Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - September 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $10.00 $4.00 67%
BAQ-3   TRI (1/4)-(1/2/4/3)-(1/2/4/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00  1-2-4 $7.50 $1.50 25%
    SFT (1/4)-(1/2/4/3)-(1/2/4/3)-(1/2/4/3) 12 $0.10 $1.20  1-2-4-3 $2.67 $1.47 123%
BAQ-4   WIN (1/8/3/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $10.60 $0.60 6%
    EXA (1/8/3/7/6)-(1/8/3/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-1 $25.50 $5.50 28%
BAQ-5   DD (1/8/3/7/6)-(9/4/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-9 $37.25 $17.25 86%
    PK3 (1/4)-(1/8/3/7/6)-(9/4/6/3) 40 $1.00 $40.00  1-3-9 $58.50 $18.50 46%
BAQ-6   WIN (9/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $10.80 $2.80 35%
    EXA (9/8/2/4)-(9/8/2/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  2-3 $45.75 $29.75 186%
    DD (9/4/6/3)-(9/8/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  9-2 $33.25 $17.25 108%
    PK3 (1/8/3/7/6)-(9/4/6/3)-(9/8/2/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00  3-9-2 $263.00 $183.00 229%
    PK4 (1/4)-(1/8/3/7/6)-(9/4/6/3)-(9/8/2/4) 160 $0.50 $80.00  1-3-2/9-2 $249.25 $169.25 212%
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   09/19/2024 13200ft TURF RC14 FIRM Lonesome Glory Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
4:452         4:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FREDDY FLINTSHIRE 4 32 33½ 42½ 31½ 11 11 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 154 3.00 26% 2.90 4.00 W
  (by UNKNOWN out of AMURMAR by GALILEO (ARG))
7  L'IMPERATOR (FR) 5 43½ 45½ 54 52½ 42 21 (kingsley ar)GALLIGAN GERARD 158 1.80 1.60  
  (by UNKNOWN out of LA JOIE by MONTJEU (IRE))
1  HIDDEN PATH 1 54½ 57½ 32 42 21 33 (hendriks r)BESWICK HARRISON 140 10.00 5% 19.00 5.60 S
  (by HARD SPUN out of LOTS O' LEX by KITALPHA)
3  EVIE'S PRINCE 2 1½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 32 411¼ (morris neil )WATTERS GRAHAM 144 4.50 36% 1.80 1.60  
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of OWL MOON by GHOSTZAPPER)
5  GOING COUNTRY (IRE) 3 2½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 54 516 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 146 6.00 11.70  
  (by UNKNOWN out of FRANKLY NATIVE by BE MY NATIVE)
SCR  WELSHMAN               (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 152 4.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of UNFORGIVING by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  WESTERLAND (GB)               (neilson kath)DALTON BERNARD 140 20.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
BAQ-2   09/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:38
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:111     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LITTLE VIC 3 1 2nk 2nk   12 11½ (avila ca)ORTIZ JR 123 6.00 6.90  
2  SHERIFF BIANCO 1 2 43 42   22 21½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50 15% 5.50 6.50 P
3  RUNNINSONOFAGUN 2 6 74½ 55   33 31½ (toscano t)ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00 7% 13.20 14.00 S
6  FACTUALLY CORRECT 7 4 31½ 31½   43 46 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 2.50 35% 1.90 3.95  
7  DISARMED 8 3 1nk 1nk   53¼ 58¾ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00 12.20  
1  DURANTE 4 7 53½ 66   611¼ 618¾ (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 16% 5.40 2.25  
5  TWENTY FOUR MAMBA 6 5 64 76½   717¼ 730½ (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00 2.50  
1A  STAGE LEFT 5 8 8100 8100   8100 8100 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 3.00 ★ 2.25  
 
BAQ-3   09/19/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:111 1:343   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PASSIVE MANAGEMENT (GB) 8 6 21 22 21 13 11 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 0.60 71% 0.40 0.45 W
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  STOP THE PRESS 1 2 64 56 63¾ 34 21 (mcgaughey cla)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 ★ 6.60 P
  (by UNCLE MO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  MR FLOWERS 3 1 33 34½ 32½ 23 31 (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 12.60 S
  (by NYQUIST out of MISSOURIA by BELLAMY ROAD)
3  GUN BARREL CITY 2 3 88 87 74¾ 46 44¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 ★ 2.70  
