Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Tuesday - September 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  8 $6.40 $2.40 60%
    EXA (8/6)-(8/6/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  8-7 $11.50 $5.50 92%
    TRI (8/6)-(8/6/7/5)-(8/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-7-6 $21.00 $9.00 75%
TDN-2   EXA (1/6/4/3)-(1/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-1 $12.80 $0.80 7%
    DD (8/6)-(1/6/4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00  8-6 $17.60 $9.60 120%
TDN-3   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $14.00 $8.00 133%
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00  5-6 $13.70 $4.70 52%
    DD (1/6/4/3)-(6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-5 $33.90 $21.90 183%
    PK3 (8/6)-(1/6/4/3)-(6/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00  8-6-5 $88.10 $64.10 267%
TDN-6   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $8.40 $2.40 40%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   09/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:221 :454 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GAME BOY BENNY 8 1 4¼ 3.2   1½ 13½ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 36% 1.80 2.20 W
7  AQUITANIA ARRIVAL 7 2 1nk 2nk   31 23½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.50 ★ 2.40 P
6  OTIS OTIS OTIS 6 3 62½ 52¼   51½ 34¼ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 4.50 36% 1.80 2.90 S
4  THAT KHENNY 4 5 2nk 1nk   2½ 45 (schuster robin)PEREZ A 119 4.00 6.10  
5  MORE THAN GOOD 5 6 72½ 41¾   41½ 56¾ (urieta johann)BRACHO A 119 6.00 ★ 7.80  
2  MAS ORO 2 8 82½ 76¼   65½ 69½ (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 18.40  
1  ESTILO FAVORITO 1 7 52¼ 88¼   75¾ 710¼ (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 53.50  
3  MASTER 3 4 3.2 65¼   87¾ 820 (jackson jame)ROSARIO L 119 12.00 21.20  
 
TDN-2   09/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SHANGHAI PRINCE 5 3 21 2½   2nk 11 (cline c)AVILES YAN 119 3.50 22% 3.60 2.60 W
1  POWERFUL PHIL 1 4 11 1½   1nk 21 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 46% 1.20 1.40 P
2  UNBRIDLED CAUSE 2 8 88½ 89   74¾ 31 (morales saul)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 12.00 23.10  
4  BABA LOOEY 4 5 54½ 54½   64½ 41¾ (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 121 3.00 10% 9.40 3.80 DH
8  RED HOT POWER 7 1 31½ 31½   42 41¾ (gonzalez dona)TOLEDO S 119 20.00 68.50 DH
7  ACCURATE 6 7 76 76½   52½ 62¼ (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 20.00 57.20  
3  MUCHO PRIMO 3 6 43 43   31½ 72½ (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 11.80  
9  VICTORY DIVISION 8 2 65½ 65½   88¼ 87¾ (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 4.00 4.50  
SCR  SHOW SLIDING HOME               (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00    
 
TDN-3   09/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:144     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  VINNY AND LEO 5 1 21 2½ 12½ 14 11¾ (radosevich)RIVERA R 119 2.50 14% 6.00 6.00 W
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SHE BE CLASSY by TOCCET)
6  GREERS FERRY 6 5 64¾ 63 33½ 24 21¾ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 52% 0.90 0.50 P
  (by MORE THAN READY out of DEE DEE BERTIE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
2  LT'S JACKNTHEBOX 2 3 54½ 52 63¾ 34½ 35 (lopez jacinto)NEGRON LUIS 123 15.00 54.30  
  (by JACK MILTON out of TOMORROW'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  LEAVENWORTH 3 4 33 31½ 53¾ 58 414¾ (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 123 3.50 11.50  
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of ELECTIVE by GRAND SLAM)
1  AVAILABILITY 1 7 75¾ 41½ 43½ 68 517¼ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 ★ 2.90  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of INDIAN PRINCESS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  INTO THE BLACK 4 2 11 1½ 22½ 47½ 618¼ (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 20.00 89.30  
  (by UPSTART out of MARCO GROOM by MARCO BAY)
7  TEAM T. S. STRONG 7 6 43 76½ 715¾ 723 739¾ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 12.10  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of GLOAMING by MAJESTIC LIGHT)
 
