Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - September 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-2   Win (9/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-3   Win (1/9/3/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-4   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-5   Win (7/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-6   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-7   Win (2/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-8   Win (13/3/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-9   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-10   Win (11/1/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-11   Win (4/8/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-12   Win (1/12/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   09/28/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT-12:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUNDS LIKE A PLAN         (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
AVIATOR GUI Aug10         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50    
SCR  BATTLE DRUM (FR) Aug31         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50    
HANDS OF TIME Aug24 Jul20       (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 54% 0.90    
THUNDER ROLL Aug24 Aug10       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  MIDNIGHT BOSS         (antonucc)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00    
SCR  BOLT TO RUN Aug24         (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00    
SCR  DRAGONEER Aug17         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00    
CYCLONE STATE Aug31 Aug03 Jul06     (summers chad)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
 
BAQ-2   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT-12:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WRAP AND SEND Aug29         (bernardini j)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
1A  VALID CONNECTION         (bernardini)SANTANA JR 119 12.00    
WESTERN WOLF         (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00    
TINO IN TOGA         (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SHOOT THE NICKEL Jun06         (devaux adrianne)DAVIS KATIE 119 6.00    
ENNIS TOWN         (trombetta micha)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 37% 1.70    
DAMAGE         (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
AMERICA'S HONOR Aug31 Aug22 Jun21     (sacco d)JUAREZ NIK 119 8.00    
CHRIS'S REVENGE         (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
MAN OF MISCHIEF Aug30 Aug15 Jul25     (mcpeek g)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.00 38% 1.60    
10  READY SET TWIRL         (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00    
11  MONOMOYS PARTNER         (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
 
BAQ-3   09/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  STREET JAM Oct14 Sep29 Sep02 Jul22 May13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.80 32% 2.10    
SCR  BELLE OF THE BALL Aug17 Jun30 May26 Apr18 Apr07 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.80    
BALENCIAGA BETTY Sep05 Aug22 Jul20 Jun28 May18 (arriaga anto)RIVERA R 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
ROMAN GODDESS Sep02 Jul18 Jun22 May24 May03 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00 12% 7.20    
KAREN'S HONOR Aug16 Aug07 Jun27 May16 Apr25 (jimenez l)DAVIS KATIE 123 12.00    
PROGENY Aug16 Jul13 Jul06 May09 Apr06 (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50    
BOOK OF WISDOM Sep16 Aug12 Jun27 May26 May16 (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 15.00 7% 13.40    
DOLCE SERA Aug14 Jul18 Jun27 Jun04 May17 (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00    
MIM Aug10 Aug03 Jul18 Jun15 May25 (ferraro j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 30.00    
BACKSTRETCH ROSE Aug30 Aug07 Jul19 Jun05 May03 (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
 
