Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(5/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(5/1/8/4)-(7/2/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (5/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/8/4)-(5/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/8/4)-(5/1/8/4)-(5/1/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/8/4)-(7/2/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/8/4)-(7/2/5/4)-(10/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (7/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/4)-(7/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/4)-(7/2/5/4)-(7/2/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/5/4)-(10/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/4)-(10/5/7)-(5/4/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (10/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/5/7)-(10/5/12/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/5/7)-(10/5/12/7/8)-(10/5/12/7/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/5/7)-(5/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (10/5/7)-(5/4/8)-(3/7/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (5/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/8)-(5/4/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/8)-(5/4/1/8)-(5/4/1/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/8)-(3/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/8)-(3/7/2/6)-(7/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (3/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/2/6)-(7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2/6)-(7/2/4)-(3/1/9/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/4)-(7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/4)-(3/1/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (3/1/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/9/2)-(3/1/9/10/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/1/9/2)-(3/1/9/10/2)-(3/1/9/10/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SORORITY PRANK Aug15 Jul27 Jun30 Jun15 May11 (englehart chr)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of FORGET IT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  BURN RUBBER         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of SEEKING HER GLORY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  EXECUTIVE MOVE Aug28 Jul27 Dec29     (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 120 1.80 41% 1.40    
  (by THE FACTOR out of TWO SUSANS by PURGE)
4  TIZ THE PRINCE Aug18 Jul25 Jun30 Jun06 Nov12 (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of TIZ EPIC by TIZNOW)
5  ACCIDENTAL BID Aug21 Jun15       (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50    
  (by NYQUIST out of COURT DRESS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  HUMSTINGER         (giddings melan)LUZZI J 120 10.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of BEE IN A BONNET by PRECISE END)
 
BAQ-2   10/04/2024 6270ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN TIME (FR) Aug22 Jul25 Jul07 Apr25 Nov12 (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 15% 5.50    
2  QUARREL Sep22 Sep02 Aug16 May11 Oct14 (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 12.00    
SCR  ETERNAL SILENCE Jul07 Oct27       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.40    
4  THEREARENORULES Jul31 Jun10 Oct31 Oct07 Sep06 (schultz lindsay)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  THEGIRLFROMIRELAND Sep02 Jun01 May17 Aug19 Jun23 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.50 54% 0.80    
6  LADY FIREFOOT Sep02 Aug16 Jun29 May19 Apr06 (giddings m)RIVERA R 122 20.00    
7  TIC TIC TIC BOOM Jul21 Jun15 May26 Apr26 Mar28 (bedard alan)SILVERA RUBEN 124 15.00    
8  ALLAMERICANBEAUTY Oct27 Sep03 Aug04 Jun11 Apr14 (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 9% 10.70    
SCR  AUTUMN EVENING Aug31 Jul04 May04 Mar09 Dec20 (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 120 1.20    
SCR  ICHIBAN Aug01 Jul17 Jul04 Dec31 Dec16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.50    
SCR  TONED UP Aug01 Jul11 Jul04 Jun21 Apr18 (kantarmaci ilkay)RIDER TBA 122 3.50    
 
BAQ-3   10/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APOLLO CODE Sep01 Aug11 Jul28 Jun28 Jun09 (delgado )SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
2  GRAYWING Sep24 Aug21 May20 Apr29 Apr06 (englehart )RIVERA R 123 6.00 16% 5.10    
3  BRICK AMBUSH Jun06 Apr21 Mar10 Jan19 Dec16 (gargan dann)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 1.80    
4  STEWIE Sep10 Aug28 Jun26 Jun12 May28 (englehart chri)LUZZI J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  VERY STORMY Sep14 Aug15 Jul18 Jun27   (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50 5% 17.30    
6  CAMM' DUKE Aug09 Jul06 Jun06 May12 Apr27 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 121 12.00    
7  SANDY SWEET TOOTH Apr12 Mar10       (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
 
