Handicappers' Race Results
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Keeneland
Friday - October 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (8/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $11.44 $11.44 3.44
KEE-2   Win (5/2/6/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $9.86 $9.86  
KEE-3   Win (1/10/7/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $7.28 $7.28  
KEE-4   Win (7/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $9.20  
KEE-5   Win (8/3/2/11/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 0 $8.16  
KEE-6   Win (10/3/11/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $12.00 $12.00 2.00
KEE-7   Win (12/8/13/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $3.72 $3.72  
KEE-8   Win (3/4/2/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $7.72 $7.72  
KEE-9   Win (8/10/3/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $65.96 $65.96 55.96
KEE-10   Win (8/1/7/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $20.86 $20.86 10.86
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:114     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BANISHING 7 6 84¼ 84¼   11½ 14½ (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 121 4.00 8% 12.00 4.72 W
1  DANCE SOME MO 1 4 72¼ 72¾   43 24½ (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.50 7.71  
4  BLACK POWDER 4 7 41 3½   21½ 36¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 2.53  
8  OWN THE FIELD 8 2 51¼ 41   32½ 48½ (maker j)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 44% 1.30 4.36  
5  GREAT RICHIE M 5 8 62¼ 62¾   54 58¾ (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 6.62  
2  NOT NORMAL 2 5 1½ 1½   76 614¼ (murphy conor)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 9.47  
6  VITTORIO 6 1 2½ 2½   64½ 714½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 3.50 25% 3.00 5.17  
3  CHISELER 3 3 3½ 52½   814 843½ (londono geneviev)ROCCO S 121 12.00 5% 19.00 22.37  
 
KEE-2   10/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($79K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:224 :464 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPIRS VALOR 1 4 11 11   11½ 11¾ (hancock john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 5% 19.00 3.93 W
5  D BIGALOW 4 2 21 21   21½ 21¾ (richard tobio)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 2.50 49% 1.00 2.07 P
9  VERY BOLD 8 12 119 77½   57½ 36 (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.14 S
7  BABY MAX 6 10 108½ 108¾   67½ 46½ (danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 14.18  
2  CAPTAIN FANCY 2 5 42 45   47 57 (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 16% 5.10 4.73  
10  LURED AWAY 9 8 98½ 119¼   89¼ 69½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 14.12  
14  COMING IN HOT 12 3 31½ 32½   35½ 710½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 19.71  
12  RAZORCAT 11 6 75½ 98¾   79 810¾ (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 48.67  
8  TAPIZAR'S TEMPER 7 1 52½ 56½   109½ 911 (antonucci jena)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 88.47  
4  FROSTY BEER 3 7 64½ 87¾   99¼ 1012 (matejka pavel)ROMAN A 119 20.00 28.08  
6  GERALDRAYDAPLEGRAY 5 11 1212½ 1212¾   1212½ 1112½ (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.00 7% 13.70 13.35  
11  CHANCE CONNECTION 10 9 86½ 67½   1111 1213½ (leitch daniel)TORRES A 119 20.00 ######  
SCR  ENNIS TOWN               (trombetta michae)ORTIZ L 119 1.00    
SCR  INVISIBLE               (orseno joseph)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00    
SCR  MCAFEE               (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
SCR  WAR MULE               (calhoun william)JARA FERNANDO 119 8.00    
 
KEE-3   10/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:113     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MERIT 8 4 42 41½   1nk 12½ (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 19.00 2.64 W
6  STARSCAPE 6 3 21 2½   2nk 22½ (santamaria ca)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00 5.25  
2  CONCENTRATION 2 8 73 51¾   44½ 34¾ (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 118 6.00 10.36  
1  ALILNALOT 1 1 11 1½   33 47¼ (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.50 49% 1.10 8.59  
7  DOUBLE YOUR MONEY 7 2 94¼ 83   55½ 58 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 11% 8.00 5.46  
9  COULDITBEMAJIC 9 10 109¾ 106½   78 68 (brennan terr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 22.34  
3  JAMMIN JUSTICE 3 6 52½ 62¾   99½ 711¼ (murphy conor)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 14.49  
10  BOLD D'ORO 10 5 62½ 93   67 812¼ (compton gre)TORRES A 121 3.50 15% 5.50 3.08  
4  EL GUNNER 4 9 84 72¾   89 912½ (roberson dennis)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 5% 19.00 26.79  
5  REWIRE 5 7 31½ 31½   1010 1015¾ (shorter aaron)GRAHAM J 121 30.00 45.69  
SCR  COACH CAMPBELL               (desormeaux k)TORRES A 118 8.00    
 
