Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - September 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $4.10  
BAQ-2   Win (9/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $15.80  
BAQ-3   Win (1/9/3/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $5.60  
BAQ-4   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $6.80  
BAQ-5   Win (7/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $12.20  
BAQ-6   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $7.90  
BAQ-7   Win (2/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 0 $37.60  
BAQ-8   Win (13/3/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 15 1 0 $20.20  
BAQ-9   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
BAQ-10   Win (11/1/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 15 1 0 $4.80  
BAQ-11   Win (4/8/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $3.70 $3.70  
BAQ-12   Win (1/12/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $53.50  

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   09/28/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT-12:05
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:11 1:241   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AVIATOR GUI 2 5 53 5 4 3 11 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 1.05  
CYCLONE STATE 5 2 11 14 14 1 21 (summers chad)RIVERA R 119 3.50 4.00  
HANDS OF TIME 3 3 3 4 24 2 31 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 54% 0.90 3.85 S
SOUNDS LIKE A PLAN 1 4 42 35 5 46 4 (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
THUNDER ROLL 4 1 21 24 3 5 512¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 13% 6.80 4.60  
SCR  BATTLE DRUM (FR)               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50    
SCR  BOLT TO RUN               (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00    
SCR  DRAGONEER               (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT BOSS               (antonucc)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00    
 
BAQ-2   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 GOOD Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT-12:36
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOOT THE NICKEL 3 1 2½ 2   2nk 1¼ (devaux adrianne)DAVIS KATIE 119 6.00 6.90  
ENNIS TOWN 4 3 31 3   1nk 2¼ (trombetta micha)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 37% 1.70 4.40 P
AMERICA'S HONOR 6 2 4 44   4 3 (sacco d)JUAREZ NIK 119 8.00 11.10 S
WESTERN WOLF 1 4 1½ 1   3½ 46 (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 15.60  
CHRIS'S REVENGE 8 11 74 7   67 5 (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 8.50  
10  READY SET TWIRL 11 8 63 5   5 614¾ (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00 32.75  
MAN OF MISCHIEF 10 5 53 6   710 718¼ (mcpeek g)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.00 38% 1.60 1.15  
WRAP AND SEND 7 6 97 810¾   814 821¾ (bernardini j)RIVERA R 119 12.00 13.70  
DAMAGE 5 10 1113¼ 1217¼   1017 922½ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 26.75  
TINO IN TOGA 2 7 10 1013¾   916½ 1024 (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 46.00  
1A  VALID CONNECTION 9 9 1213¾ 1116¾   1118 1125 (bernardini)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 13.70  
11  MONOMOYS PARTNER 12 12 86 912¼   1218½ 1225¼ (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00 66.25  
 
BAQ-3   09/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:07
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:113     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROGENY 4 4 31 3.2   12 11 (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 1.80  
ROMAN GODDESS 2 5 4 4   43 21 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00 12% 7.20 7.70 P
BACKSTRETCH ROSE 8 6 9 8   33 31 (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.00 27% 2.70 2.75 S
1A  STREET JAM 9 1 2nk 2nk   22 4 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.80 32% 2.10 2.60  
BOOK OF WISDOM 5 2 6 5   6 5 (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 15.00 7% 13.40 40.00  
MIM 7 3 1nk 1nk   5 610½ (ferraro w)LUZZI J 116 30.00 36.00  
DOLCE SERA 6 8 8 7   77 710½ (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00 52.75  
KAREN'S HONOR 3 7 5 9   910 811 (jimenez l)DAVIS KATIE 123 12.00 11.20  
BALENCIAGA BETTY 1 9 7 6   88 911¼ (arriaga anto)RIVERA R 123 20.00 5% 19.00 29.25  
SCR  BELLE OF THE BALL               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.80    
 
