Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - September 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (5/6/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/9)-(5/6/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/9)-(5/6/1/9)-(5/6/1/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/1/9)-(7/1/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1/9)-(7/1/3/2)-(5/1/2/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TDN-2   WIN (7/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/2)-(7/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/2)-(7/1/3/2)-(7/1/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/3/2)-(5/1/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3/2)-(5/1/2/6)-(4/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/2/6)-(4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/6)-(4/5/2)-(3/9/10/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(3/9/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(3/9/10/2)-(4/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/9/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/10/2)-(3/9/10/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/9/10/2)-(3/9/10/7/2)-(3/9/10/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (3/9/10/2)-(4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/9/10/2)-(4/2/3)-(1/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(1/6)-(3/1/7/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-7   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (1/6)-(3/1/7/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TDN-8   WIN (3/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MSHINDI Jan25 Jan11 Dec27 Nov30 Oct31 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00 13% 6.60    
2  AWE SUMSUNFUN Aug27 Aug05 Sep23     (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50    
SCR  OUTA JAIL ON BAIL Aug26 Jun25 Jun08 May28 May14 (rini anthony)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 15.00    
4  SALTA Mar25 Mar12 Feb03 Dec31 Oct27 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00    
5  BOURBON ON FIRE Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 Jun05 May14 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 31% 2.30    
6  PANTHERA'S FATE Sep03 Jul10 May21 Apr29 Jul28 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 20% 4.10    
7  SERGEANT COUNTZLER Aug05 Jul17 Jun27 Jun08 May18 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 6.00    
8  SAGE RUNNER Aug05 Feb14 Jan24 Dec29 Jun23 (vecchio caryn)PEREZ A 119 20.00    
9  SIR MASON Aug26 Mar26 Mar04 Feb15 Jan24 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-2   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRACTICAL MAN Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 Jun10 (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 121 3.00 18% 4.50    
2  CLASS ACTOR Aug27 Aug05 Jul11 Jun27 May30 (c)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  FIRST CITIZEN Aug27 Aug13 Jul23 Jun26 Jun11 (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 17% 4.90    
4  THE DRAKE Aug06 Nov20 Oct06 Aug22 Jul31 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 119 2.00    
5  VENETIAN DREAM Sep02 Aug15 Aug05 Jul22 Jul09 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
6  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Sep02 Aug15 Aug05 Jul24 Jul15 (vecchio cary)HALDAR J 119 12.00    
7  MONTAUK COVE Aug27 Aug05 Jun25 May30 May06 (trevino ste)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 5.00 34% 2.00    
 
TDN-3   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIGHT ON THE MUNNY         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 5.00 12% 7.40    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of THELOVEOFMUNNINGS by MUNNINGS)
2  BLUE BLOOD COWBOY         (dacosta jason)PEREZ A 118 6.00 10% 9.10    
  (by ONE SIDED out of COWBOY'S PRINCESS by COWBOY CAL)
3  DRILL'S BOY Aug30 Aug22 Aug10 Jul22   (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 118 15.00    
  (by DRILL out of CANDYS GIRL by BERTOLINI)
SCR  JAC'S EMPIRE Aug26 Aug10       (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 3.50    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of EMPIRE OF DOE by EMPIRE MAKER)
5  COLONEL COOPER Aug26 Jul22 Jul03 Jun14   (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 4.00 32% 2.10    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of FEELING ETHEREAL by UNION RAGS)
6  BOSS HOG         (l)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 118 15.00 10% 9.10    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MIDNIGHT CUTE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
7  DRILL EM         (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 10.00    
  (by DRILL out of EM N EMMY by SKY MESA)
8  PROFESSOR NICK Aug26 Jul22 Jul03     (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.00    
  (by AIR STRIKE out of STARSHIP MADE IT by CONCERTO)
 
TDN-4   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY VICTOR Aug26 Aug01 Jul19 Jun26 Jun05 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 115 2.50 ★    
2  RUN RED RUN Aug26 Aug01 Jul23 May04 Apr13 (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  DRILIN' FOR GEMS Sep05 Aug19 Jul18 Jul01 Jun17 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 5.00    
4  MOMMA K'S BOY Aug19 Jul31 Jul19 Jun26 Jun05 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 117 1.80 44% 1.30    
5  COLOR BEARER Aug26 Aug01 Jul23 Jul04 Jun05 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 4.00 26% 2.80    
6  DREAMINGABOUTTIME Aug23 Aug05 Jul19 Jun26 Jun12 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
7  LONE BOY Aug26 Aug23 Aug10 Jun27 Jun10 (bookman donald)VIGIL NOEL 119 20.00    
 
