Handicappers' Race Results
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Keeneland
Saturday - October 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (2/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $7.16 $7.16  
KEE-2   Win (9/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $5.74 $5.74  
KEE-3   Win (10/5/2/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $4.32 $4.32  
KEE-4   Win (7/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
KEE-5   Win (10/9/2/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $10.30 $10.30 0.30
KEE-6   Win (4/10/7/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $11.28  
KEE-7   Win (5/3/6/1/14) 5 $2.00 $10.00 14 1 1 $58.16 $58.16 48.16
KEE-8   Win (3/10/1/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $7.86 $7.86  
KEE-9   Win (5/3/4/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $4.50 $4.50  
KEE-10   Win (3/6/10/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $11.92  
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($79K) 2 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:222 :46 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  KEYANA 2 1 12 12   13 14¾ (leitch dan)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50 46% 1.20 2.58 W
3  LIL BREEZZY 3 9 53¾ 54   54½ 24¾ (englehart jer)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 ★ 4.99 P
1  MIMI'S GRACE 1 8 43½ 44   44½ 35 (shirer a)TORRES A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 8.85 S
4  LOVELY WORDS 4 3 22 33   33½ 45 (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 9.18  
6  WISCONSIN GAL 5 7 32 22   23 55¼ (mcentee pau)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 2.50 24% 3.10 1.53  
7  MOOCHIE GIRL 6 6 98¼ 711   611 611¼ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 6% 16.70 10.99  
9  LASKO LADY 8 5 76¼ 811¼   812½ 717 (vance thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 10.00 49.93  
10  MY BOSSY LADY 9 4 64¾ 610   712 817¼ (mckeever andr)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 28.28  
8  PRINCESA STARLET 7 2 86¼ 915¾   919½ 932 (mendieta alejandro )HESS SARA 112 30.00 75.78  
SCR  SHANETT               (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00    
 
KEE-2   10/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:221 :46 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  AWESOME ANNMARIE 7 3 22 1½   13 15¼ (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 23% 3.30 1.87 W
2  STAND BY YOU 2 6 66½ 44½   34½ 25¼ (watkins jame)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.50 16% 5.20 3.96 P
1  TELL ME WHEN 1 1 12 2½   23 311¼ (andrade hugo)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 1.90  
5  LI'L MISS CAMILLE 3 2 32½ 33   46½ 412¾ (mendieta alejandro )HESS SARA 114 30.00 20.12  
7  RUVIES IN TIME 5 5 56½ 67   69½ 514¾ (reed r)BEJARANO R 121 10.00 21.46  
6  POSH PLAYDAY 4 7 79½ 79   710½ 616 (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00 7% 13.60 21.03  
8  ALWAYS SMILING 6 4 44½ 54½   58½ 717½ (williams matt)CHUAN MARTIN 121 2.00 19% 4.10 5.25  
SCR  ABITIBI               (esquivel jesu)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 10.00    
SCR  LIL TOWN SIS               (forster t)ORTIZ L 121 12.00    
 
KEE-3   10/19/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:212 :452 :572     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HIT THAT REVIEW (IRE) 5 2 32 31½   21 13 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 24% 3.20 1.16 W
2  RESTORE (FR) 2 4 1½ 1nk   11 23 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 21% 3.80 5.91 P
4  ORNATO 4 3 2½ 2nk   31 33¾ (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 5% 19.00 39.45 S
3  UNLOCK YOUR HEART 3 9 73¾ 85¼   64¼ 44¼ (sims a)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 29.42  
10  CARIBBEAN WIND 10 1 63¼ 53¼   43½ 54¼ (ward a)ORTIZ JR 116 2.00 31% 2.30 2.32  
6  FLING READY 6 10 42 43   54 65¾ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 5% 19.00 45.28  
9  ONE IMPROBABLE 9 12 85¾ 75¼   75¼ 76 (black kenneth )LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00 99.45  
11  INVISIBLE 11 11 116½ 117   118¾ 88¼ (orseno joseph)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00 53.96  
12  SHARP SWINGER 12 6 95¾ 95½   97¼ 98¾ (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 15.00 27.49  
1  ZUN REYDER 1 5 106 106½   107¾ 1010¼ (nihei michel)CORRALES GERARDO 119 30.00 78.69  
7  EL OSO 7 8 53 63¾   86¾ 1110½ (rivera tirso)AYALA ISAIAS 119 30.00 ######  
8  JACK'S PROMISE 8 7 128 129½   1211¼ 1213¼ (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 7.43  
SCR  GALANTINI               (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
SCR  GRAYDARIA               (ennis john)LEONARD KILLIAN 119 20.00    
SCR  POPPA ECHO               (milligan ed)TORRES A 119 15.00    
SCR  SWEET LA CREMA               (compton gre)TORRES A 119 20.00    
 
