Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.40 $1.40 23%
BAQ-3   EXA (7/2/5/4)-(7/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-4 $35.50 $23.50 196%
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   10/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:112 1:24   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SORORITY PRANK 1 3 2nk 2nk 1nk 13 1nk (englehart chr)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 26% 2.90 2.70 W
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of FORGET IT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  EXECUTIVE MOVE 3 2 32 31½ 42 33 2nk (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 120 1.80 41% 1.40 1.35 P
  (by THE FACTOR out of TWO SUSANS by PURGE)
5  ACCIDENTAL BID 5 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 23 35 (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 2.25  
  (by NYQUIST out of COURT DRESS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  TIZ THE PRINCE 4 4 43 41¾ 31½ 45½ 46¾ (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of TIZ EPIC by TIZNOW)
2  BURN RUBBER 2 5 58½ 59¾ 514 517½ 517¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 9.50  
  (by ACCELERATE out of SEEKING HER GLORY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  HUMSTINGER               (giddings melan)LUZZI J 120 10.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of BEE IN A BONNET by PRECISE END)
 
BAQ-2   10/04/2024 6270ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:133 1:38   1:561   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LADY FIREFOOT 5 3 43 43 43½ 1½ 1¼ (giddings m)RIVERA R 122 20.00 52.00  
5  THEGIRLFROMIRELAND 4 5 31½ 32 32 2½ 2¼ (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.50 54% 0.80 3.35 P
1  IN TIME (FR) 1 7 53¼ 53½ 54 61¼ 31 (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 15% 5.50 0.45 S
4  THEREARENORULES 3 6 75¼ 75 75½ 41 41½ (schultz lindsay)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00 5% 19.00 16.40  
8  ALLAMERICANBEAUTY 7 1 21½ 21 21½ 3½ 52½ (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 9% 10.70 7.90  
2  QUARREL 2 4 11½ 11 11½ 51¼ 63 (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 12.00 13.70  
7  TIC TIC TIC BOOM 6 2 64¾ 65 65½ 77¾ 79½ (bedard alan)SILVERA RUBEN 124 15.00 57.75  
SCR  AUTUMN EVENING               (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 120 1.20    
SCR  ETERNAL SILENCE               (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.40    
SCR  ICHIBAN               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.50    
SCR  TONED UP               (kantarmaci ilkay)RIDER TBA 122 3.50    
 
BAQ-3   10/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
See original race card.
:223 :454 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SANDY SWEET TOOTH 7 2 21 2½   2½ 1hd (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 53% 0.90 1.10 W
4  STEWIE 4 1 11 1½   1½ 2hd (englehart chri)LUZZI J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 19.80 P
1  APOLLO CODE 1 3 52¼ 3½   31 3nk (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 6.00 4.80  
2  GRAYWING 2 5 31 51½   54½ 44¾ (englehart )RIVERA R 123 6.00 16% 5.10 10.60  
3  BRICK AMBUSH 3 7 63¼ 63½   65½ 55½ (gargan dann)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 1.80 3.45  
6  CAMM' DUKE 6 4 42 41   44 67¾ (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 121 12.00 17.00  
5  VERY STORMY 5 6 73¼ 76½   710 712¼ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50 5% 17.30 6.60  
 
BAQ-4   10/04/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:231 :481 1:124 1:371   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TONGUE TWISTER 1 5 33½ 35 33½ 31 1¼ (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 9.00  
9  SURPRENANT COCCA 7 10 1011½ 1014½ 1010¼ 64¼ 2¼ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 12.30  
8  SETTLING STORM 6 9 77 57½ 45½ 43 3¾ (clement chr)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 6.00 ★ 5.00 S
12  SWEET DUTCHESS 10 2 21 21½ 2½ 1nk 41½ (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 124 5.00 ★ 9.90  
10  NEXT ON STAGE 8 3 11 11½ 1½ 2nk 51½ (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.50 64% 0.60 1.10  
6  SHE IS INVINCIBLE (GB) 4 1 88 811 67 53¼ 63¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 6.90  
7  SILENT MELODY 5 7 66½ 79 78 76¼ 75¼ (abreu j)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 10.00 5% 19.00 18.20  
3  THORNY 2 6 55½ 67½ 55½ 86¼ 811¾ (antonucci jena )DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00 62.25  
11  MORE MANGO 9 8 910 913 910 910¼ 915½ (ferraro james )LUZZI J 122 30.00 58.00  
5  QUITE CONTINENTAL 3 4 45½ 47 88½ 1025¼ 1039½ (rice linda)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
SCR  IT'S HOT IN HERE (IRE)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
SCR  PALLOTTA SISTERS               (potts wayne)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.50    
SCR  SHE'S COOL               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00    
SCR  SPOOKY LADY               (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00    
SCR  TOUR JETE               (morey e)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/04/2024 3960ft TURF RC12 FIRM Futurity Purse ($175K) 2 ALL PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:222 :452 :564     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MENTEE 6 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 13½ (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50 4.10  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of NONNA BELLA by STAY THIRSTY)
1  GATE TO WIRE 1 4 41½ 41   34 23½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 ★ 1.85 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of SANSIBAR JEWEL by STREET CRY (IRE))
2  EPITAPH 2 3 1½ 1nk   2½ 33½ (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 20.20  
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of BARB'S ON EDGE by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  UNDER WHO'S RADAR 4 6 52 3½   44½ 45½ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 62% 0.60 2.10  
  (by VIOLENCE out of COMME CHEZ SOI by EMPIRE MAKER)
4  IN THE CHASE 3 5 63½ 53   56 56½ (david a)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 8% 11.00 11.30  
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of SHE'S ALWAYS READY by MORE THAN READY)
6  I'M OTTER HERE 5 7 73¾ 63½   68 68½ (hiles a)TORRES A 120 6.00 4.70  
  (by MUNNINGS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  JOEY MUSCLES 7 2 31½ 74   710 712¼ (antonucci jena)LUZZI J 120 20.00 5% 19.00 36.75  
  (by KHOZAN out of SMOKIN RED HOT by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  CHASING LIBERTY               (atras ro)SANTANA JR 122 3.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of PEACEFUL by DECLARATION OF WAR)
 
