Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (8/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-2   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-3   Win (2/6/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-4   Win (7/5/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-5   Win (2/3/4/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-6   Win (9/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-7   Win (6/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-8   Win (5/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   10/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK HAMMER Jul28 Jun28 May18 Apr18 Mar29 (potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 123 1.20    
SCR  MAGNIFICENT MILE Sep14 Aug22 Jul14 Jun28 May19 (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 1.20    
GRUMLEY Sep15 Jan05 Sep02 Sep21 Aug21 (giglio gina)LUZZI J 121 20.00    
THANK YOU JON Sep21 Aug18 Jul14 Jun16 May17 (romero j)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00 25% 3.10    
WHENLOVETAKESOVER Sep14 Jul21 Jun16 May18 Apr05 (quick patric)RIVERA R 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
MIDNIGHT WORKER Jul21 May26 Apr12 Mar15 Mar07 (legall r)GRISALES DANILO 121 12.00    
SUGAR GRAY LEONARD Sep19 Sep01 Jul13 Jun16 May17 (sciacca gary)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00 10% 9.10    
BADLANDS RULER Sep20 Aug18 Aug11 Jun29 May09 (chatter)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 15.00    
DEVIL'S CAY Sep10 Aug12 Jul28 Jul12 Jun23 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 34% 1.90    
 
BAQ-2   10/10/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLIB Aug22 Jul11 May24 Apr04 Jan05 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 121 5.00 27% 2.70    
MARCO T. Sep13 Aug08 Jun15 May12 May02 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 37% 1.70    
AUTUMN GLORY Sep13 Jul24 Jun28 May24 Nov09 (quick j)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00 5% 17.90    
IM JUST KIDDIN Sep13 Aug22 Jul24 Jan04 Sep17 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00    
SCR  KERRY Jul25 Jun29 May26 Apr27 Dec30 (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 123 1.20    
GOLDEN ROCKET Sep02 Jul20 Feb17 Feb02 Dec31 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00    
LATEST EDITION Sep13 Aug08 Jun15 Jun05 Oct26 (morley tho)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 12.00    
SCR  QUEENS MASTERPIECE Aug28 May27 Apr12 Jan19 Nov25 (bond james)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00    
SCR  FOXY CARA Sep26 Aug18 Aug02 Jul07 Jun20 (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 125 6.00    
SCR  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN Mar30 Jan19 Dec31 Dec08 Nov10 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/10/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KRYSTALHEIR Sep13 Aug14 Jun20 May24 Apr18 (coffey )HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 20.00    
CALL HER BLUFF Aug25 Aug03 Jul04 May16 Apr14 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
ECHO IN ETERNITY Sep13 Aug14 Jul24 Jun23 May24 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
APRIL ANTICS Sep13 Aug16 Jul05 Apr04 Mar15 (barrera s)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 10% 9.20    
RACING COLORS Sep13 Aug22 Jul18 Jun20 May12 (follett no)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 6.00    
BROWN SUGA BABE Sep27 Sep02 Aug22 Jul24 Jun26 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 1.40 16% 5.30    
AMITY ISLAND Sep22 Aug22 Aug14 Jul04 Jun20 (persaud eddie)LUZZI J 122 30.00    
BERNIETAKESCHARGE Aug28 Jul18 Jun09 May05 Mar17 (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00 7% 13.90    
 
BAQ-4   10/10/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 Claiming ($32K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIFE AND LIGHT Sep13 Aug04 Apr25 Apr06 Feb18 (pringle edmund)OLVER MADISON 122 50.00    
STREET READY Aug18 Jul24 Mar30 Feb29 Dec23 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 14% 6.10    
HE'S GOT THIS Sep13 Aug15 May31 May12 Apr10 (abreu fernan)RIVERA R 124 15.00    
SELL SOMETHING Aug17 Jul21 Jun21 May24 Nov16 (de horacio)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00    
BODECREAM Sep04 Aug11 Jun15 May26 Nov16 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.50 31% 2.20    
BAR FOURTEEN Sep15 Aug01 Jul21 Jun21 May24 (reynolds p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00    
KALIK Sep01 Jun23 May17 Aug20 Jul08 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.40 31% 2.20    
DREAMPOINT Jul21 Jun16 Jun08 May18 Dec07 (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 122 30.00    
EVER DANGEROUS Sep01 Jun09 Apr23 Mar15 Jan28 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00    
10  KHAFRE Sep19 Jul26 Jun27 May18 Apr07 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MAILMAN MONEY Jul21 Jun30 Jun08 May25 Apr14 (breen j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00    
SCR  HIGH TIDE Sep21 Aug23 Jul24 Jul05 May26 (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 126 15.00    
SCR  VALENZAN DAY Jul26 Jun29 May25 May19 Jul14 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.00    
SCR  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Aug21 Jul25 Jun30 May04 Mar30 (kantarmaci ilkay)RIDER TBA 122 4.50    
SCR  SUERTE Sep13 Aug21 Jul13 Jun08 Mar09 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00    
SCR  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES Sep13 Aug30 Aug04 Jul11 Apr26 (duggan david)RIVERA R 124 5.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRINGOTTS Sep29 Sep15 Aug03 Jul14 Jul05 (samsunda)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00    
1A  CARBON Sep29 Jul20 Feb19 Jan28 Jan05 (samsund)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 6.00    
R FUNNY BIZNESS Sep15 Aug14 Jul25 Jul02 Jun11 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 25% 3.00    
PRETTI XTREME Aug16 Jun21 Apr18 Mar15 Feb10 (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 25% 3.10    
CONDIMENT GIRL Sep15 Aug14 Jul25 Jun22 May25 (potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 125 4.50 19% 4.30    
JOEY THE FISH Jul25 Jun21 May24 May10 Apr21 (persaud randi)OTERO AAROM 113 20.00    
MY FIRST LOVE Sep15 Aug29 Jul20 Jun21 May05 (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00    
GHOSTLY GIRL Aug14 Jul28 Jun30 May24 Apr20 (toscano j)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 8.00    
JOLLY MISS JILL Sep15 Jul25 Jun21 May10 Apr21 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
EVERLYS GIRL Sep15 Aug14 Aug03 Jul20 May16 (chatterpaul naipa)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00 6% 15.30    
 
