Handicappers' Race Results

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Horseshoe Indianapolis
Monday - September 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

IND-1   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $12.00  
IND-2   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
IND-3   Win (4/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $6.60  
IND-4   Win (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
IND-5   Win (1/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  
IND-6   Win (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $9.60  
IND-7   Win (1/8/4/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $8.40 $8.40  
IND-8   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  

Simulator Race results

 
IND-1   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 2:10
See original race card.
:224 :463 :592     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARMING TALISMAN 3 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 1nk (gonzale)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 4.50 5.00  
MAMA'S THE CAUSE 6 2 3.2 2nk   2nk 2nk (garcia gena)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 2.00 1.50  
SPOOKY RIDGE 1 4 2nk 33   33 3 (langemeier )PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 1.60 48% 1.10 1.10 S
HAPPY MATCH 2 3 5 6   6 4 (gorham ro)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 5.60  
JULY FOUR 5 5 4 4   46 512¾ (cunningham ton)MORALES JOSHUA 120 8.00 5% 19.00 32.80  
LUNA LLENA 4 6 6 5   5 613½ (garcia israe)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 10.00 15% 5.70 29.90  
 
IND-2   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:002     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INFINITY'S WARRIOR 1 2 1½ 12   12 1 (elliott m)DE CRUZ 124 0.40 36% 1.80 0.20 W
IT'S LAST CALL 2 4 2½ 22   33 2 (duran antonio)PARKER L 120 4.50 36% 1.80 3.90 P
JACK D 5 1 43 33   22 3 (bland greg)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 10.00 10.20  
DERAILED 4 3 33 56   5 418¼ (klopp randy)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 12.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
TANEYCOMO 3 5 54 44   49 520¾ (paye jose)MORALES JOSHUA 121 15.00 17.10  
SCR  GET ME ONE TOO               (west aaron )BERMUDEZ E 117 8.00    
 
IND-3   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLABOUTTHEIMAGE 8 2 3 3   21 1½ (mcgovern shannon)PRESCOTT R 122 3.00 2.30  
UNBRIDLED DEVINE 4 1 2nk 2½   11 2½ (haran john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 122 5.00 33% 2.10 4.60 P
I MADE IT 6 8 64 5   53 3 (fosdick steve)PARKER L 118 4.00 20% 4.00 4.40 S
MYGALJUSTICE 2 7 5 6   6 4 (sanchez jim)ROMAN A 122 3.50 4.60  
HARD TRUTH WINS 5 3 4 4   4 5 (garcia gena)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 6.00 11% 8.00 8.90  
MARTZ ROSEY 3 5 8 77   76 66 (medina tomas)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 10.00 7.90  
NIGHT LIVIN 1 4 1nk 1½   3 710½ (labra rog)DE CRUZ 122 12.00 6.90  
J'S NAUGHTY KITTEN 7 6 7 8   811 816¼ (davis josep)CORREA L 118 20.00 5% 19.00 22.60  
 
IND-4   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATATONIC 2 5 1½ 11   1 1 (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 120 1.40 27% 2.80 1.70 W
MY STRONG HEART 3 2 2½ 21   2 2 (gonzalez )DE CRUZ 120 1.80 49% 1.00 1.90 P
HOOSIER PROMISE 5 6 54 44   4 3 (granitz ant)BERMUDEZ E 120 5.00 2.00 S
MITOLE'S SECRET 7 1 3 3   3 4 (elliott michel)RAMOS D 113 20.00 28.30  
VORTEX EXPRESS 6 7 7 6   5 515¾ (herrell d)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 15.00 5% 19.00 36.60  
COPPER CHROME 4 4 64 5   611 617 (cunningham tony)PARKER L 120 8.00 8.60  
CAUSE IT'S TRUE 1 3 42 78   713½ 719¼ (garcia genar)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 20.00 43.40  
 
