Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - September 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-2   WIN (13/1/6/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $29.60 $19.60 196%
    EXA (13/1/6/7/9)-(13/1/6/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-1 $104.50 $84.50 423%
BAQ-3   WIN (2/7/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $16.00 $8.00 100%
    DD (13/1/6/7/9)-(2/7/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-8 $113.00 $93.00 465%
BAQ-5   EXA (7/4/8/3)-(7/4/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-4 $12.60 $0.60 5%
BAQ-8   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $8.50 $2.50 42%
BAQ-9   WIN (3/1/5/11/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00  11 $36.40 $26.40 264%
    DD (3/6/4)-(3/1/5/11/12) 15 $1.00 $15.00  4-11 $77.75 $62.75 418%
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   09/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:10     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MY MAGIC WAND 5 1 1½ 1nk   13½ 15¾ (sacco gregory)VELAZQUEZ R 121 5.00 1.55  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GUN CLUB by TRAPPE SHOT)
5  FASHION VICTIM 4 3 2½ 2nk   23½ 25¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 1.20 43% 1.30 2.90 P
  (by TAPIT out of LASKARINA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  CITATIONAL 2 5 44 411   412 39½ (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 6.80  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of NINA FEVER by BORREGO)
2  BACK TO GRIDLOCK 1 2 31½ 31   35 410½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 29% 2.40 2.20  
  (by NYQUIST out of MISS LUNA by HENNY HUGHES)
4  REFUSE TO LOSE 3 4 55 513½   515 511¼ (de h)SANTANA JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00 7.70  
  (by UNION RAGS out of VICTORY PARTY by GUILTY CONSCIENCE)
SCR  COWGIRL CHARM               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 121 8.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of COUNTRY CAFE by LION HEART)
 
BAQ-2   09/27/2024 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
See original race card.
:22 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TYPHOON FURY 5 10 63¼ 42½   1½ 13 (toscano john )SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00 5% 19.00 13.80 W
1  INFLATION NATION (IRE) 12 6 52¼ 31½   31½ 23 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50 12% 7.60 8.30 P
11  BUCKORTWO 9 1 96¼ 66   53½ 33¼ (nevin m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 15.00 34.25  
13  RAGING 11 7 4¾ 2nk   2½ 43¼ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00 54% 0.90 1.55  
2  BAIE LONGUE 1 5 84¾ 87½   76½ 56½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 6.00 22.30  
6  FORWARD MOVE (IRE) 4 9 128½ 1213½   1011½ 67¼ (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 5.00 8% 11.10 2.90  
9  MUSICAL MAESTRO 7 12 118 99½   88 77½ (quick patrick)FRANCO MANUEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
5  TETA'S TROTTER 3 4 3½ 55   66 88¾ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 47.25  
3  ROYAL KING 2 2 1nk 1nk   43 99¼ (toscano t)ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00 10.40  
10  CONNIVING 8 11 107¾ 1010   910½ 1011¼ (chichakly amir)LUZZI J 120 20.00 57.25  
12  IRISH TENOR 10 8 73¼ 1112½   1224½ 1133½ (kimmel c)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 11.70  
8  MUAZARAH 6 3 2nk 76½   1123½ 1235½ (trites a)SANTANA JR 120 30.00 93.50  
SCR  AARAJ               (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50    
SCR  CAMM' DUKE               (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 121 8.00    
SCR  KORRONGO               (reynol)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00    
SCR  TRY HARDER               (vega ric)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 15.00    
 
