Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Friday - October 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (11/4/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $9.98  
KEE-2   Win (5/7/14/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $7.00 $7.00  
KEE-3   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $11.26 $11.26 5.26
KEE-4   Win (9/2/4/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 0 $11.38  
KEE-5   Win (1/3/8/10/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $60.24  
KEE-6   Win (7/11/2/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $11.22 $11.22 1.22
KEE-7   Win (11/8/9/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 0 $8.06  
KEE-8   Win (10/2/3/11/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $8.96 $8.96  
KEE-9   Win (4/2/11/12/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $7.94 $7.94  
KEE-10   Win (4/2/6/7/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $10.00 $10.00  

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:12     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD OF MISCHIEF 4 2 11 1nk   1½ 1 (chavez manuel)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 3.99  
MAJOR MACK 2 1 31 4   2½ 2 (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 3.50 19% 4.20 2.45 P
11  J J'S RANGER 7 3 21 2nk   3 3 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 4.00 32% 2.10 2.34 S
KISTLER 5 4 52 5   42 4 (stidham michael)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 19% 4.40 3.99  
NIGHTNTHEQUARTER 3 7 7 6   6 510½ (milligan r)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00 21.41  
10  ROPE A DOPE 6 5 4 3½   55 612¼ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00 7.33  
SHAKO 1 6 63 7   7 717½ (williamson bri)BARBOSA CARLOS 121 20.00 5% 19.00 26.43  
SCR  GRAND KINGDOM               (chavez manuel)MONCADA IRVING 114 20.00    
SCR  KING OF THE PARTY               (west w)TORRES A 121 30.00    
SCR  MIYAGI               (ennis john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00    
SCR  STEPPIN SILVER               (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 121 6.00    
 
KEE-2   10/25/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:13 1:371   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXECUTOR 6 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 12 1 (block chris)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 34% 2.00 2.50 W
14  SOUND CAUSE 11 10 8 7 74 45 2 (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 8.85 P
12  MORTAL LOCK 9 6 2½ 2½ 2½ 22 3 (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 9.82  
11  CHAPMAN'S PEAK 8 3 52 52 4 6 4 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 6.46  
HARD AS LIFE 1 1 63 63 64 55 5 (nihei michel)CORRALES GERARDO 119 30.00 46.76  
MASTER SOMMELIER 5 5 3 3 32 3 6 (mckeever andrew)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 8.46  
GENERATIVE 3 7 96 9 9 711 712 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 8.01  
10  TRAIN AND TRUST 7 11 10 106 10 1016 820½ (langemeier )LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 28.39  
COURAGEOUS CLAY 4 8 74 8 8 813 921 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 39% 1.60 2.59  
13  STONINGTON 10 9 42 42 53 915½ 1022¾ (schultz lindsay)JARA FERNANDO 119 20.00 55.26  
MALEVAJE 2 4 117 11 1113¼ 1121 1127¼ (seglin e)RIQUELME J 119 50.00 ######  
SCR  AERATE               (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
SCR  ALTIPLANO               (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
SCR  KY DO DECLARE               (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PNUTBUTTER WHISKEY               (kelley a)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00    
SCR  POWER OF WILL               (mott i)TORRES A 119 15.00    
 
KEE-3   10/25/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:132 1:381   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRU NA BOINNE 6 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 2nk 1¼ (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 17% 5.10 4.63 W
POSITANO SUNSET 1 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 1nk 2¼ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 122 1.20 33% 2.00 0.85 P
TAKE A STAND 3 4 31 3 4 31 3¼ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 28% 2.60 5.75 S
PEAK POPULARITY 2 3 4 4 3 43 4 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 3.49  
RAGTIME BELLE 4 5 6 6 6 6 512¾ (robertson mclean)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 17.93  
CATMINT 5 6 54 54 5 57 613¼ (hiles rick)BEJARANO R 124 15.00 18.20  
 
