY LIFE 4 4 1nk 1½ 3½ 3½ 37¾ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 16% 5.10 5.96 S
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MORAKAMI by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
4  GOOD LORD 2 2 52½ 52¼ 53¾ 45 410½ (amoss thomas)TORRES A 120 4.00 39% 1.50 2.02  
  (by LORD NELSON out of MALIBU PARTY by HARD SPUN)
3  EL MAGNIFICO 1 3 42 42 43½ 55½ 511¼ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 6.00 5.22  
  (by STREET SENSE out of SECRET JEWEL by BERNARDINI)
5  BIG SALT LICK 3 1 66½ 65¾ 65¾ 69 617 (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 124 8.00 5% 19.00 7.55  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of RUBINDY by BERNARDINI)
9  MAGNIFICENT RAGS 7 7 78 710¼ 711¼ 712½ 719½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 11.66  
  (by UNION RAGS out of MAGNIFICENT SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  MOUNT KISCO               (howell jessi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 30.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of PRINCESS KAREN by STAY THIRSTY)
SCR  PADIDDLE               (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of BELLE CHAUSSEE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
CD-7   10/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:213 :45 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HUNTRESS FOR HIRE 2 5 31 31   31 11 (stall albe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 30% 2.30 2.02 W
6  UNDERCOVER 6 1 21 2nk   2½ 21 (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 15% 5.80 4.49 P
1  BRUNCH PUNCH 1 6 11 1nk   1½ 31½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.60 30% 2.30 1.42 S
4  FLOORED 4 4 75¾ 76   56 48 (oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00 31.11  
7  JE SUIS RAPIDE 7 2 63¼ 43½   44½ 58 (king l)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 32.33  
3  CANDY LOVER 3 7 53¼ 65   76¼ 612 (mcgee pau)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 4.89  
5  OUR KEEPSAKE 5 3 41¼ 54½   66 713¾ (lukas wayn)TORRES A 118 8.00 16.83  
 
CD-8   10/31/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:113 1:364   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DREAMING OF MO 3 2 32 41½ 31½ 14 14 (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 2.50 59% 0.70 1.74 W
9  SANCTIFY 5 6 57½ 57 54 24 24 (holsapple hutch)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 4.82 P
8  SCHOOL DANCE 4 3 42½ 31 21 45½ 37¼ (damato philip)VAZQUEZ A 122 15.00 7.84  
4  MOVIN' ON UP 2 1 11½ 11 11 34½ 47¾ (joseph sa)TORRES A 118 3.00 16% 5.10 1.15  
2  EMBRACE ME 1 4 610 612 612 614 519¼ (rutledge )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 30.00 5% 19.00 34.50  
10  HIDDEN CLASS 6 5 21½ 21 42½ 513½ 623½ (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 20.00 13.12  
SCR  AMBER CASCADE               (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00    
SCR  BREEZING ALONG               (meah m)ROMAN A 120 20.00    
SCR  DAZZLIN' DICTATOR               (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
SCR  INFINITE DIAMOND               (biancone p)ASMUSSEN J 122 6.00    
SCR  MALLEYMOO               (clement ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00    
SCR  QUEEN LECA (URU)               (lobo paulo)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00    
 
CD-9   10/31/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:13 1:374   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  COUNT DRACULA 8 2 2nk 2½ 1nk 12 1½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 5.18  
4  MIKEALICIOUS 4 6 41¾ 51¾ 31½ 22 2½ (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 10.00 16.29  
5  BOURBON'S FAULT 5 1 1nk 1½ 2nk 32½ 33 (stewart dallas)LANERIE J 118 5.00 7% 12.70 4.01 S
6  REDEMPTION TIME 6 8 31½ 31½ 53¼ 45½ 46 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 16% 5.20 4.13  
3  GAMBLERS TAIL 3 3 63¼ 63¼ 64¼ 56 58 (jacobson dav)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 8.50  
2  HOLLYWOOD ENDING 2 5 86¼ 85¾ 74¼ 67 68¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.50 46% 1.20 2.76  
7  METALHEAD 7 7 52¼ 41½ 41¾ 79½ 723½ (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 4.86  
1  DYNAMIS (IRE) 1 4 74¼ 73¾ 86¼ 813 825½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 15.00 16.50  
SCR  CONTEMPLATION               (stidham m)TORRES A 118 12.00    
SCR  MANDATORY MEETING               (blair jordan)TORRES A 118 15.00    
 
CD-10   10/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:213 :454 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MISS TIFEYE 3 3 43 51¼   1½ 15 (baker james)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 18% 4.70 8.30 W
3  RANCH LIFE 2 7 811 87¼   65 25 (douaihy michel)ROMAN A 119 20.00 43.22  
8  DINAHS GIRL 6 2 32½ 3½   2½ 35¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 4.50 16% 5.10 2.14 S
10  LOTTA LISSA 8 8 53½ 41   32 48¼ (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 112 12.00 6.77  
9  JOYFUL PURSUIT 7 6 65½ 76¼   86½ 59½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.71  
6  MOR LUCK 4 4 79 65¾   75½ 610 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 4.88  
7  FREE PASSAGE 5 1 21½ 2½   54½ 719¼ (galindo-torre)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 50.30  
1  LA BUKANA 1 5 11½ 1½   43½ 851¾ (cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.00 45% 1.20 2.15  
SCR  MAX'S REDEMPTION               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.00    
SCR  SHANETT               (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.