Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Monday - September 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   TRI (5/6/1/9)-(5/6/1/9)-(5/6/1/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00  5-6-1 $65.80 $41.80 174%
TDN-2   WIN (7/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $11.60 $3.60 45%
    DD (5/6/1/9)-(7/1/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-1 $17.20 $1.20 8%
TDN-3   EXA (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-5 $12.70 $0.70 6%
    DD (7/1/3/2)-(5/1/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-1 $19.80 $3.80 24%
    PK3 (5/6/1/9)-(7/1/3/2)-(5/1/2/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00  5-1-1 $94.90 $30.90 48%
TDN-7   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $17.80 $13.80 345%
    EXA (1/6)-(1/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00  6-1 $16.80 $12.80 320%
    TRI (1/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00  6-1-2 $42.80 $38.80 970%
    DD (4/2/3)-(1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-6 $31.40 $25.40 423%
    PK3 (3/9/10/2)-(4/2/3)-(1/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00  9-2-6 $65.70 $41.70 174%
TDN-8   EXA (3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-7 $36.20 $24.20 202%
    DD (1/6)-(3/1/7/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00  6-3 $26.90 $18.90 236%
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(1/6)-(3/1/7/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00  2-6-3 $68.70 $44.70 186%
    PK4 (3/9/10/2)-(4/2/3)-(1/6)-(3/1/7/5) 96 $0.50 $48.00  9-2/5-6-3 $104.35 $56.35 117%
    PK5 (4/5/2)-(3/9/10/2)-(4/2/3)-(1/6)-(3/1/7/5) 288 $0.50 $144  4-9-2/5-6-3 $193.90 $49.90 35%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:221 :453 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BOURBON ON FIRE 4 7 87 73¾   23½ 11¾ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 31% 2.30 2.50 W
6  PANTHERA'S FATE 5 4 3½ 1½   13½ 21¾ (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 20% 4.10 1.50 P
1  MSHINDI 1 8 51½ 52¼   45 36½ (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00 13% 6.60 15.40 S
7  SERGEANT COUNTZLER 6 3 64½ 62¾   66 47½ (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 5.90  
4  SALTA 3 6 2nk 3½   34 59¼ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 4.80  
2  AWE SUMSUNFUN 2 5 1nk 2½   55 612 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50 20.00  
8  SAGE RUNNER 7 1 75 87¾   811½ 717¼ (vecchio caryn)PEREZ A 119 20.00 71.70  
9  SIR MASON 8 2 41 42   710 820½ (morales )FERNANDEZ R 115 10.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
SCR  OUTA JAIL ON BAIL               (rini anthony)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 15.00    
 
TDN-2   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :454 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRACTICAL MAN 1 5 11½ 14   14 1¾ (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 121 3.00 18% 4.50 4.80 W
6  MY TWO AUNT JOANS 6 1 53½ 46½   24 2¾ (vecchio cary)HALDAR J 119 12.00 11.50 DQ↓7
5  VENETIAN DREAM 5 2 21½ 24   35 34 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 8.80  
7  MONTAUK COVE 7 3 33 36½   47 47 (trevino ste)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 5.00 34% 2.00 8.70 S
4  THE DRAKE 4 4 76 57½   58½ 57¼ (flores christian)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 5.20  
3  FIRST CITIZEN 3 7 64 612   611½ 610½ (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 17% 4.90 5.10  
2  CLASS ACTOR 2 6 43 718   717½ 716¾ ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 1.20  
 
TDN-3   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :471 1:002     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIGHT ON THE MUNNY 1 3 13 12   14 12 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 118 5.00 12% 7.40 3.10 W
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of THELOVEOFMUNNINGS by MUNNINGS)
5  COLONEL COOPER 4 2 47 45½   37 22 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 4.00 32% 2.10 2.70 P
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of FEELING ETHEREAL by UNION RAGS)
8  PROFESSOR NICK 7 1 23 22   24 33¾ (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.00 1.40  
  (by AIR STRIKE out of STARSHIP MADE IT by CONCERTO)
3  DRILL'S BOY 3 4 33 33½   412 418 (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 118 15.00 25.50  
  (by DRILL out of CANDYS GIRL by BERTOLINI)
2  BLUE BLOOD COWBOY 2 6 59 511½   517 519¼ (dacosta jason)PEREZ A 118 6.00 10% 9.10 5.20  
  (by ONE SIDED out of COWBOY'S PRINCESS by COWBOY CAL)
7  DRILL EM 6 5 614 619½   626 632¼ (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 10.00 14.10  
  (by DRILL out of EM N EMMY by SKY MESA)
6  BOSS HOG 5 7 732 737½   735 736½ ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 118 15.00 10% 9.10 22.10  
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MIDNIGHT CUTE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  JAC'S EMPIRE               (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 3.50    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of EMPIRE OF DOE by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
TDN-4   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MOMMA K'S BOY 4 7 42½ 52½   2nk 13½ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 117 1.80 44% 1.30 0.30 W
1  LUCKY VICTOR 1 5 2nk 2½   1nk 23½ (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 115 2.50 ★ 3.30 P
3  DRILIN' FOR GEMS 3 3 31½ 31½   41 36 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 19.30  
5  COLOR BEARER 5 1 53 42½   53½ 47¼ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 4.00 26% 2.80 7.20  
2  RUN RED RUN 2 6 1nk 1½   3½ 58¼ (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 115 12.00 5% 19.00 21.10  
6  DREAMINGABOUTTIME 6 4 66½ 65   65½ 69 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 24.70  
7  LONE BOY 7 2 712½ 715   723½ 732½ (bookman donald)VIGIL NOEL 119 20.00 77.20  
 