KEE-4   10/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($78K) 2 F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:23 :463 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  TEMPERS FLY 9 1 11 1   12 1nk (mccarthy w)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 4.69  
OUR SHENANIGAN 7 3 21 2   22 2nk (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 37% 1.70 2.39 P
DEFIANT LASS 4 6 5 53   4 32 (romans dale)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 5% 19.00 19.33 S
BOUTWELL TIME 3 4 7 6   67 4 (shirer a)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 4.50  
MO PICS PLEASE 5 2 31 3   3 56 (peery chuck)LANERIE J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 2.96  
MY SHOT 6 5 42 4   55 6 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 16.00  
11  CHANTALS HOPE 8 9 6 77   711 716¾ (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 119 30.00 30.76  
13  WIZ THE BOMB 10 7 8 8   914 820½ (leitch daniel)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 38.62  
REST OF THE WORLD 2 10 1010¾ 911½   813½ 922¼ (ennis john)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 36% 1.80 8.39  
ENDLESS FASHION 1 8 9 1013½   1016½ 1026½ (mendieta alejandro )HESS SARA 112 50.00 65.52  
SCR  MANAGE XPECTATIONS               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
SCR  PURE BREEZE               (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
SCR  SHIRLEY ANN               (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 119 4.00    
SCR  SUNNA               (sweezey k)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
 
KEE-5   10/25/2024 6270ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:113 1:362   1:542   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATIVE SHAMAN 2 2 5 54 53 1 1 (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 12.00 29.12  
10  TOUGH LITTLE NUT 9 10 11 11 10 3 2 (block chris)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 12.38 P
MY BOY TONY 1 1 10 9 74 5 3 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 34% 2.00 4.07 S
11  PROTECTIVE 10 11 12 1210¼ 12 7 4 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 6.69  
TELESCOPIC 6 8 42 4 21 4 5 (oliver vict)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 15.00 9.70  
FIRST PLAYER 5 5 63 88 9 8 67 (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 33.40  
BLACK IRON 7 4 31 3 3 6 7 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 120 6.00 6% 14.60 8.38  
TIFAREEH 8 6 9 6 64 116 8 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 11.37  
THE GINGER WIZARD (IRE) 4 9 7 76 85 106 9 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 2.98  
VESTURE 3 3 1½ 1 11 2 1011 (mott i)TORRES A 118 4.50 30% 2.30 5.84  
12  CULPRIT 11 7 2½ 2 4 9 1114¾ (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 33.73  
13  COPPER MISSILE 12 12 8 10 11 1210 1217¼ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 48.37  
SCR  COUNT DRACULA               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
SCR  MR. PETERKIN               (norris mike)BEJARANO R 122 50.00    
SCR  STRIDE               (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 15.00    
SCR  WARNING SIGNS               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
 
KEE-6   10/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOILA MAGIC 4 2 2½ 1nk   13 1 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 119 10.00 5% 19.00 4.61 W
ENNIS TOWN 6 4 3 31   23 2 (trombetta micha)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 46% 1.20 2.02 P
NATIVE RUNNER 5 10 1011 1012¼   4 3 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 19.43  
DISCLAIMER 3 8 4 4   34 4 (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 11.94  
STEPPE 7 9 75 65   6 511 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00 18.77  
TIME TO COLLECT 8 1 5 53   5 612½ (amoss m)TORRES A 119 15.00 45.86  
11  PROBLEM SOLVED 10 5 6 79   7 714 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 22% 3.50 2.69  
ACKNOWLEDGE 1 6 1½ 2nk   810¼ 824½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 10% 8.60 6.52  
13  SERKETAS 11 3 8 810   916¼ 929 (demeritte l)LEPAROUX R 119 30.00 34.74  
10  MONEY MAN 9 11 1112½ 1114¾   1018¾ 1031¼ (reed r)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 28.96  
DARK DANGER 2 7 97 912   1119¼ 1137¾ (miller darrin)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 5% 19.00 54.64  
SCR  CAN'T DENY IT               (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 10.00    
SCR  FAUST               (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 6.00    
SCR  MONTANA CAFE               (moquett e)VAZQUEZ A 119 20.00    
SCR  SERENDIBITE               (reed r)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
 
KEE-7   10/25/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:211 :44 :554     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DETERMINED KINGDOM 4 5 3 32   2nk 1 (schoenthal phil)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.50 3.03  
NO NAY HUDSON (IRE) 8 4 4 4   3½ 2 (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 3.00 12% 7.10 3.20 P
BAD BEAT BRIAN 5 1 2 2½   1nk 3 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 12.00 14.30  
JUDGE DAVIS 1 9 8 8   6 4 (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 8.00 5.79  
HIGH FRONT 6 6 53 5   5 54 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 15.00 12% 7.40 18.65  
10  MID DAY IMAGE 9 3 6 6   7 65 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 10.00 23.89  
SPANKSTER 3 8 108 97   8 77 (cunningham )PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 30.00 45.55  
JEAN VALJEAN 7 10 75 75   9 87 (merryman eliza)GEROUX FLORENT 125 5.00 19% 4.40 5.06  
11  BOAT'S A ROCKIN 10 2 1 1½   42 9 (kulp l)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 24% 3.20 5.04  
OUR LAST CHANCE 2 7 96 108   10 109 (anderson l)VELAZQUEZ R 121 15.00 9% 10.20 19.18  
SCR  LET MY PEOPLE GO               (oliver victor)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 20.00    
 