BAQ-3   09/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:10     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SECRET RULES 6 2 21 2nk   1½ 11½ (giangiulio)RIVERA R 121 5.00 5% 17.60 7.00 W
6  MASTER OF ARMS 4 4 41½ 3½   3½ 21½ (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 4.50  
7  SQUIRE CREEK 5 1 11 1nk   2½ 31½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 15% 5.50 1.65 S
3  DANGEROUS RIDE 3 3 52 54   43½ 43½ (kantarmaci ilk)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.50 6.30  
2  GIROOVIN 2 6 65½ 68½   67 55¼ (falcone )SANTANA JR 121 4.50 47% 1.10 3.50  
1  DOT'S DOLLAR 1 5 31½ 43   54 66¾ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.00 5.20  
SCR  PRESIDENT Z               (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00    
SCR  SYNTHESIS               (jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-4   09/27/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:23 :481 1:13 1:384   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TONY O 1 4 32 52½ 31½ 1nk 1¼ (donk d)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 8.00 17.60  
10  SWEET TONE 10 1 74 73¾ 73 31½ 2¼ (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 10.20 P
7  CATTANI 7 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 2nk 2¼ (nevin michelle)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 37% 1.70 3.90 P
9  CHARMING JIM 9 10 1011½ 99¾ 96 72¾ 4¼ (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 124 5.00 ★ 5.80  
8  LANDAUER 8 9 99½ 1010¾ 109½ 94 5¾ (sciacca )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 58.50  
1  JUDGE RULES 6 6 63½ 84¼ 83½ 62¼ 61¼ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50 17% 4.80 5.40  
4  MAKEYOURMOMENT 3 5 42½ 42½ 41¾ 51¾ 71½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 23% 3.30 1.30  
3  ROHAN 2 8 85½ 63½ 62 41¾ 83 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 15.10  
5  CAN'T STAND DISCO 4 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 83 911¾ (paragal)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 30.00 69.00  
6  FELINE TREASURE 5 7 52½ 31½ 51¾ 107 1019¼ (shivmangal)RIVERA R 120 20.00 44.25  
SCR  DR. DARBY               (huertas )DAVIS A 124 30.00    
SCR  NEPTUNE BEACH               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 3.50    
SCR  PUREST PERFORMANCE               (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 121 10.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/27/2024 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:22 :45 :57     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FINAL VERDICT 7 3 31½ 2½   11½ 11½ (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.00 37% 1.70 3.00 W
4  CIGARETTE BOAT 4 2 2½ 32   31½ 21½ (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 20% 4.00 4.30 P
2  DANCING RINCA 2 7 86 66   45½ 34¾ (drysdale neil)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.00 2.30  
8  ALEXIS ZORBA (GB) 8 1 1½ 1½   21½ 45¾ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 17% 5.00 3.80  
1  ROUGH DRAFT 1 5 54 54   56 57 (abreu fern)RIVERA R 123 6.00 6.60  
5  VINSANITY 5 8 42 43½   66¼ 68 (arriag)GRISALES DANILO 118 20.00 60.50  
3  TOXIC GRAY 3 6 75½ 76½   78¼ 79¼ (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 121 10.00 5% 19.00 11.30  
6  BEZOS 6 4 64 812   816¼ 832 (persaud eddie)LUZZI J 121 50.00 44.25  
SCR  BACKSIDE BUZZ               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00    
SCR  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND               (kantarmaci il)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00    
SCR  LEDDY               (gober)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00    
SCR  LIGHT THE WAY               (nevin michelle)RIDER TBA 123 20.00    
SCR  NOTAH               (terranova p)RIDER TBA 121 5.00    
SCR  TIVY               (antonucci m)RIDER TBA 121 1.80    
 
BAQ-6   09/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:112 1:231   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PRAETOR 3 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 13½ 1¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.00 42% 1.40 1.25 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CURLIN'S APPROVAL by CURLIN)
4  SOVEREIGNTY 2 1 32 32 32 23½ 2¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.50 26% 2.90 2.45 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CROWNED by BERNARDINI)
6  CLASSICIST 4 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 34½ 34¼ (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 2.40  
  (by CURLIN out of PLAYTIME by TIMELESS NATIVE)
7  LAIRD OF MAGNOLIA 5 6 56 511½ 411 419½ 423¾ (reynol)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00 54.00  
  (by TONALIST out of MAGNOLIA'S LADY by FREUD)
8  BURN NOTICE 6 4 68 615 622½ 628 527¾ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00 19.70  
  (by TONALIST out of MRS. GOT ROCKS by LEMON DROP KID)
3  PIRANDELLO 1 5 44½ 49½ 512½ 523½ 633¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
  (by STREET SENSE out of MARJAYOUN by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  FREAKY               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ENCHANTED GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  SPURGEON               (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of LIPSTICK CITY by CITY ZIP)
 
