Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Tuesday - September 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 8 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 2.40
TDN-2   Win (1/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $7.20 $7.20  
TDN-3   Win (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $14.00 $14.00 8.00
TDN-4   Win (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $7.60  
TDN-5   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $7.60  
TDN-6   Win (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 2.40
TDN-7   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $5.40  
TDN-8   Win (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $9.40  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:221 :454 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAME BOY BENNY 8 1 4¼ 3.2   1½ 1 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 36% 1.80 2.20 W
AQUITANIA ARRIVAL 7 2 1nk 2nk   31 2 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.50 2.40 P
OTIS OTIS OTIS 6 3 6 5   5 3 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 4.50 36% 1.80 2.90 S
THAT KHENNY 4 5 2nk 1nk   2½ 45 (schuster robin)PEREZ A 119 4.00 6.10  
MORE THAN GOOD 5 6 7 4   4 5 (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 119 6.00 7.80  
MAS ORO 2 8 8 7   6 6 (urieta j)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 18.40  
ESTILO FAVORITO 1 7 5 8   7 710¼ (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 53.50  
MASTER 3 4 3.2 6   8 820 (jackson james )ROSARIO L 119 12.00 21.20  
 
TDN-2   09/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHANGHAI PRINCE 5 3 21 2½   2nk 11 (cline c)AVILES YAN 119 3.50 22% 3.60 2.60 W
POWERFUL PHIL 1 4 11 1½   1nk 21 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 46% 1.20 1.40 P
UNBRIDLED CAUSE 2 8 8 89   7 31 (morales m)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 12.00 23.10  
BABA LOOEY 4 5 5 5   6 4 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 121 3.00 10% 9.40 3.80 DH
RED HOT POWER 7 1 3 3   42 4 (gonzalez donaci)TOLEDO S 119 20.00 68.50 DH
ACCURATE 6 7 76 7   5 6 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 20.00 57.20  
MUCHO PRIMO 3 6 43 43   3 7 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 11.80  
VICTORY DIVISION 8 2 6 6   8 8 (schuster)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 4.00 4.50  
SCR  SHOW SLIDING HOME               (johnson ga)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00    
 
TDN-3   09/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:144     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINNY AND LEO 5 1 21 2½ 1 14 1 (radosevich j)RIVERA R 119 2.50 14% 6.00 6.00 W
GREERS FERRY 6 5 6 63 3 24 2 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 52% 0.90 0.50 P
LT'S JACKNTHEBOX 2 3 5 52 6 3 35 (lopez jacinto)NEGRON LUIS 123 15.00 54.30  
LEAVENWORTH 3 4 33 3 5 58 414¾ (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 123 3.50 11.50  
AVAILABILITY 1 7 7 4 4 68 517¼ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 2.90  
INTO THE BLACK 4 2 11 1½ 2 4 618¼ (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 123 20.00 89.30  
TEAM T. S. STRONG 7 6 43 7 715¾ 723 739¾ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 12.10  
 
TDN-4   09/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:131     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON WISDOM 4 5 32 32 1 14 1 (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 2.80  
BROADWAY SKY 3 2 2½ 2½ 2 24 2 (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 123 8.00 8.20  
FAT DADDY 5 1 43 63 5 4 3 (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 123 3.50 51% 0.90 2.60 S
HAMMERIN AAMER 7 6 65 4 4 3 4 (radosevich j)RIVERA R 123 4.50 4.10  
INDIAN FEVER 6 3 54 53 3 57 511¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.50 4.20  
CUGINE 1 4 1½ 1½ 6 613 618¼ (casalino)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 22.10  
HERD IMMUNITY 2 7 7 78 714½ 722 749¾ (rivera nestor)TOLEDO S 123 10.00 19% 4.10 5.50  
SCR  NAPA DUDE               (casalinova tina)GONZALEZ A 123 12.00    
 
TDN-5   09/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH 6 1 4 4¾   21 11 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 2.80  
BRIG 3 5 3.2 1nk   11 21 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 70% 0.40 0.80 P
MO DONT NO 2 3 2nk 2nk   31 32 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 123 2.00 3.10  
BISCUITS AND GRITS 4 6 5 5   42 42 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 4.00 12.70  
PRIVATE DRIVE 1 4 1nk 3.2   5 5 (guidry terrance)SIMPSON JASON 121 6.00 5% 19.00 14.90  
KEEPING SCORE 5 2 6 6   6 68 (castro raq)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 31.60  
 
TDN-6   09/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:25 :49 1:132     1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIKOLAOU 5 1 11 1nk 1nk 11 1½ (radosevich j)RIVERA R 123 1.60 28% 2.50 3.20 W
HOLY SYNCHRONICITY 3 4 21 2nk 2nk 21 2½ (sanchez-salomon ro)AVILES YAN 123 8.00 0.90  
I WANNA WIN 4 2 4 32 3 3 3½ (jackson james )KEISER CHELSEY 123 3.00 3.20  
AZTEC 1 3 3 4 42 4 4 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.80 28% 2.60 4.70  
ROYAL DRAGOON 2 5 54 5 5 5 5 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 6.00 5% 19.00 16.10  
 
TDN-7   09/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:13 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAVEN MOON 1 1 2nk 1½ 11 1 1½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 2.00 1.70  
NEED TO KNOW BASIS 5 5 3½ 3 21 2 2½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 33% 2.10 5.00 P
SILENCE 3 6 65 67 5 3 3 (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 119 5.00 25% 3.00 1.20 S
SAMMY'S SMILE 2 2 53 56 6 5 4 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 13.40  
VISUAL MISSION 4 4 4 43 3 4 510¾ (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 21.10  
GONE IN A FLASH 6 3 1nk 2½ 43 68 617½ (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 6.40  
 
TDN-8   09/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:213 :444 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY 6 1 2½ 2nk   1 1 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 3.70  
STAGE NAME 3 3 3 34   36 2 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 1.80 37% 1.70 1.00 P
MR LOOOCH 5 2 1½ 1nk   2 3 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 22% 3.50 1.40 S
DARK VADER 1 6 58 4   410 4 (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 119 5.00 12.90  
EXPRESS FASHION 2 5 6 611   516 516¾ (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 116 8.00 46.70  
QUIET AMIGO 4 4 4 5   619 621¾ (zielinski richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 44.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.