Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mountaineer Park
Wednesday - August 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-2   EXA (2/8/6)-(2/8/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  8-2 $24.00 $12.00 100%
MNR-5   WIN (2/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $9.40 $1.40 18%
    EXA (2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-6 $45.40 $21.40 89%
MNR-6   EXA (4/2/7/3)-(4/2/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-2 $34.60 $10.60 44%
MNR-7   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $10.00 $4.00 67%
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-6 $73.20 $61.20 510%
MNR-8   EXA (6/8/9)-(6/8/1/9) 9 $2.00 $18.00  6-9 $20.00 $2.00 11%
    TRI (6/8/9)-(6/8/1/9)-(6/8/1/9) 18 $1.00 $18.00  6-9-8 $30.30 $12.30 68%
    DD (5/3/6)-(6/8/9) 9 $2.00 $18.00  5-6 $22.80 $4.80 27%
    PK3 (4/2/7/3)-(5/3/6)-(6/8/9) 36 $2.00 $72.00  7-5-6 $117.80 $45.80 64%
    PK4 (2/3/6/1)-(4/2/7/3)-(5/3/6)-(6/8/9) 144 $2.00 $288  3-7-5-2/4/6 $538.80 $250.80 87%

Simulator Race results

 
MNR-1   08/28/2024 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:22 :45       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANTE ANGEL 1 2 21 3½   1½ 11 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00 8.60  
WORTH A PEEK 3 9 7 7   31 21 (delong ben)AVILES YAN 120 6.00 37% 1.70 8.60 P
THIRSTY ACCOUNTANT 8 3 31 2½   43 3 (mcentee paul)HO WESLEY 116 4.00 7% 13.60 2.80 S
LEAVE DRAMA BEHIND 5 1 11 1½   2½ 4 (sanders meli)GONZALEZ KEVIN 116 15.00 37.90  
MUSIC LASS 6 7 6 6   7 5 (tuomisto cli)LEWIS M 115 8.00 15.90  
BETHPAGE 9 6 43 4   5 6 (baird mi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 12.00 5% 19.00 15.50  
CAROUSING 2 4 5 5   64 7 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 116 3.00 1.90  
MARZ EXPRESS 4 5 96 8   8 8 (davis scoot)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 5.00 30% 2.40 6.80  
HONOUR'S CHOICE 7 8 8 9   9 9 (cuttino mar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00 6.80  
 
MNR-2   08/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIRSTY JOHN 6 1 3½ 1nk   14 1 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 3.00 31% 2.20 1.40 W
SMASH 2 2 1½ 2nk   24 2 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.00 39% 1.60 6.60 P
BAD LITTLE BEAST 4 4 4¾ 44   4 33 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 5.00 9.70  
DREAMING OF SMARTY 3 3 2½ 32   36 49 (davidovich jamen)AVILES YAN 123 4.50 1.00  
HENDRIX 1 5 5 5   5 512¼ (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 6.00 12.60  
NIXON JOY (ARG) 5 6 613¼ 621½   624½ 617½ (cordero-)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 123 30.00 5% 19.00 59.90  
SCR  SMOOTH RICO               (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 6.00    
SCR  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK               (poole c)BRACHO A 123 5.00    
 
MNR-3   08/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
See original race card.
:224 :462 :591     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARETO'S PRINCIPLE 1 1 1½ 17   112 1 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 1.80 57% 0.70 0.10 W
VAPORIZED 3 3 3 39   315 2 (mcgaffic gregor)LEON A 120 15.00 14.80  
HOPPERNESS 2 2 2½ 27   212 310 (demczyk virg)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00 17% 4.70 9.50 S
SCR  THAT MAGIC MOMENT               (gotera jua)CASTELLANO JESUS 116 3.50    
SCR  OLD FORTY FIVE               (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 4.00    
SCR  UNCLE ISMAEL               (gotera ju)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 116 2.50    
SCR  MINDSHIP Q               (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 120 10.00    
 
MNR-4   08/28/2024 1320ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:22         :22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAN SHE SCOOT 7 2       11 1½ (spiess shan)BARRIOS RICARDO 127 15.00 27.90  
MISS NUCKOLS 5 1       21 2½ (langley c)YARANGA Y 131 0.60 28% 2.60 0.30 P
CASTLE LIGHTS 3 4       31 3 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 118 4.50 15% 5.80 3.90 S
TEL AVIV 6 3       5 4 (crago ter)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 125 15.00 23.60  
MS HEADLEY 4 6       6 5 (cuttino marion )NEGRON LUIS 125 15.00 17.40  
GOLDEN NOLE 1 5       4 6 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 129 4.00 26% 2.90 9.30  
SWEET BELEN 2 7       7 7 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 15.00 9% 10.40 24.00  
SCR  SHE'D RATHER DANCE               (vitali j)LEON A 123 50.00    
 
