Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $17.00 $11.00 183%
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-3 $25.75 $19.75 329%
BAQ-2   WIN (1/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $15.40 $7.40 93%
    EXA (1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-1 $33.25 $21.25 177%
    DD (3/4/5)-(1/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-4 $94.25 $82.25 685%
BAQ-3   EXA (2/8/1/4)-(2/8/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-1 $21.50 $9.50 79%
    DD (1/5/4/7)-(2/8/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  4-2 $35.25 $19.25 120%
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(1/5/4/7)-(2/8/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00  5-4-2 $300.50 $252.50 526%
BAQ-5   TRI (5/3/2/9)-(5/3/2/6/9)-(5/3/2/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00  5-3-9 $47.62 $23.62 98%
    SFT (5/3/2/9)-(5/3/2/6/9)-(5/3/2/6/9)-(5/3/2/6/9) 96 $0.10 $9.60  5-3-9-6 $51.90 $42.30 441%
BAQ-7   WIN (5/9/6/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  9 $10.80 $0.80 8%
    EXA (5/9/6/10/7)-(5/9/6/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  9-10 $30.50 $10.50 53%
BAQ-8   WIN (7/9/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $11.00 $3.00 38%
    TRI (7/9/3/2)-(7/9/3/11/2)-(7/9/3/11/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00  3-7-9 $24.87 $0.87 4%
    SFT (7/9/3/2)-(7/9/3/11/2)-(7/9/3/11/2)-(7/9/3/11/2) 96 $0.10 $9.60  3-7-9-2 $126.40 $116.80 1217%
    DD (5/9/6/10/7)-(7/9/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  9-3 $29.25 $9.25 46%
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   10/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
See original race card.
:222 :453 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LIBERTE DE BAYEUX 5 3 11 12   14½ 14 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00 5% 19.00 7.50 W
3  C SUITE BOY 3 4 42½ 34½   24½ 24 (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 121 0.80 59% 0.70 1.30 P
2  FORCED ERRORS 2 1 21 45½   46 37 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 8.90  
4  SHAKIN THE BELLE 4 2 55 510   58½ 48¾ (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.50 14% 6.10 1.85  
6  WILD NUGGET 6 5 31½ 22   35 59¼ (synnefias )RIVERA R 121 5.00 5.20  
1  IRISH TIDES 1 6 611½ 616½   621½ 629¼ (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 30.00 27.00  
 
BAQ-2   10/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:111 1:242   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MR. SWAGGER 4 3 43 33 33 2½ 1¼ (sciacca gary)DAVIS KATIE 124 6.00 18% 4.60 6.70 W
1  BECAUSE THE NIGHT 1 5 21 21 2½ 3½ 2¼ (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 30% 2.30 2.25 P
6  ARREBATO 6 1 11 11 1½ 1½ 36½ (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 124 5.00 3.40  
7  STRONG LIGHT 7 4 55½ 47 413 48½ 47½ (samsundar )RIVERA R 122 12.00 9% 10.30 24.00  
3  SCOTTO 3 7 79 69½ 514½ 510 59¼ (jones edua)BONILLA CRISTINA 122 20.00 37.00  
2  FLASHY ALEX 2 6 33 57½ 618 617 627¾ (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 124 30.00 34.25  
5  ANTHRACITE 5 2 67 7100 7100 7100 7100 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.40 19% 4.40 1.25  
 
BAQ-3   10/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:112 1:234   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FIRST GLIMPSE 2 2 42¼ 41¼ 3.2 1½ 1½ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 124 3.50 44% 1.30 2.80 W
1  WINTER'S GHOST 1 1 2nk 2nk 2nk 2½ 2½ (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 12.00 10% 9.30 6.10 P
5  MASON MANIA 5 7 68¾ 67¾ 65¼ 63¾ 3¾ (potts wayne)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00 4.90  
8  SKI COUNTRY 7 6 52¾ 31 4¼ 3½ 41¾ (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 22% 3.50 1.95  
7  BARESE 6 5 1nk 1nk 1nk 4¾ 51¾ (kantarmaci ilk)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50 7.30  
4  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY 4 3 32 51¾ 51¾ 51¾ 62¼ (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 124 10.00 5% 19.00 15.40  
3  GRANDPA'S KID 3 4 79¼ 77¾ 77¾ 77¾ 79¼ (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 124 8.00 8.30  
SCR  GIROOVIN               (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/03/2024 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:223 :483 1:141 1:391   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MYTHICAL MAN 3 2 33 33 52 22½ 1½ (gargan dann)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 ★ 3.25  
