Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Sunday - October 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-1   EXA (1/2/9/6/7)-(1/2/9/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-9 $22.08 $2.08 10%
KEE-2   EXA (5/9/3/1/8)-(5/9/3/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00  9-8 $34.74 $14.74 74%
KEE-4   WIN (7/9/8/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $19.44 $9.44 94%
KEE-6   WIN (9/10/7/3/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00  10 $11.68 $1.68 17%
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($79K) 2 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:234 :492 1:15 1:412   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD TEMPER 1 1 1½ 11 11 11½ 11¾ (walden willia)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 40% 1.50 0.65 W
  (by COLLECTED out of RACHEL WALL by BLAME)
9  QUEEN IN THE DECK 8 7 63 62¼ 52½ 32 21¾ (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 119 15.00 14% 6.30 16.04 P
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of CLARA BARTON by UNION RAGS)
10  FEARLESS LADY 9 4 41½ 41½ 31½ 21½ 32¼ (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 9.86  
  (by NYQUIST out of HOT BLOODED GIRL by TAPIT)
2  MEZCALIFORNIA 2 8 31 31½ 41½ 42½ 46¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 23% 3.40 5.35  
  (by COAL FRONT out of GLAMOUR LADY by MORE THAN READY)
6  SPUN UP 5 3 52 52 62¾ 55½ 59¼ (calhoun will)TORRES A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 9.45  
  (by HARD SPUN out of WHITSUNDAY by FLATTER)
3  BLUE DAZZLER 3 2 2½ 21 21 67 617½ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 17.01  
  (by MASTERY out of SEEKING THE BLUE by ARCH)
8  AIRFORCE LIGHTNING 7 5 85½ 93¾ 85¾ 710 720¼ (puhich mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 29.96  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of SASHAY by STROLL)
7  BLAME THE BANKER 6 9 96 83¼ 75¼ 812 824¾ (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 12.52  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of CLOSING STATEMENT by BLAME)
5  RANCH LIFE 4 6 73½ 73¼ 910¾ 914½ 926¾ (douaihy mi)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 50.57  
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of SUMMEROFSIXTYTHREE by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  ROYALEWITHCHEESE               (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 20.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of ROYALE HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
 
KEE-2   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($49K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  REFUAH 9 5 62¼ 32   21½ 1½ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 4.00 20% 4.10 2.80 W
8  QUARRYMEN 8 8 84¾ 43½   32 2½ (shorter a)TORRES A 118 20.00 5% 19.00 13.36 P
11  LEND IT TEWMEY 11 2 3½ 11½   11½ 31 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121 3.50 8.74  
7  TIZ MARKS SPIRIT 7 6 73¾ 66½   67½ 47¾ (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 118 30.00 44.26  
3  EARL OF DASSEL 3 10 116 108¾   79½ 58¾ (ramirez r)RODRIGUEZ R 121 8.00 13% 6.80 5.82  
6  UNTROUBLED 6 3 1nk 21½   43½ 69¼ (caramori eduardo)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 30.34  
10  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN 10 1 2nk 53½   56½ 711½ (barnett bobb)BARBOSA CARLOS 121 20.00 25.61  
5  GLOBAL PRIDE 5 4 51¾ 87¼   911 817 (meyers sha)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 38% 1.60 3.92  
2  TAP THE CANDY 2 9 95¾ 98¾   810½ 920½ (hancock a)ORTIZ L 121 10.00 14.99  
4  CANDYMAKER 4 7 4¾ 77   1011½ 1021½ (langemeier jo)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 19.65  
1  HEADLINE REPORT 1 11 105¾ 1112¼   1115 1122 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 5.00 7% 12.70 3.91  
 
KEE-3   10/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($175K) Purse ($140K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:11     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SHIDABHUTI 2 4 45 43   12 12 (brown c)ORTIZ L 123 1.60 1.53  
4  ROYAL SPA 3 3 21 2½   22 22 (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00 38% 1.70 2.17 P
1  TOUGH STREET 1 2 33 31½   33½ 35 (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 9% 10.80 2.48 S
5  UNSUNG MELODY 4 1 11 1½   46½ 422¼ (ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00 4.13  
SCR  SPEEDY TRAVELER               (bauer philip)TORRES A 121 2.50    
 
