Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - September 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (7/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/5)-(7/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/5)-(7/6/4/5)-(7/6/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/4/5)-(4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4/5)-(4/5/7)-(3/2/4/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(3/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7)-(3/2/4/1)-(3/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/1)-(3/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/1)-(3/2/4/1)-(3/2/4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/4/1)-(3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/1)-(3/6/4)-(2/3/1/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(2/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(2/3/1/7)-(6/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/7)-(2/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/7)-(2/3/1/7)-(2/3/1/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/1/7)-(6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/7)-(6/4/5)-(4/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(4/6/2)-(4/3/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(4/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIONA Aug15 Jul10 Jun22 Jun03 May06 (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
2  LIAM'S LASS Aug15 Jul09 Jun13 May21 Jan13 (crumley jevon)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.50    
3  KEY TO SUCCESS Aug15 Jul16 Jun22 Jun10 May13 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00    
4  CORNER KICK Aug15 Jul25 Jul04 Jun10 May18 (radosevich)RIVERA R 119 10.00 18% 4.70    
5  CANDYMONIUM Aug15 Jul16 Jun13 May30 May13 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 7% 13.20    
6  MANAGING MISCHIEF Aug21 Aug05 Jul18 May11 Mar30 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 21% 3.70    
7  DANCE MY WAY Aug15 Jul18 Jul04 Jun04 May13 (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 121 3.00 27% 2.80    
 
TDN-2   09/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HARPERIST         (overholt pau)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 10.00    
2  DEBBIE'S DREAM Aug15 Jul17 Jul01 Nov28   (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00    
3  COWGIRLS HUMOR Aug15 Jul29 Jul22 Jun12 May27 (schuster robin)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50    
4  THIRTY SOMETHING Aug15 Jul29 Jul17 Jul01 Jun18 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.80 42% 1.40    
5  WINGS OF HEAVEN Aug26 Jul01 Jun12 May27 May08 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 2.00 26% 2.80    
6  RALPH'S LIL' VICKY Aug26 Aug07 Jul17 Jul01   (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
7  RIVERS RUN RED Aug26 Aug07 Nov14 Oct28 Oct10 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-3   09/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPTURE MI Aug13 Jul23 Jun27 Jun08 May23 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  BIG POPPER Aug19 Jul25 Jul10 Jun25 Jun10 (romero a)PEREZ A 119 2.00 17% 4.80    
3  JOHNNNY'S GAME Jul17 Jun27 Jun08 Mar08 Feb10 (tumblin andr)HALDAR J 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
4  JIMMY JUNGA Aug13 Jul10 Jun08 May21 May07 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 4.50 8% 11.30    
5  RULE IT Jul29 Jul10 Jun13 Apr21 Mar27 (lopez enrique )GONZALEZ A 119 6.00    
6  EL BAMBINO Aug19 Jul29 Jun27 Jun08 May06 (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 4.00    
7  STEP AHEAD Jun08 May23 Apr29 Mar26 Mar12 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00    
 
TDN-4   09/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JODHPUR Feb15 Sep05 Aug15 Jul06   (radosevich je)BRACHO A 115 3.50    
2  AGNELLO CITY Aug19 Jul25 Jul01 Jun11 May21 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 119 10.00    
3  DRILIN' FOR GEMS Aug19 Jul18 Jul01 Jun17 May28 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 115 2.50 31% 2.20    
4  BIG TIME FLIRT Aug19 Jul25 Jul11 Jun26 Jun11 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  MARQUITOS M Aug15 Jul31 Jul15 Jul01 Jun12 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 2.00    
6  CINSAULT Jul31 Jun26 May29 May13 Apr08 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 115 4.50 26% 2.80    
 
TDN-5   09/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AURA OF GOLD Jul11 Jun22 May21 May07 Apr03 (madrigal)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.50 9% 9.80    
2  POKER PARTNER Aug19 Jul11 Jun22 May07 Apr29 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.00 40% 1.50    
3  FLAWLESS CAT Aug19 Aug05 Jun08 May14 Mar26 (radosevich)RIVERA R 121 4.00 28% 2.60    
4  BLUNDER Aug07 Jul29 Jul10 Jun13 Dec11 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50    
5  LUCKY NINETEEN Aug19 Jun22 May28 Sep26 Aug21 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 5.00    
6  SIR Aug26 Aug01 Jul17 Jul08 Jun08 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 123 10.00    
7  CREATIVE BEAT Jul08 Jun05 May14 Nov30 Nov14 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   09/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOUSED Aug06 Jul23 Jun27 Jun08 May23 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.50    
2  FISHING FOR FUN Aug13 Jul30 Jul09 Dec06 Nov16 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00    
3  R CARDINAL PRINCE Aug20 Jul22 Jul09 Jun26 Jun05 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00    
4  MR LAOBAN Aug13 Jul02 Jun08 May18 Apr24 (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 3.50 29% 2.50    
5  SMALL SAILOR Aug13 Jul25 Jul03 Jun08 May23 (genovese richard )PEREZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SWELTER Aug13 Jul24 Jun08 May04 Apr13 (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 119 4.00 41% 1.40    
 
TDN-7   09/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Michael Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINE ME UP BABY Aug13 Jul23 Jul08 May22 Apr13 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of THUS by TIZNOW)
2  LIONISTIC Aug27 Aug13 Jul24 Jul02 May22 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of RACE LADY by BERNARDINI)
3  BUCKEYE PRINCESS Jun07 Nov20 Oct21 Sep07 Aug18 (drury jr)MCKEE J 121 3.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of WESTMINISTER ROAD by QUALITY ROAD)
4  BACK TO OHIO Aug13 Jul11 Dec16 Nov20 Oct05 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 1.60 29% 2.40    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SHEZA RUNAWAY STAR by PRIDE OF BURKAAN)
5  SWEET UNIQUE Aug13 Jul04 Jun07 May13 Apr13 (zielinski )RIVERA R 121 4.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of GREAT GOIN ROSE by ALBERT THE GREAT)
6  CITY SCENE Aug13 Jul24 Jul04 Jun03 May14 (jackson james)BARBARAN ERIK 121 4.50 28% 2.50    
  (by DOMINUS out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
 
TDN-8   09/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTY IN MOTION Aug19 Jul18 Jul04 Jun10 May15 (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 119 10.00    
2  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Aug19 Jul18 Jul04 Jun13 May21 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 4.50    
3  TRAMA QUEEN May20 May01 Jan09 Dec13 Nov29 (skerrett)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.50 18% 4.50    
4  PARDY PLEASER Aug19 Jul11 Jun22 Jun04 Feb21 (ge)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  MOONTAP Feb28 Jan31 Jan11 Jan03 Dec07 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 3.50    
6  WORKING HOLIDAY Aug19 Jul23 Jun10 May15 Apr25 (trevino g)PEREZ A 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.