Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Friday - September 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(4/1/2)-(1/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BTP-2   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(1/2/5)-(5/3/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(5/3/6)-(1/6/11/9/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-4   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(1/6/11/9/5)-(2/5/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-5   WIN (1/6/11/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/11/9/5)-(1/6/11/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/11/9/5)-(1/6/11/9/5)-(1/6/11/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (1/6/11/9/5)-(2/5/4)-(5/7/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-6   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(5/7/2)-(1/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-7   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-8   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POISED Sep06 Jul10 Jun17 May22 Apr17 (lauer michael)SERPA ANGEL 119 4.00    
2  MIRO MOGO Sep06 Aug23 Jul26 Jul18 Jul04 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 119 2.50 45% 1.20    
3  ROYAL ITCH Sep12 Jul18 Jun28 Jun14 May23 (wilson jr)MURGIA A 121 3.50 17% 5.00    
4  FABULOUS PHILLY Sep06 Aug09 Jul18 Jun13 May30 (tomlinson )VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  MORNING REFLECTION Sep06 Aug14 Jul27 Jul12 Jun20 (adams l)HESS SARA 114 3.00    
SCR  SPICY TUNA Jul12 Jun14 May24 May04 Apr25 (tomlinson e)BUSH V 119 8.00    
 
BTP-2   09/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WRITTEN CONSENT Sep01 Aug18 Jul07 Jun26 Jun08 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 124 4.00 24% 3.10    
2  MOON PARTY Sep04 Aug16 Jul20 Jun15 Jun01 (haehn r)BUSH V 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  WILL VIRGINIA DARE Sep04 Aug16 Aug01 Jul11 Jun15 (decker anna)SERPA ANGEL 122 3.50    
4  SHOT GIRL Aug30 Aug07 Jul20 Jun15 Jun06 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 2.50 30% 2.30    
5  SEAU N'TAP Aug07 Jul20 Jun13 May30 May18 (caramori caio)MURGIA A 119 3.00    
 
BTP-3   09/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANYGIVENDAY Sep06 Aug19 Jul29     (cline c)MURGIA A 125 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of SATURDAY'S CATCH by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  KETTLE COALMINE         (chain pearl)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.50 29% 2.50    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of CANARYINACOALMINE by BIRDSTONE)
3  PLAYFULASITGETS Aug22 Jul05 Jun05 May15 Dec18 (reed r)OUZTS W 122 3.00    
  (by TENKOZ out of BE PLAYFUL by PURE PRIZE)
4  EARL'S STORMY WIND Sep06 Aug22 Aug03     (cline robert )BRACHO A 122 3.50    
  (by INDY WIND out of BRICK BY BRICK by GRAND CIRCUS PARK)
5  HEIDI N SEEK Sep06 Aug22 Aug03     (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of COAX ME HEIDI by COAX ME CHAD)
 
BTP-4   09/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLAT OUT FAY Aug23 Aug15 Aug01 Jul24 Jul12 (aguirre juan)HEBERT LINDSEY 124 8.00    
2  SATIS Aug23 Jul27 Jul11 Jun13 May23 (beck rowena)LEBRON VICTOR 124 4.50    
3  ECHO Aug12 Jun19 Apr24 Mar22 Feb29 (flores christia)BOWEN ROCCO 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
4  COURT COSTS Sep06 Aug23 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 (smith r)JURADO EDDIE 124 6.00    
5  HOLD MY CROWN Aug07 Mar22 Aug10 May29 May09 (nocero carmino)BUSH V 124 2.50 47% 1.10    
6  CASERTA Aug21 Jul18       (fernandez k)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KATNAPPING Sep12 Sep04 Aug17 Jun28 Jun12 (aguirre juan )CANUTO THIAGO 124 10.00    
 