IND-5   09/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:132 1:252   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCENIC JUSTICE 2 8 87 85 7 6 11 (granitz ant)BERMUDEZ E 124 6.00 7% 14.20 2.40 W
BACKYARD JUSTICE 1 4 7 5 5 32 21 (granitz)ULLOA PATRICIO 124 1.20 66% 0.50 0.70 P
NO PROOF 7 2 21 2½ 2½ 1nk 3 (schultz j)DE CRUZ 122 30.00 23.10  
SAKIC 8 6 5 64 64 5 42 (douglass devar)MORALES JOSHUA 122 12.00 5% 19.00 8.80  
SARGENT HULKA 3 1 42 32 32 4 5 (holden j)PEREZ E 122 10.00 7% 13.00 15.10  
PRETTYONTHEPRARIE 5 3 11 1½ 1½ 2nk 64 (holden j)CALLEJA ANDRES 108 30.00 56.30  
THEO'S PROMISE 6 7 32 42 43 7 7 (richardvill)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 10.00 26.30  
POSITIVE CHANGE 4 5 6 7 8 8 8 (livers charl)ANDERSON MCKENNA 118 2.50 7.90  
 
IND-6   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:222 :453 :574     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DO YA WANNA DANCE 1 6 44 3   13 110½ (roggenkamp ed)PARKER L 122 15.00 3.80  
BINGE 4 3 2½ 21   23 210½ (davis josep)CORREA L 119 2.50 53% 0.90 3.10 P
GOOD SUGAR 3 5 6 5   5 311 (haran john)VILLARREAL OSCAR 112 20.00 11.80  
FERDAN 5 1 32 4   47 413½ (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 5.00 3.10  
ORO AZTECA 2 4 1½ 11   35 514¾ (eggleston t)BERMUDEZ E 122 8.00 5% 19.00 2.00  
GOOD FOREVER 6 2 54 67   610½ 620 (garcia gena)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 12.00 12% 7.30 7.10  
SCR  COMMANDO JOE               (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 121 4.50    
SCR  MR NEGATIVITY               (klopp randy)ROMAN A 124 6.00    
SCR  SPOTONJUSTICE               (granitz antho)ROMERO M 112 5.00    
 
IND-7   09/16/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:211 :442       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUBIA 1 11 75 7   4 1 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 3.50 36% 1.80 3.20 W
U AIN'T THAT LUCKY 3 8 2½ 1½   12 2 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 5.00 13% 7.00 6.10 P
ELHUBOOB 5 5 53 4   22 3 (walsh p)ROMAN A 120 6.00 11% 8.10 8.60 S
MAC TO MOORE 7 4 43 53   5 4 (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 120 2.50 17% 4.70 1.60  
12  HOLD MY HALO 11 10 11 11   9 53 (miller da)DE CRUZ 124 20.00 56.70  
11  RENFREW 10 7 10 10   7 6 (sharp joe)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 15.00 9.10  
UME 4 1 1½ 2½   32 7 (acevedo israel)SERPA ANGEL 120 15.00 49.20  
CAT ISLAND EXPRESS 6 2 31 3   65 8 (ennis john)TORRES A 124 20.00 19.30  
INNOCENT NYGHT 8 3 9 96   10 9 (michael bri)BEALMEAR C 113 8.00 9.60  
10  NEED A BIT OF LUCK 9 9 6 64   11 10 (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 120 10.00 5% 19.00 17.40  
INTO SWIFT 2 6 8 8   8 11 (wojczynski justi)DOYLE SOPHIE 120 10.00 29.50  
SCR  MIYAKO               (lynch a)MONCADA IRVING 113 2.00    
SCR  SHE'S ALL ELLIE               (elliott m)DE CRUZ 120 30.00    
 
IND-8   09/16/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 2 F PT- 5:47
See original race card.
:212 :442       :564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARBARINA 3 2 1½ 1½   1 1 (jazdzewski )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 2.00 54% 0.90 0.90 W
BRIDGEPORT 2 5 5 5   54 2 (ewing michae)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 4.50 5.90  
MATCH FIVE 5 1 3 32   33 3 (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 120 8.00 16% 5.20 8.60 S
SPUN UP 7 7 7 7   6 43 (calhoun willia)TORRES A 120 10.00 7.00  
VOLATILE MARKET 1 4 4 44   44 53 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 3.00 3.80  
THEHILLONWOODSIDE 6 3 2½ 2½   2 64 (maker j)ROMAN A 120 15.00 10.30  
MISS RUMMIKUB (FR) 4 6 65 67   78 710¾ (ramos rafael)BLANCHE RISHAWN 113 20.00 5% 19.00 23.40  
SCR  BAYTOWN AMY ROSE               (mcentee paul)ROMERO M 113 15.00    
SCR  MOON MYSTIQUE               (west ethan )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.