Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - October 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-2   Win (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-3   Win (5/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-4   Win (1/3/10/9/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-5   Win (1/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-6   Win (3/9/10/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-7   Win (6/8/4/2/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-8   Win (4/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-9   Win (3/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-10   Win (4/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-11   Win (1/7/9/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-12   Win (3/7/4/11/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   10/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD MILES Sep28 Aug23 Jul20 Jun22 Apr20 (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
LOCKED Nov03 Oct07 Sep01 Aug05   (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 0.80 59% 0.70    
QUALITY CHIC Aug11 Jul11 May27 May03 Mar30 (jacobson david)SILVERA RUBEN 121 20.00    
GUN IT Aug22 Jul20 Jun08 May26 Nov17 (kantarmaci ilka)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50    
BRAMITO Oct05 Aug30 Jul24 Apr12 Sep24 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 6% 16.10    
SCR  THRILL OF IT Jul26 Jun08 May02 Apr05 Mar03 (terranova jo)RIVERA R 125 15.00    
COSTA TERRA Sep15 Aug24 Aug02 Jul20 Jun07 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.50    
 
BAQ-2   10/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT-12:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDIANQUEST Jul04 Jun07 May02 Mar14   (falcone n)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50    
1A  PROVE WORTHY Jul14 Jun06 May03 Mar30 Jul16 (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 60% 0.70    
SCR  RAKIA Sep06 Aug16 Jul20 Jun22 May18 (de horacio)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
PRINCIPE D'ORO Aug30 Aug07 Jul18 Jun22 May18 (rodriguez gustav)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WHISKEY N SODA Aug16 Jul25 Jun01 Apr20   (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
STREET SWAGG Sep18 Aug11 Jul14 Jun23 May26 (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00    
SMILE MON Sep21 Sep01 Aug17 Jun08 Apr18 (atras rob)SANTANA JR 124 3.00    
COOL OPERATOR Aug30 Jun22 May27 Apr12 Mar09 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 12% 7.00    
SCR  PROVISION Sep29 Aug29 Jul31 Jun20 Apr28 (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Awad Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 1:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONCORD GREEN Sep28 Aug17       (mcgaughey claude )DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50    
SURFSIDE MOON Sep28 Aug22 Jul24 Jun05   (lawrence le)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
MCDIESEL Sep22 Aug25 Aug01 Jul07   (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00    
VALUATION METRIC Sep14 Aug17       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 26% 2.90    
TIZ DASHING Sep20         (tagg barclay)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
FULLY AUTHORIZED Sep28 Sep07 Aug24     (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
AVIATOR GUI Sep28 Aug10       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
FLAMINGPROPOSITION Sep28 Sep21 Sep05 Aug24   (ryan s)OLVER MADISON 120 20.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($46K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREET VIEW Aug08 Jul17 Jun16 May05 Apr14 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 43% 1.30    
JENAS MERCY Sep20 Oct13       (brown r)LUZZI J 120 30.00    
SALE LEASEBACK (IRE) Sep20 Jul21 Oct13     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 23% 3.40    
PARK AVENUE BETTY Aug24 Jul17 Jun06     (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00    
EXOTIC CAT Sep20 Aug02 Nov10 Oct26 Sep03 (pregman)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 30.00    
ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) Sep20 Jul21 May16 Apr04 Jan11 (metivier)GRISALES DANILO 124 30.00    
SCR  CLASSIC CARA Jun23 May02 Apr20 Mar08 Nov18 (friedman mitche)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
UNDERTHEMISTLETOE Sep05 Jul23       (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
ASHDALE         (bond har)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  OUR FINEST HOUR (FR) Aug31 Jul19 May18 Mar15 Jan21 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 12% 7.60    
11  TRUE MYTH Sep20 Aug16 Jun23 Oct20 Oct05 (terranova jo)RIVERA R 120 6.00    
12  PURRFECT GIRL Sep15 Aug02 Jun23 Mar31   (dutrow anthony )FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AIN'T NO LADY Aug27 Jul26 Jun19 May29 May13 (englehart ch)RIVERA R 120 20.00    
SCR  LOOKING FOR GINNY Aug16 Jul17 Jun28 Jun05 Apr20 (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 4.50    
SCR  FOCUS POCUS Aug23 Jun16 May16 Apr06 Sep01 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 6.00    
SCR  LOOKS FIRST Apr19 Mar09 Jul23 Jun18   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/19/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAMERA Aug22 Jul18 Jun08 May04 Apr07 (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  WHOCOULDASKFORMO Aug22 May17 Apr06 Mar02 Feb10 (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50    
WHISTLER'S STYLE Sep13 Aug16 Jul04 Jun15 May11 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00    
MY SHEA D LADY Aug25 Jul17 Jun14 Apr14 Dec16 (david a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00 22% 3.50    
FADE TO GREY Sep22 Jul17 Jun16     (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50    
BON ADIEU Sep20 Aug14 Aug03 Jun09 May11 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
TONED UP Aug01 Jul11 Jul04 Jun21 Apr18 (kantarmaci ilkay)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00    
CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Sep13 Aug14 Aug03 Jul18 Jun20 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.50 13% 6.70    
JUST MUSIC Aug23 Jul21 Jul11 Jul04 May24 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SORORITY PRANK Oct04 Aug15 Jul27 Jun30 Jun15 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
SCR  AZ U CHASE ME Sep29 Aug02 Jun29 Jun09 Mar23 (englehart chris)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00    
ICE TIME Sep29 Sep01 Jul21 May18 Apr24 (ferraro w)LUZZI J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
TREATY OBLIGATION Aug24 Jun30 May16 Jul21 Jun22 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 34% 2.00    
STORMING CHROME Sep21 Aug17 Jun22 May18 Apr28 (de hor)SANTANA JR 124 10.00    
MORE VINO Oct06 Sep19 Aug21 Jun23 Mar10 (goberdh)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 20.00    
WAITLIST Sep01 Jul24 Jun09 May12 Apr12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50    
HAVE YOU HEARD Aug17 Jul27 Jul13 May18 Apr26 (maker michae)RIVERA R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCREAMING UNCLE Jul14 Jun23 May26 Apr04 Feb24 (bhigroog chetram)CANCEL ERIC 122 30.00    
UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL Aug17 Jul25 Jun09 Apr18 Mar27 (kantarmaci ilkay)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.50 33% 2.00    
10  MODICA Sep19 Aug04 May23 Apr26 Mar07 (weaver george)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 9% 10.10    
 