KEE-8   10/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Myrtlewood Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:214 :454 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ECHO SOUND 3 5 32 32   21 1 (arnold r)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 11% 7.70 3.48 W
PRAYING 6 4 21 1nk   11 2 (medina robert)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 15.45  
10  TRUST FUND PHILLY 9 1 74 4   44 3 (eurton peter)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 27% 2.70 2.72 S
DANCING MAGIC (IRE) 5 9 108 7   55 4 (campbell michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 5.26  
GLEE (GB) 2 7 4 5   3 5 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 8.00 25% 3.00 16.10  
ANDREA 8 2 53 6   7 6 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 4.43  
11  ATOMIC CITY 10 8 8 8   8 713 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 8% 12.10 9.76  
MISCHIEVOUS BRIA 1 10 9 911¼   910½ 813¾ (anderson l)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 5% 19.00 57.79  
WHITE SANDS 4 6 11 2nk   6 916¾ (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 7.80  
BARBARINA 7 3 6 1011¼   1014 1025¼ (jazdzewski )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 30.00 80.48  
SCR  EMPIRICAL MISCHIEF               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
SCR  LONG NECK PAULA               (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 10.00    
 
KEE-9   10/25/2024 5280ft TURF RC13 FIRM Bank Purse ($350K) 3 F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:124 1:242   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POOLSIDE WITH SLIM (IRE) 2 1 4 4 3 1nk 1 (arnold geor)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 5.00 24% 3.10 2.97 W
PHAROAH'S WINE 7 2 11 1 11 2nk 2 (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 30.00 25.07  
BUTTERCREAM BABE 8 6 21 3 42 42 3 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 8.92 S
12  SIMPLY IN FRONT 12 8 31 2 21 3½ 4 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 7% 12.70 7.60  
LES REYS (FR) 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 32% 2.20 2.11  
MEMORIALIZE 3 5 10 10 10 7 6 (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 15.65  
KALISPERA (IRE) 5 3 8 8 85 8 7 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 74.47  
DANCING N DIXIE 9 11 11 117 11 9 8 (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 12.61  
OPERA MUNDI (IRE) 1 10 7 7 6 6 9 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 7.11  
11  NICE AS PIE 11 9 9 9 9 10 109 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 11% 8.00 15.01  
10  UPHILL DANCE 10 7 6 6 75 11 1110½ (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 20.00 53.18  
SAKURA BLOSSOM 6 12 12 129 12 1210¼ 1212¼ (powell leonard)GEROUX FLORENT 118 30.00 86.98  
SCR  KEHOE BEACH               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
SCR  MAXISUPERFLY               (foster eric)GEROUX FLORENT 118 30.00    
SCR  STRIKE WHEN READY               (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 118 20.00    
SCR  WHISKEY DECISION               (delacour arnaud)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
 
KEE-10   10/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POINTS IS POINTS 5 10 9 6   43 1 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 5.00 6% 16.50 4.00 W
12  SANG 10 2 2½ 11   1½ 2 (begley greg)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 8.00 10.91  
ON COMMAND 1 5 3 21   2½ 3 (arnold r)VELAZQUEZ R 121 4.00 20% 4.00 2.84 S
JUST A COED 6 3 52 43   3 4 (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 5% 19.00 6.01  
KISS ME AGAIN 2 6 7 77   6 5 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 20.00 20.36  
PHANTASMICAL 7 1 1½ 32   5 6 (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00 9.28  
HI'IAKA 3 7 8 89   7 710 (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 121 3.00 46% 1.20 3.49  
10  MORINGA 8 4 42 5   8 819½ (pinzon mari)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 8.00 9.88  
ORDERLY TRANSITION (GB) 4 8 10 911½   912½ 919¾ (campos paulo)MACHADO LUAN 124 50.00 65.20  
11  CONSTITUENT 9 9 63 10100   10100 10100 (schultz lindsay)JARA FERNANDO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 31.50  
SCR  A LITTLE CANELA               (salas felipe)MORALES EDGAR 121 30.00    
SCR  TAKA               (von d)TORRES A 121 30.00    
SCR  YUME               (lee joseph)SAEZ LUIS 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.