Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Horseshoe Indianapolis
Monday - September 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
IND-1   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(1/2/5)-(4/6/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-2   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(4/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(4/6/5/7)-(3/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-3   WIN (4/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/5/7)-(3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/7)-(3/2/6)-(1/3/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-4   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(1/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(1/3/2/8)-(5/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-5   WIN (1/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/8)-(1/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/8)-(1/3/2/8)-(1/3/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/2/8)-(5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2/8)-(5/7/3)-(1/8/4/6/10) 60 $1.00 $30.00 
IND-6   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/3)-(1/8/4/6/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3)-(1/8/4/6/10)-(3/6/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
IND-7   WIN (1/8/4/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/4/6/10)-(1/8/4/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/4/6/10)-(1/8/4/6/10)-(1/8/4/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/4/6/10)-(3/6/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
IND-8   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/1/5)-(3/6/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
IND-1   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPOOKY RIDGE         (langemeie)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 1.60 48% 1.10    
  (by FOREVER D'ORO out of AMBERLY VILLAGE by FLATTER)
2  HAPPY MATCH Aug22         (gorham )DE CRUZ 120 5.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of WILL IT BE LOVE by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
3  CHARMING TALISMAN Aug22 Jul30 Jul05     (gonza)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 4.50    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
4  LUNA LLENA         (garcia isr)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 10.00 15% 5.70    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of PROUD MOVER by PROUD CITIZEN)
5  JULY FOUR Aug22         (cunningham t)MORALES JOSHUA 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of TWIRLING HEARTS by TWIRLING CANDY)
6  MAMA'S THE CAUSE Aug22 Jul29 Jun25     (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 2.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
IND-2   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INFINITY'S WARRIOR Aug29 May22 Nov13 Oct25 Oct16 (elliott)DE CRUZ 124 0.40 36% 1.80    
2  IT'S LAST CALL Aug29 May07 Apr17 Nov10 Oct23 (duran antonio)PARKER L 120 4.50 36% 1.80    
3  TANEYCOMO Jul30 May16 Apr16 Nov13 Oct25 (paye jose)MORALES JOSHUA 121 15.00    
SCR  GET ME ONE TOO Aug20 Jul11 Jun08 May21 Apr30 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 117 8.00    
5  DERAILED Aug20         (klopp randy)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  JACK D Jul31 Jul02 Jun05 May10 Nov06 (bland greg)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 10.00    
 
IND-3   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHT LIVIN Aug19 Aug08 Jul11 Jun25 Jun06 (labra r)DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
2  MYGALJUSTICE Sep06 Aug19 Jul29 Jun24 Jun06 (sanchez j)ROMAN A 122 3.50    
3  MARTZ ROSEY Sep05 Aug13 Jul18 Jul10 Jun12 (medina toma)ROMERO M 113 10.00    
4  UNBRIDLED DEVINE Aug20 Aug06 Jul11 Jun24 May29 (haran john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 122 5.00 33% 2.10    
5  HARD TRUTH WINS Aug08 Jul29 Jul11 Jun06 May20 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 6.00 11% 8.00    
6  I MADE IT Aug19 Aug01 Jul10 Jun17 May20 (fosdick steve)PARKER L 118 4.00 20% 4.00    
7  J'S NAUGHTY KITTEN Aug19 Jul29 Jul03 Jun17 May27 (davis jos)CORREA L 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  ALLABOUTTHEIMAGE Aug19 Jun24 Jun06 May08 Apr17 (mcgovern shannon)PRESCOTT R 122 3.00    
 
IND-4   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAUSE IT'S TRUE Aug01         (garcia gen)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 20.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of WOSIE by MUNNINGS)
2  CATATONIC         (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 120 1.40 27% 2.80    
  (by GIFT BOX out of THE LAST MEOW by STORM CAT)
3  MY STRONG HEART Aug22 Aug01 Jul05     (gonzale)DE CRUZ 120 1.80 49% 1.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of CELTIC EMBRACE by HARLINGTON)
4  COPPER CHROME Aug22         (cunningham tony)PARKER L 120 8.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of PROPHESY by PULPIT)
5  HOOSIER PROMISE         (granitz a)BERMUDEZ E 120 5.00 ★    
  (by MITOLE out of GHOSTSTONE by GHOSTZAPPER)
6  VORTEX EXPRESS         (herrell ron )CALLEJA ANDRES 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of POLAR VORTEX by JOHAR)
7  MITOLE'S SECRET Aug29 Jun11 May13     (elliott mic)ROMERO M 113 20.00    
  (by MITOLE out of SHEBA'S SECRET by KINGMAMBO)
 