BAQ-4   09/28/2024 5940ft DIRT RC13 MUDDY Woodward Purse ($400K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:38
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:114 1:372   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPIT TRICE 3 4 4 46 32 2 1¾ (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.50 2.40  
SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING 1 1 2 2 2nk 1 2¾ (joseph a)FRANCO MANUEL 124 0.80 0.85  
CRUPI 2 2 34 35 4 3 314 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 29% 2.40 2.10 S
MASQUEPARADE 4 3 1 1 1nk 45 416½ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 5% 19.00 21.90  
SCR  KAY ARMY (CHI)               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 99.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:112 1:24   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIGHTY ATLAS 2 5 43 32 21 11 1 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 124 6.00 5.10  
SHADOW DRAGON 6 7 7 7 6 43 2 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.50 35% 1.80 3.05 P
BOURBON CHASE 5 3 3 4 31 31 3 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 27% 2.80 1.85 S
TWO'S A CROWD 3 1 1 11 11 21 4 (ryan s)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00 24.00  
LEFTEMBEHIND 7 4 64 5 5 65 5 (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 124 8.00 5% 19.00 13.90  
NEURAL NETWORK 4 2 2 21 4 54 6 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 13% 6.90 2.25  
WILD BANKER 1 6 54 6 7 78 711½ (metivier)GRISALES DANILO 122 30.00 53.00  
SCR  ENGINEER EMPIRE               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/28/2024 7920ft TURF RC14 GOOD Joe Hirsch Turf Classic Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:141 1:404 2:064 2:321   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAR BRIDGE 5 4 45 43 4 2nk 1½ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 126 3.50 2.95  
WAR LIKE GODDESS 3 5 5 54 2 1nk 2½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 1.60 25% 3.00 1.70 P
SILVER KNOTT (GB) 4 2 2 21 1 3.2 3 (appleby charles)DAVIS DYLAN 126 2.00 36% 1.80 1.65 S
EMMANUEL 2 32 32 32 35 4 412¼ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 126 10.00 7.50  
GET SMOKIN 1 1 1 11 510½ 518¼ 526¼ (casse mar)DE CRUZ 126 12.00 13% 6.90 11.10  
SCR  DAUNT               (ribaudo j)LEZCANO JOSE 126 30.00    
SCR  TRULY QUALITY               (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ JR 126 6.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 3:11
See original race card.
:223 :463 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SHADYSIDE 9 2 2½ 1   13 1 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 17.80  
NILO'S ROSE 2 3 31 32   23 2 (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 28% 2.50 3.60 P
GAGA'S HAMSOME 1 9 7 6   58 3 (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 21.30  
MELLE MEL 5 6 64 44   3 49 (giddings melani)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 21% 3.80 1.55  
LINDA'S JEWEL 8 1 1½ 2   48 514¼ (abreu fernan)RIVERA R 119 8.00 25% 2.90 5.60  
11  DANCING DAKOTAH 10 7 912½ 9   713½ 614¾ (david car)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 20.00 43.75  
FRANKIE HICCUPS 6 4 4 54   613 715¾ (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 6.00 9.10  
TECA 4 8 8 8   817½ 819½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 16.90  
RAVENITE 7 5 53 7   918½ 923½ (gargan dan)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 10.00  
CAROL SAID NO 3 10 1019 1019½   1023½ 1026¼ (morley tho)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 12.50  
SCR  MI BELLA GENIO               (avila ju)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 20.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:224 :464 :593     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
15  NINA KAY 9 2 42 32   12 1 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 9.10  
13  DISCO STAR 8 3 6 7   32 2 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 50% 1.00 1.75 P
10  HIGHER FORCE 6 7 7 6   4 3 (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 8.20 S
GRACEFUL WARRIOR 4 4 2½ 2½   22 4 (antonucci m)JUAREZ NIK 119 10.00 12.00  
SILSBEE 2 8 53 54   5 510¼ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 25% 3.00 2.55  
MISS C BANKER 1 1 1½ 1½   6 613¾ (morley thomas)DAVIS KATIE 119 6.00 6.60  
PAWTUCKETSHUFFLE 5 5 911½ 812½   811¼ 716¼ (de hor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00 22.60  
12  I HEARD SOMETHINGS 7 9 810½ 913   913¾ 822¼ (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 119 20.00 57.00  
RUN DON'T WALK 3 6 3 4   711¼ 925½ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00 11.40  
SCR  ALPINE GIANT               (englehart je)RIVERA R 119 30.00    
SCR  BLAKELY'S WISH               (david car)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 30.00    
SCR  DUA IBIT               (sacco d)JUAREZ NIK 119 12.00    
SCR  FIRE AGATE               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00    
SCR  LAKESIDE               (dutrow e)RIDER TBA 119 5.00    
SCR  SHOCK               (hills timothy )LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 12.00    
SCR  VEHEMENTE               (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50    
 