KEE-4   10/13/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:213 :454 1:113 1:371   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SMART UNION 2 8 86½ 89½ 86¼ 32½ 11 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.72 W
  (by UNION RAGS out of SMART MISSION by SMART STRIKE)
11  JUST RUTHLESS 11 10 64½ 55 53¾ 11 21 (heath dest)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 27.23  
  (by JUSTIFY out of NOTORIOUS R B G by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  NECESSITY 7 5 32½ 43 42¼ 42½ 32¼ (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 49% 1.00 3.64 S
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SECRET KEEPER by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  STARRY NIGHT (ARG) 4 2 108½ 912 98¾ 86¼ 42¼ (attard kevin)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 6.03  
  (by JUSTIFY out of SHANNON FAITH by DISCREET CAT)
9  MAKE A MILLION 9 6 75½ 66½ 64¼ 54½ 53¾ (rice adam)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 14% 6.40 15.24  
  (by HIGHER POWER out of RAINBOW DREAMS by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  ARE YOU A SPY 6 9 129¾ 1113¼ 1110¾ 75¾ 64 (bogle fergus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 30.00 69.24  
  (by UNION RAGS out of VEIL DANCE by ESKENDEREYA)
12  LADY AUTHENTIC 12 7 43 32½ 32 21 74½ (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 10.15  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of SURAYA by TIZNOW)
1  BAYOU CANDY 1 1 54 76½ 75¼ 64¾ 85¼ (wilkes ia)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00 41.52  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of TWO BAYME by INCLUDE)
10  BRIGHT LADY 10 11 98½ 1012¼ 109¼ 1011¼ 918½ (beckman whitwor)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 30.72  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of TAN AND TIGHT by UNCLE MO)
3  SERVING TIME (GB) 3 4 11 11½ 12 910¼ 1023¼ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 3.65  
  (by WITHOUT PAROLE out of CUBIT by BATED BREATH)
8  WINTER'S LEGACY 8 12 119½ 1213¾ 1210¾ 1214¼ 1125¾ (toner james)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 7% 13.80 6.33  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of WINTER MEMORIES by EL PRADO (IRE))
5  POVERTY WITH AVIEW 5 3 21 21½ 22 1113¾ 1227¾ (gorder kelly)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 15.00 6% 16.30 7.13  
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of INTEREST by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  FORTUNATE               (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of LADY ALEXANDRA by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  MINNESOTA MUNNY               (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of BLUE UNION RAGS by UNION RAGS)
SCR  POEMA               (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of GIPOIA by MEDICEAN)
SCR  TAKE NOTE OF THIS               (asmussen )TORRES A 119 4.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of DYNAIRE by DYNAFORMER)
 
KEE-5   10/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:142 1:404   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GILMORE 6 7 64½ 63 63¾ 32½ 1¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 2.45  
5  EMBER 4 2 53 42 31½ 1½ 2¼ (williams )TORRES A 122 4.50 33% 2.00 3.90 P
11  PROVEN HOPE 9 3 21 2½ 2nk 2½ 33¼ (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 122 12.00 3.41  
2  RIGHT TONE 1 1 42½ 52½ 53¼ 53½ 45¼ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 5.00 7.16  
12  TEMPTED MISSION 10 5 32 31½ 41¾ 64½ 57¼ (johnston lane)JARA FERNANDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 39.09  
3  COOL RAGS 2 9 108 98 97¼ 77 67¾ (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 13.03  
10  BEEALEA 8 6 86 86½ 87¼ 910 711 (manley st)LEPAROUX R 122 10.00 15% 5.50 10.40  
9  C R INSTA GATOR 7 4 11 1½ 1nk 43½ 811½ (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 17.02  
4  SANT' ANTIMO 3 10 96½ 108½ 1011¼ 1010¼ 911½ (esquivel jesu)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 20.00 39.46  
6  KOSELIO 5 8 75 74 75¼ 87½ 1012¼ (martinez k)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 25% 2.90 10.90  
SCR  BOOGIE BODE               (watkins ja)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00    
SCR  BURNING LEAVES               (robertson)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00    
SCR  STIRDATPOT               (londono genev)LEBRON VICTOR 122 10.00    
 
KEE-6   10/13/2024 7920ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:25 :501 1:142 1:38 2:031 2:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BROADWAY BOOGIE 8 43 52½ 67 63½ 32½ 1¼ (toner j)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 10% 8.60 4.84 W
8  MARKSMAN QUEEN (GB) 6 1½ 1½ 1½ 11½ 12 2¼ (motion h )DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 6.00 6.82  
3  LUCKY COMBINATION 3 2½ 31½ 32½ 21½ 22 31¼ (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 8% 10.90 4.66 S
7  HOLY FOLEY 5 75 63½ 55½ 42½ 43½ 43¼ (lynch a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50 9% 10.20 6.47  
1  BOSS LADY BAILEY 1 32½ 42½ 45½ 53 55 57 (ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 9.27  
11  SABALENKA 9 64½ 73¾ 89½ 87 67 69½ (beckman whi)CANNON DECLAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00 34.60  
2  I HAD THAT ONE TOO 2 96 95¾ 911½ 99 99½ 79½ (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 58.90  
5  TEA N CONVERSATION 4 85½ 84¼ 77½ 75 87½ 813¾ (mccarthy micha)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 11.65  
9  QUEEN REGENT (GB) 7 54 2½ 2½ 31½ 77½ 915¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.50 49% 1.00 1.77  
SCR  BEST PERFORMER               (cano mu)TORRES A 122 15.00    
SCR  MARIA'S REVENGE               (sancal mu)LEPAROUX R 122 30.00    
 
