Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(1/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(1/5/4/7)-(2/8/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (1/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/7)-(2/8/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4/7)-(2/8/1/4)-(7/6/11/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (2/8/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/1/4)-(2/8/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/1/4)-(2/8/1/4)-(2/8/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/1/4)-(7/6/11/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/8/1/4)-(7/6/11/8)-(5/3/2/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (7/6/11/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/11/8)-(7/6/11/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/11/8)-(7/6/11/3/8)-(7/6/11/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/11/8)-(5/3/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/11/8)-(5/3/2/9)-(6/1/2/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (5/3/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/9)-(5/3/2/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/9)-(5/3/2/6/9)-(5/3/2/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/2/9)-(6/1/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/9)-(6/1/2/7)-(5/9/6/10/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (6/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/7)-(6/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/7)-(6/1/2/7)-(6/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/2/7)-(5/9/6/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2/7)-(5/9/6/10/7)-(7/9/3/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (5/9/6/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/6/10/7)-(5/9/6/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/6/10/7)-(5/9/6/10/7)-(5/9/6/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/6/10/7)-(7/9/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (7/9/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/3/2)-(7/9/3/11/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/9/3/2)-(7/9/3/11/2)-(7/9/3/11/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH TIDES Aug16         (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 30.00    
2  FORCED ERRORS Aug31 Aug02 Jun21     (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50    
3  C SUITE BOY Aug22 Jul28       (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 121 0.80 59% 0.70    
4  SHAKIN THE BELLE Sep09 Aug31 Jul24 Jun28 May25 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.50 14% 6.10    
5  LIBERTE DE BAYEUX Sep26 Aug29       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  WILD NUGGET Sep01         (synnefias )RIVERA R 121 5.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BECAUSE THE NIGHT Jun22 May02 Apr05 Mar03 Feb09 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 30% 2.30    
2  FLASHY ALEX Sep01 Aug02 Jun16 May17 May05 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 124 30.00    
3  SCOTTO Jun16 Jun01 May02 Apr04 Mar08 (jones edua)BONILLA CRISTINA 122 20.00    
4  MR. SWAGGER Sep20 Aug09 Jul20 Jun16 Jun01 (sciacca gary)DAVIS KATIE 124 6.00 18% 4.60    
5  ANTHRACITE Sep14 Aug11 Jul21 Apr13 Mar21 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.40 19% 4.40    
6  ARREBATO Sep20 Apr20 Apr05 Mar16 Feb29 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 124 5.00    
7  STRONG LIGHT Sep14 Sep07 Jun29 May18 Apr20 (samsundar )RIVERA R 122 12.00 9% 10.30    
 
BAQ-3   10/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINTER'S GHOST Sep01 Aug15 Mar30 Feb25 Jan20 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 12.00 10% 9.30    
2  FIRST GLIMPSE Sep13 Jul19 Jun28 May26 Apr26 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
3  GRANDPA'S KID Sep13 Jul21 Jun22 May26 May19 (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 124 8.00    
4  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Sep14 Aug15 Jul26 May18 Apr26 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MASON MANIA Jul26 May26 Apr26 Mar16 Jan26 (potts wayne)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00    
SCR  GIROOVIN Sep27 Aug28 Dec29 Dec03 Nov02 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00    
7  BARESE Sep19 Aug25 Aug01 May09 Dec29 (kantarmaci ilk)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50    
8  SKI COUNTRY Sep01 Aug11 Jul14 Jun16 May18 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 22% 3.50    
 
BAQ-4   10/03/2024 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RETEKO Aug21 Jul12       (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
2  OZZY Sep02 Aug15       (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
3  MYTHICAL MAN Aug21         (gargan dann)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 ★    
4  DIGNIFIED RESPONSE Aug30         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00    
5  CALVIN'S RIDE Aug30         (terranova )RIVERA R 119 12.00    
6  COURAGEOUS MISSION Sep04 Aug24 Jul25     (bailes robert)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00 32% 2.10    
7  SALVATION Aug21         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.00 40% 1.50    
8  GORMLEY'S SECRET         (rodriguez r)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PRINTER'S ALLEY Aug31         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00    
10  MAX N FIFO Aug29         (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00    
11  PAPA'S NICO BOY Sep15 Aug29       (barker edward )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SKY MASTERSON Sep22 Aug29 Aug01 Jul24 Jul07 (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.50    
SCR  ARCTIC OUTBREAK Aug23 Aug01       (lawrence l)RUIZ JORGE 119 4.00    
SCR  DEW Aug24 Aug03 Jul19 Jun23 Jun06 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 6.00    
SCR  PRICHARD Sep07         (devaux cherie)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
SCR  WILDING LANE Sep14         (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/03/2024 3960ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUICK POWER NAP Sep26 Aug23 Jul13 Jun15 May18 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 8.00    
SCR  TRY IT AGAIN Sep10 Sep02 Jul28 Jun30 May24 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 123 8.00    
2  SASSY ALLIE Sep26 Jul28 May27     (falcone rob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
