Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-2   Win (1/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-3   Win (2/8/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-4   Win (7/6/11/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-5   Win (5/3/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-6   Win (6/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-7   Win (5/9/6/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-8   Win (7/9/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   10/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH TIDES Aug16         (persaud)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 30.00    
FORCED ERRORS Aug31 Aug02 Jun21     (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50    
C SUITE BOY Aug22 Jul28       (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 121 0.80 59% 0.70    
SHAKIN THE BELLE Sep09 Aug31 Jul24 Jun28 May25 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.50 14% 6.10    
LIBERTE DE BAYEUX Sep26 Aug29       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
WILD NUGGET Sep01         (synnefias di)RIVERA R 121 5.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BECAUSE THE NIGHT Jun22 May02 Apr05 Mar03 Feb09 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 30% 2.30    
FLASHY ALEX Sep01 Aug02 Jun16 May17 May05 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 124 30.00    
SCOTTO Jun16 Jun01 May02 Apr04 Mar08 (jones eduard)BONILLA CRISTINA 122 20.00    
MR. SWAGGER Sep20 Aug09 Jul20 Jun16 Jun01 (sciacca gary)DAVIS KATIE 124 6.00 18% 4.60    
ANTHRACITE Sep14 Aug11 Jul21 Apr13 Mar21 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.40 19% 4.40    
ARREBATO Sep20 Apr20 Apr05 Mar16 Feb29 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 124 5.00    
STRONG LIGHT Sep14 Sep07 Jun29 May18 Apr20 (samsundar ro)RIVERA R 122 12.00 9% 10.30    
 
BAQ-3   10/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINTER'S GHOST Sep01 Aug15 Mar30 Feb25 Jan20 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 12.00 10% 9.30    
FIRST GLIMPSE Sep13 Jul19 Jun28 May26 Apr26 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
GRANDPA'S KID Sep13 Jul21 Jun22 May26 May19 (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 124 8.00    
ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Sep14 Aug15 Jul26 May18 Apr26 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
MASON MANIA Jul26 May26 Apr26 Mar16 Jan26 (potts wayne)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00    
SCR  GIROOVIN Sep27 Aug28 Dec29 Dec03 Nov02 (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00    
BARESE Sep19 Aug25 Aug01 May09 Dec29 (kantarmaci ilkay)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50    
SKI COUNTRY Sep01 Aug11 Jul14 Jun16 May18 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 22% 3.50    
 