KEE-4   10/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:12 1:384   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AUTHENTIC STRIKE 3 1 1½ 11½ 13½ 17 110 (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 24% 3.20 1.40 W
6  LOOK TO THE CROSS 6 6 711½ 713 68½ 38 210 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00 5% 19.00 12.52 P
7  JACK'S TIME 7 2 32½ 33 34½ 27 311½ (von kelly)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.60 30% 2.30 1.98 S
1  RIGHTEOUS STAR 1 3 57½ 59 79 512½ 414¾ (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 26.67  
2  ROBERT'S MOON 2 7 69 69½ 56 410½ 516¾ (antonucci jena)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00 47.78  
5  GLOBAL LEGEND 5 5 44½ 44 23½ 615 635 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 3.43  
4  THRILLA 4 4 2½ 21½ 45 718½ 736 (desormeaux j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 19% 4.40 10.98  
 
KEE-5   10/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($77K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:22 :461 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  UNCLE WILLIAM 8 5 1½ 11   12½ 13¼ (guida e)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.50 13% 6.70 4.15 W
1  BLUE LINE 1 1 2½ 31½   22½ 23¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 8.00 5% 19.00 16.40 P
5  SHORTSTOP 4 2 53 53   56 35½ (colebrook be)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00 4.32  
2  SUMMONYOURCOURAGE 2 3 41½ 42½   34 46¼ (esquivel jesu)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 10.00 12% 7.30 11.95  
7  SKYLER 6 7 73½ 64½   67½ 59½ (barrett rodd)CORRALES GERARDO 124 30.00 59.89  
3  LIVEHAPPY 3 8 63½ 86   710½ 614½ (estvanko richard)ACHARD ALEX 121 15.00 5% 19.00 41.79  
6  TEEN IDOL 5 9 95¾ 75½   810¾ 714½ (esquivel jesus)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 50.13  
10  ARROGANCY 9 4 31 21   44 815 (d'angelo fr)ORTIZ L 121 2.00 51% 0.90 0.87  
8  PANTHOR 7 6 85½ 918   9100 9100 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 11.47  
SCR  HALFWAY TEMPTED               (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 10.00    
 
KEE-6   10/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:221 :461 1:104     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPE TRAFALGAR (IRE) 1 3 31 51¾   42 1½ (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 4.64  
8  TWO EAGLES RIVER 7 4 42 31   2nk 2½ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 5% 19.00 9.80 P
2  SCOOT DADDY 2 5 52 41¼   1nk 31 (drexler mart)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00 6.85  
4  WICO (IRE) 4 2 1½ 1nk   31 43 (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 1.50 27% 2.70 1.83  
6  SAHALAT 5 7 75½ 74¼   55 54¾ (mckeever andrew)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 5% 19.00 7.74  
7  DEER DISTRICT 6 8 86½ 84¾   65¼ 67½ (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 10.00 16% 5.10 7.16  
9  PAY ZONE 8 1 2½ 2nk   79¼ 720 (crichton rohan)TORRES A 121 12.00 30.54  
3  PRINCIPE CARLO 3 9 64½ 62¾   810¾ 820 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 20.00 27.50  
10  FORT WARREN 9 6 99 99¾   913¾ 935¾ (amoss m)ORTIZ L 121 8.00 27% 2.70 6.26  
SCR  TIME FOR TRUTH               (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
 
KEE-7   10/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC12 FAST Perryville Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:22 :444 1:092     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  BRUNACINI 9 1 62½ 41   2nk 1¼ (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 5% 19.00 28.08 W
5  BOOK'EM DANNO 3 8 74½ 73¼   4¾ 2¼ (ryan s)ORTIZ JR 123 2.00 39% 1.60 0.71 P
12  EPIC RIDE 8 4 31½ 3½   1nk 31 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 15.90 DH
3  KNIGHTSBRIDGE 2 6 42 51½   52¼ 31 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.00 25% 3.10 2.01 S
11  LOVE ME TENDER 7 2 52½ 61¾   63¾ 52¾ (trombetta mich)TORRES A 118 30.00 55.66  
7  PATRIOT SPIRIT 5 5 2½ 2nk   3½ 64¼ (campbell michael)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 12.33  
8  BANJO CHRIS 6 7 84¾ 83¾   85¼ 74½ (wismer s)ORTIZ L 118 30.00 61.81  
1  HENRO 1 9 98¾ 96¾   97¾ 87½ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 5% 19.00 15.86  
6  GOODLOOKINJUSTICE 4 3 1½ 1nk   74¼ 98½ (west aaron )BERMUDEZ E 120 20.00 10% 9.30 63.69  
SCR  DILGER (IRE)               (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00    
SCR  LOCKED               (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 3.50    
SCR  SAVE THE TREES               (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 30.00    
SCR  WEST SARATOGA               (demeritte l)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
SCR  WHO DEY               (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
 
