Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - September 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-2   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.80 $1.80 30%
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-5 $18.10 $12.10 202%
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00  2-5-3 $16.37 $13.37 446%
BAQ-4   EXA (8/7/10/3/4)-(8/7/10/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-10 $22.80 $2.80 14%
    TRI (8/7/10/3/4)-(8/7/10/3/4)-(8/7/10/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00  3-10-8 $50.12 $20.12 67%
    SFT (8/7/10/3/4)-(8/7/10/3/4)-(8/7/10/3/4)-(8/7/10/3/4) 120 $0.10 $12.00  3-10-8-7 $33.70 $21.70 181%
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(4/1/5/7)-(8/7/10/3/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00  2-1-3 $66.50 $6.50 11%
BAQ-7   WIN (3/8/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $10.80 $2.80 35%
    EXA (3/8/2/9)-(3/8/2/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-2 $18.90 $2.90 18%
    TRI (3/8/2/9)-(3/8/2/1/9)-(3/8/2/1/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00  8-2-1 $31.25 $7.25 30%

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   09/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Joseph Purse ($125K) 2 F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:112     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITH THE ANGELS 1 1 1½ 1   16 1 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 0.50 47% 1.10 0.10 W
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SISTER MARGARET by PULPIT)
VALTELLINA 3 2 2½ 2   26 2 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 8.00  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of TAKE CHARGE SUE by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
CARMEN'S CANDY JAR 4 3 4 33   37 310¾ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 22% 3.60 7.70 S
  (by VINO ROSSO out of NO MO SHOPPING by UNCLE MO)
TRAIL OF GOLD 2 5 5 5   413½ 415 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 120 20.00 34.75  
  (by SOLOMINI out of BENE PISTA by BERNARDINI)
SHE'S OUR TIZ 5 4 3 4   516½ 528½ (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 5% 19.00 24.25  
  (by MUNNINGS out of TIZSOMETHINGROYAL by TIZWAY)
 
BAQ-2   09/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:114 1:243   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKIN' HOT KITTY 1 3 2½ 1 13 1 1 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50 18% 4.70 2.90 W
I'M BUZZY 4 2 4 4 3 2 2 (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.70 P
SEDONA 2 5 513½ 513½ 5 410½ 3 (mcgaughey clau)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 50% 1.00 1.45 S
FADE TO GREY 5 1 3 32 23 38 4 (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.50 2.10  
AMITY ISLAND 3 4 614 617 611 514½ 512½ (persaud eddie)LUZZI J 122 30.00 59.25  
1A  SPRING MAGIC 6 6 1½ 2 47 617½ 621¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50 10.10  
SCR  JUST MUSIC               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 3.50    
 
BAQ-3   09/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bertram Purse ($125K) 2 ALL PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:112     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SACROSANCT 1 1 1½ 1½   1 112 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 16% 5.30 1.25 W
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of VIBRATO by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
BUTTAH 6 4 2½ 2½   2 212 (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 120 15.00 9.90  
  (by LEOFRIC out of SALTY LITTLE SIS by CHIEF SEATTLE)
PAY THE JUICE 3 3 65 34   3 313¾ (mcgaughey clau)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 5.20  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of OUT OF ORBIT by MALIBU MOON)
SMILENSAYCHEESE 5 7 7 7   414 416¾ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 8% 11.80 5.20  
  (by SOLOMINI out of PICTURE DAY by INCLUDE)
MANHATTAN TWIST 4 6 54 56   515 523¾ (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 120 1.60 54% 0.90 2.55  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BITTER LEMON by LEMON DROP KID)
OATH OF OMERTA 2 2 44 6   720½ 631¼ (antonucci jena )DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00 36.00  
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of FIRST HUNTER by PHILANTHROPIST)
MCDIESEL 7 5 31 44   618½ 731½ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00 5% 19.00 26.25  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of DELAY OF GAME by BERNARDINI)
 
BAQ-4   09/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:141 1:263   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR CHROME 3 4 1½ 11 13 1 1¾ (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 5% 19.00 3.35 W
10  JANSSEN 10 1 31 42 33 2 2¾ (lakeman andrew)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 8% 11.10 3.95 P
BIG EGO 8 3 2½ 21 23 35 37 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 58% 0.70 1.80 S
BERNING BEAUTY 7 9 9 8 7 4 47 (baker charlton)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50 10% 8.90 8.10  
STANLEY ROUGH 5 6 10 10 910¾ 611½ 58 (dutrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 10.70  
FOUR EYES 1 8 7 9 810¾ 712 69 (follett)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 124 20.00 72.25  
TRIPLE WORD SCORE 2 10 63 6 6 510½ 711¼ (bernardini)RIVERA R 120 12.00 36.00  
KILKERRAN 6 7 5 5 4 812 820¼ (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00 23.80  
SLOW DOWN BIG ANDY 4 5 41 32 56 914½ 921¼ (schettin)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 113 30.00 5% 19.00 79.75  
ALBEDO 9 2 8 7 1014¾ 1019½ 1026½ (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 7.30  
 