3  LINARITE Sep26 Aug30 Aug23 Aug04 Jul28 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 121 4.00 30% 2.30    
4  MISS BONNIE T Sep22 Aug04 Jun20 May09 Nov25 (arenas marce)CASTELLANO J 121 20.00    
5  REFLEXIVITY (IRE) Sep20 Aug29 Jul20 Jun29 Sep10 (morey william)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.00 43% 1.30    
6  TIPSY RUNNER Aug30 Jul18 Jun15 May11 Mar20 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 ★    
7  SUN AND WIND Sep04 Jul28 Jun27 Apr30 Mar29 (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00    
8  ALETTE D'ORO Sep22 Aug16 Jul07 Jun08 May04 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 120 30.00    
9  LILLY LANE May06 Mar15 Feb15 Jan18 Dec21 (schultz l)VARGAS A 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MALU Jul24 Jul17 Jun12 May23 Mar29 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00    
SCR  POSEIDON'S MIST Sep02 Jul21 Jun15 May17 Apr07 (englehart chris)RIDER TBA 120 2.50    
SCR  STARRY MIDNIGHT Sep19 Sep02 Jul24 Jul11 Jun13 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 123 8.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOULTON Aug24 Jul31 Jun15 Dec09 Oct26 (mott william )ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 13% 7.00    
2  WAJDA Sep01 Aug10 Nov17 Oct01 Aug25 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 5.00 11% 8.20    
3  PAXSATIONAL Aug02 Jun30 Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 124 20.00    
4  MISSOURI RIVER Jun15 Apr28 Dec23     (gargan dan)RIVERA R 121 4.00    
5  FIRST TRUMPET Sep19 Sep02 Aug05 May10 Apr21 (delauro edw)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 30.00    
6  DARK DEVIL Jul31 Jun15 May10 Apr26   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.80 56% 0.80    
7  GLINT Aug24 Jul31 Apr21 Mar24 Mar09 (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STREET VIEW Aug08 Jul17 Jun16 May05 Apr14 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
SCR  LOOKS FIRST Apr19 Mar09 Jul23 Jun18   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/03/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Gio Ponti Purse ($135K) 3 ALL PT- 3:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUDDY BUDDY Aug31 Aug22 Jul27 Mar09 Feb09 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 120 30.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of KATANGA by MAXIOS (GB))
2  TAKE ME TO CHURCH (IRE) Aug30         (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 122 5.00    
  (by CHURCHILL out of CHANCES ARE by DANDY MAN)
3  PIPER'S FACTOR Aug31 Jul20 Jun29 May12 Mar09 (vassilieva kat)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of PIPERS FUTURE by NIIGON)
4  THE PROCESS Aug30 Jul27 Jun13 Mar09 Jan13 (devaux cherie)RUIZ JORGE 120 12.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of EBLOUISSANTE by BERNARDINI)
5  IN A JAM Sep08 Aug11 Jul13 Jun08 May04 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 35% 1.90    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of YANKEE UNION by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
6  PALM TREE Sep05 Dec09 Oct08 Sep07 Aug11 (walsh bre)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 6.00 8% 11.90    
  (by STREET BOSS out of DESERT GAZELLE by SMART STRIKE)
7  FULL NELSON Jun23 Apr05 Mar09 Feb09 Dec31 (d'angelo jose)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00 7% 13.50    
  (by LORD NELSON out of PRETTY OWL by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  YO DADDY Aug30 Aug17 Jul27 Jun29 Jun07 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of ELLE STORMIN' by TALE OF THE CAT)
9  DONEGAL MOMENTUM Aug24 Jul26 Jun27 May16   (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 14% 6.30    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MOON DASH by MALIBU MOON)
10  ROYAL MAJESTY (GB) Aug11 Jul06 May25 Apr13 Mar02 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 7% 12.90    
  (by FRANKEL out of CROWN QUEEN by SMART STRIKE)
11  VESTING (IRE) Aug24 Jul26 Jun22 May19   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00    
  (by BLUE POINT out of WILD CHILD by FREE AT LAST (GB))
SCR  MISSION NORTH Jul06 Jun02 May17 Apr20 Dec17 (fisher r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of DREAM EXCHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  MAIN BEACH Jul27 Jun21 May19 Apr20   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SIREN SERENADE by MARFA)
SCR  SILVER SATIN Aug25 Jul20 Jun06 Apr20 Mar24 (abreu r)RIDER TBA 120 2.50    
  (by MITOLE out of HAPPY CLAPPER by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
BAQ-8   10/03/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDER PRINCESS Aug15 Jul21 Jun23     (brown )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of TEN PENNY PRINCESS by THUNDER GULCH)
2  PIONUS         (barrera osc)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of BEACH WALTZ by TREASURE BEACH (GB))
3  CANDY QUEST         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 20% 3.90    
  (by CONNECT out of CANDY CRUSH by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
4  CONTRACT LAW         (serpe phili)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of MISS MYSTIQUE by TEUFLESBERG)
5  LADY GUNNER         (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SISTER DAWN by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  NOT THE FIRST TIME         (de horaci)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MOONLIGHT SERENADE by FR (DICTUS)
7  TAM I AM Aug31         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 1.40 30% 2.30    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of BELLA AURORA by CARPE DIEM (FR))
8  HAVE A HAPPY Sep20 Sep14 Aug25     (arriaga an)RIVERA R 119 50.00    
  (by CURLIN'S HONOR out of RATE CHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
9  PRETTY LIZA Aug28         (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00 27% 2.70    
  (by KANTHAROS out of AMURMAR by GALILEO (ARG))
10  MOONSCAPE         (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of LOVELY MOON by BERNSTEIN)
11  SO DARN PRETTY (IRE)         (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 ★    
  (by TOO DARN HOT out of ZONDAQ by BERNARDINI)
SCR  CAMPAIGN SECRET         (terranova p)RIDER TBA 119 6.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of WHISPERED SECRETS by CONGRATS)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.