BAQ-7   10/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIGFOOT SIGHTING         (atras rob)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
IRON MAX Aug30 Aug01 Jul24     (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
FIREBREATHINGBROWN         (nevin mi)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00    
GEORGE BRIGGS         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 16% 5.50    
POWERED BY COAL Aug30         (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00    
DEEMER Aug30         (devaux cherie)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 35% 1.90    
CALLING CARD Aug25         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
TRINITY RIVER Aug30         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00 25% 3.00    
SOUNDS LIKE A PLAN Sep28         (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
10  TWOHONESTMISCHIEF Sep22 Sep02       (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 119 50.00    
11  GUNNER'S GOLD         (quick p)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 30.00    
12  JUST CLARITY Sep22         (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  REAL SAVVY Aug30 Aug01       (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50    
SCR  I'M DUE Sep07         (sweezey kent)LUZZI J 119 8.00    
SCR  JUST LICORICE Sep22         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
SCR  SKY MASTERSON Sep22 Aug29 Aug01 Jul24 Jul07 (contessa c)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PIPES AND DRUMS Sep14 Aug08 Jun29 May31 Jul02 (toscano t)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.00    
SCR  DANGEROUS RIDE Sep27 Aug28 Aug08 Jun09 Apr26 (kantarmaci ilkay)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.00    
SCR  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Oct05 Aug23 Aug01 Jul05 Apr28 (kantarmaci ilkay)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.00    
CEES GET DEGREES Aug28 Jul21 May09 Mar29 Feb09 (potts wayne)CANCEL ERIC 125 5.00 17% 4.80    
COLD AS HELL Aug28 Aug10 Jul12 Jun06 May02 (dutrow e)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00    
SECRET RULES Sep27 Aug28 Aug10 May19 Apr18 (giangiulio m)RIVERA R 125 3.50 39% 1.50    
COMMERCE COMET Sep21 Aug22 Feb19 Feb03 Jan12 (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00    
MISTER J T Sep14 Aug22 Aug11 Jun16 May19 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00 18% 4.60    
POPPY'S PRIDE Aug28 Aug10 Jul13 Jun23 Jun09 (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
BACKSIDE BUZZ Aug05 Jun29 May16 Apr20 Apr07 (atras rob)SANTANA JR 123 12.00    
SCR  CAPTURE THE TIME Oct05 Sep07 May18 May01 Apr14 (yanez reynaldo)AGUILAR JEAN 120 8.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/19/2024 6270ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAUNT Aug17 Jul14 Jun16 May02 Nov11 (ribaudo ro)SANTANA JR 122 6.00    
MONDEGO (GB) Aug17 Jul14 May02 Nov04 Sep09 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50    
MCCULLOUGH Aug31 Jun30 Feb18 Dec24 Nov06 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00 33% 2.10    
MY IMAGINATION Mar20 Feb21 Jan01 Dec05 Oct28 (bedard alan)RIVERA R 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
PIONEERING SPIRIT Sep20 Sep01 Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50    
IRWIN (IRE) Sep02 Aug11 Jun10 Oct08 Aug28 (antonacci philip)CARMOUCHE K 124 12.00 9% 10.50    
WONDERFUL JUSTICE (GB) Sep28 May17 Apr19 Mar16 Jan20 (sharp joe)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  DYNADRIVE Sep07 Apr20 Mar02 Jan27 Oct08 (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 10.00    
REALLY GOOD Aug21 Jun06 May02 Mar30 Feb17 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00    
SCR  CALL ME HARRY Sep15 Aug17 Jul13 Jun15 May17 (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 8.00    
SCR  RETWEET Sep21 Aug30 Aug01 Jul08 Jun25 (perez a)SILVERA RUBEN 126 30.00    
SCR  MOORE'S LAW Jul21 May04 Sep03 Aug11 Jul14 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50    
 
