Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - September 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-2   Win (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-3   Win (4/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-4   Win (8/7/10/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-5   Win (6/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-6   Win (11/5/6/12/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-7   Win (3/8/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-8   Win (5/7/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-9   Win (12/4/11/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   09/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 Joseph Purse ($125K) 2 F PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITH THE ANGELS Aug22         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 0.50 47% 1.10    
TRAIL OF GOLD Aug25 Aug08 Jul17     (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 120 20.00    
VALTELLINA Aug30         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00    
CARMEN'S CANDY JAR Aug25 Jul11 Jun23     (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
SHE'S OUR TIZ Aug28 Jul05       (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-2   09/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SPRING MAGIC Jul11 Apr28 Mar29 Feb18 Dec21 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50    
SCR  JUST MUSIC Aug23 Jul21 Jul11 Jul04 May24 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 3.50    
SMOKIN' HOT KITTY Aug07 Jul18 Jun20 May25 Apr11 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50 18% 4.70    
SEDONA Jul28 Jul04 May03 Mar03   (mcgaughey claude)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 50% 1.00    
AMITY ISLAND Aug22 Aug14 Jul04 Jun20 May12 (persaud eddie)LUZZI J 122 30.00    
I'M BUZZY Aug03 Jul17 Jun16 May12 Apr25 (rodriguez gusta)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
FADE TO GREY Jul17 Jun16       (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.50    
 
BAQ-3   09/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 Bertram Purse ($125K) 2 ALL PT- 2:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SACROSANCT Aug21         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 16% 5.30    
OATH OF OMERTA Sep02         (antonucci m)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
PAY THE JUICE Aug16 Jul24       (mcgaughey claude)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00    
MANHATTAN TWIST Aug15         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 120 1.60 54% 0.90    
SMILENSAYCHEESE Aug25 Aug03       (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 8% 11.80    
BUTTAH Sep02 Jul25       (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 120 15.00    
MCDIESEL Aug25 Aug01 Jul07     (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-4   09/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOUR EYES Sep01 Aug16 Jul24 Jun28 Jun09 (follett norman)HARKIE K 124 20.00    
TRIPLE WORD SCORE Sep01 Aug11 Jul24 May19 May10 (bernardini j)RIVERA R 120 12.00    
WAR CHROME Mar14 Feb03       (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SLOW DOWN BIG ANDY Aug18 Jul25 Apr13 Feb25   (schettino)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 30.00 5% 19.00    
STANLEY ROUGH Jul24 Jun27 May25 Apr28   (dutrow r)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00    
KILKERRAN Aug18 Oct14       (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00    
BERNING BEAUTY Aug18 Jun14 Apr13 Feb11 Jan13 (baker charlton)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50 10% 8.90    
BIG EGO Aug28 Jun09 May11 Mar24 Feb11 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 58% 0.70    
ALBEDO Aug18 Jul18 Nov03 Oct14 Sep14 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
10  JANSSEN Aug28 Jul24 Jul05 May19 Apr19 (lakeman and)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 4.00 8% 11.10    
 
BAQ-5   09/22/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WISH LIST Aug16 Jun15 May25 Apr20 Dec14 (terranova p)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
SUPERS LUCKY LADY Aug23 Jul18 Jun15 Dec15 Nov19 (falcone )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 9% 10.50    
ARTEMIS GIRL Jul21 May25 Apr27 Dec16 Nov17 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
BERTRILLE Aug10 Jul18 Jun23 May25 May05 (brown bruce )RIVERA R 118 30.00    
DOWNTOWN CHANNEL Aug14 Jul21 Jun08 Aug16   (de hor)SANTANA JR 120 8.00    
HIGHWAY HARMONY Aug16 Jun23 May25 Apr25 Mar02 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 122 1.60 40% 1.50    
MISCREANT Jul18 May05 Mar21 Jan17 Dec21 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
ALLEY'S SONG Aug30 Jul19 Jun15 May17 Apr18 (ferraro ja)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 113 50.00    
GRAM Aug25 Jun15 May18 Nov04 Aug20 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
10  ALETTE D'ORO Aug16 Jul07 Jun08 May04 Apr20 (ferraro w)LUZZI J 120 30.00    
SCR  DIAMOND STATUS Sep02 Jun14 May09 Oct28 Sep03 (martin car)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00    
SCR  WARIDI CANDY Sep05 Jul25 Jul05 Jun08 Nov19 (de hor)SANTANA JR 122 15.00    
SCR  UNION SUIT Aug22 Jul27 Jun23 Jun11 May10 (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00    
SCR  BELLA VOCE Jul18 Jun25 May28     (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 4.50    
SCR  MYTOWN MYRULES Feb11 Dec10 Sep21 Apr14 Mar11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50    
SCR  PAM PAM Aug30 Jul22 Jul04 Jun12 Apr07 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 2.50    
 
