Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Thursday - September 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (7/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
TDN-2   Win (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 2.40
TDN-3   Win (3/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $8.40  
TDN-4   Win (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
TDN-5   Win (2/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $10.20  
TDN-6   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 0.80
TDN-7   Win (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
TDN-8   Win (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $21.00 $21.00 15.00

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANAGING MISCHIEF 6 1 2½ 2   1 15 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 21% 3.70 0.80 W
KEY TO SUCCESS 3 6 710 5   4 25 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 2.40  
CORNER KICK 4 3 42 4   3 37 (radosevich j)RIVERA R 119 10.00 18% 4.70 9.30 S
DANCE MY WAY 7 2 1½ 1   2 47 (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 121 3.00 27% 2.80 6.70  
LIAM'S LASS 2 5 56 7   7 5 (crumley jevon)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.50 9.50  
CANDYMONIUM 5 4 31 3   5 6 (skerrett)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 7% 13.20 24.60  
FIONA 1 7 67 6   6 7 (jack)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 47.60  
 
TDN-2   09/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:011     1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINGS OF HEAVEN 4 6 6 53   13 1 (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 119 2.00 26% 2.80 3.20 W
RALPH'S LIL' VICKY 5 5 42 4   23 2 (szczepanski emil)DIAZ I 119 15.00 6.50  
THIRTY SOMETHING 3 2 3 3½   3 3 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.80 42% 1.40 0.90 S
COWGIRLS HUMOR 2 3 53 66   6 4 (schuster robin)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 6.40  
DEBBIE'S DREAM 1 4 2nk 2½   5 510½ (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00 17.90  
RIVERS RUN RED 6 1 1nk 1½   4 612¾ (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.10  
SCR  HARPERIST               (overholt paul )BERRIOS HECTOR 119 10.00    
 
TDN-3   09/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:15     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL BAMBINO 6 4 6 6 4 41 1 (jack)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 4.00 3.20  
JOHNNNY'S GAME 3 1 1½ 1½ 3.2 1½ 2 (tumblin andrew)HALDAR J 119 3.00 37% 1.70 10.90 P
STEP AHEAD 7 5 2½ 2½ 2nk 3½ 3 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00 34.30  
JIMMY JUNGA 4 2 31 3 1nk 2½ 4 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 4.50 8% 11.30 4.30  
BIG POPPER 2 6 7 78 711¾ 58 510 (romero a)PEREZ A 119 2.00 17% 4.80 1.20  
RULE IT 5 3 53 53 6 6 611¾ (lopez jr)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 8.60  
CAPTURE MI 1 7 43 4 5 710½ 714½ (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
 
TDN-4   09/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:001     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRILIN' FOR GEMS 3 1 1nk 1nk   12 1 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 115 2.50 31% 2.20 0.50 W
BIG TIME FLIRT 4 4 3½ 33   22 2 (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00 5% 19.00 14.40 P
MARQUITOS M 5 3 63 4   32 3 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 2.00 8.70  
CINSAULT 6 2 4 5   6 4 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 115 4.50 26% 2.80 3.20  
AGNELLO CITY 2 6 5 6   5 5 (skerrett jeffr)ROSARIO L 119 10.00 53.40  
JODHPUR 1 5 2nk 2nk   4 610 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 115 3.50 5.00  
 
TDN-5   09/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:222 :454 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR 6 6 7 21   1nk 11 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 123 10.00 4.10  
POKER PARTNER 2 2 11 11   2nk 21 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.00 40% 1.50 0.90 P
AURA OF GOLD 1 5 3 4   3 3 (madrigal r)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.50 9% 9.80 7.70 S
BLUNDER 4 7 6 66   46 46 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 5.90  
LUCKY NINETEEN 5 1 4 5   6 510¼ (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 5.00 12.50  
FLAWLESS CAT 3 4 21 31   57 615¾ (radosevich j)RIVERA R 121 4.00 28% 2.60 5.00  
CREATIVE BEAT 7 3 53 78   711¼ 718 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 42.80  
 
TDN-6   09/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:141     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWELTER 5 3 43 31 11 11 1¼ (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 119 4.00 41% 1.40 2.40 W
R CARDINAL PRINCE 2 4 56 5 31 21 2¼ (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 1.70  
MR LAOBAN 3 5 3 2½ 21 3 3 ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 3.50 29% 2.50 2.10 S
SMALL SAILOR 4 2 1½ 1½ 42 4 415½ (genovese l)PEREZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 20.10  
FISHING FOR FUN 1 1 2½ 41 53 512 523½ (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 3.80  
SCR  HOUSED               (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.50    
 
TDN-7   09/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Michael Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACK TO OHIO 4 3 2 1½   1 13 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 1.60 29% 2.40 0.90 W
BUCKEYE PRINCESS 3 6 66 54   3 23 (drury jr)MCKEE J 121 3.00 1.70  
CITY SCENE 6 4 55 2½   2 3 (jackson r)BARBARAN ERIK 121 4.50 28% 2.50 3.60 S
SWEET UNIQUE 5 2 33 3   44 4 (zielinski ri)RIVERA R 121 4.00 14.60  
LIONISTIC 2 5 44 44   511 514¾ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 121 10.00 5% 19.00 25.40  
WINE ME UP BABY 1 1 1 6   618 630½ (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 38.40  
 
TDN-8   09/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:142     1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORKING HOLIDAY 5 5 2 2½ 1nk 2nk 1nk (trevino g)PEREZ A 117 6.00 5% 19.00 9.50 W
PARDY PLEASER 4 4 3 3 32 3.2 2nk (geno)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 55% 0.80 1.40 P
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 2 3 5 4 2nk 1nk 3¾ (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 4.50 2.80  
BEAUTY IN MOTION 1 2 4 54 54 4 411¾ (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 119 10.00 4.00  
TRAMA QUEEN 3 1 1 1½ 43 519¼ 534 (skerrett j)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.50 18% 4.50 3.00  
SCR  MOONTAP               (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 119 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.