BAQ-4   09/28/2024 5940ft DIRT RC13 Woodward Purse ($400K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING Aug23 Aug03 Jun29 Apr20 Mar09 (joseph a)FRANCO MANUEL 124 0.80    
CRUPI Aug03 Jul05 Jun08 Jan27 Dec31 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 29% 2.40    
TAPIT TRICE Sep01 Jul20 Aug26 Jul22 Jun10 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.50    
MASQUEPARADE Aug04 Jul05 Jun08 May01 Mar29 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KAY ARMY (CHI)         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 99.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD BANKER Aug30 Aug15 Jul24 Jun27 May02 (metivier)GRISALES DANILO 122 30.00    
MIGHTY ATLAS Aug30 Jun27 May27 May04 Apr13 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 124 6.00    
TWO'S A CROWD Aug29 Jul28 Jul14 Nov30 Oct29 (ryan s)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00    
NEURAL NETWORK Aug30 Jul21 Apr22 Feb25 Jan07 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 13% 6.90    
BOURBON CHASE Aug25 Feb17 Dec30 Nov18 Oct20 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  ENGINEER EMPIRE Dec17 Nov18 Mar26 Feb26   (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
SHADOW DRAGON Aug01 Jun27 May26 Dec07 Oct15 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.50 35% 1.80    
LEFTEMBEHIND Aug30 Jul31 Jul12 Jun07 May03 (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/28/2024 7920ft TURF RC14 Joe Hirsch Turf Classic Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET SMOKIN Sep07 Jul20 Jun01 Sep09 Aug06 (casse mar)DE CRUZ 126 12.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  DAUNT Aug17 Jul14 Jun16 May02 Nov11 (ribaudo j)LEZCANO JOSE 126 30.00    
EMMANUEL Sep07 Jul20 Jun01 Apr12 Mar02 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 126 10.00    
WAR LIKE GODDESS Aug31 Jul07 Jun07 Nov04 Oct07 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 1.60 25% 3.00    
SCR  TRULY QUALITY Sep07 Jul14 May27 Apr25 Mar03 (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ JR 126 6.00    
SILVER KNOTT (GB) Aug24 Jul28 May11 Apr20 Dec02 (appleby charles)DAVIS DYLAN 126 2.00 36% 1.80    
FAR BRIDGE Aug24 Jul20 Jun08 May04 Mar31 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 126 3.50    
 
BAQ-7   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 3:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAGA'S HAMSOME Aug30         (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
NILO'S ROSE         (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  MI BELLA GENIO Jul27         (avila ju)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 20.00    
CAROL SAID NO Aug03 Jun21       (morley tho)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00    
TECA Aug22 Jul11 Jun01     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00    
MELLE MEL Jul31         (giddings melani)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 21% 3.80    
FRANKIE HICCUPS Aug22         (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 6.00    
RAVENITE Jul28 Jun15       (gargan dan)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
LINDA'S JEWEL Aug28 Jul31       (abreu fernan)RIVERA R 119 8.00 25% 2.90    
10  SHADYSIDE Aug23         (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
11  DANCING DAKOTAH Sep02 Jul25       (david car)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 20.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/28/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 3:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS C BANKER Aug28 Jul25 Jul05     (morley thomas)DAVIS KATIE 119 6.00    
SCR  BLAKELY'S WISH Aug30 Aug08       (david car)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 30.00    
SILSBEE         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
RUN DON'T WALK         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
GRACEFUL WARRIOR Aug28         (antonucci m)JUAREZ NIK 119 10.00    
SCR  ALPINE GIANT Aug14         (englehart je)RIVERA R 119 30.00    
PAWTUCKETSHUFFLE Jul17         (de hor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00    
SCR  SHOCK         (hills timothy )LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 12.00    
SCR  FIRE AGATE         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00    
10  HIGHER FORCE         (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VEHEMENTE Aug22 Jul17       (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50    
12  I HEARD SOMETHINGS         (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 119 20.00    
13  DISCO STAR Aug14         (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  LAKESIDE         (dutrow e)RIDER TBA 119 5.00    
15  NINA KAY         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
SCR  DUA IBIT         (sacco d)JUAREZ NIK 119 12.00    
 
BAQ-9   09/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC12 Vosburgh Purse ($250K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEVEN'S ELEVEN Sep07 Aug23 Jul28 Feb17 Jan28 (simone v)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 8% 12.30    
SCOTLAND Jul26 Jun22 May30 May02 Sep23 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50    
BABY YODA Aug24 Jul27 Jun08 May03 Mar02 (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.50    
DEAN DELIVERS Sep01 Jul28 Jul08 May27 Mar24 (allard edward)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 4.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  COMEDY TOWN Aug24 Jul06 Jun08 Apr19 Mar15 (joseph a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50    
MUFASA (CHI) Aug12 Jun30       (correas ignacio)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
LORD MILES Aug23 Jul20 Jun22 Apr20 Aug25 (joseph a)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00    
 