  (by FRANKEL out of MRS MCDOUGAL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
1  TAKE YOUR SEATS (IRE) 6 7 75 66½ 53½ 68½ 57 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.60 0.45  
  (by TOO DARN HOT out of TARAYEF by TEOFILO)
5  PARTY WITH SMARTY 4 8 43½ 45½ 42½ 58 68½ (gutierrez jam)IORIO MELISSA 124 20.00 42.00  
  (by SMARTY JONES out of GHOST MAGI by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  FIRST TRUMPET 7 5 11 12 11 710½ 716½ (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 50.00 82.25  
  (by CARPE DIEM out of APPEALING IVY by MINESHAFT)
6  LCGOLUCKY 5 4 54 77 89¼ 820½ 824 (ferraro)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 50.00 97.50  
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of ZAPLICIOUS by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
BAQ-4   09/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:133 1:262   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ST ANDREWS 1 8 84 52½ 41½ 11 13 (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 17% 5.10 4.30 W
1  CELESTIAL GLAZE 2 1 42 42 51¾ 31½ 23 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 32% 2.10 3.70 P
5  SKYLANDER 4 3 52½ 31 1nk 21 36 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 2.80  
7  EMPTY TOMB 6 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 41½ 49 (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00 6% 15.20 4.30  
1A  KHAFRE 7 7 74 62½ 64¼ 65½ 516 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 122 5.00 3.70  
4  ROCCO STRONG 3 2 1½ 1½ 3½ 54½ 617¾ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 5.30  
8  NIMITZ CLASS 9 10 1014½ 1016¾ 1016¼ 1014 721¾ (weaver george)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.50 22% 3.60 9.10  
2  BARESE 8 5 31½ 83¾ 98¼ 89½ 822 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00 29.00  
9  ALTERNATE REALITY 10 6 63½ 72¾ 74¼ 77½ 923¼ (chatterpaul nai)CANCEL ERIC 124 15.00 27.75  
6  PERFECT FLIGHT 5 9 98 97¾ 87¼ 910 1027 (shivmang)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 30.00 5% 19.00 44.25  
SCR  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT               (kantarmaci ilk)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:141 1:271   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SAVE US MELANIA 8 1 11 11½ 11 13½ 15 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 47% 1.10 2.55 W
1  PRINCESS BECCA 1 4 31½ 21½ 21 23½ 25 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 3.30  
4  BOBBY JEAN 3 7 62¾ 44 49 412 313 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50 17% 4.80 3.40 S
5  ELLIPTIC (IRE) 4 5 52½ 54 38 312 417½ (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00 3.85  
6  DUCKPHAT 5 8 813¾ 815½ 821 618¾ 519¾ (corrao james)LUZZI J 122 12.00 7% 13.90 10.50  
3  MOONLIT WEEKEND 2 6 42½ 66 617½ 518½ 623 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 29.50  
7  THORNY 6 2 73¾ 76½ 515 725¾ 743¾ (antonu)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00 50.25  
8  DESTINE TO RACE 7 3 21 32½ 720½ 840¾ 8100 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 8.00  
SCR  LA VITA SOFIA               (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50    
 
BAQ-6   09/19/2024 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:223 :453 :571     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MAZZEI 2 7 74 43½   41½ 1¾ (bond kevin)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00 11% 7.80 4.40 W
3  PRICE IS TRUTH 3 5 31½ 32   31 2¾ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00 ★ 5.10 P
7  STARSINTHECITY 7 4 42½ 53¾   53 31¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 6.20  
9  MY LIFE STORY 9 2 21 2nk   1½ 41½ (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 39% 1.60 3.10  
6  AWESOME FORCE 6 3 11 1nk   2½ 53½ (diprima gregor)LUZZI J 124 15.00 18.00  
1  JIM BOB 1 9 99 98¼   66½ 64 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00 9.70  
5  SEVENTH RACE SHAKE 5 8 87 87¾   87 74½ (englehart )RIVERA R 121 20.00 38.50  
8  EGYPTIAN QUEST 8 1 53½ 65¼   76½ 86¼ (crook-demasi )ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 23% 3.30 2.75  
4  BRACA 4 6 64 77¼   97½ 97¾ (barrer)GRISALES DANILO 121 15.00 5% 19.00 33.75  
SCR  BIG EGO               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 121 2.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:13
See original race card.
