Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Thursday - October 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $13.60  
CD-2   Win (9/1/5/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $12.16 $12.16 2.16
CD-3   Win (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $17.40 $17.40 11.40
CD-4   Win (7/8/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $11.18  
CD-5   Win (10/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $3.54 $3.54  
CD-6   Win (4/8/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $6.60 $6.60  
CD-7   Win (2/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $6.04 $6.04  
CD-8   Win (6/4/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.48 $5.48  
CD-9   Win (2/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $12.36  
CD-10   Win (1/4/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $18.60 $18.60 10.60

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   10/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:214 :443 :57     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEACH BUNNY 1 4 1½ 1½   1½ 1 (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 122 4.00 5.80  
MINK STOLE 4 5 2½ 2½   2½ 2 (arnold george )MONCADA IRVING 115 6.00 5% 19.00 4.93 P
STARCOURT 5 1 53 44   3 3 (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.50 3.19  
AVALON GIRL 2 6 4 6   4 47 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 2.15  
INVENTING ANNA 6 3 6 5   5 511 (medina robe)TORRES A 124 6.00 14% 5.90 8.03  
MATERIAL WITNESS 3 2 3½ 3   67 619 (atras rob)TORRES A 124 2.50 43% 1.30 3.33  
SCR  FOUR THE GIRLS               (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00    
 
CD-2   10/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 ALL PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:121 1:252   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN CITY 5 8 6 4 3½ 1½ 1½ (desormeaux j )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.50 5% 19.00 5.08 W
DOWN THE ISLANDS 1 5 3 3 41 2½ 2½ (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 28% 2.50 1.49 P
NOBLE REIGN 7 7 9 9 53 4 3 (milligan ed)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 8.52 S
MORALLY 6 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 32 4 (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 4.50 5.33  
BEGFORFORGIVENESS 8 9 8 5 7 66 5 (cano muno)TORRES A 119 20.00 37.31  
BEST DRESSED MAN 2 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 54 610 (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 34.74  
FINANCIAL WHIZ 4 3 7 6 6 76 712¼ (hamilton sarah)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00 16.27  
SUPER SMOOTH 3 4 42 7 8 818 841 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 44.99  
VSOP 9 6 5 8 9 925 995 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.00 44% 1.30 2.98  
 
CD-3   10/31/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:221 :45 1:094     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROWDY RIOT 6 3 31 2nk   11 11 (morse l)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 5% 19.00 7.70 W
TOP GUN ROCKET 3 6 69 68   4 21 (mott riley)TORRES A 122 2.50 24% 3.20 3.11 P
I'M MCDREAMY 4 1 2½ 1nk   21 3 (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.50 4.77  
HOP SING 2 4 4 42   3 4 (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 48% 1.10 1.25  
MOMENTUM FILES 5 2 52 57   6 510½ (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 6.02  
INTO PLEASURE 1 5 1½ 3   5 613¼ (lynch brian )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 9.37  
SCR  LORD NARCISSE               (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 12.00    
SCR  PARTYVICIOUS               (west m)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00    
 
CD-4   10/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:211 :444 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANTIQUE SILVER 6 1 5 41   2nk 13 (jacobson dav)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 4.59  
GOURMET 7 2 3½ 1nk   1nk 23 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 42% 1.40 3.33 P
EDGE OF TOWN 3 8 66 7   6 3 (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 10.90  
TROTTER 4 7 7 65   4 46 (west m)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
FANCY FASCINATOR 2 6 1nk 2nk   3 5 (moger jr)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 9.21  
END OF INNOCENCE 1 5 2nk 3½   55 612 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 4.00 3.76  
SISTER ELLA 5 3 8 8   78 713 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 15.54  
HOUSE OF MAGIC 8 4 41 5   810½ 821 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 3.00 35% 1.90 3.80  
 
CD-5   10/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:213 :442 :563     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  RAGING 6 2 2½ 2nk   2½ 1¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 32% 2.10 0.77 W
PROTEGE 2 3 1½ 1nk   1½ 2¼ (hancock joh)LEPAROUX R 121 3.50 25% 3.10 3.05 P
RIVER RIDGE 1 6 42 45   5 3 (cline robert)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 9.40 S
ROCKETEIGHTYEIGHT 4 5 32 33   34 4 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 5.90  
JAMMIN JUSTICE 5 1 5 5   4 5 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 25.44  
PROFESSOR HIGGINS 3 7 64 6   68 610¼ (poulos dee)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00 13% 6.50 27.14  
11  COACH CAMPBELL 7 4 7 7   710½ 714 (desormeaux j )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00 10.48  
SCR  CRUISIN AND BOOZIN               (jarvis kathy)MOJICA JR 118 20.00    
SCR  MR MCGREGOR               (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00    
SCR  READIER               (lightner mary)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 6.00    
SCR  TRIPLE TREA               (walsh brendan )MONCADA IRVING 111 6.00    
 
