Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Wednesday - October 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-6   WIN (8/9/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $12.26 $4.26 53%
KEE-8   WIN (12/3/9/11/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $40.62 $30.62 306%
    EXA (12/3/9/11/7)-(12/3/9/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-9 $234.43 $214.43 1072%
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:223 :461 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SUPREMELY 4 5 41½ 31   1nk 11¼ (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 121 15.00 12.91  
8  ARTHUR 8 1 2nk 1½   2nk 21¼ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 10.00 8.63  
1  HOPPIN JOHN 1 8 76¾ 75½   64¼ 35¼ (campbell j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 17.96  
6  GOOD LIKE MAGIC 6 4 1nk 2½   31½ 46¼ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.00 57% 0.80 0.34  
5  STINGY 5 3 31 42   43½ 58 (vanden be)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 8% 11.90 7.19  
3  HUNTERTOWN 3 6 63¾ 53½   54 69¼ (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 28.07  
7  SOUTH DECATUR 7 2 53½ 63½   75¾ 79½ (galindo-torres clim)MEZA JJ 121 20.00 5% 19.00 57.67  
2  PICO D'ORO 2 7 87¼ 85¾   86¾ 811¼ (caramori ca)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50 9% 10.10 21.22  
 
KEE-2   10/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($55K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:133 1:412   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GREATDAYFORHOCKEY 3 2 68 76½ 44½ 13 15¾ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 3.00 2.50  
7  IL MARCHESSE 7 3 22 21½ 23 33½ 25¾ (ennis john)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 6.35  
1  G. ERIK 1 8 78¼ 64½ 66½ 56½ 37 (von don)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.50 11% 8.10 6.31 S
5  LUMBER LEGACY 5 5 43 42½ 33½ 44½ 48¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
2  MR LEE 2 7 89¾ 810 811 68 59¾ (humphries thomas)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 5% 19.00 26.29  
4  DEEPLY HIDDEN 4 1 12 11½ 13 23 611¾ (sweezey ken)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 63% 0.60 2.75  
8  CONSECRATED 8 4 32 31½ 56½ 711 717¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 10.06  
6  MORALLY 6 6 53½ 53 79 814 825¼ (hiles je)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 7.13  
 
KEE-3   10/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($49K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  JUST LIKE YOU 11 9 32 2nk   2nk 11¼ (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 4.00 65% 0.50 1.25 W
11  VALHALLA VIXEN 10 4 21 1nk   1nk 21¼ (robertson)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 16.77  
5  GODDESS OF WAR 5 5 63¼ 66   46 34½ (johnston la)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00 44.52  
4  THREE POLKS 4 2 11 3½   31 45 (ortiz alex)VAZQUEZ A 121 5.00 ★ 2.42  
8  SMART WITH HEART 8 7 107¾ 77   56¼ 55 (bahena ismael)MEZA JJ 118 20.00 79.48  
6  LIL TEMPTATION 6 6 74¼ 87¼   87¾ 67½ (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 113 8.00 9.00  
9  SISTER ELLA 9 1 42 44½   66¼ 710¼ (puhich mike)MOJICA JR 118 8.00 12% 7.60 7.99  
2  RIVIERE 2 8 97¼ 108¼   98¾ 811¾ (rouck l)LEZCANO ABEL 121 15.00 36.17  
7  BUSINESS AS USUAL 7 3 52¼ 55   76¾ 912¾ (shorter )SANTANA JR 118 30.00 5% 19.00 26.26  
3  ROYAL BLOOD 3 11 118¾ 118¾   1110¼ 1013 (habeeb donald )SAEZ GABRIEL 121 20.00 16.10  
1  DEVIL OF PARADIS 1 10 85¾ 97¾   109¼ 1115¾ (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 31.86  
SCR  ANTIQUE SILVER               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 3.50    
SCR  SARISSA               (sandy st)RODRIGUEZ A 121 30.00    
SCR  SOMBRA DORADA               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50    
SCR  VEGAS LOVE               (morey william )ORTIZ L 118 4.00    
 
KEE-4   10/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:222 :461 1:113     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  THE BIG CALHOUNA 4 2 1½ 1½   11½ 11 (sweezey ke)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 8.82  
6  DESPO'S DREAM 6 3 73¾ 43   34 21 (van thoma)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 1.95  
7  SCRUPULOUS 7 5 2½ 2½   21½ 34¼ (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 6% 16.50 14.89 S
1  UP ON THE EDGE 1 8 63½ 74½   44 45 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 55% 0.80 3.66  
8  ANIMAL FRIES 8 1 42 32½   56 57 (newton troy)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00 26.81  
3  PAT'SCHROMECOMPASS 3 7 52 64½   67 67½ (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 10.27  
5  SASSY WALKER 5 4 83¾ 84¾   78½ 713 (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 121 12.00 5% 19.00 7.82  
2  KRICKLE 2 6 31½ 54   89½ 816¼ (holsapple)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 8% 11.50 3.25  
 
