Handicappers' Racing Form
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Keeneland
Friday - October 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (8/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-2   Win (5/2/6/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-3   Win (1/10/7/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-4   Win (7/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-5   Win (8/3/2/11/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-6   Win (10/3/11/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-7   Win (12/8/13/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-8   Win (3/4/2/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-9   Win (8/10/3/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-10   Win (8/1/7/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
KEE-1   10/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCE SOME MO Sep12 Aug27 Jun23 Jun02 May05 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.50    
2  NOT NORMAL Sep22 Aug11 Jul20 May04 Apr10 (murphy conor)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00    
3  CHISELER Sep07 Aug11 Jul20 Jun22 May24 (londono geneviev)ROCCO S 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  BLACK POWDER Sep22 Sep01 Aug03 Jun19 May24 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00    
5  GREAT RICHIE M Oct04 May09 Apr07 Mar20 Feb02 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00    
6  VITTORIO Sep22 Aug25 Oct25 Sep16 Aug13 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 3.50 25% 3.00    
7  BANISHING Aug24 Jun06 Apr19 Feb12 Jan13 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 121 4.00 8% 12.00    
8  OWN THE FIELD Sep14 Aug07 Jul18 Jun07 Apr21 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 44% 1.30    
 
KEE-2   10/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($79K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPIRS VALOR Apr10         (hancock john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CAPTAIN FANCY Sep11 Aug24       (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  WAR MULE         (calhoun william)JARA FERNANDO 119 8.00    
4  FROSTY BEER         (matejka pavel)ROMAN A 119 20.00    
5  D BIGALOW Sep28         (richard tobio)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 2.50 49% 1.00    
6  GERALDRAYDAPLEGRAY Aug24 Jul28       (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.00 7% 13.70    
7  BABY MAX         (danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
8  TAPIZAR'S TEMPER Sep18         (antonucci jena)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
9  VERY BOLD Aug24         (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  LURED AWAY         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
11  CHANCE CONNECTION         (leitch daniel)TORRES A 119 20.00    
12  RAZORCAT         (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
SCR  INVISIBLE         (orseno joseph)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00    
14  COMING IN HOT Jun22 May26       (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
SCR  ENNIS TOWN Sep28         (trombetta michae)ORTIZ L 119 1.00    
SCR  MCAFEE         (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
 
KEE-3   10/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALILNALOT Sep18 Aug10 Jul21 Jun05 Sep17 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.50 49% 1.10    
2  CONCENTRATION Sep23 Sep06 Aug07 Jul18 Jun12 (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 118 6.00    
3  JAMMIN JUSTICE Sep18 Aug22 Aug05 Jun18 May29 (murphy conor)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
4  EL GUNNER Sep18 Aug24 Jul24 Jun28 Jun13 (roberson den)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  REWIRE Sep26 Sep03 Aug10 Jul15 Jan28 (shorter aaron)GRAHAM J 121 30.00    
6  STARSCAPE Sep22 Aug18 Oct07     (santamaria ca)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00    
7  DOUBLE YOUR MONEY Sep18 Aug12 Jul20 Jun13 May01 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 11% 8.00    
8  MERIT Sep14 Aug03 Jul04 Apr06 Mar01 (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  COULDITBEMAJIC Sep22 Sep15 Aug13 Jul15 Jun24 (brennan terr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
10  BOLD D'ORO Aug07 Jul13 Jun13 May04 Mar04 (compton gre)TORRES A 121 3.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  COACH CAMPBELL Sep04 Aug15 Jul27 Jul06 Jun08 (desormeaux k)TORRES A 118 8.00    
 
KEE-4   10/18/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGICAL LUTE Sep18 Aug11 Jul05 Jun01 Apr13 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 124 20.00    
2  QUATRO Y VINTE         (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 124 15.00    
3  LET'S SKEDADDLE Sep21 Aug31 Aug11 Jul13 Sep09 (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  STIR CRAZY Sep05 Jul06 Jun13 May03 Apr11 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 17% 5.00    
5  SHE'S FIRE Sep20 Aug04 Jul08 Jun25 Jun17 (rice kevin)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00    
6  HIDDEN CONNECTION Sep05 Aug11 Jul06 Jun01 Apr19 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00 7% 14.10    
7  LUTE WARM Sep11 Jul25 Jun19 May12 Apr21 (russell britta)GEROUX FLORENT 126 1.80 50% 1.00    
8  CUPIDS CRUSH Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 Jul13 Jun08 (robertson mclean)GRAHAM J 124 1.40    
 
