Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Sunday - October 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-1   EXA (1/2/9/6/7)-(1/2/9/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-9 $22.08 $2.08 10%
KEE-2   EXA (5/9/3/1/8)-(5/9/3/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00  9-8 $34.74 $14.74 74%
KEE-4   WIN (7/9/8/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $19.44 $9.44 94%
KEE-6   WIN (9/10/7/3/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00  10 $11.68 $1.68 17%
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($79K) 2 F PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD TEMPER   (walden willia)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 40% 1.50 0.65 W
  (by COLLECTED out of RACHEL WALL by BLAME)
9  QUEEN IN THE DECK   (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 119 15.00 14% 6.30 16.04 P
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of CLARA BARTON by UNION RAGS)
10  FEARLESS LADY   (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 9.86  
  (by NYQUIST out of HOT BLOODED GIRL by TAPIT)
2  MEZCALIFORNIA   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 23% 3.40 5.35  
  (by COAL FRONT out of GLAMOUR LADY by MORE THAN READY)
6  SPUN UP   (calhoun will)TORRES A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 9.45  
  (by HARD SPUN out of WHITSUNDAY by FLATTER)
3  BLUE DAZZLER   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 17.01  
  (by MASTERY out of SEEKING THE BLUE by ARCH)
8  AIRFORCE LIGHTNING   (puhich mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 29.96  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of SASHAY by STROLL)
7  BLAME THE BANKER   (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 12.52  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of CLOSING STATEMENT by BLAME)
5  RANCH LIFE   (douaihy mi)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 50.57  
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of SUMMEROFSIXTYTHREE by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  ROYALEWITHCHEESE   (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 20.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of ROYALE HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
 
KEE-2   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($49K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  REFUAH   (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 4.00 20% 4.10 2.80 W
8  QUARRYMEN   (shorter a)TORRES A 118 20.00 5% 19.00 13.36 P
11  LEND IT TEWMEY   (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121 3.50 8.74  
7  TIZ MARKS SPIRIT   (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 118 30.00 44.26  
3  EARL OF DASSEL   (ramirez r)RODRIGUEZ R 121 8.00 13% 6.80 5.82  
6  UNTROUBLED   (caramori eduardo)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 30.34  
10  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN   (barnett bobb)BARBOSA CARLOS 121 20.00 25.61  
5  GLOBAL PRIDE   (meyers sha)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 38% 1.60 3.92  
2  TAP THE CANDY   (hancock a)ORTIZ L 121 10.00 14.99  
4  CANDYMAKER   (langemeier jo)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 19.65  
1  HEADLINE REPORT   (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 5.00 7% 12.70 3.91  
 
KEE-3   10/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($175K) Purse ($140K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SHIDABHUTI   (brown c)ORTIZ L 123 1.60 1.53  
4  ROYAL SPA   (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00 38% 1.70 2.17 P
1  TOUGH STREET   (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 9% 10.80 2.48 S
5  UNSUNG MELODY   (ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00 4.13  
SCR  SPEEDY TRAVELER   (bauer philip)TORRES A 121 2.50    
 
KEE-4   10/13/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:36
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SMART UNION   (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.72 W
  (by UNION RAGS out of SMART MISSION by SMART STRIKE)
11  JUST RUTHLESS   (heath dest)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 27.23  
  (by JUSTIFY out of NOTORIOUS R B G by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  NECESSITY   (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 49% 1.00 3.64 S
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SECRET KEEPER by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  STARRY NIGHT (ARG)   (attard kevin)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 6.03  
  (by JUSTIFY out of SHANNON FAITH by DISCREET CAT)
9  MAKE A MILLION   (rice adam)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 14% 6.40 15.24  
  (by HIGHER POWER out of RAINBOW DREAMS by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  ARE YOU A SPY   (bogle fergus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 30.00 69.24  
  (by UNION RAGS out of VEIL DANCE by ESKENDEREYA)
12  LADY AUTHENTIC   (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 10.15  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of SURAYA by TIZNOW)
1  BAYOU CANDY   (wilkes ia)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00 41.52  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of TWO BAYME by INCLUDE)
10  BRIGHT LADY   (beckman whitwor)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 30.72  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of TAN AND TIGHT by UNCLE MO)
3  SERVING TIME (GB)   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 3.65  
  (by WITHOUT PAROLE out of CUBIT by BATED BREATH)
8  WINTER'S LEGACY   (toner james)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 7% 13.80 6.33  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of WINTER MEMORIES by EL PRADO (IRE))
5  POVERTY WITH AVIEW   (gorder kelly)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 15.00 6% 16.30 7.13  
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of INTEREST by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  FORTUNATE   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of LADY ALEXANDRA by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  MINNESOTA MUNNY   (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of BLUE UNION RAGS by UNION RAGS)
SCR  POEMA   (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of GIPOIA by MEDICEAN)
SCR  TAKE NOTE OF THIS   (asmussen )TORRES A 119 4.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of DYNAIRE by DYNAFORMER)
 