BAQ-5   09/22/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:123 1:363   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERTRILLE 4 8 8 8 1nk 1nk 1½ (brown bruc)RIVERA R 118 30.00 68.25  
DOWNTOWN CHANNEL 5 2 4 52 6 32 2½ (de h)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 7.80  
GRAM 9 3 6 7 9 106 3½ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 5.10 S
MISCREANT 7 5 98 10 3.2 2nk 4¾ (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00 5% 19.00 26.25  
WISH LIST 1 7 7 63 8 5 5 (terranova john)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 30% 2.30 3.20  
HIGHWAY HARMONY 6 1 2½ 2½ 5½ 4 6 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 122 1.60 40% 1.50 2.00  
ALLEY'S SONG 8 6 31 42 73 8 7 (ferraro )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 113 50.00 91.75  
ARTEMIS GIRL 3 10 10 9 106 9 8 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 48.75  
SUPERS LUCKY LADY 2 4 1½ 1½ 4¼ 6 9 (falcon)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 9% 10.50 3.00  
10  ALETTE D'ORO 10 9 53 3 2nk 7 109 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 120 30.00 57.00  
SCR  BELLA VOCE               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 4.50    
SCR  DIAMOND STATUS               (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00    
SCR  MYTOWN MYRULES               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50    
SCR  PAM PAM               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 2.50    
SCR  UNION SUIT               (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00    
SCR  WARIDI CANDY               (de h)SANTANA JR 122 15.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/22/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:223 :483 1:133 1:372   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK AND JIM 3 7 6 63 3 3 1¾ (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 3.05  
  (by SLUMBER out of MONETTE by COCKNEY REBEL)
11  LEON BLUE 11 6 1½ 1½ 2nk 11 2¾ (giddings melan)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 56% 0.80 1.50 P
  (by MO TOWN out of ALANA'S ALLURE by SHACKLEFORD)
SKY MASTERSON 4 1 32 2½ 1nk 21 3 (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 14.30  
  (by THE FACTOR out of KITTY MADDNES by COURAGEOUS CAT)
10  NONNO JOE 10 10 4 5 44 410½ 4 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00 25.75  
  (by SOLOMINI out of ST. MALO'S GATE by DYNAFORMER)
JUST LICORICE 8 12 914 8 57 513½ 511¾ (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
  (by JUSTIFY out of MARIA'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
PRETRIAL STATEMENT 6 11 1117½ 10 811 615½ 613¾ (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 52.50  
  (by FOG OF WAR out of DYANI by DYNAFORMER)
12  SOLO MIO 12 8 5 4 7 717 718½ (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
  (by SOLOMINI out of VIVACITAS by BERNARDINI)
MILES AND MILES 1 3 810½ 97 914 820 822¾ (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 22.30  
  (by MITOLE out of CATALINA ISLAND by BELONG TO ME)
DAYTONA MOONSHINE 5 5 1014½ 11 1020 933 927½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 11% 8.40 4.40  
  (by AUDIBLE out of BITTERROOT by NOT FOR LOVE)
POWMISSIO 2 2 1222½ 1215¾ 1223 1035 1040¼ (englehart chri)LUZZI J 119 30.00 88.00  
  (by HIGHER POWER out of SECRET MISSION by MISSION IMPAZIBLE)
RESISTANCE FUTILE 9 9 2½ 3 69 1136 1144¼ (brown b)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 112 20.00 89.00  
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of VANTER by FLATTER)
I'M SOLO N IN LOVE 7 4 7 7 1122½ 1251 1270¼ (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 20.00 36.25  
  (by SOLOMINI out of SPIN TO GOLD by HARD SPUN)
SCR  CALLING CARD               (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of GRACEFUL RAGE by TIZNOW)
SCR  MAN OF MISCHIEF               (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 119 1.80    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of SUPER SHOPPER by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  POWERED BY COAL               (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 20.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of SHARED DREAMS by SEEKING THE GOLD)
SCR  REAL SAVVY               (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of SAVVY SASSY by STREET SENSE)
 
