Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - September 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (5/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $11.00 $3.00 38%
    EXA (5/2/7/4)-(5/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-5 $32.75 $20.75 173%
BAQ-4   WIN (5/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $9.50 $1.50 19%
    DD (8/3)-(5/8/6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00  8-5 $10.80 $2.80 35%
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   09/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:221 :452 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TYRONA 1 5 43 55   32½ 11¼ (schultz linds)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 19% 4.40 4.50 W
5  SHESALITTLE EDGY 5 3 11½ 12½   12½ 21¼ (rodrigu)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 4.50 26% 2.80 4.00 P
3  JACKIE THE JOKER 3 4 21½ 22½   22½ 31¼ (potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00 8.50  
8  AWESOME ANNMARIE 9 2 53 43   43 44 (jacobson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 5.00 7.90  
4  TOSCONOVA BEAUTY 4 7 813 817   812¾ 510¾ (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 10.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
1  CARBON 2 9 915½ 921   913¾ 611 (samsu)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 8.00 10.10  
6  MON PETIT CHOU 6 6 66 711   611¼ 711¼ (toscano t)LUZZI J 121 4.00 7.40  
1A  GRINGOTTS 7 8 77½ 610   712¾ 816½ (samsundar )RIVERA R 121 8.00 10.10  
7  OBRIGADA 8 1 32 32½   511 918½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 17% 5.00 2.35  
 
BAQ-2   09/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC13 SLOPPY Gallant Bloom Purse ($250K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:092     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WAYS AND MEANS 3 2 2½ 2nk   11 14 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 0.60 59% 0.70 0.45 W
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of STRONG INCENTIVE by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
2  NIC'S STYLE 2 3 1½ 1nk   21 24 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 1.60 15% 5.90 2.45 P
  (by UNCAPTURED out of SENSE WHEN by STREET SENSE)
1  STERLING SILVER 1 5 42½ 41½   34 36¾ (mott william )ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 5% 19.00 5.20 S
  (by CUPID out of SHEET HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  HOT FUDGE 5 1 31 31   44 48 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 15.00 21.50  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  PACIFIC ROSE 4 4 52½ 52½   57 516¼ (delgado )SANTANA JR 118 20.00 41.25  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NAPLES ROSE by BERNARDINI)
 
BAQ-3   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:223 :454 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  HURRICANE NELSON 2 1 11½ 11½   11 11¼ (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 58% 0.70 0.70 W
  (by KHOZAN out of FRENCH POLITICS by POLITICAL FORCE)
11  INDEX FUND 4 2 21½ 21½   21 21¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 2.30  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of FANTASY FOREST by FORESTRY)
10  CHOU CHOU D'AVEN (FR) 3 4 44 35½   310 315¼ (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00 12.30  
  (by ALMANZOR out of SAGARIYA by SHAMARDAL)
3  POURQUOI PAS (IRE) 1 3 33 48   414½ 422¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 5% 19.00 3.10  
  (by HARD SPUN out of ESSENTIALLY by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
SCR  PERRETTI (IRE)               (antonacci p)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of WAHEEBAH by CAMELOT)
SCR  SUMMER IN ERIN               (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of ERIN ROSE by PURGE)
SCR  PARTY WITH SMARTY               (gutierrez jam)IORIO MELISSA 124 30.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of GHOST MAGI by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  FATHER DALTON               (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of AMERICIUM by BRILLIANT SPEED)
SCR  WIZARDOFEZ               (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 121 20.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of DEVILSFROSTREPORT by DEVIL HIS DUE)
SCR  BALTHAZAR               (drysdale neil)ROSARIO JOEL 124 12.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  ETERNAL MISCHIEF               (motion graha)ORTIZ L 121 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ETERNAL BOUNTY by GALILEO)
 
BAQ-4   09/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:112     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HATCH (GB) 5 3 2½ 2nk   2nk 1½ (begg jam)SANTANA JR 123 3.50 53% 0.90 3.75 W
9  CLASSIC MARK 9 7 51¼ 4¾   1nk 2½ (sharp j)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 5.00 4.20  
1  HIGH HEAT 1 1 61¼ 51¼   42½ 32½ (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 3.60  
6  AFTERNOON HEAT 6 4 31 3½   32 42¾ (jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50 12% 7.70 8.30  
7  ROCK THE WEEKEND 7 6 41 73¼   76¼ 54¼ (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 123 15.00 22.30  
8  OPTIC WAY 8 2 1½ 1nk   53 67¾ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00 13% 6.70 4.80  
3  PRINCE JAMES 3 8 82 94¼   99¼ 79¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00 ★ 3.70  
4  GOLDINI 4 9 93 83¼   66 810¼ (noda o)GRISALES DANILO 118 20.00 5% 19.00 45.75  
2  PRINCE OF JOY 2 5 71¾ 61¾   87¼ 911½ (legall r)DAVIS A 121 30.00 51.25  
 
