Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-3   WIN (2/6/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $25.40 $17.40 218%
    EXA (2/6/4/8)-(2/6/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-2 $23.50 $11.50 96%
    TRI (2/6/4/8)-(2/6/4/8)-(2/6/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00  8-2-6 $22.25 $10.25 85%
BAQ-4   DD (2/6/4/8)-(7/5/2/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-7 $18.40 $2.40 15%
BAQ-8   WIN (5/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $16.00 $8.00 100%
    EXA (5/8/3/2)-(5/8/3/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-6 $23.50 $7.50 47%
    TRI (5/8/3/2)-(5/8/3/6/2)-(5/8/3/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00  3-6-5 $27.62 $3.62 15%
    SFT (5/8/3/2)-(5/8/3/6/2)-(5/8/3/6/2)-(5/8/3/6/2) 96 $0.10 $9.60  3-6-5-8 $17.85 $8.25 86%
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   10/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUICK HAMMER 7 1 3½ 1nk   12 1nk (potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 123 1.20 3.05  
8  DEVIL'S CAY 8 3 61¾ 41¾   22 2nk (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 34% 1.90 1.80 P
5  MIDNIGHT WORKER 4 6 51¾ 52¼   44½ 33¾ (legall)GRISALES DANILO 121 12.00 24.25  
4  WHENLOVETAKESOVER 3 5 1½ 3.2   33 44¼ (quick patr)RIVERA R 123 12.00 5% 19.00 19.60  
3  THANK YOU JON 2 4 41½ 63¼   66 55¾ (romero)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00 25% 3.10 3.60  
7  BADLANDS RULER 6 2 2½ 2nk   55 67¾ (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 15.00 10.60  
6  SUGAR GRAY LEONARD 5 7 72¾ 74¼   78 79¾ (sciacca gary)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00 10% 9.10 4.60  
2  GRUMLEY 1 8 85¾ 89¼   812 816¼ (giglio gina)LUZZI J 121 20.00 42.00  
SCR  MAGNIFICENT MILE               (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 1.20    
 
BAQ-2   10/10/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:09
See original race card.
:23 :453 :57     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GOLDEN ROCKET 5 1 53½ 44   32½ 1¼ (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 3.40  
2  MARCO T. 2 4 32½ 33   42½ 2¼ (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 37% 1.70 1.15 P
1  SOLIB 1 3 11½ 11½   11½ 32¼ (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 121 5.00 27% 2.70 2.90 S
7  LATEST EDITION 6 2 21½ 21½   21½ 42¾ (morley t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 12.00 17.60  
3  AUTUMN GLORY 3 5 64½ 65   56½ 56½ (quick j)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00 5% 17.90 21.50  
4  IM JUST KIDDIN 4 6 42½ 54½   67 610 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00 5.60  
SCR  FOXY CARA               (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 125 6.00    
SCR  KERRY               (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 123 1.20    
SCR  QUEENS MASTERPIECE               (bond jam)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00    
SCR  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/10/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:132 1:381   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BERNIETAKESCHARGE 8 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 12½ 16¼ (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00 7% 13.90 11.70 W
2  CALL HER BLUFF 2 5 2½ 2½ 2½ 22½ 26¼ (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 43% 1.30 1.85 P
6  BROWN SUGA BABE 6 6 3½ 31 31 33½ 37 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 1.40 16% 5.30 0.85 S
5  RACING COLORS 5 8 86 85¼ 67 69 410¼ (follett )GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 6.00 17.80  
4  APRIL ANTICS 4 4 62¼ 62¾ 43 47 512¼ (barrera oscar)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 10% 9.20 13.50  
3  ECHO IN ETERNITY 3 3 52¼ 52½ 53 59 615½ (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 10.30  
7  AMITY ISLAND 7 7 75¾ 75¼ 77¼ 713 720½ (persaud eddie)LUZZI J 122 30.00 ######  
1  KRYSTALHEIR 1 2 42 42½ 89¼ 817 822¾ (coffe)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 20.00 67.00  
 