BAQ-10   09/28/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREATE TROUBLE Aug22 Jul20 Oct21 Sep21 Jul21 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 126 6.00 12% 7.20    
ASSUME NOTHING Jul20 Jun08 May18 Apr13 Mar15 (de hor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00    
SCR  BEUYS (IRE) Sep01 Jul13 Jun16 May31 May02 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
SCR  DRAKON Aug30 Nov23 Oct06 Sep02 Aug05 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 122 15.00    
SCR  TIDAL FORCES Sep01 Jul13 May27 Apr20 Mar30 (abreu fernando)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00    
SCR  FREEDOM TRAIL Aug17 Nov18 Sep21 Jul15 Jun03 (terranova p)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
SCR  LINCOLN HAWK (IRE) Aug17 Jul14 Jul07 May25 May05 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 122 15.00    
SCR  RUSE Sep01 Jul13 Jun15 May18 Apr26 (hills a)MARIN SAMUEL 124 15.00    
SCR  IRISH PROPHET Aug17 Jul21 Feb10 Jan06 Dec03 (drysdale neil)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00    
10  MAGICAL WAYS Aug03 Jul13 Jun15 May11 Mar30 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 20.00 10% 8.90    
11  WONDERFUL JUSTICE (GB) May17 Apr19 Mar16 Jan20 May20 (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  IRWIN (IRE) Sep02 Aug11 Jun10 Oct08 Aug28 (antonacci philip)LUZZI J 124 15.00    
SCR  WINE COLLECTOR Aug04 Jul13 Jan06 Nov19 Oct28 (sanchez-sa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
SCR  CLASSIC LEGACY Aug07 Jul13 Jun08 May02 Apr12 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 2.00    
15  FLOKI'S FLIGHT Aug18 Jul22 Jun29 May16 Aug19 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 1.80    
16  O P FIRECRACKER Aug21 Jun29 Jun19 May31 May01 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00    
 
BAQ-11   09/28/2024 5610ft TURF RC13 Pilgrim Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 5:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBLE CONFESSOR Aug29 Jul27       (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
FLYING MOHAWK Sep01 Jul27       (beckman whitwo)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
WITHOUT CAUTION Aug29 Jul20       (devaux cherie)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
ZULU KINGDOM (IRE) Aug29         (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.60 41% 1.50    
CONCORD GREEN Aug17         (mcgaughey claude )DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 18% 4.60    
SMOOTH BREEZE Aug30         (abreu jorg)SANTANA JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
FULLY AUTHORIZED Sep07 Aug24       (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 15.00    
EARLY ADOPTER (GB) Aug31         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 18% 4.50    
 
BAQ-12   09/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRAIRIE DUNES Aug24 Aug15 Jun30 Mar27 Jan14 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.50 54% 0.90    
MIGHTY GLORY Aug04 Jun06 Dec10 Oct26 Sep14 (schettino )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
TAPARINO Aug30 Aug02 Jun30 Jun09 Apr20 (antonucci m)LUZZI J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
COUNTER ATTACK Sep14 Aug04 May30 May04 Apr06 (bernardini)SANTANA JR 120 20.00    
THAT'STHEFACTJACK Aug11 Jun23 May16 Apr19 Nov04 (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 117 30.00    
MAGICAL ROAD Jul31 Jun27 May29 May09 Mar20 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 120 6.00    
SCR  YINGLE BELLS Aug31 Aug11 Mar23     (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 117 15.00    
HOURS IN A DAY Aug17 Jul24 Jul07 Jun28 Jun06 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00    
RAMESSES Aug17 Jun30 May10 Mar23 Feb10 (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
10  LCGOLUCKY Sep19 Sep01 Jun21 Jun06 May10 (ferraro)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 30.00    
11  BEACH BLANKET Aug24 Jul24 Jul12     (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00    
12  GUILE Sep01 Aug07 Jul12 Jun15 May12 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 22% 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.