IND-5   09/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACKYARD JUSTICE Aug22 Jun26 Jun10 May08 Oct28 (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 124 1.20 66% 0.50    
2  SCENIC JUSTICE Sep05 Aug15 Aug01 May22 Oct11 (granitz a)BERMUDEZ E 124 6.00 7% 14.20    
3  SARGENT HULKA Aug21 Jul16 Jun10 May04 Dec07 (holden j)PEREZ E 122 10.00 7% 13.00    
4  POSITIVE CHANGE Sep05 Aug14 Aug01 Jul06 Jun19 (livers cha)ANDERSON MCKENNA 118 2.50    
5  PRETTYONTHEPRARIE Sep04 Aug21 Jul31 Jun19 May06 (holden j)CALLEJA ANDRES 108 30.00    
6  THEO'S PROMISE Sep05 Aug15 Jul31 Jul10 Jun20 (richardvi)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 10.00    
7  NO PROOF Aug14 Jun26 Oct24 Sep20 Oct29 (schultz)DE CRUZ 122 30.00    
8  SAKIC Jul16 Jun18 Jun08 Jun10 May06 (douglass dev)MORALES JOSHUA 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
IND-6   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COMMANDO JOE Sep03 Jul11 May21 Dec21 Nov26 (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 121 4.50    
2  DO YA WANNA DANCE Aug29 Aug08 Jul13 Jun06 May23 (roggenkamp ed)PARKER L 122 15.00    
3  ORO AZTECA Sep05 Aug13 Jul03 Jun11 Apr23 (eggleston)BERMUDEZ E 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  GOOD SUGAR Sep03 Aug19 Jul31 Jun27 May29 (haran john)VILLARREAL OSCAR 112 20.00    
5  BINGE Sep05 Aug19 Jul31 Jul11 Jun11 (davis jos)CORREA L 119 2.50 53% 0.90    
6  FERDAN Jul31 Oct04 Sep08 Jul15 Jun15 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 5.00    
7  GOOD FOREVER Aug19 Jun05 May08 Apr08 Nov07 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 12.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  MR NEGATIVITY Sep06 Aug13 Jul29 Jun11 May13 (klopp randy)ROMAN A 124 6.00    
SCR  SPOTONJUSTICE Aug13 Jul05 Jun18 May08 Apr08 (granitz ant)ROMERO M 112 5.00    
 
IND-7   09/16/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUBIA Aug21 Jun30 Jun11 May23 Apr27 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by TAPITURE out of WHISP O' SPRING by DA STOOPS)
SCR  SHE'S ALL ELLIE Jun20 Jun08 Aug01     (elliott)DE CRUZ 120 30.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SHE'S ALL IN by INCLUDE)
3  INTO SWIFT         (wojczynski jus)DOYLE SOPHIE 120 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ULELE by CANDY RIDE)
4  U AIN'T THAT LUCKY Aug21 Jul11 Jun06     (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 5.00 13% 7.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of SEEKING LUCK by SEEKING THE GOLD)
5  UME Aug09 Jun18       (acevedo israel)SERPA ANGEL 120 15.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of CALABRISELLA by CURLIN)
6  ELHUBOOB Aug25 Jun29 Apr20     (walsh brendan )ROMAN A 120 6.00 11% 8.10    
  (by HARD SPUN out of LOVING VINDICATION by VINDICATION)
7  CAT ISLAND EXPRESS Jul09 Jun22 Mar03     (ennis john)TORRES A 124 20.00    
  (by TALE OF THE CAT out of SHEZAGHOSTSLAYER by GHOSTZAPPER)
8  MAC TO MOORE Jul27 Jul04 Mar08 Feb09   (ortiz alex)VAZQUEZ A 120 2.50 17% 4.70    
  (by AUDIBLE out of SHOT GUN PENNIE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
9  INNOCENT NYGHT Aug21 Jun26 May25 Sep28 Aug23 (michael b)BEALMEAR C 113 8.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of INNOCENT LOVE by GRAND SLAM)
10  NEED A BIT OF LUCK May20 Apr17 Mar02     (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of LILY THE PINK by RAHY)
11  RENFREW Feb18 Jan06 Nov11 Sep27   (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 15.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of AMAZING PEYTON by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
12  HOLD MY HALO Jul22         (miller )DE CRUZ 124 20.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of MODENA BAY by VOLKSRAAD)
SCR  MIYAKO Sep01 Aug05 Jun26 Jun02 Apr25 (lynch brian )MONCADA IRVING 113 2.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of PERFECT STEP by IFFRAAJ)
 
IND-8   09/16/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 2 F PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOLATILE MARKET Aug03 Jul04       (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 3.00 ★    
  (by VOLATILE out of JEWEL THIEF by GEMOLOGIST)
2  BRIDGEPORT         (ewing mich)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 4.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of FUNNY SONG by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  BARBARINA Aug26 Aug12 Jul21 Jun28   (jazdzewsk)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 2.00 54% 0.90    
  (by UNIFIED out of DESTINATION LOVE by FRIESAN FIRE)
SCR  MOON MYSTIQUE         (west etha)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MRS. BOSS by WILD EVENT)
5  MISS RUMMIKUB (FR)         (ramos rafae)BLANCHE RISHAWN 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TORONADO out of MAREDSKAYA by DUKE OF MARMALADE)
6  MATCH FIVE Aug26 Jul06 May22 Apr26   (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 120 8.00 16% 5.20    
  (by MUNNINGS out of YAHTZEE QUEEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  THEHILLONWOODSIDE Aug14 Jul16       (maker michael )ROMAN A 120 15.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of HEAVENLY HILL by CITY ZIP)
8  SPUN UP         (calhoun will)TORRES A 120 10.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of WHITSUNDAY by FLATTER)
SCR  BAYTOWN AMY ROSE Sep04 Aug21 May18 Apr11   (mcentee pau)ROMERO M 113 15.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.