BAQ-4   10/10/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:122 1:242   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KALIK 7 7 53½ 64 73¼ 21½ 12 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.40 31% 2.20 0.75 W
9  EVER DANGEROUS 9 5 1nk 11 11 11½ 22 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 ★ 7.20 P
3  HE'S GOT THIS 3 3 97¼ 86¾ 63 53 32½ (abreu fern)RIVERA R 124 15.00 13.80  
5  BODECREAM 5 2 32 53 52 42½ 42½ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.50 31% 2.20 5.90  
1  LIFE AND LIGHT 1 1 2nk 21 31½ 31½ 52¾ (pring)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 50.00 81.50  
4  SELL SOMETHING 4 8 109¾ 97¼ 96¾ 95¾ 64¼ (de horacio)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00 45.50  
2  STREET READY 2 9 87¼ 108¼ 85¾ 85¼ 74¾ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 14% 6.10 4.30  
10  KHAFRE 10 10 42½ 32 21 64 85 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 20.00 5% 19.00 46.75  
8  DREAMPOINT 8 6 63¾ 43 41½ 75 99¼ (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 122 30.00 53.00  
6  BAR FOURTEEN 6 4 75¾ 76½ 107¾ 108¾ 1010½ (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00 30.25  
SCR  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES               (duggan dav)RIVERA R 124 5.00    
SCR  HIGH TIDE               (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 126 15.00    
SCR  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT               (kantarmaci ilkay)RIDER TBA 122 4.50    
SCR  MAILMAN MONEY               (breen j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00    
SCR  SUERTE               (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00    
SCR  VALENZAN DAY               (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:12     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MY FIRST LOVE 6 8 74¼ 63¼   2½ 12¾ (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00 4.50  
7  GHOSTLY GIRL 7 1 1½ 1½   1½ 22¾ (toscano)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 8.00 10.30  
1  GRINGOTTS 2 7 52¾ 53   65 34 (samsun)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00 12.80  
8  JOLLY MISS JILL 9 3 64¼ 73¼   75¼ 44 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 20.00 5% 19.00 54.50  
4  CONDIMENT GIRL 4 2 3½ 41   53 54¾ (potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 125 4.50 19% 4.30 6.90  
3  PRETTI XTREME 3 6 42½ 31   31½ 65 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 25% 3.10 2.10  
9  EVERLYS GIRL 10 4 2½ 2½   41½ 76½ (chatterpaul nai)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00 6% 15.30 8.10  
2  R FUNNY BIZNESS 1 9 98¾ 96½   86¾ 88½ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 25% 3.00 2.90  
1A  CARBON 8 5 84¾ 83½   99¼ 99¾ (samsu)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 6.00 12.80  
5  JOEY THE FISH 5 10 1018¾ 1017½   1014¼ 1013¼ (persaud randi)OTERO AAROM 113 20.00 48.00  
 
BAQ-6   10/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:11     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CHALKY CAT 6 8 74½ 41   12 13¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 ★ 4.30  
4  GIANT'S FIRE 4 5 42 51¼   32½ 23¼ (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00 ★ 2.70 P
3  BOOM BOOM THUNDER 3 3 2nk 2nk   22 35½ (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 15.00 33.00  
9  J D FACTOR 9 2 63 61¾   47 46½ (dutrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 1.80 55% 0.80 1.90  
7  IRIE MAN 7 7 86½ 86¼   67½ 58½ (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 18.00  
1  CONNIVING 1 9 914½ 911¾   912 612¼ (chichakly amir)LUZZI J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 9.30  
8  SOLO IN PARIS 8 1 52½ 73¼   78½ 712¼ (persaud randi)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00 54.25  
5  MUAZARAH 5 4 31 3½   57 813½ (trites l)RIVERA R 120 20.00 26.00  
2  ROYAL KING 2 6 1nk 1nk   811½ 918¾ (toscano john )FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 18% 4.50 5.00  
 
BAQ-7   10/10/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:49
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:13 1:243   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRISBANE (FR) 1 9 87½ 85¾ 33 12½ 1¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 ★ 6.80  