KEE-5   10/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GILMORE   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 2.45  
5  EMBER   (williams )TORRES A 122 4.50 33% 2.00 3.90 P
11  PROVEN HOPE   (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 122 12.00 3.41  
2  RIGHT TONE   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 5.00 7.16  
12  TEMPTED MISSION   (johnston lane)JARA FERNANDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 39.09  
3  COOL RAGS   (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 13.03  
10  BEEALEA   (manley st)LEPAROUX R 122 10.00 15% 5.50 10.40  
9  C R INSTA GATOR   (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 17.02  
4  SANT' ANTIMO   (esquivel jesu)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 20.00 39.46  
6  KOSELIO   (martinez k)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 25% 2.90 10.90  
SCR  BOOGIE BODE   (watkins ja)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00    
SCR  BURNING LEAVES   (robertson)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00    
SCR  STIRDATPOT   (londono genev)LEBRON VICTOR 122 10.00    
 
KEE-6   10/13/2024 7920ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BROADWAY BOOGIE   (toner j)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 10% 8.60 4.84 W
8  MARKSMAN QUEEN (GB)   (motion h )DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 6.00 6.82  
3  LUCKY COMBINATION   (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 8% 10.90 4.66 S
7  HOLY FOLEY   (lynch a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50 9% 10.20 6.47  
1  BOSS LADY BAILEY   (ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 9.27  
11  SABALENKA   (beckman whi)CANNON DECLAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00 34.60  
2  I HAD THAT ONE TOO   (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 58.90  
5  TEA N CONVERSATION   (mccarthy micha)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 11.65  
9  QUEEN REGENT (GB)   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.50 49% 1.00 1.77  
SCR  BEST PERFORMER   (cano mu)TORRES A 122 15.00    
SCR  MARIA'S REVENGE   (sancal mu)LEPAROUX R 122 30.00    
 
KEE-7   10/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MYSTIC PLEASURE   (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 12% 7.20 1.35 W
4  UPPER CASE   (lobo h)ROMAN A 121 3.50 22% 3.60 5.59 P
3  PISTOL   (van t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.50 29% 2.50 4.46 S
8  LURE'EM IN   (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 114 20.00 48.76  
6  LOVER GIRL   (williams )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 45.51  
1  BE LIKE WATER   (oliver victor)VELAZQUEZ R 121 20.00 18.74  
9  BLAME DAY   (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 121 15.00 28.47  
2  ANYWHO   (sadler jo)TORRES A 121 2.00 9% 9.60 2.82  
5  ASSET PURCHASE   (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 123 20.00 7% 12.40 21.79  
 
KEE-8   10/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC13 FIRM Franklin Purse ($350K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FUTURE IS NOW   (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 4.00 ★ 6.88  
  (by GREAT NOTION out of PAST AS PRELUDE by BERNARDINI)
1  STAR OF MYSTERY (GB)   (appleby charle)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.50 38% 1.60 0.88 P
  (by KODIAC out of MISTRUSTING by SHAMARDAL)
2  PANDORA'S GIFT (IRE)   (williams stu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 5% 19.00 40.37 S
  (by CHURCHILL out of AMTHAAL by MR. PROSPECTOR)
15  STONE SILENT   (lynch brian)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 12.00 5% 19.00 16.56  
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of TRAVELATOR by A. P JET)
7  FROST AT DAWN   (knight will)LOUGHNANE BILLY 120 15.00 18.69  
  (by FROSTED out of HAWANA by WAR FRONT)
10  KAIRYU (IRE)   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 44.40  
  (by KUROSHIO out of VEGATINA by LOPE DE VEGA)
11  PIPSY (IRE)   (walden willia)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00 21.39  
  (by KODIAC out of EXPERTE by HIGH CHAPARRAL)
3  ROSES FOR DEBRA   (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 123 4.50 26% 2.80 5.11  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of ESSENTIAL ROSE by BERNARDINI)
4  ACCOMPLISHED GIRL   (asmussen )TORRES A 121 20.00 83.80  
  (by STREET BOSS out of DAZZLE by SLEWACIDE)
8  AWESOME TREAT   (wojczynski jus)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 30.00 94.25  
  (by AWESOME PATRIOT out of TIZ A TREAT by TIZ WONDERFUL)
9  ELM DRIVE   (damato ph)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 15.00 24.86  
  (by MOHAYMEN out of LETS DANCE CHARLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  DONTLOOKBACKATALL   (clement ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00 14% 6.30 7.97  
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of CELTIC ARCH by ARCH)
SCR  B G WARRIOR   (andrade)DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of BIOGIO'S GIFT by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  BEAUTY OF THE SEA   (orseno joseph )ORTIZ L 121 10.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of BELONG TO SEA by BELONG TO ME)
SCR  BLING   (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 121 30.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of BLONDE BOMBER by FORT LARNED)
SCR  TWIRLING QUEEN   (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ADVENTUROUS LADY by KANTHAROS)
 
KEE-9   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  NIGHT TIME   (morey will)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 76% 0.30 2.17 W
10  FRIAR LAURENCE   (cook b)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 4.87  
11  SOLIDIFY   (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 121 15.00 18.72  
4  CHATTALOT   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 ★ 2.14  
6  INSOLITO   (estvanko )CORREA L 121 15.00 16.99  
3  DIAMOND HEIST   (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 121 8.00 5% 19.00 5.24  
9  BACKGROUND   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 10.00 5% 19.00 7.29  
SCR  DURANTE   (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 5.00    
SCR  G T FIVE HUNDRED   (cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00    
SCR  HARRODSBURG   (tomlinson mi)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00    
SCR  LOVE THE NEST   (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.