Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belterra Park
Friday - September 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-2   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $6.60 $0.60 10%
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-4 $8.50 $2.50 42%
BTP-6   TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00  5-2-4 $5.00 $2.00 67%
BTP-8   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $8.00 $2.00 33%
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-2 $17.60 $8.60 96%
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00  1-2-6 $92.90 $83.90 932%

Simulator Race results

 
BTP-1   09/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:224 :464       1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POISED 1 4 31 31   3 1 (lauer michael)SERPA ANGEL 119 4.00 3.00  
MORNING REFLECTION 5 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 2 (adams l)HESS SARA 114 3.00 2.20  
ROYAL ITCH 3 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 3 (wilson jr)MURGIA A 121 3.50 17% 5.00 2.20 S
MIRO MOGO 2 3 44 54   4 4 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 119 2.50 45% 1.20 2.50  
FABULOUS PHILLY 4 5 5 4   55 56 (tomlinson )VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 5.00 5% 19.00 12.40  
SCR  SPICY TUNA               (tomlinson e)BUSH V 119 8.00    
 
BTP-2   09/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:222 :461 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WRITTEN CONSENT 1 5 21 1½   1 1 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 124 4.00 24% 3.10 2.30 W
SHOT GIRL 4 1 4 31   2 2 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 2.50 30% 2.30 1.30 P
WILL VIRGINIA DARE 3 4 11 2½   3 3 (decker anna)SERPA ANGEL 122 3.50 2.80  
SEAU N'TAP 5 2 32 4   4 413 (caramori caio)MURGIA A 119 3.00 3.70  
MOON PARTY 2 3 5 55   57 520 (haehn r)BUSH V 122 5.00 5% 19.00 27.60  
 
BTP-3   09/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:223 :47 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EARL'S STORMY WIND 3 1 3½ 2nk   1nk 1 (cline robert )BRACHO A 122 3.50 3.50  
  (by INDY WIND out of BRICK BY BRICK by GRAND CIRCUS PARK)
PLAYFULASITGETS 2 3 1nk 1nk   2nk 2 (reed r)OUZTS W 122 3.00 1.70  
  (by TENKOZ out of BE PLAYFUL by PURE PRIZE)
HEIDI N SEEK 4 2 42 4   3 3 (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 122 5.00 5% 19.00 9.50 S
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of COAX ME HEIDI by COAX ME CHAD)
ANYGIVENDAY 1 4 2nk 32   44 413 (cline c)MURGIA A 125 2.00 47% 1.10 0.80  
  (by TWINSPIRED out of SATURDAY'S CATCH by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  KETTLE COALMINE               (chain pearl)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.50 29% 2.50    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of CANARYINACOALMINE by BIRDSTONE)
 
BTP-4   09/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:133     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLD MY CROWN 4 3 1½ 1   1 1 (nocero carmino)BUSH V 124 2.50 47% 1.10 1.40 W
ECHO 2 5 5 5   3 2 (flores christia)BOWEN ROCCO 124 3.50 28% 2.60 1.40 P
SATIS 1 4 4 4   2 3 (beck rowena)LEBRON VICTOR 124 4.50 3.80  
COURT COSTS 3 1 32 33   4 4 (smith r)JURADO EDDIE 124 6.00 6.60  
CASERTA 5 2 2½ 2   5 511 (fernandez k)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 5.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
SCR  FLAT OUT FAY               (aguirre juan)HEBERT LINDSEY 124 8.00    
SCR  KATNAPPING               (aguirre juan )CANUTO THIAGO 124 10.00    
 