BAQ-6   10/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:221 :45 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GOLDEN DEGREE 4 1 14 13½   13½ 15 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 4.70  
7  CARA'S TIME 7 3 45 23½   23½ 25 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 22% 3.60 3.20 P
1  KID'S LAST LAUGH 1 2 34½ 67¾   59½ 36 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00 10.70  
6  KILLY START 6 7 55½ 34   35½ 47¾ (abreu fern)RIVERA R 121 10.00 5% 19.00 26.50  
3  ROSWELL 3 5 66 57½   69½ 512½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 0.80 39% 1.60 0.65  
5  STATUS SEEKER 5 6 76½ 78¼   710½ 614 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00 51.50  
2  I'MHAVINGAMOMENT 2 4 24 44   49 714¾ (mott william)TORRES A 121 10.00 12% 7.10 23.20  
 
BAQ-7   10/04/2024 7260ft TURF RC12 FIRM Waya Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:512 1:17 1:414 2:054 2:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LA MEHANA (FR) 2 68 69 69½ 67 2½ 1¼ (clement christo)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 9.60  
  (by AL WUKAIR out of OCEANIE by DANSILI)
4  IMMENSITUDE (FR) 3 21 21½ 21 21 1½ 2¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00 12% 7.40 9.90 P
  (by LAWMAN out of MA PETITE POULE by ELUSIVE CITY)
5  BEAUTIFUL LOVE (IRE) 4 44½ 45½ 36 34½ 52 31½ (appleby charle)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 4.10  
  (by SIYOUNI out of POWDER SNOW by DUBAWI)
2  AVENUE NIEL (IRE) 1 32 35 47 45½ 41½ 42 (clement christ)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00 21% 3.80 12.30  
  (by HELMET out of ANDALOUSERIE by POET'S VOICE (GB))
7  MCKULICK (GB) 6 56½ 56½ 57½ 56 63½ 53¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 126 1.80 36% 1.80 0.70  
  (by UNKNOWN out of ASTRELLE by MAKFI (GB))
6  IDEA GENERATION (IRE) 5 11 11½ 11 11 31 65¾ (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 126 5.00 5.50  
  (by UNKNOWN out of KNOCKNAGREE by GALILEO (ARG))
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 122 2.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of PRIVACY by NOTEBOOK)
SCR  MOVIE MOXY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.60    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CASTING DIRECTOR by BERNARDINI)
SCR  PEAK POPULARITY               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of PERAZZI by THORN DANCE)
SCR  STAR FORTRESS (IRE)               (devaux cheri)TORRES A 122 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LADY AQUITAINE by EL PRADO (IRE))
SCR  SURPRISINGLY               (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50    
  (by MASTERY out of VAGABOND by ARCH)
 
BAQ-8   10/04/2024 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:214 :443 :563     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HEYMACKIT'SJACK 4 2 51¼ 41¾   11 12¾ (begg be)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50 5.30  
6  EDDIE THE GREAT 6 8 74¼ 63¼   42½ 22¾ (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 121 20.00 28.00  
10  TWISTED FILIGREE 10 3 3½ 31½   21 33 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.50 ★ 4.20 S
7  NOBLE HUNTSMAN 7 11 86¼ 85¼   63½ 43½ (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 121 30.00 39.50  
9  YOUR MAN ALEX 9 12 128½ 1110¼   116¾ 54 (giddings melan)LUZZI J 120 10.00 19% 4.10 9.50  
8  EMPIRE SKY 8 10 107¼ 108¾   85 65 (crook-demasi ka)CARMOUCHE K 121 10.00 16.60  
11  FINAL DENILE 11 7 96¼ 98¼   105¾ 75¾ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 7.80  
3  LI'L LANG 3 6 63¾ 73¼   74 86¾ (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 36% 1.80 2.15  
2  NOBLE JOURNEY 2 9 118¼ 1212¼   129¼ 96¾ (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 121 30.00 5% 19.00 75.50  
1  VOLKERT 1 1 1nk 1nk   32½ 108¾ (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 10.00 20% 3.90 13.40  
12  MASTER FREUD 12 4 41 52¾   95½ 1112¼ (klesar)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 10.40  
5  STREET ROD 5 5 2nk 2nk   53 1214¾ (englehart chr)VELAZQUEZ R 123 15.00 27.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.