TDN-4   09/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:131     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BOURBON WISDOM 4 5 32 32 11½ 14 11¼ (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 2.80  
4  BROADWAY SKY 3 2 2½ 2½ 21½ 24 21¼ (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 123 8.00 8.20  
6  FAT DADDY 5 1 43 63 54½ 45½ 33¼ (urieta johann)BRACHO A 123 3.50 51% 0.90 2.60 S
8  HAMMERIN AAMER 7 6 65 42½ 44½ 35½ 44½ (radosevich)RIVERA R 123 4.50 ★ 4.10  
7  INDIAN FEVER 6 3 54 53 32½ 57 511¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.50 4.20  
1  CUGINE 1 4 1½ 1½ 68½ 613 618¼ (casali)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 22.10  
2  HERD IMMUNITY 2 7 76½ 78 714½ 722 749¾ (rivera nestor)TOLEDO S 123 10.00 19% 4.10 5.50  
SCR  NAPA DUDE               (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 123 12.00    
 
TDN-5   09/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH 6 1 41¾ 4¾   21 11 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 ★ 2.80  
3  BRIG 3 5 3.2 1nk   11 21 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 70% 0.40 0.80 P
2  MO DONT NO 2 3 2nk 2nk   31 32 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 2.00 3.10  
4  BISCUITS AND GRITS 4 6 55¼ 53¾   42 42 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 119 4.00 12.70  
1  PRIVATE DRIVE 1 4 1nk 3.2   52¼ 55¼ (guidry terran)SIMPSON JASON 121 6.00 5% 19.00 14.90  
5  KEEPING SCORE 5 2 66¾ 68¼   67¼ 68 (castro r)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 31.60  
 
TDN-6   09/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:25 :49 1:132     1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NIKOLAOU 5 1 11 1nk 1nk 11 1½ (radosevich)RIVERA R 123 1.60 28% 2.50 3.20 W
3  HOLY SYNCHRONICITY 3 4 21 2nk 2nk 21 2½ (sanchez-salomon )AVILES YAN 123 8.00 0.90  
4  I WANNA WIN 4 2 42½ 32 31½ 31½ 3½ (jackson jame)KEISER CHELSEY 123 3.00 3.20  
1  AZTEC 1 3 31½ 42¼ 42 42½ 42½ (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.80 28% 2.60 4.70  
2  ROYAL DRAGOON 2 5 54 53¾ 54½ 54½ 56¼ (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 6.00 5% 19.00 16.10  
 
TDN-7   09/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:13 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAVEN MOON 1 1 2nk 1½ 11 11½ 1½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 2.00 1.70  
5  NEED TO KNOW BASIS 5 5 3½ 31½ 21 21½ 2½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 33% 2.10 5.00 P
3  SILENCE 3 6 65 67 54½ 34½ 36¾ (hamm timot)RIVERA R 119 5.00 25% 3.00 1.20 S
2  SAMMY'S SMILE 2 2 53 56 65½ 56½ 48½ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 13.40  
4  VISUAL MISSION 4 4 41½ 43 32½ 45½ 510¾ (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 21.10  
6  GONE IN A FLASH 6 3 1nk 2½ 43 68 617½ (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 6.40  
 
TDN-8   09/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:213 :444 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY 6 1 2½ 2nk   11½ 12½ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 3.70  
3  STAGE NAME 3 3 32½ 34   36 22½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 1.80 37% 1.70 1.00 P
5  MR LOOOCH 5 2 1½ 1nk   21½ 33¾ (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 22% 3.50 1.40 S
1  DARK VADER 1 6 58 46½   410 46½ (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 5.00 12.90  
2  EXPRESS FASHION 2 5 68½ 611   516 516¾ (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 116 8.00 46.70  
4  QUIET AMIGO 4 4 43½ 58½   619 621¾ (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 44.10  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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