BAQ-10   10/19/2024 5940ft TURF RC11 FIRM Athenia Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUFANI Aug31 Jul20 Mar23 Jan20 Dec30 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 124 8.00 9% 10.10    
SPIRIT AND GLORY (IRE) Aug31 Jun15 May11 Apr21 Mar23 (falcone n)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.00    
EDICT (ARG) Jun16 May24 May12 Mar16 Feb17 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00    
CHILD OF THE MOON (FR) Sep02 Jul19       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 24% 3.20    
THREE PRIESTS (JPN) Sep07         (motion graham)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
PREREQUISITE Sep02 Aug19 Jul08 Jun11 May07 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 13% 6.90    
PAPILIO (IRE) Sep05 Jul20 Jun20 May03 Feb24 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00    
THIRTY THOU KELVIN Sep08 Aug14 Jul13 May18 Apr21 (o'connell kathlee)CARMOUCHE K 122 20.00    
SCR  EVIDENCIAS (BRZ) Sep18 Aug04 Jun15 Mar27 Feb25 (clement christophe)RIDER TBA 122 2.50    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY Aug03 Jul26 Apr14 Mar30 Feb25 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.80    
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY Jul11 Jun21 May10 Dec28 Oct29 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00    
 
BAQ-11   10/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINTER'S GHOST Oct03 Sep01 Aug15 Mar30 Feb25 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 55% 0.80    
ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Oct03 Sep14 Aug15 Jul26 May18 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 124 15.00    
WILD BANKER Sep28 Aug30 Aug15 Jul24 Jun27 (metivier)GRISALES DANILO 122 15.00    
HIGHER QUALITY Sep13 Jul11 Jun21 May18 Apr25 (potts wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
BAR FOURTEEN Oct10 Sep15 Aug01 Jul21 Jun21 (reynolds patrick)LUZZI J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
MASON MANIA Oct03 Jul26 May26 Apr26 Mar16 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00    
FIRST GLIMPSE Oct03 Sep13 Jul19 Jun28 May26 (morey e)SILVERA RUBEN 124 3.00 21% 3.90    
ALTERNATE REALITY Oct05 Sep19 Jul20 Jul12 Jul05 (chatterpaul nai)CASTILLO AMIN 124 20.00    
BOLD VICTORY Sep13 Jul11 Jun21 May02 Mar30 (rodriguez gustav)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  GRANDPA'S KID Oct03 Sep13 Jul21 Jun22 May26 (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 124 15.00    
11  BLAKE B. Sep23 Jun21 May26 May11 Apr14 (giangiulio m)RIVERA R 122 4.50    
 
BAQ-12   10/19/2024 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLDHARDSTARE         (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 121 10.00    
LISA'S VISION Aug25 Jul07 Jun09 Dec31 Dec03 (duggan p)FRANCO MANUEL 121 15.00    
LESLIE'S HUMOR Sep14 Aug15 Jul14 May17 Jan14 (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
MZ BIG BUCKS Sep13 Aug08 Jul11 May24 Nov16 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 12% 7.20    
BRODERIE Jul19 Jun06 May11 Mar31 Feb03 (abreu fernan)RIVERA R 123 20.00    
MASTEROF THE TUNES Sep14 Jul20 Jun29 May19 Apr27 (lee joseph)SANTANA JR 121 10.00    
LA SALVADORENA Aug22 Jul14 Jun16 Apr18   (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  OBSTREPEROUS Sep05 Jul25 Jul04 Mar27 Mar10 (smith g)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
REFLEXIVITY (IRE) Oct03 Sep20 Aug29 Jul20 Jun29 (morey e)LUZZI J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  PROGENY Sep28 Aug16 Jul13 Jul06 May09 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
11  STRUTSHERSTUFF Sep23 Aug24       (meyers f)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GETAWAY PALACE Sep16 Aug30 Jul26 Jun26 Jun17 (perez a)SILVERA RUBEN 123 15.00    
SCR  RECONCILE Aug15 Jul20 Mar16 Feb17 Jan27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.