KEE-4   10/18/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:123 1:38   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CUPIDS CRUSH 8 6 1½ 13 13 13 1hd (robertson mclean)GRAHAM J 124 1.40 3.60  
4  STIR CRAZY 4 5 87½ 88½ 55½ 23 2hd (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 17% 5.00 2.94 P
1  MAGICAL LUTE 1 8 66 67 76¼ 44½ 3¾ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 124 20.00 20.90  
2  QUATRO Y VINTE (URU) 2 2 44 45 34½ 33½ 41¼ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 124 15.00 27.04  
7  LUTE WARM 7 7 76 77½ 87¾ 66½ 52 (russell britta)GEROUX FLORENT 126 1.80 50% 1.00 0.97  
5  SHE'S FIRE 5 4 2½ 23 23 55½ 68 (rice kevin)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00 29.62  
6  HIDDEN CONNECTION 6 1 33 34½ 44½ 77 78½ (calhoun wil)TORRES A 124 8.00 7% 14.10 12.79  
3  LET'S SKEDADDLE 3 3 54½ 55½ 65¾ 88 811½ (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 35.58  
 
KEE-5   10/18/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:141 1:40   1:532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TRUCULENT 4 4 32½ 43 41½ 12 1nk (schultz lin)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.50 3.08  
2  HOODLUM 2 6 64½ 75¼ 63 32½ 2nk (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.00 10% 9.40 4.63 P
3  INDIAN GULCH 3 7 97 107¼ 105¾ 64 31¼ (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 4.00 29% 2.40 3.82 S
6  FORGE IN FIRE 6 2 21 22 31 22 42¼ (bahena ismael)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00 17.53  
11  BIG PAPER 10 10 108 96¾ 73½ 74½ 55¾ (van thoma)TORRES A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 22.55  
9  WRITE OFF JERRY 9 9 75½ 54½ 52½ 95¼ 66 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00 5% 19.00 5.53  
8  POLTERER 8 5 43 32 21 54 76¾ (compton gre)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 39% 1.60 4.05  
1  MOONSTRIKE (GB) 1 1 11 12 11 43 88¼ (dixon jr)HESS SARA 115 20.00 49.72  
7  CODE RUNNER 7 8 87 86¼ 84 107¾ 98¾ (rodriguez hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 8.00 18.52  
5  YES POINT 5 3 54 65 94¼ 85 1011 (mckeever and)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 22.29  
SCR  WHAT A COUNTRY               (bahena fernando)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00    
 
KEE-6   10/18/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:124 1:39   1:524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  PAPA YO 8 4 21 21½ 2½ 11 15 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 7% 12.70 5.00 W
2  SHOGUN BE FAST 1 1 11 11½ 1½ 21 25 (synnefias panag)JARA FERNANDO 118 20.00 5% 19.00 13.46 P
8  CURLINS INCHARGE 7 11 119 108¾ 87 79¼ 38¾ (sims p)BEJARANO R 122 4.00 4.04  
11  FACE VALUE 10 9 63½ 42½ 53 36 49 (williams ma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 11% 8.40 13.22  
10  J T'S IMAGINATION 9 5 32 52½ 43 46 59¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 31% 2.20 1.30  
6  MONTAUK POINT 5 2 96½ 96¾ 97½ 69 612 (murphy conor)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00 19.70  
5  SHAKIN LOOSE 4 8 74 64½ 65½ 89¼ 715¼ (molloy thomas)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 37.38  
4  ARROGATES SPIRIT 3 6 42½ 32 32½ 58½ 816¾ (sweezey kent)GARCIA MARTIN 122 15.00 13.85  
3  SIXWILLBERICH 2 10 108½ 119¼ 1010 911¼ 916¾ (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 26% 2.90 13.07  
7  WHERE IS LISA 6 3 85 86½ 1111 1014¼ 1024¾ (antonuik j)RODRIGUEZ A 118 50.00 61.41  
12  CITY OF CLOUDS 11 7 52½ 75 76½ 1116¼ 1129 (santamaria car)TORRES A 122 12.00 41.76  
SCR  CASHMEUP               (miller jerome )MONCADA IRVING 115 15.00    
 
KEE-7   10/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:13     1:292   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  AMARTH 6 4 2½ 2½   1½ 12½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 23% 3.40 0.86 W
4  FORMAGGIO 2 5 31½ 31½   2½ 22½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 20.27  
12  SERAPHIA 10 9 73¼ 74   55½ 38½ (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 5.00 26% 2.80 4.65 S
10  BRAVE SAMANTHA 8 2 52½ 53   45 410¾ (medina robert)TORRES A 119 10.00 16.01  
7  IN FOR A SPIN 5 1 1½ 1½   33 511¾ (caramori ca)LEPAROUX R 119 30.00 44.65  
11  CENTIMORGAN 9 3 41½ 42½   67½ 613¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 33.30  
9  MAP OUT 7 10 105¼ 96   810 714½ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 119 12.00 14.52  
13  MINNESOTA MUNNY 11 7 93¾ 64   79 816 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 8% 11.20 12.05  
5  CATNIP HILL 3 6 63 106½   917 930¼ (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 54.98  
3  LYRIC STREET 1 11 83¼ 84½   1018 1032¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 7% 13.70 5.74  
6  NERAZURRI 4 8 1113¼ 1114½   1128 1146½ (seglin e)BEJARANO R 119 30.00 5% 18.30 80.29  
SCR  BOTTOMLESS MIMOSA               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
SCR  CRUZ CHICA               (cash norman )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 30.00    
SCR  NOSLEEPTILBROOKLYN               (lynch a)ORTIZ L 119 1.80    
 