BAQ-7   09/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:114 1:244   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROWN SUGA BABE 1 6 42 31 21 11 16¼ (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.00 2.55  
6  CHASING DAYLIGHT 6 2 11 1½ 11 21 26¼ (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 5% 19.00 12.10 P
3  FIVE TO TWO 3 4 31½ 42 31 33 37¼ (de h)SANTANA JR 118 4.50 14% 6.20 7.30 S
4  NOLITA 4 5 52 73½ 63 46½ 411¾ (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 56% 0.80 1.60  
7  SHEHANAH 7 1 62½ 52 42 56½ 514½ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 23.40  
5  MISS CITY GIRL 5 7 85 85 86½ 89½ 614½ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 10.60  
2  GO NY GO 2 8 74½ 63 76 79 716 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 6% 14.40 18.00  
8  ENFUEGA 8 3 21 2½ 52½ 68 817½ (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 5.40  
 
BAQ-8   09/27/2024 5940ft TURF RC11 FIRM Ashley Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:233 :501 1:154 1:393   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HUSH OF A STORM 4 5 66 64 64¼ 61¾ 1½ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 11% 7.80 3.25 W
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of HUSH NOW by FLATTER)
3  DAKOTA GOLD 3 7 78 74 42 21 2½ (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 126 1.80 39% 1.60 2.65 P
  (by FREUD out of DAKOTA KID by CONFIDE)
7  JERRY THE NIPPER 7 4 32½ 21 2½ 31 3½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 3.85  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of AQUA REGIA by GOLD MERIDIAN)
6  CITY MAN 6 6 55½ 42½ 52¼ 41¼ 42 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.60 23% 3.40 2.05  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of CITY SCAMPER by CITY ZIP)
5  SARATOGA FLASH 5 1 11 11 1½ 11 53 (joseph a)CANCEL ERIC 124 6.00 ★ 7.40  
  (by LAOBAN out of FLASH ACT by ACTIVADO (URU))
1  CABLE READY 1 3 21 32 32 51¾ 65¾ (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 118 30.00 60.75  
  (by REDESDALE out of CABLE by DYNAFORMER)
2  KAZ SUGAR BANK 2 2 44½ 53½ 74¾ 76¾ 77 (synnefia)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 30.00 54.75  
  (by BANK HEIST out of SPUN SUGAR by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  CICCIOBELLO               (ryan s)OLVER MADISON 122 4.50    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of SPA SUNRISE by EDDINGTON)
SCR  OLYMPIC DREAMS               (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of KIROV by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  PANDAGATE               (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 1.20    
  (by ARROGATE out of KITTY PANDA by SKY MESA)
 
BAQ-9   09/27/2024 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 5:13
See original race card.
:241 :50 1:151 1:404   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  PORTRAIT OF ADDIE 9 11 118¼ 106¾ 107¾ 53½ 1¼ (lerman s)LUZZI J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 17.20 W
6  ACOUSTICAT 5 8 64 53 54½ 31½ 2¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 9.00  
12  KATERINA RISTOVA 10 4 21 2½ 2nk 11½ 32½ (chichakly ami)PANAIJO JORGE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 25.25 S
5  MEZCALIFORNIA 4 2 11 1½ 1nk 21½ 42½ (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 6% 16.80 8.10  
1  ON A SUMMER DAY 6 6 52½ 63¼ 33 42½ 53 (pregman j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 26% 2.80 2.80  
3  LOTUS PETAL 2 9 85¼ 74¼ 86¾ 74½ 64½ (antonucci jen)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 43% 1.30 1.85  
13  IL SUO ORO 11 7 74¼ 94¾ 76¼ 64 74¾ (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00 38.00  
10  SOUL SECRET 8 10 95¼ 84¼ 97¼ 86½ 85½ (terranova john)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 4.70  
8  BOURBON BLANKET 7 5 105¾ 117¾ 1111¾ 914½ 917 (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00 25.00  
4  OLIVIA'S WISH 3 3 42 41½ 66 1019½ 1026¼ (arriag)GRISALES DANILO 119 30.00 60.75  
2  MITOLETA 1 1 32 31½ 44 1120 1129½ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 37.00  
SCR  EARLY ON               (joseph a)CANCEL ERIC 119 5.00    
SCR  PARAIBA BLUE               (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 4.50    
SCR  SOMEONE               (kimmel joh)RIVERA R 119 20.00    
SCR  TECA               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
SCR  THUNDER PRINCESS               (brown )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.