1  RETEKO 1 1 21 21 11 12½ 2½ (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 3.65  
2  OZZY 2 3 65 54 63½ 33½ 36¼ (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 27.50  
5  CALVIN'S RIDE 5 6 54 64¼ 41½ 45 48¼ (terranova )RIVERA R 119 12.00 38.75  
11  PAPA'S NICO BOY 10 8 75 86¼ 73¾ 57 59½ (barker edward )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 9.40  
4  DIGNIFIED RESPONSE 4 5 87 75¾ 85¼ 69½ 610¼ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 23.40  
7  SALVATION 7 9 910½ 97¼ 95¾ 710½ 710½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.00 40% 1.50 1.70  
8  GORMLEY'S SECRET 8 10 1011 107¼ 109¾ 916½ 820½ (rodriguez r)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 5% 19.00 62.25  
10  MAX N FIFO 9 7 11 11 21 1018½ 927½ (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00 8.10  
6  COURAGEOUS MISSION 6 4 43½ 43 31½ 813½ 1028 (bailes robert)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00 32% 2.10 17.40  
SCR  ARCTIC OUTBREAK               (lawrence l)RUIZ JORGE 119 4.00    
SCR  DEW               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 6.00    
SCR  PRICHARD               (devaux cherie)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
SCR  PRINTER'S ALLEY               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00    
SCR  SKY MASTERSON               (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.50    
SCR  WILDING LANE               (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/03/2024 3960ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:222 :453 :571     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  REFLEXIVITY (IRE) 5 1 11½ 12½   13½ 11½ (morey william)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.00 43% 1.30 0.70 W
3  LINARITE 2 3 53¼ 34½   23½ 21½ (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 121 4.00 30% 2.30 4.70 P
9  LILLY LANE 9 5 21½ 22½   34 33 (schultz l)VARGAS A 121 15.00 5% 19.00 32.25 S
6  TIPSY RUNNER 6 6 75¾ 77   46 44 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 ★ 6.40  
1  QUICK POWER NAP 3 4 43 55   56½ 55¼ (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 8.00 7.60  
4  MISS BONNIE T 4 8 87¼ 89   69 68¼ (arenas marcelo)DAVIS DYLAN 121 20.00 22.20  
2  SASSY ALLIE 1 2 31½ 45   89¼ 710¾ (falcone rob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50 5% 19.00 9.70  
8  ALETTE D'ORO 8 7 64¾ 65½   79 811½ (ferraro james )LUZZI J 120 30.00 50.75  
7  SUN AND WIND 7 9 920¼ 921   921¼ 925½ (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00    
SCR  MALU               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00    
SCR  POSEIDON'S MIST               (englehart chris)RIDER TBA 120 2.50    
SCR  STARRY MIDNIGHT               (ferraro james )LUZZI J 123 8.00    
SCR  TRY IT AGAIN               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 123 8.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:103     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PAXSATIONAL 3 4 11 11½   12½ 11 (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 124 20.00 16.80  
6  DARK DEVIL 6 1 21 31½   22½ 21 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.80 56% 0.80 1.75 P
7  GLINT 7 2 41½ 21½   33 34½ (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00 5% 19.00 40.00 S
2  WAJDA 2 5 31 42   44½ 44¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 5.00 11% 8.20 4.40  
1  HOULTON 1 6 62¼ 63¾   56½ 58¼ (mott william )ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 13% 7.00 1.40  
4  MISSOURI RIVER 4 7 73¾ 75¼   710 610 (gargan dan)RIVERA R 121 4.00 6.30  
5  FIRST TRUMPET 5 3 51¾ 53½   69½ 710½ (delauro edw)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 30.00 44.00  
SCR  LOOKS FIRST               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
SCR  STREET VIEW               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/03/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Gio Ponti Purse ($135K) 3 ALL PT- 3:46
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:113 1:233   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  DONEGAL MOMENTUM 8 2 11½ 11½ 11½ 12 12 (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 14% 6.30 4.40 W
  (by UNCLE MO out of MOON DASH by MALIBU MOON)
10  ROYAL MAJESTY (GB) 9 6 75 75½ 84¾ 43½ 22 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 7% 12.90 4.20 P