2  VENENCIA (FR) 2 7 109 108 74¾ 52¾ 2¾ (brown chad )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.50 23% 3.30 1.25 P
8  AWESOME CZECH 8 10 66 75¾ 63¾ 42¾ 31¼ (de horaci)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.00 11% 8.30 3.55 S
6  STRIKER HAS DIAL 6 3 22 33½ 21½ 22½ 43¼ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 43% 1.30 6.10  
10  TOASTED ROLL 10 4 12 11½ 11½ 32½ 54¼ (sharp joe)RIVERA R 118 12.00 16.60  
5  BY ANY OTHER NAME (AUS) 5 2 44 44 53½ 66¼ 66¼ (mott i)DAVIS KATIE 122 8.00 19.60  
3  ASPEN DAWN 3 6 98 97¾ 97¼ 77¼ 77½ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 14.50  
9  DETERMINED LILLY 9 8 77½ 65½ 86¾ 810¼ 811¼ (trombetta micha)CANCEL ERIC 124 10.00 14.70  
4  RISK FREE 4 1 54½ 55½ 1010¼ 913¼ 914¼ (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 70.25  
7  PROUD MARY 7 5 32½ 21½ 43½ 1017¼ 1028¼ (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00 5% 19.00 46.75  
SCR  BEST IMPRESSION               (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
SCR  BON ADIEU               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 124 12.00    
SCR  SAVE US MELANIA               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 118 2.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/10/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:231 :462 :58     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BLOSSOMING ERUDITE 3 3 11½ 1½   1nk 1¼ (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 119 8.00 9% 9.80 7.00 W
  (by SOLOMINI out of BLOSSOMED IN TIME by FLOWER ALLEY)
6  KYLA'S KAUSE 6 4 31½ 2½   2nk 2¼ (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 119 3.00 ★ 2.85 P
  (by DAREDEVIL out of MAXIMOVA by DANEHILL DANCER (IRE))
5  TAHILA 5 5 21½ 33   32½ 3½ (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00 53% 0.90 1.80 S
  (by UNION RAGS out of CUCCIDATI by STREET CRY (IRE))
8  DREAMWORKIN 8 7 64 43½   44 43¼ (dutrow rich)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 13% 6.40 4.30  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of EGG ROLL by WAQUOIT)
7  BACKCHECK 7 10 1010 912½   610½ 56¼ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 5.50  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ONEBRETHATATIME by BRETHREN)
1  MISCHIEVOUS TRICK 1 6 75½ 610½   510 68¼ (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 119 30.00 53.50  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SWEET SLAM by GRAND SLAM)
4  O K TO DANCE 4 2 42 811½   710¾ 79¼ (hills a)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00 42.50  
  (by WAR DANCER out of O. K. KAY by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
2  DEFLECTION POINT 2 8 87½ 710½   811¼ 810½ (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00 5% 19.00 36.75  
  (by INSTAGRAND out of WESTERLY by GONE WEST)
10  SUNSHINE THEFT 10 9 99½ 1024½   1024¼ 928½ (contessa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00 47.25  
  (by UNIFIED out of EVERYBODY LOVES ME by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
9  FROGHOLLOWSUMMER 9 1 52½ 56½   919¼ 1032¼ (martin car)RIVERA R 119 15.00 36.75  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of SHOOP by UNCLE MO)
SCR  CARA'S DREAMWEAVER               (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 119 10.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of DREAMING OF CARA by NORTH LIGHT)
SCR  DYNAMITENDIAMONDS               (sanchez-piner)SILVERA RUBEN 119 20.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of LITERARY LADY by BIRDSTONE)
SCR  FOREVER TO GO               (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of FORGET IT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  INFASTUATION               (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of TIZ MY LOVE by TIZ WONDERFUL)
SCR  MARIA MOON               (schultz l)VARGAS A 119 15.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of STOPSPENDINGMARIA by MONTBROOK)
SCR  WILD MISCHIEF               (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of WILD BILL'S GIRL by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.