BAQ-6   09/22/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILES AND MILES Sep02         (englehart chris)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
POWMISSIO Aug21         (englehart chris)LUZZI J 119 30.00    
JACK AND JIM         (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
SKY MASTERSON Aug29 Aug01 Jul24 Jul07 Jun20 (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
DAYTONA MOONSHINE         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 11% 8.40    
PRETRIAL STATEMENT         (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
I'M SOLO N IN LOVE Aug21 Jul07       (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 20.00    
JUST LICORICE         (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
RESISTANCE FUTILE Aug29         (brown bru)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 20.00    
10  NONNO JOE Jul24         (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00    
11  LEON BLUE Jul24         (giddings melanie)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 56% 0.80    
12  SOLO MIO         (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CALLING CARD Aug25         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
SCR  POWERED BY COAL Aug30         (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 20.00    
SCR  REAL SAVVY Aug30 Aug01       (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.00    
SCR  MAN OF MISCHIEF Aug30 Aug15 Jul25     (mcpeek g)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.80    
 
BAQ-7   09/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 4:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIT THE POST Sep02         (giddings mel)RIVERA R 119 4.50    
SKYTOWN Aug21         (terranova p)DAVIS KATIE 119 4.50 20% 4.00    
ROMEO VOID         (giddings melani)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 29% 2.40    
TWOHONESTMISCHIEF Sep02         (ferraro w)LUZZI J 119 30.00    
RESILIENT HERO Sep07 May27       (jimenez jo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
MAGNI         (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00    
DAYTONA GOLD         (mcpeek g)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
BOLD FORTUNE Aug21         (weaver george)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 28% 2.60    
WE MISS NEIL Jul13 Jun24       (linder jr)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  BEACH INVASION Aug31         (delgado h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00    
11  JUST CLARITY         (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/22/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISABEL ALEXANDRA (IRE) Apr28 Mar03 Jan01 Dec03 Oct06 (delgado gustavo)FRANCO MANUEL 121 12.00 5% 17.50    
QUARREL Sep02 Aug16 May11 Oct14 Sep16 (ribaudo j)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00    
OFF RAMP Aug31 Jul21 Jun26 May12 Apr28 (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 6.00    
SCR  ON THE PAYROLL Aug11 Jul19 Jun08 May18 Jan21 (margotta anthon)VELAZQUEZ R 123 15.00    
EVER SO SWEET (IRE) Jul12 May26 Nov04 Sep16 Jul20 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
UNION DOLLY Jul20 Dec21 Nov12 Jun01 May26 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00    
FEATHER BOA         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 24% 3.20    
GLITTER UP Aug23 Feb11 Dec31 Nov19 Jul15 (hills ti)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CECILE (IRE) Aug31 Jul20 Jun28 May30 Aug13 (schultz lindsay)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00    
10  MISS BONNIE T Aug04 Jun20 May09 Nov25 Aug31 (arenas marcelo)LUZZI J 121 50.00    
SCR  STREET JAM Oct14 Sep29 Sep02 Jul22 May13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.50    
SCR  SWEETEST PRINCESS Aug22 Jul11 Jun09 Apr25 Mar24 (abreu fernan)RIVERA R 123 8.00    
SCR  MOSIENKO Jul14 May12 Apr18 Jan27 Dec17 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 121 3.00    
SCR  RACHEL'S ROCK Aug11 Feb21 Dec17 Nov24 Oct28 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00    
 
BAQ-9   09/22/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEING BETTY Jun14 Apr27 Nov17 Sep15 Jul26 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
LADY OF THOROTON Jul24 Jun23 May25 Apr20 Nov19 (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 122 20.00    
SPIRIT OF ESTHER Aug18 Aug02 Jun28 Jun06 May11 (martin ca)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 111 20.00    
ROAGNA Aug25 Jul21 May25 Apr27 Nov17 (bond harold)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
BUNNY HONEY Jul21 Jun14 May19 Apr20   (englehart chris)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
MY CARA MIA MINE Jul18 May19 Jul23 Jun23 May18 (friedman mitchel)LUZZI J 122 50.00    
BOSSY JEANS Aug14 Jul04 Nov02 Sep15 Aug16 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
STARTS NOW Aug25 Jul21 Jun28 Jun09 Nov17 (kantarmaci ilkay)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00    
BOXED WINE Aug14 Jul21 Jun23 May25 May04 (antonacci philip)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00    
10  RED BURGUNDY Aug14 Oct27 Oct12 Sep04 Aug09 (de hor)SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
11  NORTH END LADY Aug25 Jul27 Jun08 Sep24 Aug27 (tagg barclay)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 17% 5.00    
12  SUMMER WHIRL Aug14 Jul27 Jul05 Jun06   (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  ISLAND FOX Aug25 Jul05 Apr14     (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
SCR  CHASING DAYLIGHT Aug25 Aug13 Jul24 Jun20 May24 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT CONCERTO Aug25 Jun23 Feb18 Jan12 Sep01 (mcpeek g)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50    
SCR  MISS CITY GIRL Aug20 Jul27 Jun14 Nov02   (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.