CD-6   10/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:102 1:23   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUR PLAYER 6 6 31 32 1nk 1½ 1 (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 18% 4.50 2.30 W
NYQUIST FREQUENCY 5 5 2nk 2½ 2nk 2½ 2 (blair jorda)TORRES A 120 12.00 11.57  
IT'S MY LIFE 4 4 1nk 1½ 3½ 3½ 3 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 16% 5.10 5.96 S
GOOD LORD 2 2 5 5 5 45 410½ (amoss m)TORRES A 120 4.00 39% 1.50 2.02  
EL MAGNIFICO 1 3 42 42 4 5 511¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 6.00 5.22  
BIG SALT LICK 3 1 6 6 6 69 617 (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 124 8.00 5% 19.00 7.55  
MAGNIFICENT RAGS 7 7 78 710¼ 711¼ 712½ 719½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 11.66  
SCR  MOUNT KISCO               (howell jessica)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 30.00    
SCR  PADIDDLE               (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.00    
 
CD-7   10/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:213 :45 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUNTRESS FOR HIRE 2 5 31 31   31 11 (stall albert)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 30% 2.30 2.02 W
UNDERCOVER 6 1 21 2nk   2½ 21 (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 15% 5.80 4.49 P
BRUNCH PUNCH 1 6 11 1nk   1½ 3 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.60 30% 2.30 1.42 S
FLOORED 4 4 7 76   56 48 (oliver victor)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00 31.11  
JE SUIS RAPIDE 7 2 6 4   4 58 (king l)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 32.33  
CANDY LOVER 3 7 5 65   7 612 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 4.89  
OUR KEEPSAKE 5 3 4 5   66 713¾ (lukas wayne)TORRES A 118 8.00 16.83  
 
CD-8   10/31/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:113 1:364   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMING OF MO 3 2 32 4 3 14 14 (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 2.50 59% 0.70 1.74 W
SANCTIFY 5 6 5 57 54 24 24 (holsapple hutch)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 4.82 P
SCHOOL DANCE 4 3 4 31 21 4 3 (damato philip)VAZQUEZ A 122 15.00 7.84  
MOVIN' ON UP 2 1 1 11 11 3 4 (joseph saff)TORRES A 118 3.00 16% 5.10 1.15  
EMBRACE ME 1 4 610 612 612 614 519¼ (rutledge la)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 30.00 5% 19.00 34.50  
10  HIDDEN CLASS 6 5 2 21 4 513½ 623½ (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 20.00 13.12  
SCR  AMBER CASCADE               (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00    
SCR  BREEZING ALONG               (meah m)ROMAN A 120 20.00    
SCR  DAZZLIN' DICTATOR               (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
SCR  INFINITE DIAMOND               (biancone pat)ASMUSSEN J 122 6.00    
SCR  MALLEYMOO               (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00    
SCR  QUEEN LECA (URU)               (lobo h)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00    
 
CD-9   10/31/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:13 1:374   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNT DRACULA 8 2 2nk 2½ 1nk 12 1½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 5.18  
MIKEALICIOUS 4 6 4 5 3 22 2½ (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 10.00 16.29  
BOURBON'S FAULT 5 1 1nk 1½ 2nk 3 33 (stewart dallas)LANERIE J 118 5.00 7% 12.70 4.01 S
REDEMPTION TIME 6 8 3 3 5 4 46 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 16% 5.20 4.13  
GAMBLERS TAIL 3 3 6 6 6 56 58 (jacobson david)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 8.50  
HOLLYWOOD ENDING 2 5 8 8 7 67 6 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.50 46% 1.20 2.76  
METALHEAD 7 7 5 4 4 7 723½ (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 4.86  
DYNAMIS (IRE) 1 4 7 7 8 813 825½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 15.00 16.50  
SCR  CONTEMPLATION               (stidham mic)TORRES A 118 12.00    
SCR  MANDATORY MEETING               (blair jordan)TORRES A 118 15.00    
 
CD-10   10/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:213 :454 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS TIFEYE 3 3 43 5   1½ 15 (baker james)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 18% 4.70 8.30 W
RANCH LIFE 2 7 811 8   65 25 (douaihy michel)ROMAN A 119 20.00 43.22  
DINAHS GIRL 6 2 3 3½   2½ 3 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 4.50 16% 5.10 2.14 S
10  LOTTA LISSA 8 8 5 41   32 4 (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 112 12.00 6.77  
JOYFUL PURSUIT 7 6 6 7   8 5 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.71  
MOR LUCK 4 4 79 6   7 610 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 4.88  
FREE PASSAGE 5 1 2 2½   5 719¼ (galindo-torres )CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 50.30  
LA BUKANA 1 5 1 1½   4 851¾ (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.00 45% 1.20 2.15  
SCR  MAX'S REDEMPTION               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.00    
SCR  SHANETT               (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.