BAQ-4   10/03/2024 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RETEKO Aug21 Jul12       (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
OZZY Sep02 Aug15       (terranova p)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
MYTHICAL MAN Aug21         (gargan danny)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
DIGNIFIED RESPONSE Aug30         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00    
CALVIN'S RIDE Aug30         (terranova jo)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
COURAGEOUS MISSION Sep04 Aug24 Jul25     (bailes robert)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00 32% 2.10    
SALVATION Aug21         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.00 40% 1.50    
GORMLEY'S SECRET         (rodriguez rud)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PRINTER'S ALLEY Aug31         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00    
10  MAX N FIFO Aug29         (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00    
11  PAPA'S NICO BOY Sep15 Aug29       (barker r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SKY MASTERSON Sep22 Aug29 Aug01 Jul24 Jul07 (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.50    
SCR  ARCTIC OUTBREAK Aug23 Aug01       (lawrence lee)RUIZ JORGE 119 4.00    
SCR  DEW Aug24 Aug03 Jul19 Jun23 Jun06 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 6.00    
SCR  PRICHARD Sep07         (devaux cherie)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
SCR  WILDING LANE Sep14         (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/03/2024 3960ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK POWER NAP Sep26 Aug23 Jul13 Jun15 May18 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 8.00    
SCR  TRY IT AGAIN Sep10 Sep02 Jul28 Jun30 May24 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 123 8.00    
SASSY ALLIE Sep26 Jul28 May27     (falcone rober)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
LINARITE Sep26 Aug30 Aug23 Aug04 Jul28 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 121 4.00 30% 2.30    
MISS BONNIE T Sep22 Aug04 Jun20 May09 Nov25 (arenas marcelo)CASTELLANO J 121 20.00    
REFLEXIVITY (IRE) Sep20 Aug29 Jul20 Jun29 Sep10 (morey e)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.00 43% 1.30    
TIPSY RUNNER Aug30 Jul18 Jun15 May11 Mar20 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
SUN AND WIND Sep04 Jul28 Jun27 Apr30 Mar29 (rodriguez r)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00    
ALETTE D'ORO Sep22 Aug16 Jul07 Jun08 May04 (ferraro w)LUZZI J 120 30.00    
LILLY LANE May06 Mar15 Feb15 Jan18 Dec21 (schultz lin)VARGAS A 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MALU Jul24 Jul17 Jun12 May23 Mar29 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00    
SCR  POSEIDON'S MIST Sep02 Jul21 Jun15 May17 Apr07 (englehart chris)RIDER TBA 120 2.50    
SCR  STARRY MIDNIGHT Sep19 Sep02 Jul24 Jul11 Jun13 (ferraro w)LUZZI J 123 8.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOULTON Aug24 Jul31 Jun15 Dec09 Oct26 (mott i)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 13% 7.00    
WAJDA Sep01 Aug10 Nov17 Oct01 Aug25 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 5.00 11% 8.20    
PAXSATIONAL Aug02 Jun30 Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 124 20.00    
MISSOURI RIVER Jun15 Apr28 Dec23     (gargan danny)RIVERA R 121 4.00    
FIRST TRUMPET Sep19 Sep02 Aug05 May10 Apr21 (delauro edwar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 30.00    
DARK DEVIL Jul31 Jun15 May10 Apr26   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.80 56% 0.80    
GLINT Aug24 Jul31 Apr21 Mar24 Mar09 (ribaudo )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STREET VIEW Aug08 Jul17 Jun16 May05 Apr14 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
SCR  LOOKS FIRST Apr19 Mar09 Jul23 Jun18   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/03/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Gio Ponti Purse ($135K) 3 ALL PT- 3:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUDDY BUDDY Aug31 Aug22 Jul27 Mar09 Feb09 (werneth robert )FUENTES MARIO 120 30.00    
TAKE ME TO CHURCH (IRE) Aug30         (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 122 5.00    
PIPER'S FACTOR Aug31 Jul20 Jun29 May12 Mar09 (vassilieva kater)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00    
THE PROCESS Aug30 Jul27 Jun13 Mar09 Jan13 (devaux cherie)RUIZ JORGE 120 12.00    
IN A JAM Sep08 Aug11 Jul13 Jun08 May04 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 35% 1.90    
PALM TREE Sep05 Dec09 Oct08 Sep07 Aug11 (walsh brend)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 6.00 8% 11.90    
FULL NELSON Jun23 Apr05 Mar09 Feb09 Dec31 (d'angelo f)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00 7% 13.50    
SCR  YO DADDY Aug30 Aug17 Jul27 Jun29 Jun07 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
DONEGAL MOMENTUM Aug24 Jul26 Jun27 May16   (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 14% 6.30    
10  ROYAL MAJESTY (GB) Aug11 Jul06 May25 Apr13 Mar02 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 7% 12.90    
11  VESTING (IRE) Aug24 Jul26 Jun22 May19   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00    
SCR  MISSION NORTH Jul06 Jun02 May17 Apr20 Dec17 (fisher r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00    
SCR  MAIN BEACH Jul27 Jun21 May19 Apr20   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
SCR  SILVER SATIN Aug25 Jul20 Jun06 Apr20 Mar24 (abreu r)RIDER TBA 120 2.50    
 
BAQ-8   10/03/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 4:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THUNDER PRINCESS Aug15 Jul21 Jun23     (brown br)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00    
PIONUS         (barrera oscar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
CANDY QUEST         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 20% 3.90    
CONTRACT LAW         (serpe philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
LADY GUNNER         (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
NOT THE FIRST TIME         (de horacio)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
TAM I AM Aug31         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.40 30% 2.30    
HAVE A HAPPY Sep20 Sep14 Aug25     (arriaga anto)RIVERA R 119 50.00    
PRETTY LIZA Aug28         (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00 27% 2.70    
10  MOONSCAPE         (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
11  SO DARN PRETTY         (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
SCR  CAMPAIGN SECRET         (terranova p)RIDER TBA 119 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.