Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - September 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/1)-(7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/2/1)-(1/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1)-(1/2/4/6)-(3/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/4/6)-(3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4/6)-(3/6/5)-(4/3/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(4/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(4/3/1/6)-(6/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/1/6)-(6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1/6)-(6/4/1)-(5/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-5   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(5/3/4)-(2/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(2/5/6)-(6/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(6/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACIE DANCE Aug21 Jul18 Jul09 Jun13 May21 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 119 8.00 9% 10.00    
2  GETAWAY BAY Aug21 Jul11 Jul02 Jun11 Mar07 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.00 22% 3.50    
3  MY SUZIE Q Aug21 Jul29 Jun22 May30 May01 (dacosta jason)BOWEN ROCCO 117 10.00    
SCR  LADY GIULIANA Jul04 Jun13 May20 May01 Nov16 (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 119 15.00    
5  CASTLE MAGIC Jul18 May21 Nov15 Oct30 Sep25 (gorham m)PEREZ A 119 8.00    
SCR  ARMY KITTEN Jul06 Jun15 May26 May04 Apr07 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 1.80    
7  MY BEST DAY EVER Aug01 Jul11 Jun22 Jun03 Oct22 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 121 2.50 34% 2.00    
 
TDN-2   09/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLISTON WAY Aug18 Aug04 Jul02 May27 Apr21 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 63% 0.60    
2  SO DIALED IN Aug20 Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 May20 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 10% 9.50    
3  STATESBORO Sep01 Aug13 Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 (winters miche)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
4  TIME TO SHOOT Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 Oct13 Sep27 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 121 3.50 7% 12.90    
5  IRISH UNITY Aug22 Aug06 Jul24 Jul03 May22 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
6  GOOD ON YA Aug13 Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 May21 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  STORMIN'UNCLEJACK Aug20 May22 May01 Mar11 Aug06 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 5.00    
 
TDN-3   09/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMED OUT Aug16 Jul19 Jun27 May31 Apr27 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 4.50    
SCR  MY HOMBRE Aug19 Jul25 Jun26 Jun05 May21 (schuster robin)PEREZ A 119 3.00    
3  KINGDOM DIAMOND Aug05 Jul15 Jun27 Jun08 May22 (meyers sha)RIVERA R 119 2.00 46% 1.20    
4  SHOWTIME BOY Aug21 Jul31 Jul18 Jun18 May28 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
5  RAMBLER Aug21 Aug01 Jul03 May30 May13 (tu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 10.00 8% 11.00    
6  ROLLIN MY WAY Aug16 Jul31 Jul06 Jun27 Oct31 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 115 2.50 18% 4.50    
 
TDN-4   09/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELKO Aug14 Jul24 Jul02 Apr04   (vecchio caryn)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 5% 17.90    
2  LIME TREE Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 Jul11 Jun10 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 12.00    
3  POSITIVELY Sep03 Aug19 Jul22 Jul03 Jun08 (sweeting craig)PEREZ A 119 3.00 7% 12.90    
4  QUICKSTYLE Aug12 Jul29 Jul11 Jun19 Jun04 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.00 65% 0.50    
5  SO TEMPTING Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 May23   (sw)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
6  ICY RAIN Dec11 Nov19 Oct23 Sep27 Aug17 (ratliff gobel)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  ZULLY BELLA Sep02 Jun10 May20 Apr25 Feb28 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 123 8.00    
 
TDN-5   09/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATIONAL DIAMOND Aug31 Aug22 Jul12 Jun28 Jun10 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 115 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  FAITHFUL SOLUTION Aug22 Jul30 Jul03 Jun10 May20 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 1.80    
SCR  LIGHTENING LOTTIE Sep02 Aug22 Jul30 Jul18 Jul09 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 15.00    
4  THE KID'S PRAYER Aug22 Jul24 Jul04 Jun17 May29 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 121 2.00 24% 3.10    
5  MY TWO JAKES Aug12 Jul25 Jul09 Jun18 May28 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 10.00    
6  BETTER HALF Aug22 Jul27 Jul12 Jun07 May22 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
TDN-6   09/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAZING ZENNA Jul22 Jul08 Jun13 May30 May04 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 1.80    
2  SWEET BELEN Aug28 Aug20 Jul30 Jul22 Jul09 (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 5.00    
3  IMMACULATE HEART Jul30 Jul08 Jun13 Oct18 Aug23 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 29% 2.50    
4  SIERRA DIAMOND Aug20 Jul30 May04 Apr24 Feb07 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  LILAC LACE Aug20 Jul09 Jun13 May22 May04 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 1.60 43% 1.30    
 
TDN-7   09/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA ROSA Aug01 Jul17 Jun27 May30 May09 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00    
2  LADY JASPER Aug21 Aug01 Jun27 Jan18 Jan02 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 1.80 53% 0.90    
3  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Jul31 Jun27 Jun19 Jun03 May09 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 8.00    
4  MARKET SUCCESS Aug15 Aug01 Jul19 Jun27 Jun03 (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50    
5  MISSION GIRL Aug21 Aug01 Jun19 Jun05 May18 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 2.00 18% 4.60    
6  KERRI'S MIRACLE Aug14 Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 May28 (vazquez ivan)PEREZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-8   09/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YES POINT Aug14 Jul10 Mar22 Feb10 Jan05 (mckeever andr)BRACHO A 119 5.00    
2  MY BROTHER CAM Jun03 May09 Apr22 Mar27 Feb26 (ray kevin)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  KADESH Aug27 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50    
4  CRYO Aug21 Aug06 Jul23 Jul08 Jun24 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 121 3.50    
5  RANDELLO Aug21 Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SWEEPING GIANT Aug21 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 123 1.60 59% 0.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.