:222 :48       1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BORN DANCER 9 7 21 21½ 2nk 1nk 1¼ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.00 2.70  
4  FEATHERS ROAD 4 5 32 32½ 41½ 2nk 2¼ (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 122 15.00 5% 19.00 12.10 P
11  KICK A BUCK 10 10 74½ 95¾ 83¾ 72¼ 31¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 6.70  
5  MODICA 5 6 53 64¼ 52½ 3½ 41¼ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 12% 7.00 5.60  
2  FRONT MAN 2 1 106¼ 127½ 115¼ 61¾ 51½ (kantarmaci ilk)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 28% 2.50 5.70  
9  HEATHGUARD 8 12 95¾ 52¾ 3½ 41 61½ (lerman roy)RIVERA R 122 15.00 22.10  
6  OUR COUNTRY 6 11 117¼ 106 93¾ 83¾ 73½ (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 32% 2.10 4.20  
7  MORE VINO 7 4 11 11½ 1nk 51¼ 85¼ (gober)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 30.00 5% 19.00 34.00  
12  SCAT TU TAP 11 8 63½ 84¾ 63 94¾ 95¼ (abreu fernando)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 11.20  
1  MR. MENDELSSOHN 1 2 127¼ 117 125½ 105¾ 107 (toscano t)LUZZI J 122 20.00 55.50  
3  GHOSTLYPRINCE 3 3 85½ 42½ 73¼ 116¼ 118½ (rodrig)GRISALES DANILO 122 12.00 40.25  
13  SUGAR GRAY LEONARD 12 9 42 74¼ 104¾ 128¾ 129½ (sciacca gary)LEZCANO JOSE 122 15.00 29.25  
SCR  ANDY CANT               (barrera s)RIDER TBA 122 6.00    
SCR  EMIRATES ROAD               (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.60    
SCR  TREATY OBLIGATION               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 122 2.50    
SCR  YOUR MISSION               (bernardini ju)SILVERA RUBEN 122 30.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:224 :471 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  A MAIZE ZING DOTIE 5 3 22 1nk   1nk 12½ (englehart chr)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 20% 4.10 2.30 W
2  FIRST CLASS CAT 2 5 68 66½   45 22½ (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00 3.95  
8  MYBRONXBABY 7 2 12 2nk   2nk 32½ (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 5.00 42% 1.40 3.85 S
3  STARRY MIDNIGHT 3 7 811½ 810   88¾ 44½ (ferraro james )LUZZI J 121 50.00 86.75  
9  CAROL T 8 4 45 32½   34 55¼ (jimenez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
4  FABULOUS FOX 4 1 33 44   55¼ 66½ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 7.40  
1  BIG HAZEL 1 6 78 77   66¾ 77 (donk david)RIVERA R 121 15.00 31.00  
6  FLIGHT CONTROL 6 8 56½ 56   78¼ 817¾ (klesaris rober)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50 16% 5.20 3.85  
SCR  BETTER HUMOR ME               (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00    
 
BAQ-9   09/19/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:224 :461 :571     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MIRIAM'S FIRE (GB) 4 2 11 11   11½ 1¼ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 20.60  
  (by SHOWCASING out of LIGHT MY FIRE by DRAGON PULSE)
2  PANACHE 2 5 32 31½   21½ 2¼ (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 14.70  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MOJO MAMA by TAPITURE)
3  BOSSY PANTS 3 8 85½ 42½   43½ 32¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 15.20 S
  (by MUNNINGS out of QUEEN MUM by PAYNTER)
5  BOURBON MILK PUNCH 5 1 21 21   33½ 42¾ (sisterson jack)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 20% 4.00 1.45  
  (by UNCLE MO out of COMPELLED by WAR FRONT)
1  BANNER EIGHTEEN (FR) 1 6 63½ 52½   57 55¾ (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 14.20  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  EVERY VOTE COUNTS (GB) 6 4 52½ 84½   79½ 67½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 34% 2.00 4.40  
  (by PINATUBO out of SPARKLE ROLL by KINGMAN)
7  SILENT DREAMER 7 7 74 74   68½ 78¼ (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 ★ 9.60  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CELESTINE by SCAT DADDY)
9  YESTERDAY (IRE) 8 3 42 63   813½ 814½ (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 2.65  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of ESSENTIAL ROSE by BERNARDINI)
SCR  PRETTY LIZA               (rodriguez)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 10.00 20% 4.10    
  (by KANTHAROS out of AMURMAR by GALILEO (ARG))
SCR  SPORTING LADY               (devaux cherie)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SECURELY by UNCLE MO)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.