Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - September 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (5/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-2   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-3   Win (8/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-4   Win (5/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-5   Win (1/15/2/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-6   Win (5/1/8/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-7   Win (9/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-8   Win (3/1/4/7/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-9   Win (14/16/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   09/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARBON Jul20 Feb19 Jan28 Jan05 Dec07 (samsund)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 8.00    
1A  GRINGOTTS Sep15 Aug03 Jul14 Jul05 Jun21 (samsundar ro)RIVERA R 121 8.00    
TYRONA Sep02 Jun26 Apr14 Mar07 Feb02 (schultz lindsay)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 19% 4.40    
JACKIE THE JOKER Aug11 Jul17 Jun22 May09 Apr19 (potts way)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 118 15.00    
TOSCONOVA BEAUTY Aug29 Aug18 Jul28 Jul02 Jun10 (dixon li)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHESALITTLE EDGY Aug29 Jul28 Jun16 May09 Apr19 (rodriguez)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 4.50 26% 2.80    
MON PETIT CHOU Sep15 Aug29 Aug14 Jul25 Apr28 (toscano t)LUZZI J 121 4.00    
OBRIGADA Aug16 Jul17 Jun06 May09 Apr18 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 17% 5.00    
AWESOME ANNMARIE Aug29 Aug14 Jul07 Jun21 May16 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 123 5.00    
 
BAQ-2   09/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC13 SLOPPY Gallant Bloom Purse ($250K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STERLING SILVER Aug07 Jul24 Jun23 May04 Apr06 (mott i)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
NIC'S STYLE Aug17 Dec09 May05     (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 1.60 15% 5.90    
WAYS AND MEANS Aug03 Jun06 May03 Mar30 Sep03 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 0.60 59% 0.70    
PACIFIC ROSE Sep01 Jul26 Jun28 Mar09 Feb16 (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
HOT FUDGE Jul31 Jun15 May18 Apr06 Mar09 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 15.00    
 
BAQ-3   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BALTHAZAR Sep08 Aug23 Jun09 May04 Mar09 (drysdale neil)ROSARIO JOEL 124 12.00    
SCR  PARTY WITH SMARTY Sep19 Sep02 Apr21 Apr11 Mar09 (gutierrez james)IORIO MELISSA 124 30.00    
POURQUOI PAS (IRE) Feb21         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PERRETTI (IRE)         (antonacci phi)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00    
SCR  WIZARDOFEZ Jul07 May22       (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 121 20.00    
SCR  ETERNAL MISCHIEF         (motion graham)ORTIZ L 121 6.00    
SCR  SUMMER IN ERIN Aug29         (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00    
HURRICANE NELSON Sep01 Aug10 Jul13 Oct21 Sep16 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 58% 0.70    
SCR  FATHER DALTON         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00    
10  CHOU CHOU D'AVEN         (mcpeek g)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00    
11  INDEX FUND Aug04 Nov19       (brown c)RIDER TBA 124 3.00    
 
BAQ-4   09/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH HEAT Sep15 Sep02 Jul19 Jun23 May19 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00    
PRINCE OF JOY Sep14 Aug10 Jul12 May25 May17 (legall ric)DAVIS A 121 30.00    
PRINCE JAMES Sep01 Jul31 Jun29 May27 Apr27 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00    
GOLDINI Sep14 Aug21 Jul31 Jun29 May11 (noda orla)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
HATCH (GB) Aug29 Jul31 Jun29 Apr11 Mar09 (begg james)SANTANA JR 123 3.50 53% 0.90    
AFTERNOON HEAT Sep21 Aug29 Jul26 Jul07 Jun27 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 121 4.50 12% 7.70    
ROCK THE WEEKEND Jul26 Jun28 May12 Mar24 Feb24 (shivmangal lolita)DAVIS KATIE 123 15.00    
OPTIC WAY Aug21 Jul19 Jun28 Mar30 Mar16 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00 13% 6.70    
CLASSIC MARK Sep01 Aug15 Jul26 Jun21 Dec10 (sharp joe)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 5.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLINTORISKITALL Aug24 Jul27 Jun29 May27 Sep17 (d'angelo fr)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
FRIZZANTE Aug16 Jul04 Jun23 May22 Apr21 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 6% 14.90    
SCR  ST. JOE LOUIS (GB) Aug31 Aug04 Jun14 Mar24 Feb25 (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00    
SCR  ROYAL BROWNE Jul26 Jun14 May18     (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
AZ U CHASE ME Aug02 Jun29 Jun09 Mar23 Feb24 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00    
SCR  BARNSTORMING Aug23 Jul14 Jun28 May27 May09 (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00    
SCR  ADVENTUROUS SPIRIT Sep01 Jun02 May04 Sep03 Aug06 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
SCR  VINCE THE PRINCE Jul14 Oct05 Jul26 Jun18 Jun01 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
MASTERWORK Sep01 Jul25 Apr25 Mar02 Jan12 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 122 50.00    
SCR  DECANTED Sep05 Aug18 Jun30 May31 Apr24 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 124 2.50    
11  UNION EXPRESS Aug23 Jul24 Jun14 Apr20 Mar03 (toscano t)LUZZI J 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  OFFICER DERICK Aug04 Jun29 Mar08 Feb03 Jan14 (de h)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
SCR  NOW AND LATER Sep12 Aug04 Jun14 Apr17 Feb02 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 10.00    
SCR  JHIRSCH Sep14 Aug02 Jun29 May25 Apr06 (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
15  UNCORRELATED Mar04 Jan06       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
16  ICE TIME Sep01 Jul21 May18 Apr24 Nov29 (ferraro w)LUZZI J 124 12.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER SWIFT         (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
MONSIGNOR O'GRADY         (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00    
ROCKIBLE         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
VEKINDA         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00    
ARMY PROUD Aug16 Jul24       (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 4.50 32% 2.10    
RAGTIME PRANKSTER         (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00    
MO KREESA         (dixon lind)DAVIS A 119 30.00    
ONE VISION Sep02 Aug16       (terranova jo)RIVERA R 119 6.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  DARE'S EDGE         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
10  STORMY BIRTHDAY Aug16         (ribaudo )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00    
11  SON OF HONOR Aug16         (avila ca)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00    
12  JOKER ON FIRE Aug21 Jul19       (levine bru)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TAP IT EASY         (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
SCR  RENEW THE BLUE         (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
SCR  NYIKOS         (sacco gre)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 15.00    
SCR  WHOLESALE         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50    
 