KEE-8   10/18/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:213 :451 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JUST A CARE (IRE) 3 4 11 11½   11 1¼ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.00 24% 3.20 2.86 W
2  MAKEUP 2 5 31½ 21½   21 2¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 20.00 14% 6.00 12.38 P
1  GOLDEN HOSTESS (SAF) 1 10 107¼ 107¾   66 3¼ (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 4.04  
4  HOWBOUTDEMAPPLES 4 7 74½ 75¼   54½ 4¾ (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 23% 3.40 1.88  
5  KRISPY RICE 5 3 53 53¾   33½ 53½ (walsh d)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00 5% 19.00 48.64  
8  ISABEL ALEXANDRA (IRE) 8 2 41½ 41¾   44½ 66¼ (delgado gustavo)ORTIZ L 121 12.00 13% 6.90 16.80  
9  KENDAL GRACE 9 8 85½ 86¼   77 76½ (acevedo israel)CALLEJA ANDRES 121 30.00 ######  
7  HEAVEN RULES 7 9 95¾ 97¼   89 812 (rice kevin)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 20.00 31.29  
10  CANDI GIRL 10 1 63½ 64¼   109¾ 912½ (antonucci jena)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 63.52  
6  PORT TOWNSEND 6 6 21 31½   99¼ 1013½ (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 4.51  
SCR  WUPKAR               (short thomas)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 20.00    
 
KEE-9   10/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:144 1:41   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STURGEON MOON 2 4 52 72¾ 74¼ 54 1¼ (lobo h)ROMAN A 120 20.00 5% 19.00 31.98 W
3  STABLE CURRENCY 3 2 1½ 1nk 1nk 11 2¼ (block chris)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 7% 12.40 4.25 P
1  QUINN'S PROMISE 1 1 41½ 41½ 41¾ 21 3½ (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.92 S
8  PARADISE CITY 7 5 62½ 62¼ 31½ 33 43¼ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.80 43% 1.30 0.97  
6  MIZMALICE 5 8 94¾ 83¼ 53¼ 64¼ 53½ (hiles rick)BEJARANO R 120 10.00 12.35  
4  TOTAL HEART 4 3 2½ 2nk 2nk 44 65¾ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00 85.38  
7  BONNE FILLE 6 9 84¼ 93¾ 84½ 78¼ 711½ (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 120 12.00 24.70  
10  BLESS THE BROKEN 9 7 31½ 3½ 63¼ 811¾ 825¾ (walden william)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 27% 2.60 3.53  
9  CAITLIN TIME 8 6 72¾ 52 95 912¾ 927 (von k)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 30.00 62.06  
SCR  FIVE A SIDE               (servis c)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
 
KEE-10   10/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:13 1:251   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVIL'S HARVEST 1 1 11½ 11½ 12 12½ 11¼ (knudsen ken)BERMUDEZ E 122 15.00 29% 2.40 9.43 W
5  ROYAL SANDRIN 5 12 129 129¼ 126½ 95¾ 21¼ (lobo paulo)RODRIGUEZ A 124 20.00 10.64  
3  WILL TAKE IT 3 7 117 107½ 64½ 34 31¼ (milligan ed)TORRES A 118 10.00 5% 19.00 5.80 S
7  ELEGANT TRIP 7 8 53½ 53½ 54 44½ 41½ (arnold r)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 8.00 15% 5.60 12.18  
2  THOMAS AQUINAS 2 4 106½ 117¾ 115½ 106 52½ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 3.95  
10  MOUNT RUNDLE 10 2 43 43 22 22½ 62¾ (nihei michelle)TORRES A 122 3.50 11.25  
11  SEA SINGER (IRE) 11 9 85½ 96½ 105 55 73 (mccarthy mic)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 10.28  
12  SUMMER IN ADRIANE 12 11 96 74½ 95 85¼ 83¾ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 27.06  
6  FRONTLINE WARRIOR 6 5 74½ 85 84¾ 117 97 (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 5.99  
9  LOBO SALVAJE 9 10 64½ 64½ 74¾ 127½ 109¼ (salas marcelin)MONCADA IRVING 115 50.00 95.85  
8  LEGITIMIZE 8 3 21½ 21½ 32 75¼ 119½ (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.80 32% 2.10 3.72  
4  AZTECA'S GOLD 4 6 32 32 42½ 65 1210½ (lacroix gene)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00 74.79  
SCR  COUNT DRACULA               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
SCR  MR. PETERKIN               (norris mike)BEJARANO R 122 30.00    
SCR  SAINT IN THE CITY               (van thoma)TORRES A 122 20.00    
SCR  STRIDE               (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.