Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland
Saturday - October 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (2/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-2   Win (9/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-3   Win (10/5/2/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-4   Win (7/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-5   Win (10/9/2/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-6   Win (4/10/7/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-7   Win (5/3/6/1/14) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-8   Win (3/10/1/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-9   Win (5/3/4/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-10   Win (3/6/10/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KEE-1   10/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($79K) 2 F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIMI'S GRACE         (shirer a)TORRES A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
KEYANA Sep26 May02       (leitch dan)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50 46% 1.20    
LIL BREEZZY         (englehart jer)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50    
LOVELY WORDS         (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
SCR  SHANETT         (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00    
WISCONSIN GAL Sep26 Sep15 Sep04 Aug10   (mcentee pau)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
MOOCHIE GIRL Sep08 Jul21 Jun16 May27   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 6% 16.70    
PRINCESA STARLET Sep14 Sep04       (mendieta alejandro )HESS SARA 112 30.00    
LASKO LADY Sep27 Jul13       (vance thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 10.00    
10  MY BOSSY LADY         (mckeever andr)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00    
 
KEE-2   10/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TELL ME WHEN Sep28 Aug07 Jul07 Jun13 Oct19 (andrade hugo)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00    
STAND BY YOU Sep15 Aug12 Jul13 May25 Apr19 (watkins jame)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  LIL TOWN SIS Sep28 Aug18 Jul13 Jun14 May19 (forster t)ORTIZ L 121 12.00    
SCR  ABITIBI Sep15 Aug10 Jul04 Jun06 May17 (esquivel jesu)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 10.00    
LI'L MISS CAMILLE Oct05 Sep20 Sep07 Aug29 Aug08 (mendieta alejandro )HESS SARA 114 30.00    
POSH PLAYDAY Aug20 Jul30 Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00 7% 13.60    
RUVIES IN TIME Jun08 Apr27 Apr14 Mar30 Mar10 (reed r)BEJARANO R 121 10.00    
ALWAYS SMILING Aug29 Aug18 Jul27 Jun27 Jun02 (williams ma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.00 19% 4.10    
AWESOME ANNMARIE Sep29 Aug29 Aug14 Jul07 Jun21 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 23% 3.30    
 
KEE-3   10/19/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZUN REYDER         (nihei michel)CORRALES GERARDO 119 30.00    
RESTORE (FR) Aug31 Jul27       (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 21% 3.80    
UNLOCK YOUR HEART         (sims a)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
ORNATO Jun05         (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
HIT THAT REVIEW (IRE) Sep20 Aug31 Aug11     (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
FLING READY         (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
EL OSO Sep23 Sep11 Aug21 Jul17   (rivera tirso)AYALA ISAIAS 119 30.00    
JACK'S PROMISE Aug30 Jun23       (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
ONE IMPROBABLE         (black kenneth )LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00    
10  CARIBBEAN WIND Apr24         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 116 2.00 31% 2.30    
11  INVISIBLE         (orseno joseph)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00    
12  SHARP SWINGER         (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 15.00    
SCR  SWEET LA CREMA         (compton gre)TORRES A 119 20.00    
SCR  GRAYDARIA         (ennis john)LEONARD KILLIAN 119 20.00    
SCR  POPPA ECHO Sep19 Aug24       (milligan ed)TORRES A 119 15.00    
SCR  GALANTINI Sep12         (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
 
KEE-4   10/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIGHTEOUS STAR Sep22 Aug26 Aug12     (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
ROBERT'S MOON Sep23 Aug24 Aug11     (antonucci jena)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00    
AUTHENTIC STRIKE Sep14 Aug12       (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
THRILLA Sep07 Aug16 Jul18     (desormeaux j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 19% 4.40    
GLOBAL LEGEND Aug31 Aug10 Jun08     (casse mark)ORTIZ L 120 3.50    
LOOK TO THE CROSS Sep05 Aug10       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
JACK'S TIME Sep14 Aug10       (von kelly)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.60 30% 2.30    
 
KEE-5   10/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($77K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE LINE Sep22 Aug10 Oct18     (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
SUMMONYOURCOURAGE Apr13 Feb25 Jan27 Mar04 Jan28 (esquivel jesu)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 10.00 12% 7.30    
LIVEHAPPY Sep28 Aug10 Jul06 Jun21 Apr27 (estvanko richard)ACHARD ALEX 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HALFWAY TEMPTED         (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 10.00    
SHORTSTOP Sep22 Jul07 Sep23 Jan06   (colebrook be)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00    
TEEN IDOL Jul05 Apr13 Feb24     (esquivel jesus)BEJARANO R 121 15.00    
SKYLER Sep28         (barrett rodd)CORRALES GERARDO 124 30.00    
PANTHOR         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
UNCLE WILLIAM Sep22 Aug10 Jun30 Jan06 Dec08 (guida e)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.50 13% 6.70    
10  ARROGANCY Sep17 May23 Apr26 Mar31 Mar01 (d'angelo fr)ORTIZ L 121 2.00 51% 0.90    
 
KEE-6   10/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPE TRAFALGAR (IRE) Aug04 May11 Mar16 Jan19 Oct21 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00    
SCOOT DADDY Sep22 Jun16 Mar24 Jan17 Nov05 (drexler mart)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00    
PRINCIPE CARLO Jun14 May24 May12 Mar14 Feb18 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 20.00    
WICO (IRE) Apr06 Feb22 Nov26 Oct08 Jul22 (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 1.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  TIME FOR TRUTH Jul04 Apr27 Mar30 Mar02 Feb10 (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
SAHALAT Sep22 Aug05 Jul07 Jun09 May12 (mckeever andrew)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
DEER DISTRICT Sep22 Jul20 Jun19 Feb08 Jan20 (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 10.00 16% 5.10    
TWO EAGLES RIVER Sep11 Jun30 May27 Sep20 Jun04 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
PAY ZONE Sep21 Jul28 Jul05 Jun22 Feb29 (crichton roha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 12.00    
10  FORT WARREN Sep22 Jul22 Jun16 May03 Jun10 (amoss m)ORTIZ L 121 8.00 27% 2.70    
 
