Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Sunday - October 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (1/2/9/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $3.30 $3.30  
KEE-2   Win (5/9/3/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $7.60 $7.60  
KEE-3   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $5.06  
KEE-4   Win (7/9/8/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $19.44 $19.44 9.44
KEE-5   Win (5/6/10/12/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 0 $6.90  
KEE-6   Win (9/10/7/3/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $11.68 $11.68 1.68
KEE-7   Win (3/4/7/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $4.70 $4.70  
KEE-8   Win (1/3/6/2/15) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $15.76  
KEE-9   Win (7/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $6.34 $6.34 0.34

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($79K) 2 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:234 :492 1:15 1:412   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD TEMPER 1 1 1½ 11 11 1 1 (walden william)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 40% 1.50 0.65 W
QUEEN IN THE DECK 8 7 63 6 5 32 2 (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 119 15.00 14% 6.30 16.04 P
10  FEARLESS LADY 9 4 4 4 3 2 3 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 9.86  
MEZCALIFORNIA 2 8 31 3 4 4 4 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 23% 3.40 5.35  
SPUN UP 5 3 52 52 6 5 5 (calhoun willia)TORRES A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 9.45  
BLUE DAZZLER 3 2 2½ 21 21 67 617½ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 17.01  
AIRFORCE LIGHTNING 7 5 8 9 8 710 720¼ (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 29.96  
BLAME THE BANKER 6 9 96 8 7 812 824¾ (synnefias panag)JARA FERNANDO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 12.52  
RANCH LIFE 4 6 7 7 910¾ 914½ 926¾ (douaihy mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 50.57  
SCR  ROYALEWITHCHEESE               (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 20.00    
 
KEE-2   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($49K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REFUAH 9 5 6 32   2 1½ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 4.00 20% 4.10 2.80 W
QUARRYMEN 8 8 8 4   32 2½ (shorter aar)TORRES A 118 20.00 5% 19.00 13.36 P
11  LEND IT TEWMEY 11 2 3½ 1   1 31 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121 3.50 8.74  
TIZ MARKS SPIRIT 7 6 7 6   6 4 (synnefias panag)JARA FERNANDO 118 30.00 44.26  
EARL OF DASSEL 3 10 116 10   7 5 (ramirez ric)RODRIGUEZ R 121 8.00 13% 6.80 5.82  
UNTROUBLED 6 3 1nk 2   4 6 (caramori eduardo)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 30.34  
10  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN 10 1 2nk 5   5 711½ (barnett bobby )BARBOSA CARLOS 121 20.00 25.61  
GLOBAL PRIDE 5 4 5 8   911 817 (meyers shane)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 38% 1.60 3.92  
TAP THE CANDY 2 9 9 9   810½ 920½ (hancock a)ORTIZ L 121 10.00 14.99  
CANDYMAKER 4 7 4¾ 77   1011½ 1021½ (langemeier john)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 19.65  
HEADLINE REPORT 1 11 10 1112¼   1115 1122 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 5.00 7% 12.70 3.91  
 
KEE-3   10/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($175K) Purse ($140K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:11     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIDABHUTI 2 4 45 43   12 12 (brown c)ORTIZ L 123 1.60 1.53  
ROYAL SPA 3 3 21 2½   22 22 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00 38% 1.70 2.17 P
TOUGH STREET 1 2 33 3   3 35 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 9% 10.80 2.48 S
UNSUNG MELODY 4 1 11 1½   4 422¼ (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00 4.13  
SCR  SPEEDY TRAVELER               (bauer a)TORRES A 121 2.50    
 
KEE-4   10/13/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:213 :454 1:113 1:371   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMART UNION 2 8 8 8 8 3 11 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.72 W
11  JUST RUTHLESS 11 10 6 55 5 11 21 (heath destin)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 27.23  
NECESSITY 7 5 3 43 4 4 3 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 49% 1.00 3.64 S
STARRY NIGHT (ARG) 4 2 10 912 9 8 4 (attard kevin)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 6.03  
MAKE A MILLION 9 6 7 6 6 5 5 (rice adam)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 14% 6.40 15.24  
ARE YOU A SPY 6 9 12 1113¼ 1110¾ 7 64 (bogle fergus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 30.00 69.24  
12  LADY AUTHENTIC 12 7 43 3 32 21 7 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 10.15  
BAYOU CANDY 1 1 54 7 7 6 8 (wilkes ian )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00 41.52  
10  BRIGHT LADY 10 11 9 1012¼ 10 1011¼ 918½ (beckman whitworth)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 30.72  
SERVING TIME (GB) 3 4 11 1 12 910¼ 1023¼ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 3.65  
WINTER'S LEGACY 8 12 11 1213¾ 1210¾ 1214¼ 1125¾ (toner j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 7% 13.80 6.33  
POVERTY WITH AVIEW 5 3 21 2 22 1113¾ 1227¾ (gorder kellyn)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 15.00 6% 16.30 7.13  
SCR  FORTUNATE               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
SCR  MINNESOTA MUNNY               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
SCR  POEMA               (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.00    
SCR  TAKE NOTE OF THIS               (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 4.00    
 
