Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland
Sunday - October 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (1/2/9/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-2   Win (5/9/3/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-3   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
KEE-4   Win (7/9/8/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-5   Win (5/6/10/12/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-6   Win (9/10/7/3/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-7   Win (3/4/7/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-8   Win (1/3/6/2/15) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-9   Win (7/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KEE-1   10/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($79K) 2 F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD TEMPER Sep26         (walden william)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 40% 1.50    
MEZCALIFORNIA Sep27 Aug22 Aug07 Jul13   (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 23% 3.40    
BLUE DAZZLER Sep01 Aug04       (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00    
SCR  ROYALEWITHCHEESE Sep15         (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 20.00    
RANCH LIFE Sep20         (douaihy mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00    
SPUN UP Sep16         (calhoun willia)TORRES A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
BLAME THE BANKER Sep14         (synnefias panag)JARA FERNANDO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
AIRFORCE LIGHTNING Sep19 Aug26       (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
QUEEN IN THE DECK Sep05 Aug16 Jul26     (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 119 15.00 14% 6.30    
10  FEARLESS LADY Sep15         (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50    
 
KEE-2   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($20K) Purse ($49K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEADLINE REPORT Apr12 Jan13 Feb26     (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 5.00 7% 12.70    
TAP THE CANDY Sep26 Aug26 Jul28 Jul05 Sep15 (hancock a)ORTIZ L 121 10.00    
EARL OF DASSEL Jul31 Jun08 May25 May02 Jan25 (ramirez ric)RODRIGUEZ R 121 8.00 13% 6.80    
CANDYMAKER May26 Nov25 Oct08 May22   (langemeier john)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
GLOBAL PRIDE Sep16 Aug12 Jul16 Jun24 Jun05 (meyers shane)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 38% 1.60    
UNTROUBLED Sep18 Nov22 Oct17 Sep13 Aug18 (caramori eduardo)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
TIZ MARKS SPIRIT Sep08 Aug24 Aug07 Jun08 May12 (synnefias panag)JARA FERNANDO 118 30.00    
QUARRYMEN Sep18 Jul21 Jun20 May17 May01 (shorter aaron)LANERIE J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
REFUAH Jul18 Jul06 Jun14 May09 Apr05 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 4.00 20% 4.10    
10  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN Sep26 Aug19 Jul03 May30 May11 (barnett bobby )BARBOSA CARLOS 121 20.00    
11  LEND IT TEWMEY Sep26 Sep03 Jul27 Jul05 Jun14 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121 3.50    
 
KEE-3   10/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($175K) Purse ($140K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUGH STREET Jul26 Jun09 Apr14 Mar14 Feb19 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 9% 10.80    
SHIDABHUTI Aug24 Jun15 May04 Apr06 Jul29 (brown c)ORTIZ L 123 1.60    
SCR  SPEEDY TRAVELER Sep13 Aug07 Apr27 Mar02 Feb03 (bauer a)TORRES A 121 2.50    
ROYAL SPA Jun22 May27 Apr26 Mar30 Feb03 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00 38% 1.70    
UNSUNG MELODY Sep14 Aug07 Jul05 May27 May17 (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00    
 
KEE-4   10/13/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYOU CANDY Sep07         (wilkes ian )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
SMART UNION Aug29         (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SERVING TIME (GB) Aug19         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 5.00    
STARRY NIGHT (ARG) Aug29 Jul20       (attard kevin)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
POVERTY WITH AVIEW Sep08         (gorder kellyn)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 15.00 6% 16.30    
ARE YOU A SPY Sep08 Aug25       (bogle fergus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 30.00    
NECESSITY Sep01         (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 49% 1.00    
WINTER'S LEGACY         (toner j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 7% 13.80    
MAKE A MILLION Sep01 Aug10       (rice adam)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 14% 6.40    
10  BRIGHT LADY         (beckman whitworth)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
11  JUST RUTHLESS         (heath destin)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00    
12  LADY AUTHENTIC Sep20         (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
SCR  TAKE NOTE OF THIS Sep08 Aug04 Jul06     (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 4.00    
SCR  POEMA Sep05 Jul30       (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.00    
SCR  FORTUNATE         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
SCR  MINNESOTA MUNNY Sep05 Aug13       (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
 
KEE-5   10/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($16K) Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOOGIE BODE Sep21 Aug29 Jul20 May26 May05 (watkins jame)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00    
RIGHT TONE Sep22 Jul03 Jun21 Apr30 Apr06 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 5.00    
COOL RAGS Aug17 Aug04 Jul06 Sep30 Sep14 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00    
SANT' ANTIMO Jun07 May16 May02 Apr11 Mar01 (esquivel jesus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 20.00    
EMBER Sep21 Sep05 Jul26 Jul06 Jun20 (williams ma)TORRES A 122 4.50 33% 2.00    
KOSELIO Sep14 Aug17 Aug02 Jul13 Jun22 (martinez kel)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 25% 2.90    
GILMORE Sep22 Aug12 Jul22 Apr21 Mar02 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00    
SCR  STIRDATPOT Aug07 Jun26 Jun08 May12 Apr11 (londono genevie)LEBRON VICTOR 122 10.00    
C R INSTA GATOR Aug17 Jul26 Jul13 May31 May10 (von k)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  BEEALEA Sep15 Aug18 Aug02 Jul06 Jun22 (manley stev)LEPAROUX R 122 10.00 15% 5.50    
11  PROVEN HOPE Jul31 Jul18 Jun07 Apr27 Mar15 (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 122 12.00    
12  TEMPTED MISSION Aug19 Aug02 Jun30 Jun08 Apr24 (johnston d)JARA FERNANDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BURNING LEAVES Sep26 Sep07 Aug10 Jul14 Jun02 (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00    
 
