Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - September 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(13/1/6/7/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(13/1/6/7/9)-(2/7/8/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (13/1/6/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (13/1/6/7/9)-(13/1/6/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (13/1/6/7/9)-(13/1/6/7/9)-(13/1/6/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (13/1/6/7/9)-(2/7/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (13/1/6/7/9)-(2/7/8/5)-(7/4/1/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (2/7/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/5)-(2/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/5)-(2/7/8/5)-(2/7/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/8/5)-(7/4/1/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/8/5)-(7/4/1/10)-(7/4/8/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (7/4/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/10)-(7/4/1/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/10)-(7/4/1/9/10)-(7/4/1/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/4/1/10)-(7/4/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1/10)-(7/4/8/3)-(5/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (7/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/8/3)-(7/4/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/8/3)-(7/4/8/3)-(7/4/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/8/3)-(5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/8/3)-(5/4/3)-(4/3/2/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(4/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(4/3/2/6)-(3/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (4/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/6)-(3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/6)-(3/6/4)-(3/1/5/11/12) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4/5)-(3/6/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(3/1/5/11/12) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (3/1/5/11/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/11/12)-(3/1/5/11/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/11/12)-(3/1/5/11/12)-(3/1/5/11/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   09/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COWGIRL CHARM Aug26         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 121 8.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of COUNTRY CAFE by LION HEART)
2  BACK TO GRIDLOCK May05 Mar04       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by NYQUIST out of MISS LUNA by HENNY HUGHES)
3  CITATIONAL         (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of NINA FEVER by BORREGO)
4  REFUSE TO LOSE Aug14 Jul17 Jun06 May17   (de h)SANTANA JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of VICTORY PARTY by GUILTY CONSCIENCE)
5  FASHION VICTIM         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 1.20 43% 1.30    
  (by TAPIT out of LASKARINA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  MY MAGIC WAND Aug02         (sacco gregory)VELAZQUEZ R 121 5.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GUN CLUB by TRAPPE SHOT)
 
BAQ-2   09/27/2024 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INFLATION NATION (IRE) Sep15 Aug18 Jul12 Jun16 Jul08 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50 12% 7.60    
SCR  AARAJ Sep02 Aug07 Feb09 Jul08 Apr02 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50    
2  BAIE LONGUE Aug31 Jan28 Dec14 Nov18 Sep10 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 6.00    
3  ROYAL KING Aug07 Jul21 Apr12 Mar21 Jul24 (toscano t)ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00    
SCR  KORRONGO Sep15 Jul21 Jun28 May31 Apr26 (reynol)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00    
5  TETA'S TROTTER Aug24 Jul27 Jun30 Jun06   (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
6  FORWARD MOVE (IRE) Aug18 Oct06 Aug17 Aug06 Jun25 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 5.00 8% 11.10    
7  TYPHOON FURY Aug14 Aug02 Jul07 Apr27 Mar30 (toscano john )SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  MUAZARAH Aug07 Jul12 Jun22 Jun07 Apr26 (trites a)SANTANA JR 120 30.00    
9  MUSICAL MAESTRO Jul21 Jun23 Jun07 Apr14 Mar16 (quick pat)CAMACHO JR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  CONNIVING Aug31 Jul24 May12 Apr12 Mar10 (chichakly amir)LUZZI J 120 20.00    
11  BUCKORTWO Aug18 Jul21 Jun29 May25 Nov16 (nevin m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 15.00    
12  IRISH TENOR Aug31 Jul31 Jun14 May26 Apr04 (kimmel c)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
13  RAGING Aug18 Feb23 Jan06 Dec16   (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00 54% 0.90    
SCR  TRY HARDER Aug27 Jan09 Dec19 Nov28 Oct11 (vega ric)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 15.00    
SCR  CAMM' DUKE Aug09 Jul06 Jun06 May12 Apr27 (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 121 8.00    
 
