Handicappers' Racing Form
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Thistledown
Monday - September 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (5/6/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-2   Win (7/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-3   Win (5/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-4   Win (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (3/9/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-6   Win (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-7   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-8   Win (3/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TDN-1   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MSHINDI Jan25 Jan11 Dec27 Nov30 Oct31 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00 13% 6.60    
2  AWE SUMSUNFUN Aug27 Aug05 Sep23     (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50    
SCR  OUTA JAIL ON BAIL Aug26 Jun25 Jun08 May28 May14 (rini anthony)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 15.00    
4  SALTA Mar25 Mar12 Feb03 Dec31 Oct27 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00    
5  BOURBON ON FIRE Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 Jun05 May14 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 31% 2.30    
6  PANTHERA'S FATE Sep03 Jul10 May21 Apr29 Jul28 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 20% 4.10    
7  SERGEANT COUNTZLER Aug05 Jul17 Jun27 Jun08 May18 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 6.00    
8  SAGE RUNNER Aug05 Feb14 Jan24 Dec29 Jun23 (vecchio caryn)PEREZ A 119 20.00    
9  SIR MASON Aug26 Mar26 Mar04 Feb15 Jan24 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-2   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRACTICAL MAN Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 Jun10 (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 121 3.00 18% 4.50    
2  CLASS ACTOR Aug27 Aug05 Jul11 Jun27 May30 (cas)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  FIRST CITIZEN Aug27 Aug13 Jul23 Jun26 Jun11 (jack)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 17% 4.90    
4  THE DRAKE Aug06 Nov20 Oct06 Aug22 Jul31 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 119 2.00    
5  VENETIAN DREAM Sep02 Aug15 Aug05 Jul22 Jul09 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
6  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Sep02 Aug15 Aug05 Jul24 Jul15 (vecchio caryn)HALDAR J 119 12.00    
7  MONTAUK COVE Aug27 Aug05 Jun25 May30 May06 (trevino steph)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 5.00 34% 2.00    
 
TDN-3   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIGHT ON THE MUNNY         (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 5.00 12% 7.40    
2  BLUE BLOOD COWBOY         (dacosta jason)PEREZ A 118 6.00 10% 9.10    
3  DRILL'S BOY Aug30 Aug22 Aug10 Jul22   (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 118 15.00    
SCR  JAC'S EMPIRE Aug26 Aug10       (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 3.50    
5  COLONEL COOPER Aug26 Jul22 Jul03 Jun14   (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 4.00 32% 2.10    
6  BOSS HOG         (lan)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 118 15.00 10% 9.10    
7  DRILL EM         (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 10.00    
8  PROFESSOR NICK Aug26 Jul22 Jul03     (zielinski richa)CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.00    
 
TDN-4   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY VICTOR Aug26 Aug01 Jul19 Jun26 Jun05 (urieta joh)FERNANDEZ R 115 2.50 ★    
2  RUN RED RUN Aug26 Aug01 Jul23 May04 Apr13 (cline c)CEDILLO MAURO 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  DRILIN' FOR GEMS Sep05 Aug19 Jul18 Jul01 Jun17 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00    
4  MOMMA K'S BOY Aug19 Jul31 Jul19 Jun26 Jun05 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 117 1.80 44% 1.30    
5  COLOR BEARER Aug26 Aug01 Jul23 Jul04 Jun05 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 4.00 26% 2.80    
6  DREAMINGABOUTTIME Aug23 Aug05 Jul19 Jun26 Jun12 (galloway khadeem)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
7  LONE BOY Aug26 Aug23 Aug10 Jun27 Jun10 (bookman donald)VIGIL NOEL 119 20.00    
 
TDN-5   09/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BUDDY MICAH Aug19 Jul22 Jul02 Jun10 May20 (bird danny)CESPEDES JHORMA 118 20.00    
2  INDY'S HOPE Aug28 Aug07       (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  WEEKEND RETREAT Aug29 Aug07 Jul22 Jul01 May13 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 34% 1.90    
4  SLIPOFFTHEARIATS Aug28 Aug07       (szczepanski emil)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
5  DUDE THE LEGEND Aug07         (crumley jevon)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00    
6  EL CHAPIADOR Aug26 Jul22 Jul01 Jun12 May29 (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 119 20.00    
7  FORT GRANDE Aug28         (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 5.00 ★    
8  SKUNK APE Aug28 Aug19 Aug07 Jul29 Jul01 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 20.00    
9  VECCHI Aug28 Aug07 Jul01 Oct28 Oct11 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 4.00 21% 3.80    
10  SWAYBACK MOBIL Aug28 Aug07 Jul22 Jul01 Jun12 (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 119 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
TDN-6   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGEL'S DESTINY May04 Apr03 Mar19 Mar04 Feb22 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00    
2  SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL Sep03 Aug14 Jul25 Jul16 Jun07 (huffman candace)BRACHO A 115 3.00 12% 7.70    
3  DANCE DRAMA Sep03 Jun30 Jun17 May26 May07 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 9% 9.70    
4  MY PINK BUNNY TALE Aug14 Jul31 May15 Apr25 Mar30 (cline c)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 1.80 50% 1.00    
SCR  STATE OF GRACE Sep04 Aug21 Jul17 Jul02 Jun13 (norris steph)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 15.00    
6  GHOSTLY REVIVAL Aug22 Aug14 Jul25 Jul09 Jun18 (romero a)PEREZ A 119 10.00    
 
TDN-7   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLOBAL PRIDE Aug12 Jul16 Jun24 Jun05 Apr29 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 69% 0.40    
2  PERMAFROST Mar22 Mar10 Feb23 Feb10 Jan01 (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 119 3.00 ★    
3  LIBERTANGO Jul05 Jun01 May07 Feb09 Jan12 (skerrett jeffr)ROSARIO L 119 2.50    
4  TAP VALLEY Aug12 Jul24 Jun12 May21 Apr20 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 117 4.00    
5  THIRTYEIGHT WISHES Mar08 Jan04 Nov29     (tooley jennifer)BRACHO A 115 12.00    
6  CLOAK AND DAGGER Aug01 Jul16 Jun24 Jun12 Jun04 (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-8   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLE BOTTOMS Aug28 Aug07       (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 3.00 26% 2.80    
2  ILLUMINATE (IRE) Aug28         (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 118 4.00    
3  LO BUG Aug10 Jul22 Jul04     (zielinski richard)VIGIL NOEL 118 2.50 28% 2.60    
4  COMPLEXITY GIRL Aug28 Aug07 Jul22     (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 6.00    
5  SMALL TOWN GOSSIP Jul22 Jul04 Jun17     (jack)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SECRET VALENTINE Aug28 Jun26 Jun15     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 4.50    
7  SECRET CALLER         (rivera nestor)FELICIANO R 118 10.00 13% 6.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.