MNR-5   08/28/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
See original race card.
:223 :471       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALGARCA 3 3 42 5   2½ 1½ (barbaran hora)BARBARAN ERIK 120 3.00 20% 4.00 3.70 W
AGUILA DEL RIO 6 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 2½ (adams hanna)WHITACRE B 116 5.00 9% 10.30 8.30 P
BIDOFHONEY 7 6 3 2nk   4 3 (crago terry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 10.90  
KISS ME ON OCONEE 2 2 2nk 31   3 4 (shanyfelt doug)GONZALEZ A 120 1.40 40% 1.50 0.50  
CANTHO 5 7 6 4   5 58 (fiesman rob)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 6.00 11.30  
SMOOKIE 4 4 7 7   710½ 6 (trierweiler cam)VEGA L 120 15.00 33.90  
ELARY 1 5 53 6   610½ 710¾ (delong ben)DAVILA M 120 12.00 5% 19.00 14.00  
 
MNR-6   08/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:222 :463 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOON ME AGAIN 7 6 43 2nk   13 1 (sullivan elliott)AVILES YAN 120 6.00 12% 7.30 3.10 W
BELIEVING (IRE) 2 4 1nk 1nk   23 2 (march william)YARANGA Y 120 1.80 22% 3.50 2.50 P
JILL BABE 5 1 32 4   49 3 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 6.00 7.60  
CAPTAIN ANNE 3 5 6 5   610½ 4 (cox g)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 10.00 5% 19.00 15.30  
BANDEENA 4 7 711½ 710   712½ 5 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 115 2.50 34% 1.90 2.20  
SHELLY THE ROCKET 6 2 2nk 32   37 6 (logston christo)NEGRON LUIS 120 10.00 6.70  
OUT FOR MYSELF 1 3 5 65   5 7 (carrillo ram)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 115 5.00 12.00  
 
MNR-7   08/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
See original race card.
:222 :454 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN TO DAYLIGHT 3 3 2½ 11   1nk 1¼ (mangual manolo)BOCACHICA O 120 4.00 26% 2.80 4.00 W
RESCUE FIVE 4 1 3 21   2nk 2¼ (kocijan marc)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00 15% 5.80 12.80 P
COLT ROCK 2 2 1½ 3   32 3 (tobin edwi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 4.50 6.10  
BLACK CANDY 1 4 4 5   5 4 (blackhurst randy)AVILES YAN 123 2.50 23% 3.30 0.80  
HOT FUDGE SONDE 5 5 55 4   44 5 (binning matth)ADAMS L 113 6.00 2.90  
SCR  DEVIL'S CANYON               (treharne dave)BRACHO A 120 30.00    
SCR  SPANGLISH               (viands gregory)VEGA L 120 3.00    
SCR  SUGAR LIPS               (viands gregory)NEGRON LUIS 120 15.00    
 
MNR-8   08/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:23 :47 :593     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTRANSIGENT 4 1 1½ 1nk   14 1 (clouston edw)TAPARA BRANDON 116 2.50 60% 0.70 0.70 W
S S TRACKSIDE FUN 7 7 7 53   4 2 (cain crystal)GONZALEZ KEVIN 116 8.00 5% 19.00 8.80 P
DOUBLE WARRIOR 6 3 42 3½   37 38 (figueroa roland)NEGRON LUIS 123 3.00 10% 9.00 2.20 S
INCITATUSWAY 3 5 54 6   5 410¼ (brown j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 20.00 25.20  
GALLAZO 2 6 6 7   710½ 511¾ (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 30.00 50.00  
S S FLAT OUT FUN 1 4 3½ 2nk   24 613 (cain crystal)GILBERT KYLE 116 5.00 5.40  
R K CONSTANTINO 5 2 2½ 4   6 718½ (zook jeff )WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 30.00 51.30  
SCR  FAIR TO MIDDLIN               (brown t)TAPARA LUIS 123 30.00    
SCR  NEW JERSEY HEIST               (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 123 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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