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Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Monday - September 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

TDN-1			TRI	(5/6/1/9)-(5/6/1/9)-(5/6/1/9)						24	$1.00	$24.00	5-6-1		$65.80			$41.80				174%
TDN-2			WIN	(7/1/3/2)						4	$2.00	$8.00	1		$11.60			$3.60				45%
			DD	(5/6/1/9)-(7/1/3/2)						16	$1.00	$16.00	5-1		$17.20			$1.20				8%
TDN-3			EXA	(5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6)						12	$1.00	$12.00	1-5		$12.70			$0.70				6%
			DD	(7/1/3/2)-(5/1/2/6)						16	$1.00	$16.00	1-1		$19.80			$3.80				24%
			PK3	(5/6/1/9)-(7/1/3/2)-(5/1/2/6)						64	$1.00	$64.00	5-1-1		$94.90			$30.90				48%
TDN-7			WIN	(1/6)						2	$2.00	$4.00	6		$17.80			$13.80				345%
			EXA	(1/6)-(1/2/6)						4	$1.00	$4.00	6-1		$16.80			$12.80				320%
			TRI	(1/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6)						4	$1.00	$4.00	6-1-2		$42.80			$38.80				970%
			DD	(4/2/3)-(1/6)						6	$1.00	$6.00	2-6		$31.40			$25.40				423%
			PK3	(3/9/10/2)-(4/2/3)-(1/6)						24	$1.00	$24.00	9-2-6		$65.70			$41.70				174%
TDN-8			EXA	(3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5)						12	$1.00	$12.00	3-7		$36.20			$24.20				202%
			DD	(1/6)-(3/1/7/5)						8	$1.00	$8.00	6-3		$26.90			$18.90				236%
			PK3	(4/2/3)-(1/6)-(3/1/7/5)						24	$1.00	$24.00	2-6-3		$68.70			$44.70				186%
			PK4	(3/9/10/2)-(4/2/3)-(1/6)-(3/1/7/5)						96	$0.50	$48.00	9-2/5-6-3		$104.35			$56.35				117%
			PK5	(4/5/2)-(3/9/10/2)-(4/2/3)-(1/6)-(3/1/7/5)						288	$0.50	$144	4-9-2/5-6-3		$193.90			$49.90				35%

Simulator Race results


TDN-1			09/16/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($7.5K)					Purse ($13.5K)			3UP		ALL		PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	BOURBON ON FIRE									(puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119						3.50		31%		2.30		2.50	W
6	PANTHERA'S FATE									(rone mike)HOUGHTON D 123						2.50		20%		4.10		1.50	P
1	MSHINDI									(faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119						8.00		13%		6.60		15.40	S
7	SERGEANT COUNTZLER									(meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119						6.00						5.90
4	SALTA									(puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119						6.00						4.80
2	AWE SUMSUNFUN									(lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119						4.50						20.00
8	SAGE RUNNER									(vecchio caryn)PEREZ A 119						20.00						71.70
9	SIR MASON									(morales )FERNANDEZ R 115						10.00		5%		19.00		7.90
SCR	OUTA JAIL ON BAIL									(rini anthony)BERRIOS HECTOR 115						15.00

TDN-2			09/16/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($5K)					Purse ($12.6K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	PRACTICAL MAN									(puhl kim)TOLEDO S 121						3.00		18%		4.50		4.80	W
6	MY TWO AUNT JOANS									(vecchio cary)HALDAR J 119						12.00						11.50	DQ↓7
5	VENETIAN DREAM									(bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119						8.00						8.80
7	MONTAUK COVE									(trevino ste)CESPEDES JHORMA 114						5.00		34%		2.00		8.70	S
4	THE DRAKE									(flores christian)AVILES YAN 119						2.00						5.20
3	FIRST CITIZEN									(ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119						3.50		17%		4.90		5.10
2	CLASS ACTOR									( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119						8.00		5%		19.00		1.20

TDN-3			09/16/2024		3630ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($33.9K)			2		ALL		PT- 1:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	RIGHT ON THE MUNNY									(gorham robert )DIAZ I 118						5.00		12%		7.40		3.10	W
		(by COWTOWN CAT out of THELOVEOFMUNNINGS by MUNNINGS)
5	COLONEL COOPER									(hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118						4.00		32%		2.10		2.70	P
		(by NATIONAL FLAG out of FEELING ETHEREAL by UNION RAGS)
8	PROFESSOR NICK									(zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 118						2.00						1.40
		(by AIR STRIKE out of STARSHIP MADE IT by CONCERTO)
3	DRILL'S BOY									(romero a)VIGIL NOEL 118						15.00						25.50
		(by DRILL out of CANDYS GIRL by BERTOLINI)
2	BLUE BLOOD COWBOY									(dacosta jason)PEREZ A 118						6.00		10%		9.10		5.20
		(by ONE SIDED out of COWBOY'S PRINCESS by COWBOY CAL)
7	DRILL EM									(go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118						10.00						14.10
		(by DRILL out of EM N EMMY by SKY MESA)
6	BOSS HOG									( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 118						15.00		10%		9.10		22.10
		(by SKY KINGDOM out of MIDNIGHT CUTE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR	JAC'S EMPIRE									(vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118						3.50
		(by JAC'S FACT out of EMPIRE OF DOE by EMPIRE MAKER)