KEE-7   10/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC12 FAST Perryville Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HENRO Sep21 Aug04 Jul06 Jun05 May05 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WEST SARATOGA Jun09 May04 Mar23 Feb10 Jan13 (demeritte l)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
KNIGHTSBRIDGE Mar28 Nov04       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  WHO DEY Sep18 Aug11 Jun09 May04 Apr05 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
BOOK'EM DANNO Aug24 Jul19 Jun08 Jan13 Nov05 (ryan s)ORTIZ JR 123 2.00 39% 1.60    
GOODLOOKINJUSTICE Aug27 Jul31 Jun12 Apr24 Oct26 (west aaron )BERMUDEZ E 120 20.00 10% 9.30    
PATRIOT SPIRIT Sep07 Apr21 Mar16 Feb10 Dec02 (campbell michael)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
BANJO CHRIS Sep18 Aug15 Jul27 Jun23 Jun05 (wismer gle)SANTANA JR 118 30.00    
SCR  DILGER (IRE) Sep21 Aug23 Jul20 Apr13 Mar16 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00    
SCR  LOCKED Nov03 Oct07 Sep01 Aug05   (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 3.50    
11  LOVE ME TENDER Sep06 Jul13       (trombetta mich)TORRES A 118 30.00    
12  EPIC RIDE May04 Apr06 Mar02 Feb02 Jan05 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
SCR  SAVE THE TREES Sep18 Aug19 Jul06 Jun09 Apr19 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 30.00    
14  BRUNACINI Sep19 Jul28       (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-8   10/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($130K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAROS Sep01 Jul24 Jul05 Jun15 May10 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 6% 16.40    
BOLD DISCOVERY         (mckeever and)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
IRISH ACES Sep07 Aug29 Jul13 Jun01 Mar23 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.50 41% 1.40    
GOOD GOVERNANCE (GB) Aug03 Jun25 May30 Mar22 Feb09 (navarrete anna)SANJUR SANTO 122 20.00    
OUT OF DEDUCTIONS Sep29 Jul29 Jun22 Aug06 Jun25 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 122 15.00    
AH JEEZ Aug17 Jul21 May27 Mar03 Feb03 (o'neill doug)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 20.00    
MIRANDA RIGHTS Aug29 Aug03 Jun22 May31 May02 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
MISTER MULDOON Aug17 Jul13 Jul03 Apr27 Feb18 (robertson mclean)GRAHAM J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
EL KABONG Sep01 Jul29 Jun19 May09 Apr11 (arnold r)LANERIE J 122 15.00    
10  DRIPPING GOLD Sep07 Aug17 Jul19 Jun16 May02 (mcgaughey c)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
11  SCOOBIE QUANDO Sep01 Jul29 Jun22 May18 Apr19 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 124 10.00    
SCR  TAKING CANDY Sep01 Jul13 Sep01 Jul22 Jun24 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 3.50    
SCR  QUADRA ISLAND Sep05 Jul14 Jun29 May18 Apr11 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00    
 
KEE-9   10/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC13 FAST Lexus Raven Run Purse ($350K) 3 F PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIBBER Sep21 Aug11 Jun28 May25 May11 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
MIUCCIA Aug31 Jul13 Jun01 Apr14 Mar17 (delgado gustavo)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
MY MANE SQUEEZE Sep21 Aug23 Aug03 Jun07 May03 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 26% 2.90    
TWIRLING QUEEN Jul12 May11 Mar24 Feb08 Oct06 (d'angelo jo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 12% 7.60    
EMERY Aug03 Jul04 Jun09 Apr19 Oct07 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.40 30% 2.30    
V V'S DREAM Sep15 Mar23 Feb17 Oct29 Oct06 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
MINK'S PALACE Sep15 Aug11 Jun22 Jun01 May03 (kenneally eddie)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
UNO LE Sep27 Nov23       (barrett rodd)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
RIPERTON Sep15 Aug07 Jul05 Dec13 Oct15 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 118 20.00    
10  HAULIN ICE Aug23 Jul13 Jun01 May03 Apr06 (joseph a)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-10   10/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIXIN TO BEE Sep11 Jul13       (arnold r)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
JUDITH         (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
RUNNING AWAY Jul21         (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 119 1.80 31% 2.20    
SUITEFOURFOURTHREE Sep28         (compton gre)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
GROVE CITY SUNSET Aug31 Aug04 Jul06     (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 30.00    
TAKE NOTE OF THIS Sep08 Aug04 Jul06     (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 4.50 19% 4.20    
EVELYN LOUISE Sep11 Aug12       (oliver victor)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
HIGH BREEZE (FR) Sep13         (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 13% 6.80    
ADRIAN         (nihei mich)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00    
10  BIRKIN GIRL Aug29 Aug12       (colebrook be)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 15% 5.60    
11  KITTENS STORMY GAL Sep11         (bindner m)GRAHAM J 119 30.00    
12  RISUKO Sep01 Jul27       (brisset rodolphe)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
SCR  JEWISH MOTHER Sep08 Aug17 Jun28 Jun16   (hobby steve)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00    
SCR  CHAMPAGNE ON ICE Sep08 Aug12       (wilkes ian )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
SCR  EXCLUSIVE STAR         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
SCR  NILE VALLEY Sep11         (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.