BAQ-7   09/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:23 :464 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD FORTUNE 8 1 12 1   16 110½ (weaver george)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 28% 2.60 4.40 W
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of MIGHT BE by POSSE)
SKYTOWN 2 4 6 42   26 210½ (terranova john )DAVIS KATIE 119 4.50 20% 4.00 4.20 P
  (by ECHO TOWN out of TROUBLE FOR SKYLAR by INTO MISCHIEF)
HIT THE POST 1 2 5 5   410½ 315¾ (giddings m)RIVERA R 119 4.50 2.90 S
  (by KANTHAROS out of MEMENTO D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
10  BEACH INVASION 10 8 32 2   3 416 (delgado jose )FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 19.40  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of GOODNIGHT MOON by MALIBU MOON)
RESILIENT HERO 5 5 9 7   814¾ 517¼ (jimenez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00 76.75  
  (by IMPROBABLE out of ESPIRITU by GHOSTZAPPER)
11  JUST CLARITY 11 9 7 6   613½ 619¾ (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 12.90  
  (by WAR OF WILL out of QUICK RELEASE by TRAPPE SHOT)
DAYTONA GOLD 7 6 22 32   510½ 720¼ (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 6.60  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of WAVE OF GLORY by MIDSHIPMAN)
MAGNI 6 3 8 9   714½ 820¼ (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 45.75  
  (by AUDIBLE out of CARAMEAWAY by LAWYER RON)
ROMEO VOID 3 10 1111 1010   914¾ 920¾ (giddings mela)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 29% 2.40 3.35  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of TAPITINSILVER by TAPIT)
TWOHONESTMISCHIEF 4 11 1010¾ 1113½   1119¼ 1029 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 119 30.00 69.50  
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of RAPIDO GATTA by ADIOS CHARLIE)
WE MISS NEIL 9 7 4 89   1018¾ 1130¾ (linder j)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 5% 19.00 29.50  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TOWN FAIR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
BAQ-8   09/22/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:222 :453 :571     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVER SO SWEET (IRE) 4 1 1½ 11   11 1½ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 46% 1.20 0.85 W
OFF RAMP 3 5 52 4   21 2½ (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 9.40  
FEATHER BOA (SAF) 6 8 8 8   4 3¾ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 24% 3.20 2.95 S
ISABEL ALEXANDRA (IRE) 1 4 3 31   33 4 (delgado gusta)FRANCO MANUEL 121 12.00 5% 17.50 14.10  
UNION DOLLY 5 6 42 53   65 55 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00 9.30  
10  MISS BONNIE T 8 7 7 7   87 66 (arenas marcelo)LUZZI J 121 50.00 87.00  
GLITTER UP 7 3 2½ 21   5 7 (hills )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00 5% 19.00 38.25  
QUARREL 2 2 63 64   7 8 (ribaudo robert)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00 7.80  
SCR  CECILE (IRE)               (schultz lindsa)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00    
SCR  MOSIENKO               (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00    
SCR  ON THE PAYROLL               (margotta anth)VELAZQUEZ R 123 15.00    
SCR  RACHEL'S ROCK               (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00    
SCR  STREET JAM               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.50    
SCR  SWEETEST PRINCESS               (abreu fern)RIVERA R 123 8.00    
 
BAQ-9   09/22/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:13
See original race card.
:234 :49 1:133 1:371   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEING BETTY 1 2 1½ 1nk 1nk 1nk 11 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00 8.80  
10  RED BURGUNDY 10 1 2½ 2nk 2nk 2nk 21 (de h)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 5.10  
SPIRIT OF ESTHER 3 3 32 43 31 3 3 (martin car)RIVERA R 111 20.00 62.75  
ROAGNA 4 7 76 9 7 7 4 (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.50 17% 4.80 4.40  
12  SUMMER WHIRL 12 10 1110¼ 1110¾ 12 6 5 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.00 45% 1.20 2.65  
STARTS NOW 8 4 6 54 6 4 63 (kantarmaci ilka)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 12.60  
11  NORTH END LADY 11 11 9 8 8 8 74 (tagg barclay)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 17% 5.00 4.50  
BOXED WINE 9 8 10 10 106 117 8 (antonacci phil)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 9.90  
BOSSY JEANS 7 5 42 32 4 5 9 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 42.00  
MY CARA MIA MINE 6 9 8 7 9 127 10 (friedman mitch)LUZZI J 122 50.00 ######  
LADY OF THOROTON 2 12 1212¼ 1212¾ 116 10 11 (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 122 20.00 75.25  
BUNNY HONEY 5 6 54 6 5 9 1211½ (englehart chr)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00 5% 19.00 14.20  
SCR  CHASING DAYLIGHT               (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00    
SCR  ISLAND FOX               (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT CONCERTO               (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50    
SCR  MISS CITY GIRL               (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.