KEE-7   10/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MYSTIC PLEASURE 7 4 3½ 2½   2½ 1½ (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 12% 7.20 1.35 W
4  UPPER CASE 4 2 1nk 1½   1½ 2½ (lobo h)ROMAN A 121 3.50 22% 3.60 5.59 P
3  PISTOL 3 5 41 53   55½ 36½ (van t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.50 29% 2.50 4.46 S
8  LURE'EM IN 8 1 51¼ 3½   34½ 48½ (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 114 20.00 48.76  
6  LOVER GIRL 6 3 2nk 41½   45 511 (williams )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 45.51  
1  BE LIKE WATER 1 9 97¼ 910   911½ 615¾ (oliver victor)VELAZQUEZ R 121 20.00 18.74  
9  BLAME DAY 9 7 82¾ 63½   69 716½ (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 121 15.00 28.47  
2  ANYWHO 2 6 72¼ 87   811 816½ (sadler jo)TORRES A 121 2.00 9% 9.60 2.82  
5  ASSET PURCHASE 5 8 61¾ 74   711 936¾ (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 123 20.00 7% 12.40 21.79  
 
KEE-8   10/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC13 FIRM Franklin Purse ($350K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:211 :434 :551     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FUTURE IS NOW 5 4 21 31½   1nk 1¾ (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 4.00 ★ 6.88  
  (by GREAT NOTION out of PAST AS PRELUDE by BERNARDINI)
1  STAR OF MYSTERY (GB) 1 10 105¼ 117½   74¼ 2¾ (appleby charle)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.50 38% 1.60 0.88 P
  (by KODIAC out of MISTRUSTING by SHAMARDAL)
2  PANDORA'S GIFT (IRE) 2 9 52½ 53½   32 31¼ (williams stu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 5% 19.00 40.37 S
  (by CHURCHILL out of AMTHAAL by MR. PROSPECTOR)
15  STONE SILENT 12 3 11 11   2nk 41½ (lynch brian)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 12.00 5% 19.00 16.56  
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of TRAVELATOR by A. P JET)
7  FROST AT DAWN 7 12 115¾ 107¼   64¼ 51½ (knight will)LOUGHNANE BILLY 120 15.00 18.69  
  (by FROSTED out of HAWANA by WAR FRONT)
10  KAIRYU (IRE) 10 7 84 96¼   116 63¼ (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 44.40  
  (by KUROSHIO out of VEGATINA by LOPE DE VEGA)
11  PIPSY (IRE) 11 2 31½ 21   42½ 73¾ (walden willia)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00 21.39  
  (by KODIAC out of EXPERTE by HIGH CHAPARRAL)
3  ROSES FOR DEBRA 3 5 74 85¾   95½ 84¼ (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 123 4.50 26% 2.80 5.11  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of ESSENTIAL ROSE by BERNARDINI)
4  ACCOMPLISHED GIRL 4 6 63 63¾   84½ 94¾ (asmussen )TORRES A 121 20.00 83.80  
  (by STREET BOSS out of DAZZLE by SLEWACIDE)
8  AWESOME TREAT 8 8 125¾ 127½   127 105 (wojczynski jus)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 30.00 94.25  
  (by AWESOME PATRIOT out of TIZ A TREAT by TIZ WONDERFUL)
9  ELM DRIVE 9 1 42 41½   54 115¼ (damato ph)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 15.00 24.86  
  (by MOHAYMEN out of LETS DANCE CHARLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  DONTLOOKBACKATALL 6 11 94¼ 75¾   106 125¾ (clement ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00 14% 6.30 7.97  
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of CELTIC ARCH by ARCH)
SCR  B G WARRIOR               (andrade)DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of BIOGIO'S GIFT by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  BEAUTY OF THE SEA               (orseno joseph )ORTIZ L 121 10.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of BELONG TO SEA by BELONG TO ME)
SCR  BLING               (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 121 30.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of BLONDE BOMBER by FORT LARNED)
SCR  TWIRLING QUEEN               (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ADVENTUROUS LADY by KANTHAROS)
 
KEE-9   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  NIGHT TIME 4 3 43½ 32   1nk 11 (morey will)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 76% 0.30 2.17 W
10  FRIAR LAURENCE 6 4 66 66   42¾ 21 (cook b)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 4.87  
11  SOLIDIFY 7 6 54½ 55   54¾ 34½ (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 121 15.00 18.72  
4  CHATTALOT 2 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 44¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 ★ 2.14  
6  INSOLITO 3 5 2nk 2nk   32½ 511 (estvanko )CORREA L 121 15.00 16.99  
3  DIAMOND HEIST 1 2 32 44½   66¼ 612½ (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 121 8.00 5% 19.00 5.24  
9  BACKGROUND 5 7 76¼ 79½   711¼ 725¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 10.00 5% 19.00 7.29  
SCR  DURANTE               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 5.00    
SCR  G T FIVE HUNDRED               (cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00    
SCR  HARRODSBURG               (tomlinson mi)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00    
SCR  LOVE THE NEST               (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.