Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - September 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/6)-(8/6/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6)-(8/6/7/5)-(8/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (8/6)-(1/6/4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/6)-(1/6/4/3)-(6/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/3)-(1/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/3)-(1/6/4/3)-(1/6/4/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/4/3)-(6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4/3)-(6/5/7)-(6/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/1/7)-(6/5/1/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (6/5/7)-(6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7)-(6/2/1)-(3/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/8/1)-(6/2/8/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(3/1)-(5/1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (3/1)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(5/1/2)-(5/3/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(5/3/2)-(3/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESTILO FAVORITO Aug26 Mar25 Mar05 Feb24 Feb12 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
2  MAS ORO Aug26 Aug13 Jul25 Jun24 Jun10 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00    
3  MASTER Aug26 Aug15 Aug05 Jul23 Jul08 (jackson jame)ROSARIO L 119 12.00    
4  THAT KHENNY Feb10 Jan01 Dec09 Nov17 Oct24 (schuster robin)PEREZ A 119 4.00    
5  MORE THAN GOOD Aug15 Jun24 Jun05 May14 May06 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 119 6.00 ★    
6  OTIS OTIS OTIS Aug26 Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 Jun11 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 4.50 36% 1.80    
7  AQUITANIA ARRIVAL Aug10 Jul30 Jul08 Jun24 Jun07 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.50 ★    
8  GAME BOY BENNY Jun23 Jun02 May13 May06 Mar29 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
TDN-2   09/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWERFUL PHIL Aug21 Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 May15 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 46% 1.20    
2  UNBRIDLED CAUSE Aug26 Aug12 Jul18 Jul02 Jun22 (morales saul)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 12.00    
3  MUCHO PRIMO Aug27 Aug06 Jul18 Jun26 Jun05 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  BABA LOOEY Aug29 Aug06 Jul18 Jun26 Jun04 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 121 3.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  SHOW SLIDING HOME Aug29 Aug06 Jun25 Jun04 May15 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00    
6  SHANGHAI PRINCE Aug12 Jul26 May30 May15 Apr24 (cline c)AVILES YAN 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
7  ACCURATE Aug12 Jul18 Jan24 Dec19 Dec04 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 20.00    
8  RED HOT POWER Aug27 Aug06 Jul18 Jul02 Jun25 (gonzalez dona)TOLEDO S 119 20.00    
9  VICTORY DIVISION Aug29 Aug06 Jul18 Jun25 Jun10 (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 4.00    
 
TDN-3   09/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AVAILABILITY Aug19 Jul06 Jun26 Jun12 May01 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 ★    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of INDIAN PRINCESS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  LT'S JACKNTHEBOX Aug27 Oct13 Sep29 Aug23 Jul26 (lopez jacinto)NEGRON LUIS 123 15.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of TOMORROW'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  LEAVENWORTH Aug28 Aug05 Jun19 Jun04 Apr20 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 123 3.50    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of ELECTIVE by GRAND SLAM)
4  INTO THE BLACK Aug15 Jul24 Jun12     (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 20.00    
  (by UPSTART out of MARCO GROOM by MARCO BAY)
5  VINNY AND LEO Aug15 Jul24 Jun02 Apr13 Mar24 (radosevich)RIVERA R 119 2.50 14% 6.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SHE BE CLASSY by TOCCET)
6  GREERS FERRY Aug28 Jul11 Jun22 Jun04 May14 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 52% 0.90    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of DEE DEE BERTIE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
7  TEAM T. S. STRONG         (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of GLOAMING by MAJESTIC LIGHT)
 
TDN-4   09/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUGINE Aug20 Jul30 Jul09 Jun24 May20 (casali)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  HERD IMMUNITY Aug21 Aug10 Jul15 May10 Apr17 (rivera nestor)TOLEDO S 123 10.00 19% 4.10    
SCR  NAPA DUDE Aug20 Jul22 Jul09 Jun13 May23 (casalin)PILARES P 123 12.00    
4  BROADWAY SKY Aug20 Mar26 Feb22 Feb01 Dec03 (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 123 8.00    
5  BOURBON WISDOM Aug20 Jul30 Jul09 May30 Oct13 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00    
6  FAT DADDY Aug22 Aug06 Jul15 Jun12 May30 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 123 3.50 51% 0.90    
7  INDIAN FEVER Aug20 Jul30 Jul09 Oct02 Aug28 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.50    
8  HAMMERIN AAMER Aug13 Jul24 Jun24 May30 May03 (radosevich)RIVERA R 123 4.50 ★    
 
TDN-5   09/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIVATE DRIVE Aug12 Jul31 Jul16 Jun22 Feb14 (guidry terran)SIMPSON JASON 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  MO DONT NO Aug20 Jul30 Jul02 Jun13 May15 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 2.00    
3  BRIG Jun12 May23 Aug08 Jul10 Jun15 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 70% 0.40    
4  BISCUITS AND GRITS Aug20 Jul31 Jul04 Jun22 Jun12 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 119 4.00    
5  KEEPING SCORE Aug20 Jan01 Nov28 Nov06 Oct13 (castro r)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00    
6  TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH Aug20 Dec26 Nov14 Aug08 May22 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 ★    
 
TDN-6   09/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AZTEC Aug13 Jul24 Jun01 Apr05 Mar02 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.80 28% 2.60    
2  ROYAL DRAGOON Aug13 Aug01 Jul11 Jun25 Jun04 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  HOLY SYNCHRONICITY Jul31 Jul21 Jun22 Jun07 May22 (sanchez-salomon )AVILES YAN 123 8.00    
4  I WANNA WIN Aug10 Jul11 Jun13 May14 Oct28 (jackson jame)KEISER CHELSEY 123 3.00    
5  NIKOLAOU Aug13 Jun16 May04 Feb23 Sep04 (radosevich)RIVERA R 123 1.60 28% 2.50    
 
TDN-7   09/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAVEN MOON Aug20 Aug10 Jul15 Jun07 May01 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 2.00    
2  SAMMY'S SMILE Aug20 Jul29 Jul15 Jun27 Jun10 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SILENCE Aug10 Jul17 Jun27 Jun07 May15 (hamm timot)RIVERA R 119 5.00 25% 3.00    
4  VISUAL MISSION Aug22 Aug13 Jul16 Jul02 Jun10 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00    
5  NEED TO KNOW BASIS Jul29 Jul05 May15 Dec04 Nov15 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 33% 2.10    
6  GONE IN A FLASH Aug12 Jul30 Jun13 May15 Oct28 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50    
 
TDN-8   09/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARK VADER Jun07 May15 Mar26 Mar04 Jan31 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 5.00    
2  EXPRESS FASHION Jul31 Jul10 Jun22 May23 May04 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 116 8.00    
3  STAGE NAME Aug10 Jul16 Jul02 May20 Apr23 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 1.80 37% 1.70    
4  QUIET AMIGO Dec26 Nov20 Oct04 Aug07 Jul13 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  MR LOOOCH Aug29 Aug10 Jul16 Jun13 Jun04 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 22% 3.50    
6  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY Aug29 Aug10 Jul09 Jun13 May29 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.