BAQ-3   09/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOT'S DOLLAR Aug10 Jul25 Jun23 May05 Apr11 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.00    
2  GIROOVIN Aug28 Dec29 Dec03 Nov02 Oct06 (falcone )SANTANA JR 121 4.50 47% 1.10    
3  DANGEROUS RIDE Aug28 Aug08 Jun09 Apr26 Mar02 (kantarmaci ilk)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.50    
SCR  PRESIDENT Z Feb09 Jan13 Jan04 Nov26 Nov15 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00    
SCR  SYNTHESIS Aug18 Jul31 Jul14 May26 Apr20 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  MASTER OF ARMS Aug22 Aug07 Jun28 Jun06 Apr07 (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
7  SQUIRE CREEK Aug18 Jul31 Jun30 Jun16 Apr21 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 15% 5.50    
8  SECRET RULES Aug28 Aug10 May19 Apr18 Mar03 (giangiulio)RIVERA R 121 5.00 5% 17.60    
 
BAQ-4   09/27/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUDGE RULES Aug11 Jul26 Jun28 May25 May11 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  NEPTUNE BEACH Sep01 Aug18 Jun22 May03 Apr11 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 3.50    
2  TONY O Aug11 Jul26 May03 Nov19 Nov04 (donk d)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 8.00    
3  ROHAN Sep13         (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
4  MAKEYOURMOMENT Aug28         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
5  CAN'T STAND DISCO Sep01 Aug11 Jul24 Jun27   (paragal)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 30.00    
6  FELINE TREASURE Jul26 Jun28 May12 Apr26 Feb17 (shivmanga)CAMACHO JR 120 20.00    
7  CATTANI Aug11 Oct05 Jul30     (nevin michelle)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 37% 1.70    
8  LANDAUER Sep01 Mar21 Feb25     (sciacca )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
9  CHARMING JIM Aug11 Jun28 Jun09 May12 Mar09 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 124 5.00 ★    
10  SWEET TONE Aug11 Jul26 Jun22 May25 May10 (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PUREST PERFORMANCE Sep14 Jul26 Feb16 Feb02 Dec30 (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 121 10.00    
SCR  DR. DARBY Sep16 Sep02 Aug19 Sep18 Sep04 (huertas )DAVIS A 124 30.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/27/2024 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROUGH DRAFT Sep01 Aug17 Jul21 Jun21 Apr21 (abreu fern)RIVERA R 123 6.00    
2  DANCING RINCA Aug31 Jul20 Jun16 Sep09 Aug03 (drysdale neil)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.00    
3  TOXIC GRAY Jul05 Jun08 May11 Apr13 Mar05 (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  CIGARETTE BOAT Sep01 Jul12 Jun08 May17 Dec01 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 20% 4.00    
5  VINSANITY Sep15 Aug31 Aug23 Jul27 Jul11 (arriag)GRISALES DANILO 118 20.00    
6  BEZOS Mar29 Jan01 Dec16 Nov04 Oct22 (persaud eddie)LUZZI J 121 50.00    
7  FINAL VERDICT Sep01 Aug14 Jul13 Jun23 May23 (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.00 37% 1.70    
8  ALEXIS ZORBA (GB) Sep01 Jul06 May18 Apr28 Feb03 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  BACKSIDE BUZZ Aug05 Jun29 May16 Apr20 Apr07 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00    
SCR  NOTAH Aug23 Jul27 Jun07 Apr28 Apr05 (terranova p)RIDER TBA 121 5.00    
SCR  TIVY Aug23 Jul14 Jun23 Jun06 Apr26 (antonucci m)RIDER TBA 121 1.80    
SCR  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Aug23 Aug01 Jul05 Apr28 Apr12 (kantarmaci il)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00    
SCR  LEDDY Aug23 Jul27 Dec16 Nov12 Nov04 (gober)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00    
SCR  LIGHT THE WAY Aug28 Jul13 May16 Apr20 Mar08 (nevin michelle)RIDER TBA 123 20.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FREAKY Aug24         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ENCHANTED GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  SPURGEON Aug29 Jul27       (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of LIPSTICK CITY by CITY ZIP)
3  PIRANDELLO         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MARJAYOUN by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  SOVEREIGNTY Aug24         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CROWNED by BERNARDINI)
5  PRAETOR Aug03         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CURLIN'S APPROVAL by CURLIN)
6  CLASSICIST Aug03         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00    
  (by CURLIN out of PLAYTIME by TIMELESS NATIVE)
7  LAIRD OF MAGNOLIA         (reynol)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00    
  (by TONALIST out of MAGNOLIA'S LADY by FREUD)
8  BURN NOTICE         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
  (by TONALIST out of MRS. GOT ROCKS by LEMON DROP KID)
 