TDN-5   09/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BUDDY MICAH Aug19 Jul22 Jul02 Jun10 May20 (bird danny)CESPEDES JHORMA 118 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MY POWER BULLET by RED BULLET)
2  INDY'S HOPE Aug28 Aug07       (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of WITHALITTLEHOPE by HOLD ME BACK)
3  WEEKEND RETREAT Aug29 Aug07 Jul22 Jul01 May13 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 34% 1.90    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of AFTERNOON PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
4  SLIPOFFTHEARIATS Aug28 Aug07       (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
  (by QUICK CHANGE out of HIGH HEELED DIVA by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
5  DUDE THE LEGEND Aug07         (crumley jevon)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of LEDGE'S MONARCHOS by MONARCHOS)
6  EL CHAPIADOR Aug26 Jul22 Jul01 Jun12 May29 (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 119 20.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of MISS TAPIT by TAPIT)
7  FORT GRANDE Aug28         (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 5.00 ★    
  (by FORT LARNED out of RAIN FOREST by EXCHANGE RATE)
8  SKUNK APE Aug28 Aug19 Aug07 Jul29 Jul01 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 20.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of QUEEN YELLENA by TOCCET)
9  VECCHI Aug28 Aug07 Jul01 Oct28 Oct11 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 4.00 21% 3.80    
  (by VERTIFORMER out of BLUE AS THE NILE by SPUNKY RASCAL)
10  SWAYBACK MOBIL Aug28 Aug07 Jul22 Jul01 Jun12 (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 119 3.50 20% 3.90    
  (by MOBIL out of RIBBONS AND ROSES by BIONDETTI)
 
TDN-6   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGEL'S DESTINY May04 Apr03 Mar19 Mar04 Feb22 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00    
2  SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL Sep03 Aug14 Jul25 Jul16 Jun07 (huffman canda)BRACHO A 115 3.00 12% 7.70    
3  DANCE DRAMA Sep03 Jun30 Jun17 May26 May07 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 9% 9.70    
4  MY PINK BUNNY TALE Aug14 Jul31 May15 Apr25 Mar30 (cline robert)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 1.80 50% 1.00    
SCR  STATE OF GRACE Sep04 Aug21 Jul17 Jul02 Jun13 (norris ste)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 15.00    
6  GHOSTLY REVIVAL Aug22 Aug14 Jul25 Jul09 Jun18 (romero a)PEREZ A 119 10.00    
 
TDN-7   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLOBAL PRIDE Aug12 Jul16 Jun24 Jun05 Apr29 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 69% 0.40    
2  PERMAFROST Mar22 Mar10 Feb23 Feb10 Jan01 (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 119 3.00 ★    
3  LIBERTANGO Jul05 Jun01 May07 Feb09 Jan12 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 119 2.50    
4  TAP VALLEY Aug12 Jul24 Jun12 May21 Apr20 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 117 4.00    
5  THIRTYEIGHT WISHES Mar08 Jan04 Nov29     (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 115 12.00    
6  CLOAK AND DAGGER Aug01 Jul16 Jun24 Jun12 Jun04 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-8   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLE BOTTOMS Aug28 Aug07       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by TAPITURE out of BELLAMY BROOKE by BELLAMY ROAD)
2  ILLUMINATE (IRE) Aug28         (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 118 4.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of BLAZING BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
3  LO BUG Aug10 Jul22 Jul04     (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 118 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of TURDUCKEN by MARIA'S MON)
4  COMPLEXITY GIRL Aug28 Aug07 Jul22     (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 6.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of ARTISTIC LICENSE by HEART OF THE STORM)
5  SMALL TOWN GOSSIP Jul22 Jul04 Jun17     (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
6  SECRET VALENTINE Aug28 Jun26 Jun15     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 4.50    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of BETROTHED by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  SECRET CALLER         (rivera nestor)FELICIANO R 118 10.00 13% 6.70    
  (by DIALED IN out of SECRET HAUL by DUNKIRK)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.