KEE-5   10/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:142 1:404   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GILMORE 6 7 6 63 6 3 1¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 2.45  
EMBER 4 2 53 42 3 1½ 2¼ (williams ma)TORRES A 122 4.50 33% 2.00 3.90 P
11  PROVEN HOPE 9 3 21 2½ 2nk 2½ 3 (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 122 12.00 3.41  
RIGHT TONE 1 1 4 5 5 5 4 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 5.00 7.16  
12  TEMPTED MISSION 10 5 32 3 4 6 5 (johnston d)JARA FERNANDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 39.09  
COOL RAGS 2 9 108 98 9 77 6 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 13.03  
10  BEEALEA 8 6 86 8 8 910 711 (manley stev)LEPAROUX R 122 10.00 15% 5.50 10.40  
C R INSTA GATOR 7 4 11 1½ 1nk 4 811½ (von k)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 17.02  
SANT' ANTIMO 3 10 9 10 1011¼ 1010¼ 911½ (esquivel jesus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 20.00 39.46  
KOSELIO 5 8 75 74 7 8 1012¼ (martinez kel)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 25% 2.90 10.90  
SCR  BOOGIE BODE               (watkins jame)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00    
SCR  BURNING LEAVES               (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00    
SCR  STIRDATPOT               (londono genevie)LEBRON VICTOR 122 10.00    
 
KEE-6   10/13/2024 7920ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:25 :501 1:142 1:38 2:031 2:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BROADWAY BOOGIE 8 43 5 67 6 3 1¼ (toner j)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 10% 8.60 4.84 W
MARKSMAN QUEEN (GB) 6 1½ 1½ 1½ 1 12 2¼ (motion gr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 6.00 6.82  
LUCKY COMBINATION 3 2½ 3 3 2 22 3 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 8% 10.90 4.66 S
HOLY FOLEY 5 75 6 5 4 4 4 (lynch a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50 9% 10.20 6.47  
BOSS LADY BAILEY 1 3 4 4 53 55 57 (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 9.27  
11  SABALENKA 9 6 7 8 87 67 6 (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00 34.60  
I HAD THAT ONE TOO 2 96 9 911½ 99 9 7 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 58.90  
TEA N CONVERSATION 4 8 8 7 75 8 813¾ (mccarthy michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 11.65  
QUEEN REGENT (GB) 7 54 2½ 2½ 3 7 915¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.50 49% 1.00 1.77  
SCR  BEST PERFORMER               (cano muno)TORRES A 122 15.00    
SCR  MARIA'S REVENGE               (sancal mura)LEPAROUX R 122 30.00    
 
KEE-7   10/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTIC PLEASURE 7 4 3½ 2½   2½ 1½ (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 12% 7.20 1.35 W
UPPER CASE 4 2 1nk 1½   1½ 2½ (lobo h)ROMAN A 121 3.50 22% 3.60 5.59 P
PISTOL 3 5 41 53   5 3 (van tho)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.50 29% 2.50 4.46 S
LURE'EM IN 8 1 5 3½   3 4 (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 114 20.00 48.76  
LOVER GIRL 6 3 2nk 4   45 511 (williams ma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 45.51  
BE LIKE WATER 1 9 9 910   911½ 615¾ (oliver victoria)VELAZQUEZ R 121 20.00 18.74  
BLAME DAY 9 7 8 6   69 716½ (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 121 15.00 28.47  
ANYWHO 2 6 7 87   811 816½ (sadler john)TORRES A 121 2.00 9% 9.60 2.82  
ASSET PURCHASE 5 8 6 74   711 936¾ (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 123 20.00 7% 12.40 21.79  
 
KEE-8   10/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC13 FIRM Franklin Purse ($350K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:211 :434 :551     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUTURE IS NOW 5 4 21 3   1nk 1¾ (trombetta mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 4.00 6.88  
STAR OF MYSTERY (GB) 1 10 10 11   7 2¾ (appleby charles)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.50 38% 1.60 0.88 P
PANDORA'S GIFT (IRE) 2 9 5 5   32 3 (williams stuar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 5% 19.00 40.37 S
15  STONE SILENT 12 3 11 11   2nk 4 (lynch a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 12.00 5% 19.00 16.56  
FROST AT DAWN 7 12 11 10   6 5 (knight willia)LOUGHNANE BILLY 120 15.00 18.69  
10  KAIRYU (IRE) 10 7 84 9   116 6 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 44.40  
11  PIPSY (IRE) 11 2 3 21   4 7 (walden william)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00 21.39  
ROSES FOR DEBRA 3 5 74 8   9 8 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 123 4.50 26% 2.80 5.11  
ACCOMPLISHED GIRL 4 6 63 6   8 9 (asmussen st)TORRES A 121 20.00 83.80  
AWESOME TREAT 8 8 12 12   127 105 (wojczynski justi)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 30.00 94.25  
ELM DRIVE 9 1 42 4   54 11 (damato phil)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 15.00 24.86  
DONTLOOKBACKATALL 6 11 9 7   106 12 (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00 14% 6.30 7.97  
SCR  B G WARRIOR               (andrade h)DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
SCR  BEAUTY OF THE SEA               (orseno f)ORTIZ L 121 10.00    
SCR  BLING               (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 121 30.00    
SCR  TWIRLING QUEEN               (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
 
KEE-9   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT TIME 4 3 4 32   1nk 11 (morey willia)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 76% 0.30 2.17 W
10  FRIAR LAURENCE 6 4 66 66   4 21 (cook b)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 4.87  
11  SOLIDIFY 7 6 5 55   5 3 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 121 15.00 18.72  
CHATTALOT 2 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 4 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 2.14  
INSOLITO 3 5 2nk 2nk   3 511 (estvanko ri)CORREA L 121 15.00 16.99  
DIAMOND HEIST 1 2 32 4   6 612½ (synnefias panag)JARA FERNANDO 121 8.00 5% 19.00 5.24  
BACKGROUND 5 7 7 7   711¼ 725¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 10.00 5% 19.00 7.29  
SCR  DURANTE               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 5.00    
SCR  G T FIVE HUNDRED               (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00    
SCR  HARRODSBURG               (tomlinson mich)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00    
SCR  LOVE THE NEST               (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.