KEE-5   10/18/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONSTRIKE (GB) Sep27 Sep12 Aug24 Jul31 Jul13 (dixon jr)HESS SARA 115 20.00    
2  HOODLUM Sep22 Jul20 May17 Apr21 Mar22 (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.00 10% 9.40    
3  INDIAN GULCH Sep22 May05 Feb17 Nov16 Oct10 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 4.00 29% 2.40    
4  TRUCULENT Sep21 Aug24 Jul25 May05 Apr07 (schultz lin)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.50    
5  YES POINT Sep11 Aug14 Jul10 Mar22 Feb10 (mckeever and)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00    
6  FORGE IN FIRE Sep26 Aug26 Aug05 May25 May01 (bahena ismael)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
7  CODE RUNNER Oct06 Sep15 Sep03 Jul07 Apr17 (rodriguez hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 8.00    
8  POLTERER Aug31 Jul25 Jun22 May05 Apr20 (compton gre)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 39% 1.60    
9  WRITE OFF JERRY Sep05 Aug24 Jul14 Jun15 May17 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  WHAT A COUNTRY Sep12 Aug25 Aug06 Jun09 May26 (bahena fernando)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00    
11  BIG PAPER Aug17 May05 Mar08 Dec01 Nov10 (van thoma)TORRES A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-6   10/18/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CASHMEUP Sep22 Aug19 Jul20 Jul05 Jun15 (miller jerome )MONCADA IRVING 115 15.00    
2  SHOGUN BE FAST Sep07 Jul25 Jul06 Jun22 Apr24 (synnefias panag)JARA FERNANDO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  SIXWILLBERICH Sep18 Aug19 Jul11 Jun19 May26 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 26% 2.90    
4  ARROGATES SPIRIT Sep05 Aug08 Jun16 May24 Mar16 (sweezey kent)GARCIA MARTIN 122 15.00    
5  SHAKIN LOOSE Sep27 Jun20 Jun02 Mar23 Mar03 (molloy thomas)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00    
6  MONTAUK POINT Sep10 Aug17 Jun28 Feb25 Jan07 (murphy conor)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00    
7  WHERE IS LISA Oct03 Sep14 Aug31 Aug07 Jul27 (antonuik j)RODRIGUEZ A 118 50.00    
8  CURLINS INCHARGE Sep18 Jul28 May23 May01 Apr10 (sims p)BEJARANO R 122 4.00    
9  PAPA YO Sep13 Aug22 Aug05 May18 Mar20 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 7% 12.70    
10  J T'S IMAGINATION Sep12 Jul20 Jun15 May23 Apr14 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 31% 2.20    
11  FACE VALUE Sep26 Sep07 Aug25 Aug10 Jul03 (williams ma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 11% 8.40    
12  CITY OF CLOUDS Sep29 Sep12 Jul13 Jun08 May25 (santamaria car)TORRES A 122 12.00    
 
KEE-7   10/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CRUZ CHICA Sep25 Sep11       (cash norman )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 30.00    
SCR  NOSLEEPTILBROOKLYN Sep13 Aug03       (lynch a)ORTIZ L 119 1.80    
3  LYRIC STREET         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 7% 13.70    
4  FORMAGGIO Sep22 Aug25       (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
5  CATNIP HILL Sep13         (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00    
6  NERAZURRI         (seglin e)BEJARANO R 119 30.00 5% 18.30    
7  IN FOR A SPIN Sep20         (caramori ca)LEPAROUX R 119 30.00    
8  AMARTH Sep20         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 23% 3.40    
9  MAP OUT         (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 119 12.00    
10  BRAVE SAMANTHA Sep20 Aug11       (medina robert)TORRES A 119 10.00    
11  CENTIMORGAN         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
12  SERAPHIA         (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 5.00 26% 2.80    
13  MINNESOTA MUNNY Sep05 Aug13       (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 8% 11.20    
SCR  BOTTOMLESS MIMOSA Sep26         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
 