KEE-5   10/16/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:22 :453 :58     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MOON SPUN 5 3 2½ 2nk   12½ 12 (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 42% 1.40 1.03 W
7  PENNY'S SMILE 6 1 31½ 31   22½ 22 (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 120 4.50 36% 1.80 3.53 P
5  HARBOR SPRINGS 4 2 63½ 75¾   45½ 32¾ (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 5% 19.00 15.11 S
9  LA FORET 8 11 116 119¼   77 44¾ (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 118 20.00 18.50  
11  SWEET GAL OF MINE 10 4 105½ 86¾   97¾ 56 (mccarthy micha)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 12.22  
2  MAY MAY STRONG 2 8 53 55   56 66 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 15.00 22.84  
3  ARCH STREET 3 9 95 96¾   87¼ 76¾ (matz mich)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 12.00 18.62  
1  FOOLISH 1 7 1½ 1nk   33 88½ (caramori )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 23.78  
10  BELLA HAZE 9 5 42½ 43   66 99¼ (santamaria c)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00 13.49  
12  BEETS 11 10 74½ 65¼   109¼ 109½ (mott william)TORRES A 118 8.00 ★ 13.10  
8  CABERNEIGH 7 6 85 108¼   1111¼ 1112¾ (barker scott )CANUTO THIAGO 118 30.00 61.03  
SCR  CAIRO DREAM               (block chris)COHEN DAVID 120 4.50    
SCR  HEY OLIVIA               (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
SCR  PLUM TRICKY               (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
SCR  ROYAL SLIPPER               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.00    
SCR  THE GREAT MAYBE               (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 121 8.00    
 
KEE-6   10/16/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:13 1:384   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GENEROUS TIPPER 5 2 21 21½ 51½ 62¾ 11 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.13 W
10  D'ORO UNBRIDLED 10 7 43 42½ 31 11 21 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 6.00 9.40  
4  MOONLIGHT 4 4 86½ 96¼ 73½ 42 31½ (block chris)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 5.55  
2  DJANGO 2 8 109 107¼ 105¼ 73¾ 43¼ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 5.00 17.16  
8  YELLOW BRICK 8 10 74½ 52¾ 41 21 54½ (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 45% 1.20 3.28  
1  BRIGHT LEAF 1 1 54 74¼ 95¼ 94¾ 64¾ (williams )TORRES A 122 6.00 ★ 12.21  
6  FOOTPRINT 6 9 97½ 84¾ 62½ 84¼ 76¼ (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00 9.28  
3  THINK BIG 3 3 11 11½ 1½ 32 86½ (stidham micha)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 4.17  
9  LIPS SAY BLISS 9 5 31½ 31½ 2½ 52½ 96¾ (medina robert)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.50 30% 2.30 9.11  
7  LUNA TAP 7 6 64½ 64¼ 83¾ 1010¼ 1017¼ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 38.70  
 
KEE-7   10/16/2024 7920ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:154 1:412 2:07 2:33   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GOLDENEYE 3 76½ 57½ 42½ 3½ 1½ 1½ (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 10.00 6.12  
5  SIX MINUS 5 55 67½ 67½ 54½ 44½ 2½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 2.86  
12  BETTER BET 10 1011¾ 1012½ 109¼ 107¾ 86¾ 3½ (sweezey kent)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 60% 0.70 4.69 S
10  MENDELSSOHNS MARCH 8 31½ 31½ 2½ 2nk 2½ 41½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 ★ 7.99  
11  IDRATHERBEBLESSED 9 1nk 11 1½ 1nk 3½ 52¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 4.50 16% 5.20 4.26  
9  EVENT DETAIL 7 1111¾ 1112¾ 98¾ 86¼ 56 64¼ (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 13.14  
6  CYBER NINJA 6 88 89 88½ 96¾ 97 75¼ (mott william)TORRES A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 11.86  
2  FORTUNE SELLER 2 66 78½ 77½ 65½ 66½ 87 (rice kevin)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00 23.87  
1  WIND TWIST 1 2nk 21 32 43 76¾ 97¾ (sandy st)RODRIGUEZ A 122 30.00 57.35  
4  RIGHTHERE RIGHTNOW 4 44½ 47 55 75¾ 107½ 109 (stidham micha)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 18.08  
13  GREYSTONE 11 98¼ 911 1111¼ 1113¾ 1119½ 1133 (pion sylvain)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00 16.56  
SCR  KING CURLIN               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 8.00    
SCR  THE PRINCE'S SPUR               (maker mi)SANTANA JR 122 10.00    
 
KEE-8   10/16/2024 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:142 1:401   1:541   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GOTTA HAVE DREAMS 7 6 117 127¼ 118½ 25½ 1¼ (shorter aaron)GRAHAM J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 19.31 W
9  ULTIMATE STRIKE 9 5 41½ 31½ 3.2 15½ 2¼ (santamaria car)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 18% 4.50 13.12 P
10  ROCKET NIGHT 10 8 72¾ 63 52¼ 47½ 310¼ (van berg )TORRES A 120 6.00 7.38  
11  WHISKEY OR WINE 11 9 106 96 97½ 910¼ 410¼ (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 5% 19.00 11.21  
3  REMARKABLE MO 3 10 52½ 74 85 810 511¼ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 8.00 28% 2.60 2.67 DH
5  UNCLE TUFFY 5 3 31½ 42 42¼ 37 511¼ (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 120 20.00 22.76 DH
2  INDY CHARGE 2 1 1½ 11 1nk 68½ 713¾ (medina rober)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50 9.67  
12  ACTIVE DUTY (FR) 12 7 94½ 84½ 74¾ 79½ 814 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 31% 2.20 1.74  
6  DANCING NOAH 6 4 2½ 21 2nk 58½ 915 (taylor brent)BEJARANO R 120 30.00 69.89  
8  KALAHARI KING 8 12 127½ 117¼ 108 1015¼ 1024½ (sims phil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00 31.73  
4  SCUBA 4 11 62¾ 53 62¾ 1116¾ 1131¼ (green troy)TORRES A 124 20.00 25.72  
1  COMMANDER'S COIN 1 2 84¼ 106¼ 129 1218¾ 1231½ (douglass devarus)RIQUELME J 120 30.00 62.32  
SCR  VINCITA               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.