BAQ-7   09/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROWN SUGA BABE Sep02 Aug22 Jul24 Jun26 Jun07 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.00    
2  GO NY GO Jul09         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 6% 14.40    
3  FIVE TO TWO Aug02 Jul06 Jun30 May10 Apr21 (de h)SANTANA JR 118 4.50 14% 6.20    
4  NOLITA Aug29 Sep24 Aug12 Jun16   (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
5  MISS CITY GIRL Aug20 Jul27 Jun14 Nov02   (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
6  CHASING DAYLIGHT Aug25 Aug13 Jul24 Jun20 May24 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  SHEHANAH Jul24 Jul05 Jun20 May04 Apr06 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
8  ENFUEGA Aug18 Jul28 Jun30 Nov05 Sep28 (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/27/2024 5940ft TURF RC11 FIRM Ashley Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CABLE READY Sep15 Aug15 Jul18 Jun21 May25 (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 118 30.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of CABLE by DYNAFORMER)
2  KAZ SUGAR BANK Aug30 Jul05 May31 Mar30 Feb11 (synnefia)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 30.00    
  (by BANK HEIST out of SPUN SUGAR by AWESOME AGAIN)
3  DAKOTA GOLD Aug25 Jul07 Apr20 Oct29 Aug27 (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 126 1.80 39% 1.60    
  (by FREUD out of DAKOTA KID by CONFIDE)
4  HUSH OF A STORM Aug12 Jul21 Jun17 Mar02 Jan05 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 11% 7.80    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of HUSH NOW by FLATTER)
5  SARATOGA FLASH Jul20 Jun29 Mar30 Mar02 Jan27 (joseph a)CANCEL ERIC 124 6.00 ★    
  (by LAOBAN out of FLASH ACT by ACTIVADO (URU))
6  CITY MAN Aug25 Jul07 Oct29 Oct06 Aug27 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.60 23% 3.40    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of CITY SCAMPER by CITY ZIP)
7  JERRY THE NIPPER Aug25 Jul07 Jun09 Jan27 Dec30 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of AQUA REGIA by GOLD MERIDIAN)
SCR  PANDAGATE Aug25 Jul15 Feb25 Dec09 Oct13 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 1.20    
  (by ARROGATE out of KITTY PANDA by SKY MESA)
SCR  OLYMPIC DREAMS Aug15 May04 Mar30 Mar21 Feb23 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of KIROV by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  CICCIOBELLO Sep02 Aug18 Aug01 Jun29 Oct29 (ryan s)OLVER MADISON 122 4.50    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of SPA SUNRISE by EDDINGTON)
 
BAQ-9   09/27/2024 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON A SUMMER DAY Sep13 Aug15 Jul25     (pregman j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  PARAIBA BLUE Sep15         (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 4.50    
2  MITOLETA Sep01         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
3  LOTUS PETAL Aug22         (antonucci jen)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 43% 1.30    
4  OLIVIA'S WISH Aug30         (arriag)GRISALES DANILO 119 30.00    
5  MEZCALIFORNIA Aug22 Aug07 Jul13     (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 6% 16.80    
6  ACOUSTICAT         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
SCR  EARLY ON Aug30 Aug04       (joseph a)CANCEL ERIC 119 5.00    
8  BOURBON BLANKET Aug30         (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00    
SCR  SOMEONE Aug22 Jul26       (kimmel joh)RIVERA R 119 20.00    
10  SOUL SECRET Aug08         (terranova john)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00    
11  PORTRAIT OF ADDIE         (lerman s)LUZZI J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  KATERINA RISTOVA Aug22 Jul31 Jul13 Jun16 Jun01 (chichakly ami)PANAIJO JORGE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
13  IL SUO ORO Aug15 Jun14       (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 15.00    
SCR  THUNDER PRINCESS Aug15 Jul21 Jun23     (brown )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00    
SCR  TECA Aug22 Jul11 Jun01     (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.