KEE-8   10/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:103 1:344   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAROS 1 1 31½ 31½ 31½ 1½ 1¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 6% 16.40 2.93 W
3  IRISH ACES 3 2 75½ 75 73¾ 32 2¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.50 41% 1.40 0.97 P
10  DRIPPING GOLD 9 10 21½ 21 2½ 2½ 32 (mcgaughey c)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 3.00 28% 2.60 4.22 S
6  AH JEEZ 6 6 64 63½ 63¼ 42 43½ (o'neill doug)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 20.00 35.06  
4  GOOD GOVERNANCE (GB) 4 5 108 107 108¼ 85½ 54 (navarrete anna)SANJUR SANTO 122 20.00 72.82  
9  EL KABONG 8 9 86½ 96 86¼ 63½ 64¼ (arnold r)LANERIE J 122 15.00 30.57  
11  SCOOBIE QUANDO 10 4 53 42 41½ 75 79 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 124 10.00 27.71  
5  OUT OF DEDUCTIONS 5 7 42½ 52½ 51¾ 96 89 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 122 15.00 21.41  
8  MISTER MULDOON 7 3 11½ 11 1½ 52½ 99¼ (robertson mclean)GRAHAM J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 23.59  
2  BOLD DISCOVERY 2 8 97 86 96¼ 107 1013¾ (mckeever and)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 20.76  
SCR  MIRANDA RIGHTS               (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  QUADRA ISLAND               (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00    
SCR  TAKING CANDY               (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 3.50    
 
KEE-9   10/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC13 FAST Lexus Raven Run Purse ($350K) 3 F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:101     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  EMERY 5 1 41 31   1½ 12 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.40 30% 2.30 1.25 W
3  MY MANE SQUEEZE 3 9 103½ 94¼   32½ 22 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 26% 2.90 3.42 P
1  FIBBER 1 8 2½ 1½   2½ 34½ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 8.70  
6  V V'S DREAM 6 10 72¾ 52½   43½ 44½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 8.70  
7  MINK'S PALACE 7 6 93¼ 105¼   56 59 (kenneally eddie)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.01  
2  MIUCCIA 2 7 31 73¼   88 615 (delgado gustavo)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 10.87  
10  HAULIN ICE 10 3 83¼ 83¾   67½ 717 (joseph a)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 11.85  
9  RIPERTON 9 2 62½ 42½   99 819½ (lobo h)ROMAN A 118 20.00 43.12  
4  TWIRLING QUEEN 4 5 1½ 2½   77½ 920 (d'angelo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00 12% 7.60 31.36  
8  UNO LE 8 4 51½ 63   1013 1030 (barrett rodd)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 ######  
 
KEE-10   10/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:12 1:243   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIXIN TO BEE 1 6 53½ 54½ 44½ 32½ 1¼ (arnold r)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 4.96  
6  TAKE NOTE OF THIS 6 1 32 33 23 21½ 2¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 4.50 19% 4.20 11.32 P
3  RUNNING AWAY 3 2 11½ 12½ 13 11½ 3¼ (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 119 1.80 31% 2.20 1.58 S
5  GROVE CITY SUNSET 5 7 63¾ 65 65½ 42½ 4½ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 30.00 25.52  
4  SUITEFOURFOURTHREE 4 11 108¼ 108¾ 107¼ 54½ 52¾ (compton greg)CHUAN MARTIN 119 20.00 57.61  
10  BIRKIN GIRL 10 9 98¼ 98¼ 96¾ 76 63¼ (colebrook be)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 15% 5.60 15.94  
7  EVELYN LOUISE 7 3 43½ 44½ 55 65 73¾ (oliver victor)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 11.33  
2  JUDITH 2 8 1110¼ 1110¼ 119¾ 119 88½ (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 9.98  
12  RISUKO 12 10 76¼ 76½ 76 107½ 98¾ (brisset rodolphe)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 56.66  
8  HIGH BREEZE (FR) 8 5 86¾ 86¾ 86½ 86½ 109¾ (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 13% 6.80 3.51  
11  KITTENS STORMY GAL 11 4 21½ 22½ 33 97 1113 (bindner m)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 53.47  
9  ADRIAN 9 12 1213¾ 1212¾ 1211¾ 1213 1218 (nihei mich)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00 89.44  
SCR  CHAMPAGNE ON ICE               (wilkes ian )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
SCR  EXCLUSIVE STAR               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
SCR  JEWISH MOTHER               (hobby steve)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00    
SCR  NILE VALLEY               (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.