TDN-4			09/16/2024		3630ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($50K)					Purse ($32K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	MOMMA K'S BOY									(radosevich je)BRACHO A 117						1.80		44%		1.30		0.30	W
1	LUCKY VICTOR									(urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 115						2.50		★				3.30	P
3	DRILIN' FOR GEMS									(jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119						5.00						19.30
5	COLOR BEARER									(skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119						4.00		26%		2.80		7.20
2	RUN RED RUN									(cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 115						12.00		5%		19.00		21.10
6	DREAMINGABOUTTIME									(galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 119						6.00						24.70
7	LONE BOY									(bookman donald)VIGIL NOEL 119						20.00						77.20

TDN-5			09/16/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($33.9K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
9	VECCHI									(radosevich je)BRACHO A 119						4.00		21%		3.80		1.80	W
		(by VERTIFORMER out of BLUE AS THE NILE by SPUNKY RASCAL)
7	FORT GRANDE									(szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119						5.00		★				4.00	P
		(by FORT LARNED out of RAIN FOREST by EXCHANGE RATE)
10	SWAYBACK MOBIL									(vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 119						3.50		20%		3.90		3.80	S
		(by MOBIL out of RIBBONS AND ROSES by BIONDETTI)
3	WEEKEND RETREAT									(go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119						2.00		34%		1.90		2.00
		(by CITY WEEKEND out of AFTERNOON PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
1	MY BUDDY MICAH									(bird danny)CESPEDES JHORMA 118						20.00						47.90
		(by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MY POWER BULLET by RED BULLET)
6	EL CHAPIADOR									(maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 119						20.00						######
		(by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of MISS TAPIT by TAPIT)
4	SLIPOFFTHEARIATS									(szczepanski em)DIAZ I 119						15.00						87.60
		(by QUICK CHANGE out of HIGH HEELED DIVA by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
8	SKUNK APE									(loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119						20.00						######
		(by COWTOWN CAT out of QUEEN YELLENA by TOCCET)
5	DUDE THE LEGEND									(crumley jevon)BOWEN ROCCO 119						12.00						15.10
		(by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of LEDGE'S MONARCHOS by MONARCHOS)
2	INDY'S HOPE									(vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119						10.00		5%		19.00		50.70
		(by INDY WIND out of WITHALITTLEHOPE by HOLD ME BACK)

TDN-6			09/16/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($7.5K)					Purse ($17.9K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL									(huffman canda)BRACHO A 115						3.00		12%		7.70		1.10	W
1	ANGEL'S DESTINY									(morales )FERNANDEZ R 119						2.00						3.50
3	DANCE DRAMA									(flores christian)AVILES YAN 119						5.00		9%		9.70		3.20	S
6	GHOSTLY REVIVAL									(romero a)PEREZ A 119						10.00						19.10
4	MY PINK BUNNY TALE									(cline robert)BERRIOS HECTOR 121						1.80		50%		1.00		2.90
SCR	STATE OF GRACE									(norris ste)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114						15.00

TDN-7			09/16/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($28K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	CLOAK AND DAGGER									(skerrett jef)HALDAR J 115						8.00		5%		19.00		7.90	W
1	GLOBAL PRIDE									(meyers shane)AVILES YAN 119						2.00		69%		0.40		0.50	P
2	PERMAFROST									(puhl kim)TOLEDO S 119						3.00		★				5.60	S
3	LIBERTANGO									(skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 119						2.50						4.00
4	TAP VALLEY									(puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 117						4.00						11.70
5	THIRTYEIGHT WISHES									(tooley jennif)BRACHO A 115						12.00						20.40

TDN-8			09/16/2024		3630ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($33.9K)			2		F		PT- 4:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	LO BUG									(zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 118						2.50		28%		2.60		1.00	W
		(by MOR SPIRIT out of TURDUCKEN by MARIA'S MON)
7	SECRET CALLER									(rivera nestor)FELICIANO R 118						10.00		13%		6.70		21.70	P
		(by DIALED IN out of SECRET HAUL by DUNKIRK)
2	ILLUMINATE (IRE)									(hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 118						4.00						9.00
		(by TOM'S D'ETAT out of BLAZING BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
1	BELLE BOTTOMS									(gorham m)PEREZ A 118						3.00		26%		2.80		7.60
		(by TAPITURE out of BELLAMY BROOKE by BELLAMY ROAD)
5	SMALL TOWN GOSSIP									(ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118						8.00		5%		19.00		4.40
		(by DOMINUS out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
6	SECRET VALENTINE									(hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118						4.50						5.80
		(by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of BETROTHED by INTO MISCHIEF)
4	COMPLEXITY GIRL									(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118						6.00						5.60
		(by COMPLEXITY out of ARTISTIC LICENSE by HEART OF THE STORM)



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.