Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - October 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
BAQ-2   Win (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $7.20  
BAQ-3   Win (5/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $7.70 $7.70  
BAQ-4   Win (1/3/10/9/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
BAQ-5   Win (1/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $59.50 $59.50 51.50
BAQ-6   Win (3/9/10/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $9.80 $9.80  
BAQ-7   Win (6/8/4/2/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $7.30  
BAQ-8   Win (4/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $13.80  
BAQ-9   Win (3/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $26.60 $26.60 18.60
BAQ-10   Win (4/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $11.00 $11.00 3.00
BAQ-11   Win (1/7/9/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 0 $9.10  
BAQ-12   Win (3/7/4/11/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $9.90 $9.90  

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
See original race card.
:224 :45 1:084     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOCKED 2 3 21 21   1 1 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 0.80 59% 0.70 0.40 W
GUN IT 4 1 11 11   2 2 (kantarmaci ilka)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 9.50  
QUALITY CHIC 3 6 31 3   3 39 (jacobson david)SILVERA RUBEN 121 20.00 36.75  
BRAMITO 5 4 53 57   4 4 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 6% 16.10 4.60  
LORD MILES 1 2 6 615   616 513½ (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 15.00 5% 19.00 19.80  
COSTA TERRA 6 5 4 4   515½ 628¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.50 5.80  
SCR  THRILL OF IT               (terranova jo)RIVERA R 125 15.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT-12:41
See original race card.
:224 :444 1:09 1:213   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMILE MON 5 2 2½ 1nk 13 15 1 (atras rob)SANTANA JR 124 3.00 2.60  
PRINCIPE D'ORO 2 3 32 3 34 25 2 (rodriguez gustav)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00 5.80 P
STREET SWAGG 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 15.30  
1A  PROVE WORTHY 3 6 614 616¾ 617 613 49 (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 60% 0.70 0.95  
COOL OPERATOR 6 1 1½ 2nk 23 48 5 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 12% 7.00 3.95  
INDIANQUEST 1 5 512½ 516½ 516½ 513 610¼ (falcone n)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 0.95  
SCR  PROVISION               (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00    
SCR  RAKIA               (de horacio)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
SCR  WHISKEY N SODA               (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Awad Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:232 :483 1:143 1:38   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALUATION METRIC 4 1 5 6 6 3 1nk (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 26% 2.90 2.85 W
TIZ DASHING 5 3 31 32 5 2½ 2nk (tagg barclay)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.50 28% 2.60 1.35 P
CONCORD GREEN 1 8 8 8 8 5 31 (mcgaughey claude )DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 5.90  
AVIATOR GUI 7 7 7 7 4 4 43 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 26% 2.90 3.85  
MCDIESEL 3 2 1nk 11 1nk 1½ 5 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00 16.10  
SURFSIDE MOON 2 6 6 53 7 7 6 (lawrence le)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 5% 19.00 14.00  
FLAMINGPROPOSITION 8 4 4 42 31 6 7 (ryan s)OLVER MADISON 120 20.00 53.25  
FULLY AUTHORIZED 6 5 2nk 21 2nk 8 8 (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 44.50  
 
BAQ-4   10/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($46K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:24 :492 1:13 1:373   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALE LEASEBACK (IRE) 3 3 21 21 2 22 1 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 23% 3.40 1.90 W
PARK AVENUE BETTY 4 1 11 11 1 12 2 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00 17.20  
11  TRUE MYTH 10 9 10 9 10 56 3 (terranova jo)RIVERA R 120 6.00 13.50  
UNDERTHEMISTLETOE 7 7 7 7 8 7 4 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 7.60  
10  OUR FINEST HOUR (FR) 9 8 5 5 5 4 53 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 12% 7.60 6.20  
12  PURRFECT GIRL 11 5 42 32 33 3 64 (dutrow anthony )FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) 6 10 8 8 7 6 7 (metivier)GRISALES DANILO 124 30.00 52.75  
STREET VIEW 1 6 118 11 9 9 8 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 43% 1.30 2.10  
EXOTIC CAT 5 2 6 6 64 8 9 (pregman)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 30.00 83.25  
ASHDALE 8 11 9 10 1110¼ 1113½ 1013¾ (bond har)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 5% 19.00 63.75  
JENAS MERCY 2 4 32 42 43 10 1114 (brown r)LUZZI J 120 30.00 79.25  
SCR  AIN'T NO LADY               (englehart ch)RIVERA R 120 20.00    
SCR  CLASSIC CARA               (friedman mitche)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
SCR  FOCUS POCUS               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 6.00    
SCR  LOOKING FOR GINNY               (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 4.50    
SCR  LOOKS FIRST               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/19/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:132 1:374   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BON ADIEU 5 1 21 21 2nk 1nk 1 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 124 20.00 5% 19.00 28.75 W
CAMERA 1 3 11 11 1nk 2nk 2 (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 42% 1.40 1.85 P
JUST MUSIC 8 4 74 54 55 33 3 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 15.90  
FADE TO GREY 4 6 42 42 3 44 4 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 4.00  
MY SHEA D LADY 3 2 3 32 66 6 5 (david a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00 22% 3.50 3.75  
WHISTLER'S STYLE 2 8 86 8 811½ 78 6 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00 22.50  
TONED UP 6 7 6 6 710 89 78 (kantarmaci ilkay)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 21.70  
CINDERELLA'S CAUSE 7 5 5 7 4 5 8100 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.50 13% 6.70 2.85  
SCR  WHOCOULDASKFORMO               (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50    
 