TDN-5   09/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:152     1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  VECCHI 9 1 1nk 1½ 1½ 1½ 11 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 4.00 21% 3.80 1.80 W
  (by VERTIFORMER out of BLUE AS THE NILE by SPUNKY RASCAL)
7  FORT GRANDE 7 2 44½ 37½ 31 2½ 21 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 5.00 ★ 4.00 P
  (by FORT LARNED out of RAIN FOREST by EXCHANGE RATE)
10  SWAYBACK MOBIL 10 3 2nk 2½ 2½ 3½ 32 (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 119 3.50 20% 3.90 3.80 S
  (by MOBIL out of RIBBONS AND ROSES by BIONDETTI)
3  WEEKEND RETREAT 3 8 78¼ 510 58 45½ 46¾ (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 34% 1.90 2.00  
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of AFTERNOON PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
1  MY BUDDY MICAH 1 9 1010¾ 912¼ 610½ 511½ 520¼ (bird danny)CESPEDES JHORMA 118 20.00 47.90  
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MY POWER BULLET by RED BULLET)
6  EL CHAPIADOR 6 6 88¼ 710¼ 711½ 716½ 628¾ (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 119 20.00 ######  
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of MISS TAPIT by TAPIT)
4  SLIPOFFTHEARIATS 4 4 33½ 610 815½ 818 729½ (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 119 15.00 87.60  
  (by QUICK CHANGE out of HIGH HEELED DIVA by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
8  SKUNK APE 8 7 55½ 48½ 48 614½ 830½ (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 20.00 ######  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of QUEEN YELLENA by TOCCET)
5  DUDE THE LEGEND 5 5 65¾ 810¾ 916½ 922 934½ (crumley jevon)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00 15.10  
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of LEDGE'S MONARCHOS by MONARCHOS)
2  INDY'S HOPE 2 10 910¼ 1013¼ 1017½ 1027 1038¼ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 50.70  
  (by INDY WIND out of WITHALITTLEHOPE by HOLD ME BACK)
 
TDN-6   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:22 :453 :59     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL 2 2 14 17   18 13 (huffman canda)BRACHO A 115 3.00 12% 7.70 1.10 W
1  ANGEL'S DESTINY 1 5 411 48½   28 23 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 3.50  
3  DANCE DRAMA 3 4 36 37   38 35½ (flores christian)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 9% 9.70 3.20 S
6  GHOSTLY REVIVAL 5 1 513½ 522½   410½ 410¼ (romero a)PEREZ A 119 10.00 19.10  
4  MY PINK BUNNY TALE 4 3 24 27   513 519½ (cline robert)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 1.80 50% 1.00 2.90  
SCR  STATE OF GRACE               (norris ste)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 15.00    
 
TDN-7   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CLOAK AND DAGGER 6 1 67½ 55½   32½ 12¼ (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 115 8.00 5% 19.00 7.90 W
1  GLOBAL PRIDE 1 5 1nk 1nk   2nk 22¼ (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 69% 0.40 0.50 P
2  PERMAFROST 2 3 2nk 2nk   1nk 32¼ (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 119 3.00 ★ 5.60 S
3  LIBERTANGO 3 4 3½ 31   44 46¾ (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 119 2.50 4.00  
4  TAP VALLEY 4 2 41½ 42½   55 57½ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 117 4.00 11.70  
5  THIRTYEIGHT WISHES 5 6 56½ 67   69 613 (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 115 12.00 20.40  
 
TDN-8   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:221 :47 :594     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LO BUG 3 6 33½ 33   12½ 15¾ (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 118 2.50 28% 2.60 1.00 W
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of TURDUCKEN by MARIA'S MON)
7  SECRET CALLER 7 2 711½ 710½   54½ 25¾ (rivera nestor)FELICIANO R 118 10.00 13% 6.70 21.70 P
  (by DIALED IN out of SECRET HAUL by DUNKIRK)
2  ILLUMINATE (IRE) 2 5 55½ 69½   64¾ 37¼ (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 118 4.00 9.00  
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of BLAZING BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
1  BELLE BOTTOMS 1 4 1nk 1nk   22½ 49 (gorham m)PEREZ A 118 3.00 26% 2.80 7.60  
  (by TAPITURE out of BELLAMY BROOKE by BELLAMY ROAD)
5  SMALL TOWN GOSSIP 5 7 66½ 56½   44½ 59¾ (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
  (by DOMINUS out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
6  SECRET VALENTINE 6 1 44½ 45½   74¾ 611 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 4.50 5.80  
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of BETROTHED by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  COMPLEXITY GIRL 4 3 2nk 2nk   33½ 711½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 6.00 5.60  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of ARTISTIC LICENSE by HEART OF THE STORM)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.