BAQ-5   09/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:114 1:244   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
16  ICE TIME 8 4 78 76¾ 52¼ 3½ 11¾ (ferraro james )LUZZI J 124 12.00 11.20  
2  FRIZZANTE 2 5 2½ 2½ 2nk 1½ 21¾ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 6% 14.90 4.30 P
5  AZ U CHASE ME 3 8 62½ 42 31½ 42 33½ (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00 6.20  
1  WILLINTORISKITALL 1 6 1½ 1½ 1nk 2½ 44 (d'angelo jose )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 42% 1.40 2.35  
15  UNCORRELATED 7 1 3½ 3½ 41¾ 54½ 59 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 25% 3.00 1.65  
9  MASTERWORK 4 7 52 62¾ 63¼ 66 612¼ (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 122 50.00 40.75  
11  UNION EXPRESS 5 3 813 821¾ 821¼ 817 721¾ (toscano )GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 13.10  
12  OFFICER DERICK 6 2 41½ 52¼ 711¼ 716 823¾ (de paz)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00 39.50  
SCR  ADVENTUROUS SPIRIT               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
SCR  BARNSTORMING               (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00    
SCR  DECANTED               (maker mi)SANTANA JR 124 2.50    
SCR  JHIRSCH               (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
SCR  NOW AND LATER               (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 10.00    
SCR  ROYAL BROWNE               (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
SCR  ST. JOE LOUIS (GB)               (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00    
SCR  VINCE THE PRINCE               (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:221 :461 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER SWIFT 1 4 31 32   31 12¼ (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 28% 2.60 2.10 W
  (by VEKOMA out of SUPER MARINA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
12  JOKER ON FIRE 10 3 21 2½   1nk 22¼ (levine b)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 3.55 P
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of FIRE ASSAY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  VEKINDA 3 2 11 1½   2nk 33 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 14.00  
  (by VEKOMA out of VINDA by VINDICATION)
11  SON OF HONOR 9 5 76¼ 57   43½ 44½ (avila juan )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 9.60  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BITACORA by DOMINUS)
5  ARMY PROUD 4 7 55 67   66½ 59¾ (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 4.50 32% 2.10 5.60  
  (by ARMY MULE out of JC'S SHOOTING STAR by MIRACLE MAN)
7  MO KREESA 6 10 1014¾ 913½   79½ 610¼ (dixon li)DAVIS A 119 30.00 23.20  
  (by MO TOWN out of LADY KREESA by STONESIDER)
8  ONE VISION 7 1 41½ 43½   55½ 711¼ (terranova )RIVERA R 119 6.00 20% 4.10 5.80  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SCIENCE FICTION by TALE OF THE CAT)
6  RAGTIME PRANKSTER 5 9 88¾ 710½   811½ 818¾ (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 10.10  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SILLY SISTER by BROKEN VOW)
3  ROCKIBLE 2 6 913¾ 1017½   916½ 920½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 ★ 20.10  
  (by AUDIBLE out of ROCK AVE. ROAD by STREET BOSS)
10  STORMY BIRTHDAY 8 8 65¼ 811½   1018½ 1031¼ (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00 48.00  
  (by GET STORMY out of BIRTHDAY GIFT by HAT TRICK)
SCR  DARE'S EDGE               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of SUCCESSFUL SONG by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SCR  MONSIGNOR O'GRADY               (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of A DIXIE TWISTER by HARD SPUN)
SCR  NYIKOS               (sacco g)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 15.00    
  (by JOEVIA out of ON THE HOP by ARTIE SCHILLER)
SCR  RENEW THE BLUE               (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of CARIBBEAN GIRL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  TAP IT EASY               (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of SMOKIN BREEZE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  WHOLESALE               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50    
  (by VEKOMA out of NICE SMILE by SMILING TIGER)
 
BAQ-7   09/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:12 1:243   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RUSSIAN REALM 5 4 64¼ 63¾ 41¼ 2½ 1½ (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 13% 6.60 2.45 W
9  GET A JOB 9 1 1nk 2nk 2nk 1½ 2½ (asmussen steve)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00 55% 0.80 1.85 P
3  BAD LARRY 3 5 52¼ 31 51¾ 52 32 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 122 10.00 9.70  
4  LIBERTY CENTRAL 4 3 42 41¼ 31 41 42 (quick pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 ★ 3.70  
2  NOONZIO 2 8 2nk 1nk 1nk 31 52¼ (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 7% 12.90 6.20  
6  PROVISION 6 7 88¼ 88¾ 75¼ 65½ 68½ (shivmang)SANTANA JR 122 20.00 37.50  
8  BOYS CODE 8 6 77¾ 75¼ 64¾ 76 79 (dixon li)DAVIS A 122 20.00 5% 19.00 59.25  
1  BOB JOHN RAY 1 9 98¾ 99¾ 811¼ 814 815½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 17.60  
7  CO CONSPIRATOR 7 2 31 51¾ 912¼ 920 943 (jones )GRISALES DANILO 122 50.00 71.75  
 
BAQ-9   09/29/2024 6270ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:13
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:143 1:384   1:57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BOURBON DAY 3 2 21 2½ 2nk 16 17 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 3.85  
3  HAMILTON'S WAY 1 1 31 31½ 31 26 27 (handal raymon)ORTIZ JR 120 15.00 5% 19.00 11.10 P
14  PANDAGATE 4 3 44½ 44½ 41½ 38½ 311½ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 0.80 37% 1.70 0.90 S
16  RUNNIN' RAY 5 4 11 1½ 1nk 410 411½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 26% 2.90 2.05  
5  CLASSIC CREATION 2 5 511 510½ 56 517 526¾ (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 15.40  
SCR  L'ANTHARIS (FR)               (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 4.00    
SCR  LAUREL VALLEY               (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00    
SCR  SPIRIT PRINCE               (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
SCR  STREET READY               (maker mi)SANTANA JR 122 20.00    
SCR  TIFAREEH               (walsh bre)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 12.00    
SCR  HARRY HOOD               (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00    
SCR  GRAY'S FABLE               (stidham mic)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 5.00    
SCR  UNCLECHARLIESGIFT               (zito nicholas )LUZZI J 122 15.00    
SCR  BREES               (mcgaughey )RIVERA R 124 12.00    
SCR  BE LIKE CLINT               (abreu fernand)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
SCR  COPPER MISSILE               (danner kelsey)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.