BAQ-6   10/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:23 :452 1:093 1:221   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TREATY OBLIGATION 2 3 53 3 31 11 1 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 34% 2.00 3.90 W
10  MODICA 9 9 88 8 44 3 2 (weaver george)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 9% 10.10 10.50 P
1A  SORORITY PRANK 7 2 1 1½ 1nk 21 3 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 7.10  
WAITLIST 5 7 76 7 8 66 4 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 2.95  
SCREAMING UNCLE 8 6 64 67 6 5 5 (bhigroog chetram)CANCEL ERIC 122 30.00 37.25  
HAVE YOU HEARD 6 5 2 2½ 2nk 43 6 (maker michae)RIVERA R 120 8.00 5% 19.00 2.65  
ICE TIME 1 8 9 910½ 9 8 7 (ferraro w)LUZZI J 124 8.00 5% 19.00 12.50  
MORE VINO 4 4 42 55 7 99 810¾ (goberdh)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 20.00 19.90  
STORMING CHROME 3 1 3 44 57 78 910¾ (de hor)SANTANA JR 124 10.00 8.70  
SCR  AZ U CHASE ME               (englehart chris)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00    
SCR  UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL               (kantarmaci ilkay)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.50 33% 2.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:23 :474 1:123 1:364   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUNDS LIKE A PLAN 6 5 1 1 16 1 1 (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 2.65  
CALLING CARD 4 2 6 510 49 3 2 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 5.40  
TRINITY RIVER 5 1 2 2 26 2 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00 25% 3.00 7.60 S
DEEMER 3 4 3 3 37 4 4 (devaux cherie)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 35% 1.90 0.95  
POWERED BY COAL 2 3 78 711½ 813 517½ 59 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 31.75  
10  TWOHONESTMISCHIEF 7 8 56 610½ 512 618½ 613½ (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 119 50.00 70.75  
BIGFOOT SIGHTING 1 6 8 812½ 712½ 719½ 717 (atras rob)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00 21.90  
12  JUST CLARITY 9 7 4 410 612½ 825½ 820¾ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 29.75  
11  GUNNER'S GOLD 8 9 910 917 918½ 932 923½ (quick p)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 30.00 49.25  
SCR  FIREBREATHINGBROWN               (nevin mi)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00    
SCR  GEORGE BRIGGS               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 16% 5.50    
SCR  I'M DUE               (sweezey kent)LUZZI J 119 8.00    
SCR  IRON MAX               (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JUST LICORICE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
SCR  REAL SAVVY               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50    
SCR  SKY MASTERSON               (contessa c)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:222 :454 :574     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACKSIDE BUZZ 8 2 11 1½   1 1 (atras rob)SANTANA JR 123 12.00 5.90  
SECRET RULES 3 3 6 52   2 2 (giangiulio m)RIVERA R 125 3.50 39% 1.50 2.10 P
MISTER J T 6 8 8 6   5 3 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00 18% 4.60 8.30 S
COMMERCE COMET 4 7 7 86   7 4 (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 5.40  
POPPY'S PRIDE 7 6 31 2½   32 5 (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00 12.00  
1A  PIPES AND DRUMS 5 5 21 42   6 6 (toscano t)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.00 17.80  
COLD AS HELL 2 4 53 3   42 7 (dutrow e)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00 4.30  
CEES GET DEGREES 1 1 42 7   8 8 (potts wayne)CANCEL ERIC 125 5.00 17% 4.80 5.70  
SCR  CAPTURE THE TIME               (yanez reynaldo)AGUILAR JEAN 120 8.00    
SCR  DANGEROUS RIDE               (kantarmaci ilkay)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.00    
SCR  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND               (kantarmaci ilkay)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/19/2024 6270ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:14 1:373   1:543   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WONDERFUL JUSTICE (GB) 7 6 1 11 1½ 1nk 1¼ (sharp joe)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00 25% 3.00 12.30 W
PIONEERING SPIRIT 5 4 2 21 2½ 2nk 2¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50 4.40  
IRWIN (IRE) 6 7 43 4 4 33 3 (antonacci philip)CARMOUCHE K 124 12.00 9% 10.50 11.50 S
DAUNT 1 1 5 53 52 5 4 (ribaudo ro)SANTANA JR 122 6.00 6.40  
MCCULLOUGH 3 3 64 6 64 6 5 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00 33% 2.10 2.05  
MONDEGO (GB) 2 2 32 3 3 4 6 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 3.45  
REALLY GOOD 8 8 86 7 8 7 7 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00 5.30  
MY IMAGINATION 4 5 75 86 7 811¼ 814¼ (bedard alan)RIVERA R 122 30.00 5% 19.00 75.25  
SCR  CALL ME HARRY               (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 8.00    
SCR  DYNADRIVE               (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 10.00    
SCR  MOORE'S LAW               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50    
SCR  RETWEET               (perez a)SILVERA RUBEN 126 30.00    
 