BAQ-4   10/04/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IT'S HOT IN HERE (IRE) Sep02 Jul19 Jun02 Sep16 Aug06 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
2  TONGUE TWISTER Sep02 Jul24 Jul04 Apr25 Oct29 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00    
3  THORNY Sep19 Aug23 Jul21 Jun22 May30 (antonucci jena )DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00    
SCR  TOUR JETE Sep02 Jul17 Jun09 Dec16 Nov10 (morey e)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
5  QUITE CONTINENTAL Sep14 Jul24 Mar29 Jan28   (rice linda)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SHE IS INVINCIBLE (GB) Aug17 Jul11 Sep23     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
7  SILENT MELODY Sep02 Aug03 Jul11 Jun14 May09 (abreu j)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  SETTLING STORM Aug24 Jul25 May29 Jan14 Jul02 (clement chr)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 6.00 ★    
9  SURPRENANT COCCA Sep02 Jul18 Jun12 May05 Nov17 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
10  NEXT ON STAGE Sep02 Jul25 Jun15 May16 Feb29 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.50 64% 0.60    
11  MORE MANGO Sep20 Sep02 Jul19 Jun14 Mar22 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 122 30.00    
12  SWEET DUTCHESS Aug08 Jul18 May19 Apr20 Mar23 (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  PALLOTTA SISTERS Sep02 Jul25 May29 Apr26 Feb10 (potts wayne)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.50    
SCR  SPOOKY LADY Sep13 Aug22 Jul24 Jun28 May24 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00    
SCR  SHE'S COOL Aug11 Jun28 May31 Apr19 Mar02 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/04/2024 3960ft TURF RC12 FIRM Futurity Purse ($175K) 2 ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GATE TO WIRE Aug30         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 ★    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SANSIBAR JEWEL by STREET CRY (IRE))
2  EPITAPH Aug25         (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of BARB'S ON EDGE by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  CHASING LIBERTY Sep01 Jul28       (atras ro)SANTANA JR 122 3.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of PEACEFUL by DECLARATION OF WAR)
4  IN THE CHASE Aug25 Jul25       (david a)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 8% 11.00    
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of SHE'S ALWAYS READY by MORE THAN READY)
5  UNDER WHO'S RADAR Sep01 Jul19       (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 62% 0.60    
  (by VIOLENCE out of COMME CHEZ SOI by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  I'M OTTER HERE Sep08 Aug18 Jul28     (hiles a)TORRES A 120 6.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  MENTEE Sep02 Jun15       (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of NONNA BELLA by STAY THIRSTY)
8  JOEY MUSCLES Aug31 Aug10 Jul07 Jun08   (antonucci jena)LUZZI J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of SMOKIN RED HOT by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
BAQ-6   10/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KID'S LAST LAUGH Mar28 Feb24 Jan04 Nov25 Nov10 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00    
2  I'MHAVINGAMOMENT Jan05 Nov05 Oct07 Aug03 Jul09 (mott william)TORRES A 121 10.00 12% 7.10    
3  ROSWELL Aug23 Jul19 Jun07 May01 Feb14 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 0.80 39% 1.60    
4  GOLDEN DEGREE Aug10 Jun22 May16 Apr20 Mar16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
5  STATUS SEEKER Aug05 Jun20 Jun01 May03 Apr11 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00    
6  KILLY START Aug17 Jul28 Jul17 Jun19 Jun08 (abreu fern)RIVERA R 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  CARA'S TIME Aug31 Jul19 Jun15 Feb18 Jan14 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
BAQ-7   10/04/2024 7260ft TURF RC12 FIRM Waya Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SURPRISINGLY Aug22 Jul20 Jun07 May03 Mar30 (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50    
  (by MASTERY out of VAGABOND by ARCH)
2  AVENUE NIEL (IRE) Sep01 Aug08 Oct19 Sep22 Jul26 (clement christ)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00 21% 3.80    
  (by HELMET out of ANDALOUSERIE by POET'S VOICE (GB))
3  LA MEHANA (FR) Jul07 May03 Mar30     (clement christo)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00    
  (by AL WUKAIR out of OCEANIE by DANSILI)
4  IMMENSITUDE (FR) Sep05 Aug14 Jun02 Apr21   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00 12% 7.40    
  (by LAWMAN out of MA PETITE POULE by ELUSIVE CITY)
5  BEAUTIFUL LOVE (IRE) Sep14 Aug17       (appleby charle)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00    
  (by SIYOUNI out of POWDER SNOW by DUBAWI)
6  IDEA GENERATION (IRE) Aug31 Jul25 Oct07 Sep09 Jul09 (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 126 5.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of KNOCKNAGREE by GALILEO (ARG))
7  MCKULICK (GB) Aug31 Aug01 Jun07 May03 Mar30 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 126 1.80 36% 1.80    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ASTRELLE by MAKFI (GB))
SCR  STAR FORTRESS (IRE) Aug10 Jun07 May03 Apr13 Mar09 (devaux cheri)TORRES A 122 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LADY AQUITAINE by EL PRADO (IRE))
SCR  MOVIE MOXY Aug03 Jul26 Apr14 Mar30 Feb25 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.60    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CASTING DIRECTOR by BERNARDINI)
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY Jul11 Jun21 May10 Dec28 Oct29 (rice linda)RIDER TBA 122 2.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of PRIVACY by NOTEBOOK)
SCR  PEAK POPULARITY Aug01 Oct28 Aug25 Jun29 Apr29 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of PERAZZI by THORN DANCE)
 
BAQ-8   10/04/2024 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOLKERT Sep07 May09 Apr19 Mar15 Feb15 (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 10.00 20% 3.90    
2  NOBLE JOURNEY Sep03 Jun26 May29 May22 Nov08 (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  LI'L LANG Aug21 Jun23 May25 Apr21 Mar21 (abreu jorge )TORRES A 118 3.50 36% 1.80    
4  HEYMACKIT'SJACK Aug31 Jul13 Jun22 May26 May13 (begg be)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50    
5  STREET ROD Aug31 Jan19 Jul14     (englehart chr)VELAZQUEZ R 123 15.00    
6  EDDIE THE GREAT Sep07 Aug11 Jul21 Jul06 Jun29 (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 121 20.00    
7  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Aug31 Aug04 Jun14 May09 Apr28 (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 121 30.00    
8  EMPIRE SKY Aug21 Jul07 May19 Oct20 Aug26 (crook-demasi ka)CARMOUCHE K 121 10.00    
9  YOUR MAN ALEX Aug31 Jul14 Jun22 May26   (giddings melan)LUZZI J 120 10.00 19% 4.10    
10  TWISTED FILIGREE Aug31 Aug21 Jul14 Jun16 May12 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.50 ★    
11  FINAL DENILE Aug24 Jul14 Jun22 May10 Mar24 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00    
12  MASTER FREUD Sep13 Jul06 Jun14 May03 Mar07 (klesar)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.