Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Wednesday - September 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   TRI (7/2/1)-(7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-7-1 $32.00 $26.00 433%
TDN-2   TRI (1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00  1-4-2 $35.40 $11.40 48%
TDN-5   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $7.20 $1.20 20%
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-1 $13.20 $7.20 120%
    DD (4/3/1/6)-(6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-4 $12.90 $0.90 8%
TDN-6   DD (6/4/1)-(5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-5 $9.90 $0.90 10%

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GETAWAY BAY 2 1 1 1   15 1 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.00 22% 3.50 1.20 W
MY BEST DAY EVER 5 2 2 2   25 2 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 121 2.50 34% 2.00 2.00 P
GRACIE DANCE 1 5 33 34   37 3 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 119 8.00 9% 10.00 8.30 S
MY SUZIE Q 3 3 43 44   4 4 (dacosta jason)BOWEN ROCCO 117 10.00 5.50  
CASTLE MAGIC 4 4 5 5   5 511½ (gorham m)PEREZ A 119 8.00 4.20  
SCR  ARMY KITTEN               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 1.80    
SCR  LADY GIULIANA               (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 119 15.00    
 
TDN-2   09/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLISTON WAY 1 6 6 6   21 1 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 63% 0.60 1.70 W
TIME TO SHOOT 4 3 1nk 2nk   31 2 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 121 3.50 7% 12.90 5.40 P
SO DIALED IN 2 7 5 4   4 33 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 10% 9.50 2.40 S
IRISH UNITY 5 4 2nk 1nk   11 4 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 6.00 9.30  
STORMIN'UNCLEJACK 7 1 31 5   5 5 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 5.00 3.40  
GOOD ON YA 6 2 4 31   6 65 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 10.00 5% 19.00 24.90  
STATESBORO 3 5 7 7   7 7 (winters miche)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 16.20  
 
TDN-3   09/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :47 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMED OUT 1 3 1nk 1½   1 15 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 4.50 6.50  
ROLLIN MY WAY 5 2 4 52   2 25 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 115 2.50 18% 4.50 2.40 P
KINGDOM DIAMOND 2 5 5 42   3 3 (meyers sha)RIVERA R 119 2.00 46% 1.20 1.30 S
RAMBLER 4 1 3½ 3   5 4 (tu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 10.00 8% 11.00 8.20  
SHOWTIME BOY 3 4 2nk 2½   4 5 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 2.80  
SCR  MY HOMBRE               (schuster robin)PEREZ A 119 3.00    
 
TDN-4   09/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:142     1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELKO 1 6 1 11 1nk 1nk 11 (vecchio caryn)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 5% 17.90 2.20 W
POSITIVELY 3 4 2 21 2nk 2nk 21 (sweeting craig)PEREZ A 119 3.00 7% 12.90 2.80 P
SO TEMPTING 5 3 6 45 33 36 39 (sw)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 6.10  
QUICKSTYLE 4 5 32 67 613½ 516 414¼ (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.00 65% 0.50 1.60  
LIME TREE 2 1 54 56 4 410 518 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 12.00 43.10  
ZULLY BELLA 7 2 42 3 511½ 619 630¼ (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 123 8.00 16.50  
ICY RAIN 6 7 7 713 723½ 729 742½ (ratliff gobel)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00 5% 19.00 17.40  
 
TDN-5   09/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:001     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE KID'S PRAYER 3 1 31 4   2½ 1 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 121 2.00 24% 3.10 2.60 W
NATIONAL DIAMOND 1 5 4 2nk   1½ 2 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 115 5.00 5% 19.00 3.50 P
FAITHFUL SOLUTION 2 4 5 5   32 3 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 1.80 3.60  
BETTER HALF 5 3 2½ 1nk   4 4 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 45% 1.20 1.10  
MY TWO JAKES 4 2 1½ 3.2   5 517½ (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 10.00 19.30  
SCR  LIGHTENING LOTTIE               (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 15.00    
 
TDN-6   09/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :463 :593     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILAC LACE 5 3 32 21   1nk 11 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 1.60 43% 1.30 0.40 W
IMMACULATE HEART 3 1 2½ 11   2nk 21 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 29% 2.50 3.60 P
BLAZING ZENNA 1 5 43 43   44 3 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 1.80 3.60  
SWEET BELEN 2 4 1½ 31   3 4 ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 5.00 15.60  
SIERRA DIAMOND 4 2 5 5   57 58 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 44.80  
 
TDN-7   09/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:133     1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY PENNY ROSE 3 5 67 6 6 43 1nk (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 8.00 10.30  
MARKET SUCCESS 4 4 21 3 2½ 2nk 2nk (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 2.00  
MISSION GIRL 5 1 42 2 1½ 1nk 3¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 2.00 18% 4.60 4.90 S
LADY JASPER 2 3 32 44 42 32 4 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 1.80 53% 0.90 1.20  
LA ROSA 1 6 5 58 5 64 5 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 6.70  
KERRI'S MIRACLE 6 2 11 1 3 5 611 (vazquez ivan)PEREZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 16.00  
 
TDN-8   09/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:123     1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEEPING GIANT 5 4 5 44 21 1nk 12 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 123 1.60 59% 0.70 0.20 W
YES POINT 1 5 43 5 5 3 22 (mckeever andr)BRACHO A 119 5.00 6.40  
MY BROTHER CAM 2 3 1 11 11 2nk 3 (ray kevin)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 9% 10.10 11.80 S
RANDELLO 4 2 2 21 31 4 47 (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
CRYO 3 1 33 3 4 5 5 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 121 3.50 7.60  
SCR  KADESH               (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.