BAQ-7   09/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOB JOHN RAY Aug29 Jul31 May25 Apr13 Feb25 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
NOONZIO Aug29 Jul27       (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 7% 12.90    
BAD LARRY Aug29 Jul31 Jul20 Jun29 Jun09 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 122 10.00    
LIBERTY CENTRAL Aug25 Aug16 Mar24 Feb25 Feb03 (quick patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00    
RUSSIAN REALM Aug15 Jun29 May11 Mar24   (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 13% 6.60    
PROVISION Aug29 Jul31 Jun20 Apr28 Mar22 (shivmangal)SANTANA JR 122 20.00    
CO CONSPIRATOR Sep14 Jul19 Jun29 Jun21 May27 (jones ed)GRISALES DANILO 122 50.00    
BOYS CODE Aug29 Jul31 Jun29 May25 May02 (dixon lind)DAVIS A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
GET A JOB Aug28 Aug08       (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 120 2.00 55% 0.80    
 
BAQ-8   09/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC13 SLOPPY Miss Grillo Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 4:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIRGIN COLADA Aug28 Jul21       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
ANNIE GOODBODY Aug22 Jul18       (reynolds)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
MAY DAY READY Sep08 Aug04       (lee joseph)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
CORRETO Sep01         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 5.00 17% 4.80    
GRACE AND GRIT Sep13         (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
GOOD CONDUCT Aug23 Jul18       (devaux che)SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
SHIFTY Aug23 Jul04       (casse mark)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
OPULENT RESTRAINT (IRE) Sep01 Jul28       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
MARVELOUS MADISON Sep02         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
10  SALT Aug23 Jul20 Jun29     (attard kevin)LEZCANO JOSE 120 30.00    
11  SCYTHIAN Aug30 Aug04       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
12  RARE ART Aug23 Jul21       (dutrow w)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
13  POOKIE Aug23         (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 118 30.00    
 
BAQ-9   09/29/2024 6270ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPIRIT PRINCE Aug24 Jul08 Jun07 Nov19 Oct28 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
SCR  TIFAREEH Aug24 Jul27 Jun07 May11 Feb10 (walsh brend)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 12.00    
HAMILTON'S WAY Sep01 Jul26 May26 Apr24 Mar09 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BREES Aug23 Jul04 Apr25 Mar10 Jan04 (mcgaughey cl)RIVERA R 124 12.00    
CLASSIC CREATION Aug23 Jul12 Apr14 Feb17 Jan06 (terranova p)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00    
SCR  COPPER MISSILE Sep01 Jul06 Jun02 Apr26 Oct26 (danner kelsey)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00    
SCR  STREET READY Aug18 Jul24 Mar30 Feb29 Dec23 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 122 20.00    
BOURBON DAY Jul24 Jun04 May13 Mar10 Feb08 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50    
SCR  L'ANTHARIS (FR) Jul26         (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 4.00    
SCR  BE LIKE CLINT Aug23 Jul26 Jul04 May27 Apr27 (abreu fernando)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
SCR  LAUREL VALLEY Aug31 Aug17 Jul28 Jun20 May03 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00    
SCR  HARRY HOOD Aug23 Jul26 Jun16 May11 Mar30 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00    
SCR  GRAY'S FABLE Jul06 Jun19 May18 Apr20 Nov05 (stidham micha)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 5.00    
14  PANDAGATE Aug25 Jul15 Feb25 Dec09 Oct13 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 0.80 37% 1.70    
SCR  UNCLECHARLIESGIFT Sep01 Aug07 Jul12 Oct16 Sep18 (zito p)LUZZI J 122 15.00    
16  RUNNIN' RAY Aug21 Jun28 May31 Jan14 Nov13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.