BTP-5   09/20/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Miss Southern Ohio Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIZ KEETA Aug30 Jun28 Jun19 May28 May06 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 120 2.50 55% 0.80    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of WAKEETA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
1A  GOODNESS SAKES Jul19 Jun22 Apr25 Feb08 Dec12 (gorham robert)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 2.50    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of SWEETNESSNGOODNESS by CUVEE)
2  BRIEF ENCOUNTER Aug15 Jul27 Jun28 Jun07 May22 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 114 6.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of GRAND MERE by BOB AND JOHN)
2B  OUR LAST SONG Sep02 Jul31 Jun19 May28 Oct02 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 116 6.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of OH SO EASY by TAKE THAT STEP)
3  MISS ELIANA Sep07 Jul27 Jul12 Jun07 May22 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 120 12.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of MISS HILL ROAD by THE DEPUTY (IRE))
SCR  GREEN LADY (IRE) Aug29 Aug03 Jun28 May31 May11 (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 114 12.00    
  (by TOUGH IT UP out of CAPE VERDE by CAPE BLANCO)
5  MOBIL CHIC Aug27 Apr30 Apr10 Mar07 Feb22 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOBIL out of CHIC CAT by TIGER RIDGE)
6  RONNI'S WIND Aug17 Jul31 Jul10 Jun18 May28 (cline robert )BRACHO A 118 3.50 8% 11.30    
  (by INDY WIND out of RONNI'S SECRET by SUN KING)
7  FACTISIMFLASHY Sep07 Aug17 Nov22 Oct21 Aug26 (antonuik)RODRIGUEZ A 122 8.00    
  (by CORFU out of LIGHTNING LUCY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  KETTLE KISS Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 May23 Dec15 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 122 5.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of ABIDING LOVE by OLMODAVOR)
9  RATATAT Aug31 Nov06 Oct21 Sep21 Aug23 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 118 4.50 6% 16.60    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of EBBY by RUNNING STAG)
10  EXPRESS FASHION Sep10 Jul31 Jul10 Jun22 May23 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 116 15.00    
  (by MOBIL out of ENGLATERRA by JOHANNESBURG)
11  DANZANITEAWAY Aug17 Aug03 Jul12 Jun28 May24 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 116 6.00 7% 13.40    
  (by DANZA out of HERONETTA by MARCHFIELD)
SCR  OH GLORIOUS DAY Aug31 Jul08 Jun13 May06 Apr13 (cline c)OUZTS W 114 20.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CATCH THE WAVES by PACIFIC WAVES)
 
BTP-6   09/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Loyalty Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUNAR EVENT Aug07         (cline robert )ZONETT KEYNER 115 3.00    
  (by EVENT DRIVEN out of SHARON'S WAY by PROUD CITIZEN)
1A  RONNIS SECOND WIND Aug10 Jul19 Jul03 Jun14   (cline robert )BRACHO A 118 3.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of RONNI'S SECRET by SUN KING)
2  COME ON ARLENE Sep06 Aug07 Jul04 Jun20 Jun07 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 115 2.50 ★    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CRUISE LINER by SALT LAKE)
2B  LIVE A LITTLE Sep05 Jul19 Jun14     (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 118 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of BOURGEOIS by AWESOME AGAIN)
2X  PARLAY Aug06 Jul01       (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MISS EMMA MARIA by TIZNOW)
3  GRETCHENS MANE MAN Aug26 Jul22 Jul03     (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 118 10.00    
  (by CORFU out of IVORY TREASURE by SIR IVOR)
4  SMOKIN JOE Jul22 Jul03       (rone mike)AVILES YAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOBIL out of NEVERGONNAHAPPEN by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
5  JUST LIKE RAMBO Aug31         (smith larry)OUZTS W 118 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of UKNOWI'MBUSY by CONCORD POINT)
 
BTP-7   09/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LI'L MISS CAMILLE Sep07 Aug29 Aug08 Jul05 Jun21 (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 116 4.00    
2  KERLO'S CAUSE Aug22 Aug07 Jun29 Jun13 May22 (short thomas)MURGIA A 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  Q BOND Sep12 Aug15 Jul25 Jun21 Jun13 (alvarez ne)VILLARREAL OSCAR 116 8.00    
4  BEACH KITTEN Aug29 Aug08 Jul05 Jun21 May25 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.50    
5  AFERDITA Aug27 Jun03 May09 Apr19 Mar24 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 2.00 38% 1.70    
SCR  TWIRLING RUTH Jun05 May11 Mar20 Feb17 Feb03 (danner do)CORREA L 121 5.00    
7  QUICKY DESIRE Sep30 Aug17 Jul02 Jun16 May17 (orantes r)SERPA ANGEL 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
BTP-8   09/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVILS RED Sep14 Sep05 Aug11 Jul18 Jun20 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 4.00 50% 1.00    
2  P K WOOD Aug31 Jul31 Jun27 May30 May15 (bahena ism)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  DIGITAL SOFTWARE Sep05 Aug27 Aug14 Jun26 May24 (caramori caio)MURGIA A 123 6.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  MOON MISCHIEF Sep10 Aug08 Jul20 Jul06 Jun01 (caramori caio)CANUTO THIAGO 123 10.00    
5  AGADOR SPARTACUS Aug28 Aug16 Aug08 Jul13 Jul03 (adams l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 8.00    
6  STITZY Sep05 Aug09 Jul18 Jun27 Feb15 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 5.00 ★    
7  MAYNARD Sep05 Aug14 Jul24 Jul10 Jun20 (wittek karyn)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.50    
8  PERFECT PAINTING Sep05 Aug09 Jul18 Jun20 May30 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 123 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.