  (by FRANKEL out of CROWN QUEEN by SMART STRIKE)
2  TAKE ME TO CHURCH (IRE) 2 4 31½ 32 21½ 22 32¼ (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 122 5.00 2.10  
  (by CHURCHILL out of CHANCES ARE by DANDY MAN)
4  THE PROCESS 4 9 53½ 53½ 53 33 43½ (devaux cherie)RUIZ JORGE 120 12.00 20.90  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of EBLOUISSANTE by BERNARDINI)
11  VESTING (IRE) 10 7 86½ 85¾ 74¼ 75½ 55¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 6.70  
  (by BLUE POINT out of WILD CHILD by FREE AT LAST (GB))
3  PIPER'S FACTOR 3 3 43 42 42 55 66 (vassilieva kat)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00 11.30  
  (by THE FACTOR out of PIPERS FUTURE by NIIGON)
6  PALM TREE 6 5 64½ 64 63¼ 86½ 77¼ (walsh bre)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 6.00 8% 11.90 9.20  
  (by STREET BOSS out of DESERT GAZELLE by SMART STRIKE)
5  IN A JAM 5 10 97 97¼ 96¼ 98½ 89 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 35% 1.90 10.80  
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of YANKEE UNION by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
7  FULL NELSON 7 1 21½ 21½ 32 65½ 99¼ (d'angelo jose)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00 7% 13.50 19.30  
  (by LORD NELSON out of PRETTY OWL by INTO MISCHIEF)
1  RUDDY BUDDY 1 8 109½ 108¾ 106¼ 1010 1010½ (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 120 30.00 96.00  
  (by MSHAWISH out of KATANGA by MAXIOS (GB))
SCR  MAIN BEACH               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SIREN SERENADE by MARFA)
SCR  MISSION NORTH               (fisher r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of DREAM EXCHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  SILVER SATIN               (abreu r)RIDER TBA 120 2.50    
  (by MITOLE out of HAPPY CLAPPER by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  YO DADDY               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of ELLE STORMIN' by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
BAQ-8   10/03/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 4:18
See original race card.
:22 :45 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CANDY QUEST 3 7 31 32   31 12 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 20% 3.90 4.50 W
  (by CONNECT out of CANDY CRUSH by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
7  TAM I AM 7 2 21 21   1½ 22 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 1.40 30% 2.30 0.80 P
  (by AUTHENTIC out of BELLA AURORA by CARPE DIEM (FR))
9  PRETTY LIZA 9 4 41½ 43½   43 34¼ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00 27% 2.70 7.80 S
  (by KANTHAROS out of AMURMAR by GALILEO (ARG))
2  PIONUS 2 9 88¼ 89   57 46 (barrera osc)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 30.00 5% 19.00 85.50  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of BEACH WALTZ by TREASURE BEACH (GB))
11  SO DARN PRETTY (IRE) 11 1 11 11   2½ 57¾ (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 ★ 8.00  
  (by TOO DARN HOT out of ZONDAQ by BERNARDINI)
5  LADY GUNNER 5 6 98¾ 910½   79 69¾ (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00 25.25  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SISTER DAWN by INDIAN CHARLIE)
10  MOONSCAPE 10 5 63¼ 55   68½ 713¼ (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 11.20  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of LOVELY MOON by BERNSTEIN)
6  NOT THE FIRST TIME 6 8 75¾ 78½   89½ 813½ (de horaci)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 13.40  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MOONLIGHT SERENADE by FR (DICTUS)
4  CONTRACT LAW 4 11 1115¼ 1116½   1014 914 (serpe phili)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00 62.00  
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of MISS MYSTIQUE by TEUFLESBERG)
8  HAVE A HAPPY 8 3 53 67½   99½ 1014 (arriaga an)RIVERA R 119 50.00 78.00  
  (by CURLIN'S HONOR out of RATE CHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
1  THUNDER PRINCESS 1 10 1013¼ 1015½   1114½ 1116 (brown )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00 54.75  
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of TEN PENNY PRINCESS by THUNDER GULCH)
SCR  CAMPAIGN SECRET               (terranova p)RIDER TBA 119 6.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of WHISPERED SECRETS by CONGRATS)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.