BAQ-10   10/19/2024 5940ft TURF RC11 FIRM Athenia Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:234 :49 1:133 1:371   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHILD OF THE MOON (FR) 4 5 6 6 52 31 1¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 24% 3.20 4.50 W
PREREQUISITE 6 2 32 33 31 1½ 2¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 13% 6.90 1.35 P
TUFANI 1 7 76 7 7 6 32 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 124 8.00 9% 10.10 13.70 S
PAPILIO (IRE) 7 6 4 43 4 5 42 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 4.00  
EDICT (ARG) 3 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 41 5 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00 15.60  
SPIRIT AND GLORY (IRE) 2 4 1½ 1½ 1½ 2½ 6 (falcone n)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.00 7.90  
THIRTY THOU KELVIN 8 1 54 5 62 7 7 (o'connell kathlee)CARMOUCHE K 122 20.00 52.75  
THREE PRIESTS (JPN) 5 8 8 8 85 8 8 (motion graham)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 24% 3.20 6.70  
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY               (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00    
SCR  EVIDENCIAS (BRZ)               (clement christophe)RIDER TBA 122 2.50    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.80    
 
BAQ-11   10/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:101 1:23   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASON MANIA 6 9 911½ 911¾ 76 35 1hd (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00 3.55  
BOLD VICTORY 9 10 1014½ 1012¼ 97 56 2hd (rodriguez gustav)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00 5% 19.00 22.40 P
ALTERNATE REALITY 8 7 89 6 4 2 3nk (chatterpaul nai)CASTILLO AMIN 124 20.00 19.20  
ALLABOUTTHEMONEY 2 5 2nk 2nk 1 1 41 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 124 15.00 38.00  
FIRST GLIMPSE 7 6 5 4 5 46 5 (morey e)SILVERA RUBEN 124 3.00 21% 3.90 4.00  
WILD BANKER 3 3 7 810¾ 8 77 6 (metivier)GRISALES DANILO 122 15.00 41.75  
HIGHER QUALITY 4 8 6 7 10 99 7 (potts wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.40  
WINTER'S GHOST 1 4 3.2 1nk 32 6 86 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 55% 0.80 3.10  
11  BLAKE B. 10 1 4 5 65 88 9 (giangiulio m)RIVERA R 122 4.50 3.45  
BAR FOURTEEN 5 2 1nk 3.2 2 10 1014 (reynolds patrick)LUZZI J 124 12.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
SCR  GRANDPA'S KID               (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 124 15.00    
 
BAQ-12   10/19/2024 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:221 :444 :561     1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MZ BIG BUCKS 4 1 32 2   2 1 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 12% 7.20 3.95 W
REFLEXIVITY (IRE) 8 2 12 1   1 2 (morey e)LUZZI J 121 8.00 5% 19.00 6.90 P
LA SALVADORENA 7 7 5 45   34 3 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 21% 3.80 3.45 S
LISA'S VISION 2 10 8 6   4 42 (duggan p)FRANCO MANUEL 121 15.00 20.80  
11  STRUTSHERSTUFF 10 6 22 3   5 5 (meyers f)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00 12.40  
10  PROGENY 9 5 64 55   67 66 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 23.80  
COLDHARDSTARE (SAF) 1 9 9 910½   911 7 (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 121 10.00 11.10  
MASTEROF THE TUNES 6 8 7 8   79 8 (lee joseph)SANTANA JR 121 10.00 22.60  
BRODERIE 5 4 4 77   8 9 (abreu fernan)RIVERA R 123 20.00 61.00  
LESLIE'S HUMOR 3 3 10 1015½   10100 10100 (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 37% 1.70 1.95  
SCR  GETAWAY PALACE               (perez a)SILVERA RUBEN 123 15.00    
SCR  OBSTREPEROUS               (smith g)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
SCR  RECONCILE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.