KEE-6   10/13/2024 7920ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSS LADY BAILEY Aug29 Jul25 Jun21 May11 Apr14 (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
I HAD THAT ONE TOO Sep01 Aug14 Jul11 Jun12 Nov23 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00    
LUCKY COMBINATION Aug29 Mar09 Feb11 Jan13 Dec17 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 8% 10.90    
SCR  BEST PERFORMER Sep27 Jul28 Jun20 May19 Feb22 (cano muno)TORRES A 122 15.00    
TEA N CONVERSATION Aug11 Nov05 Sep03 Jul22 Jun10 (mccarthy michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00    
SCR  MARIA'S REVENGE Aug09 Jul11 May23 Apr24 Mar09 (sancal mura)LEPAROUX R 122 30.00    
HOLY FOLEY Sep01 Jul07 May25 Apr24 Apr07 (lynch a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50 9% 10.20    
MARKSMAN QUEEN (GB) Aug17 Jul22 Jun06 Mar23 Feb24 (motion gr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 6.00    
QUEEN REGENT (GB) Sep05         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.50 49% 1.00    
10  BROADWAY BOOGIE Aug29 Jul31 Apr26 Mar04 Jan05 (toner j)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 10% 8.60    
11  SABALENKA Aug29 Aug08 Nov24 Oct15 Sep03 (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-7   10/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE LIKE WATER Sep13 Jul18 May27 Apr26 Nov18 (oliver victoria)VELAZQUEZ R 121 20.00    
ANYWHO Aug25 Jul06 Jun02 May17 Sep02 (sadler john)TORRES A 121 2.00 9% 9.60    
PISTOL Sep21 Jul22 Jun26 May26 Apr30 (van tho)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.50 29% 2.50    
UPPER CASE Sep13 Aug04 Jul07 May29 May01 (lobo h)ROMAN A 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
ASSET PURCHASE Sep04 Aug03 May18 Apr18 Apr22 (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 123 20.00 7% 12.40    
LOVER GIRL Aug31 Aug10 Jun30 Jun08 May17 (williams ma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
MYSTIC PLEASURE Sep22 Aug11 Jul07 Jun09 May01 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 12% 7.20    
LURE'EM IN Sep13 Aug13 Jun27 Jun07 May18 (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 114 20.00    
BLAME DAY Sep14 Aug11 Jul05 Jun07 Apr30 (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 121 15.00    
 
KEE-8   10/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC13 Franklin Purse ($350K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR OF MYSTERY (GB) Jul14 Jun08       (appleby charles)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.50 38% 1.60    
PANDORA'S GIFT (IRE) Sep20         (williams stuar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
ROSES FOR DEBRA Sep20 Aug23 Jun07 Apr13 Nov04 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 123 4.50 26% 2.80    
ACCOMPLISHED GIRL Aug29 Jun29 May27 May04 Mar10 (asmussen st)TORRES A 121 20.00    
FUTURE IS NOW Aug23 Jul25 Jun07 May17 Apr20 (trombetta mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 4.00    
DONTLOOKBACKATALL Aug31 Jul25 Jun24 May05 Mar31 (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00 14% 6.30    
FROST AT DAWN         (knight willia)LOUGHNANE BILLY 120 15.00    
AWESOME TREAT Aug31 Aug03 Jul06 Jun01 May04 (wojczynski justi)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 30.00    
ELM DRIVE Aug31 Jul27 May03 Apr13 Jan14 (damato phil)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 15.00    
10  KAIRYU (IRE) Sep07 Jul12 May12 Apr06   (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
11  PIPSY (IRE) Sep07 Jun29 May12     (walden william)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00    
SCR  BLING Aug31 Aug03 Jun22 May12 Apr13 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 121 30.00    
SCR  B G WARRIOR Aug03 May27 Apr13 Mar16 Jan27 (andrade h)DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
SCR  BEAUTY OF THE SEA Oct12 Aug11 Jun22 Jun07 Apr28 (orseno f)ORTIZ L 121 10.00    
15  STONE SILENT May03 Mar10 Feb11 Dec31 Nov03 (lynch a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TWIRLING QUEEN Jul12 May11 Mar24 Feb08 Oct06 (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
 
KEE-9   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($40K) Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DURANTE Sep19 Aug29 Aug11 May11 May04 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 5.00    
SCR  HARRODSBURG Sep14 Aug04 Jun28 May24 Apr12 (tomlinson mich)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00    
DIAMOND HEIST Sep01 Aug18 Aug07 Mar22 Feb23 (synnefias panag)JARA FERNANDO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
CHATTALOT Aug04 Jun16 May16 Mar29 Oct02 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00    
SCR  LOVE THE NEST Sep28 Sep07 Oct29 Oct15 Sep10 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00    
INSOLITO Sep11 Aug20 Jun16 Apr21 Mar14 (estvanko ri)CORREA L 121 15.00    
NIGHT TIME Apr06 Mar09 Feb03 Dec30 Dec15 (morey willia)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 76% 0.30    
SCR  G T FIVE HUNDRED Sep26 Sep15 Aug12 Jun28 Jun12 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00    
BACKGROUND Sep21 Aug18 Jun19 May18 May03 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  FRIAR LAURENCE Sep21 Aug26 Aug12 Jun10 May25 (cook b)BEJARANO R 121 12.00    
11  SOLIDIFY Sep18 Aug03 Jul15 Jun14 Jun02 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 121 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.