KEE-8   10/18/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN HOSTESS         (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00    
2  MAKEUP Aug31 Aug12 Jul13 Oct19 Aug26 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 20.00 14% 6.00    
3  JUST A CARE (IRE) Feb24 Dec17 Oct22 Apr14 Mar25 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.00 24% 3.20    
4  HOWBOUTDEMAPPLES Aug31 Aug12 Jun01 May04 Apr07 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 23% 3.40    
5  KRISPY RICE Sep09 Jun23 May29 Mar20 Feb21 (walsh d)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  PORT TOWNSEND Apr13 Mar03 Dec14 Nov10 Aug01 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00    
7  HEAVEN RULES Sep20 Aug28 Aug15 Jul31 Jul08 (rice kevin)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 20.00    
8  ISABEL ALEXANDRA (IRE) Sep22 Apr28 Mar03 Jan01 Dec03 (delgado gusta)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 12.00 13% 6.90    
9  KENDAL GRACE Oct05 Sep19 Aug31 Jun23 Jun11 (acevedo israel)SANJUR SANTO 121 30.00    
10  CANDI GIRL Aug30 Jul23 Dec23 Dec08 Sep13 (antonucci jena)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
SCR  WUPKAR Oct03 Sep04 Aug04 Jun27 Jun08 (short thomas)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 20.00    
 
KEE-9   10/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 F PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUINN'S PROMISE Sep14 Jul29 Jul04     (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  STURGEON MOON Aug26 Jun04       (lobo h)ROMAN A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  STABLE CURRENCY Sep26 Sep08       (block chris)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 7% 12.40    
4  TOTAL HEART Aug27 Jul27 Jun24     (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00    
SCR  FIVE A SIDE Sep21 Aug19 Aug03     (servis c)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
6  MIZMALICE Sep25 Aug17       (hiles rick)BEJARANO R 120 10.00    
7  BONNE FILLE Sep08 Jul11 Jun21     (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 120 12.00    
8  PARADISE CITY Sep06         (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.80 43% 1.30    
9  CAITLIN TIME Sep13 Aug09       (von k)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 30.00    
10  BLESS THE BROKEN Jul05         (walden william)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 27% 2.60    
 
KEE-10   10/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVIL'S HARVEST Sep14 Sep02 Jul19 Jun06 Apr27 (knudsen ken)BERMUDEZ E 122 15.00 29% 2.40    
2  THOMAS AQUINAS Sep05 Aug18 Jul04 Jun01 Apr26 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  WILL TAKE IT Sep19 Aug24 Jun30 Jun02 Apr27 (milligan ed)TORRES A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  AZTECA'S GOLD Sep19 Aug03 Jul13 Jun20 Apr16 (lacroix gene)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
5  ROYAL SANDRIN Aug27 Sep30 Mar10 Feb24 Jan20 (lobo paulo)RODRIGUEZ A 124 20.00    
6  FRONTLINE WARRIOR Sep07 Jul08 Apr13 Jan06 Nov19 (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
7  ELEGANT TRIP Aug31 Jul28 Dec16 Nov22 Sep30 (arnold geor)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00 15% 5.60    
8  LEGITIMIZE Aug08 Feb14       (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.80 32% 2.10    
9  LOBO SALVAJE Sep11 Aug22 Jul20 Jul03 Jun16 (salas marcelin)MONCADA IRVING 115 50.00    
10  MOUNT RUNDLE Aug06 Jul16 May20 Apr19 Mar10 (nihei michelle)TORRES A 122 3.50    
11  SEA SINGER (IRE) Aug11 Jul27 Jun16 May05 Sep10 (mccarthy mic)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
12  SUMMER IN ADRIANE Oct06 Jul07 May19 Apr28 Mar24 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
SCR  COUNT DRACULA Sep11 May05 Apr20 Mar28 Mar02 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
SCR  STRIDE Sep16 Aug21 Feb15 Jan18 Dec22 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 15.00    
SCR  SAINT IN THE CITY Sep22 Aug12 Jun06 Apr28 Mar16 (van thoma)TORRES A 122 20.00    
SCR  MR. PETERKIN Sep07 Aug04 Jun28 May02 Mar21 (norris mike)BEJARANO R 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.