BTP-5   09/20/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Miss Southern Ohio Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:104 1:354   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FACTISIMFLASHY 5 1 1 13 14 12 1¾ (antonuik jerry)SERPA ANGEL 122 8.00 10.40  
  (by CORFU out of LIGHTNING LUCY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2B  OUR LAST SONG 12 8 2 23 24 22 2¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 116 6.00 9.30  
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of OH SO EASY by TAKE THAT STEP)
RONNI'S WIND 3 2 77 911 810½ 7 3 (cline robert )BRACHO A 118 3.50 8% 11.30 7.80 S
  (by INDY WIND out of RONNI'S SECRET by SUN KING)
RATATAT 8 11 66 57 3 4 4 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 118 4.50 6% 16.60 4.60  
  (by KETTLE CORN out of EBBY by RUNNING STAG)
MIZ KEETA 4 5 88 7 69 6 5 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 120 2.50 55% 0.80 1.10  
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of WAKEETA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
1A  GOODNESS SAKES 11 7 34 3 4 3 6 (gorham robert)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 2.50 1.10  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of SWEETNESSNGOODNESS by CUVEE)
KETTLE KISS 6 12 11 1213½ 1012 8 710 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 122 5.00 6.30  
  (by KETTLE CORN out of ABIDING LOVE by OLMODAVOR)
BRIEF ENCOUNTER 7 6 5 6 5 5 810¾ (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 114 6.00 9.30  
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of GRAND MERE by BOB AND JOHN)
MOBIL CHIC 2 4 1210¼ 811 911 9 911½ (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00 49.20  
  (by MOBIL out of CHIC CAT by TIGER RIDGE)
MISS ELIANA 1 3 10 1112 1214¼ 1010¼ 1013 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 120 12.00 22.20  
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of MISS HILL ROAD by THE DEPUTY (IRE))
11  DANZANITEAWAY 10 10 9 1011½ 1114 1111¼ 1115½ (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 116 6.00 7% 13.40 18.30  
  (by DANZA out of HERONETTA by MARCHFIELD)
10  EXPRESS FASHION 9 9 44 4 710½ 1213¼ 1218½ (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 116 15.00 38.80  
  (by MOBIL out of ENGLATERRA by JOHANNESBURG)
SCR  GREEN LADY (IRE)               (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 114 12.00    
  (by TOUGH IT UP out of CAPE VERDE by CAPE BLANCO)
SCR  OH GLORIOUS DAY               (cline c)OUZTS W 114 20.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CATCH THE WAVES by PACIFIC WAVES)
 
BTP-6   09/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Loyalty Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:22 :454 :583     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST LIKE RAMBO 8 1 2½ 2nk   1 12 (smith larry)OUZTS W 118 3.50 27% 2.70 0.70 W
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of UKNOWI'MBUSY by CONCORD POINT)
2X  PARLAY 6 6 43 33   2 22 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 2.50 39% 1.60 1.70  
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MISS EMMA MARIA by TIZNOW)
SMOKIN JOE 7 2 76 7   5 3 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.10 S
  (by MOBIL out of NEVERGONNAHAPPEN by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
2B  LIVE A LITTLE 4 5 54 55   4 45 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 118 2.50 39% 1.60 1.70  
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of BOURGEOIS by AWESOME AGAIN)
1A  RONNIS SECOND WIND 5 7 64 44   6 510¾ (cline robert )BRACHO A 118 3.00 5.50  
  (by INDY WIND out of RONNI'S SECRET by SUN KING)
GRETCHENS MANE MAN 1 3 1½ 1nk   3 613 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 118 10.00 34.00  
  (by CORFU out of IVORY TREASURE by SIR IVOR)
COME ON ARLENE 3 4 3 6   77 714¼ (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 115 2.50 1.70  
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CRUISE LINER by SALT LAKE)
LUNAR EVENT 2 8 815 815¾   8100 8100 (cline robert )ZONETT KEYNER 115 3.00 5.50  
  (by EVENT DRIVEN out of SHARON'S WAY by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
BTP-7   09/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:224 :454 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEACH KITTEN 4 2 2½ 2nk   1 1 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.50 3.80  
AFERDITA 5 4 31 32   3 2 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 2.00 38% 1.70 0.90 P
Q BOND 3 5 63 5   55 34 (alvarez ne)VILLARREAL OSCAR 116 8.00 36.40  
LI'L MISS CAMILLE 1 3 1½ 1nk   2 4 (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 116 4.00 5.30  
QUICKY DESIRE 6 1 4 43   67 5 (orantes r)SERPA ANGEL 121 3.00 33% 2.00 2.80  
KERLO'S CAUSE 2 6 5 64   44 69 (short thomas)MURGIA A 118 6.00 5% 19.00 19.40  
SCR  TWIRLING RUTH               (danner do)CORREA L 121 5.00    
 
BTP-8   09/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:102 1:223   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVILS RED 1 1 11 1½ 1½ 12 1 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 4.00 50% 1.00 3.00 W
P K WOOD 2 3 7 7 66 65 2 (bahena ism)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.20 P
STITZY 5 5 32 5 56 4 32 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 5.00 21.80 S
MAYNARD 6 6 21 2½ 2½ 22 4 (wittek karyn)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.50 2.20  
PERFECT PAINTING 7 7 64 31 3 55 54 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 123 3.50 3.00  
DIGITAL SOFTWARE 3 4 53 4 45 33 64 (caramori caio)MURGIA A 123 6.00 23% 3.40 5.00  
AGADOR SPARTACUS 4 2 43 6 7 7 711¼ (adams l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 8.00 22.20  
SCR  MOON MISCHIEF               (caramori caio)CANUTO THIAGO 123 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.