BAQ-6   10/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONNIVING Sep27 Aug31 Jul24 May12 Apr12 (chichakly amira)LUZZI J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
ROYAL KING Sep27 Aug07 Jul21 Apr12 Mar21 (toscano t)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 18% 4.50    
BOOM BOOM THUNDER Aug07 Jul22 Jul01 May10 Apr29 (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 15.00    
GIANT'S FIRE Aug07 Jul12 Jun14 May19 Apr11 (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00    
MUAZARAH Sep27 Aug07 Jul12 Jun22 Jun07 (trites lan)RIVERA R 120 20.00    
CHALKY CAT Sep21 Aug16 Mar29 Feb29 Jan04 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50    
IRIE MAN Sep21 Sep01 Aug16 Jul24 May25 (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
SOLO IN PARIS Sep02 Jul20 Jul12 May18 Apr27 (persaud randi)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00    
J D FACTOR Sep21 Aug18 Jun17 May05 Mar24 (dutrow r)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 1.80 55% 0.80    
 
BAQ-7   10/10/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRISBANE         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00    
VENENCIA (FR) Sep02 Jun11 Apr27     (brown c)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
ASPEN DAWN Sep07 Aug16 Jul11     (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
RISK FREE Jul19 Jun30 May05 Apr27 Apr14 (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
BY ANY OTHER NAME         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00    
STRIKER HAS DIAL Sep21 Aug03 Jul12 Jun06 May04 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 43% 1.30    
PROUD MARY Sep14 Aug15 Jun29 May26 Apr20 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
AWESOME CZECH Sep07 Aug14 Jul21 Jun22 Nov17 (de horacio)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.00 11% 8.30    
DETERMINED LILLY Sep20 Sep02 Jul19 Jun28 May25 (trombetta michael)CANCEL ERIC 124 10.00    
10  TOASTED ROLL Sep14 Aug24 Jul29 Dec29 Nov26 (sharp joe)RIVERA R 118 12.00    
SCR  BEST IMPRESSION Aug31 Mar10 Jan27     (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
SCR  SAVE US MELANIA Sep19 Aug11 May30 Mar13 Feb14 (rice linda)RIDER TBA 118 2.00    
SCR  BON ADIEU Sep20 Aug14 Aug03 Jun09 May11 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 124 12.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/10/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 4:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEVOUS TRICK Sep20         (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 119 30.00    
DEFLECTION POINT         (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
BLOSSOMING ERUDITE Sep20         (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 119 8.00 9% 9.80    
O K TO DANCE         (hills a)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
TAHILA Aug25 Jul05       (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00 53% 0.90    
KYLA'S KAUSE Aug25         (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 119 3.00    
BACKCHECK         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00    
DREAMWORKIN Sep20         (dutrow e)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 13% 6.40    
FROGHOLLOWSUMMER Aug25         (martin carlo)RIVERA R 119 15.00    
10  SUNSHINE THEFT         (contessa g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
SCR  WILD MISCHIEF Sep02 Aug04       (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50    
SCR  FOREVER TO GO Sep02         (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.00    
SCR  MARIA MOON Aug31         (schultz lin)VARGAS A 119 15.00    
SCR  INFASTUATION Sep13 Aug25       (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00    
SCR  CARA'S DREAMWEAVER Sep13 Aug14 Jul05     (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 119 10.00    
SCR  DYNAMITENDIAMONDS Sep19         (sanchez-pinero )SILVERA RUBEN 119 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.