BAQ-9   09/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC12 SLOPPY Vosburgh Purse ($250K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:101     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUFASA (CHI) 5 3 21 2nk   13 1 (correas ignacio)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 23% 3.40 1.60 W
SCOTLAND 2 4 5 31   23 2 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 2.85  
DEAN DELIVERS 4 1 11 1nk   3 37 (allard edward)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 4.00 36% 1.80 2.75 S
BABY YODA 3 6 6 63   48 411 (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.50 5.60  
SEVEN'S ELEVEN 1 5 32 4   510½ 512¾ (simone v)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 8% 12.30 9.80  
LORD MILES 6 2 42 52   616½ 621¾ (joseph a)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00 22.60  
SCR  COMEDY TOWN               (joseph a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50    
 
BAQ-10   09/28/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:122 1:24   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
15  FLOKI'S FLIGHT 5 3 1nk 1½ 1½ 1 1 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 1.80 1.40  
10  MAGICAL WAYS 3 5 5 4 4 2 2 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 20.00 10% 8.90 8.40 P
11  WONDERFUL JUSTICE (GB) 4 2 2nk 32 5 46 3 (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 42% 1.40 5.10 S
CREATE TROUBLE 1 4 32 2½ 2½ 34 48 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 126 6.00 12% 7.20 2.80  
ASSUME NOTHING 2 1 4 64 65 69 58 (de hor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00 10.30  
16  O P FIRECRACKER 6 6 6 5 3 5 6 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 5.40  
SCR  LINCOLN HAWK (IRE)               (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 122 15.00    
SCR  RUSE               (hills a)MARIN SAMUEL 124 15.00    
SCR  TIDAL FORCES               (abreu fernando)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00    
SCR  IRWIN (IRE)               (antonacci philip)LUZZI J 124 15.00    
SCR  IRISH PROPHET               (drysdale neil)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00    
SCR  FREEDOM TRAIL               (terranova p)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
SCR  DRAKON               (maker mich)SANTANA JR 122 15.00    
SCR  WINE COLLECTOR               (sanchez-sa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
SCR  BEUYS (IRE)               (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
SCR  CLASSIC LEGACY               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 2.00    
 
BAQ-11   09/28/2024 5610ft TURF RC13 YIELDING Pilgrim Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 5:17
See original race card.
1:422       1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZULU KINGDOM (IRE) 4 3 4 5 5 2nk 1¼ (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.60 41% 1.50 0.85 W
NOBLE CONFESSOR 1 1 21 31 4 5¾ 2¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 6.80  
EARLY ADOPTER (GB) 8 5 5 4 3 4¾ 3 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 18% 4.50 5.30 S
SMOOTH BREEZE 6 4 31 2nk 2nk 3.2 4 (abreu jorg)SANTANA JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
FLYING MOHAWK 2 2 11 1nk 1nk 1nk 55 (beckman whitwo)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 12.30  
WITHOUT CAUTION 3 8 6 8 8 6 614¾ (devaux cherie)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 18.70  
CONCORD GREEN 5 7 76 63 7 712¼ 721 (mcgaughey claude )DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 18% 4.60 5.60  
FULLY AUTHORIZED 7 6 8 7 6 814¼ 822¼ (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 15.00 24.75  
 
BAQ-12   09/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:123 1:251   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTER ATTACK 4 5 12 1 1½ 1 1 (bernardini)SANTANA JR 120 20.00 25.75  
HOURS IN A DAY 7 4 8 7 7 3 2 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 3.35 P
12  GUILE 11 6 22 33 2½ 2 35 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 22% 3.50 2.90 S
PRAIRIE DUNES 1 7 65 6 65 4 4 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.50 54% 0.90 3.15  
MAGICAL ROAD 6 3 5 5 44 5 59 (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 7.70  
TAPARINO 3 11 1111¼ 98 9 69 6 (antonucci m)LUZZI J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
11  BEACH BLANKET 10 1 32 2 3 712 715¾ (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00 21.00  
THAT'STHEFACTJACK 5 2 4 43 55 812½ 816¼ (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 117 30.00 36.25  
10  LCGOLUCKY 9 10 77 87 8 915 917 (ferraro)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 30.00 73.50  
MIGHTY GLORY 2 9 9 119 1113¼ 1016½ 1019½ (schettino )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00 55.25  
RAMESSES 8 8 10 10 1011¾ 1117 1125¼ (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 6.00  
SCR  YINGLE BELLS               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 117 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.