Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Wednesday - October 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (6/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $27.82  
KEE-2   Win (4/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $7.00  
KEE-3   Win (12/9/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 12 1 1 $4.50 $4.50  
KEE-4   Win (1/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $19.64  
KEE-5   Win (6/7/11/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $4.06 $4.06  
KEE-6   Win (8/9/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $12.26 $12.26 4.26
KEE-7   Win (12/11/13/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $14.24  
KEE-8   Win (12/3/9/11/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $40.62 $40.62 30.62

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:223 :461 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPREMELY 4 5 4 31   1nk 1 (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 121 15.00 12.91  
ARTHUR 8 1 2nk 1½   2nk 2 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 10.00 8.63  
HOPPIN JOHN 1 8 7 7   6 3 (campbell joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 17.96  
GOOD LIKE MAGIC 6 4 1nk 2½   3 4 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.00 57% 0.80 0.34  
STINGY 5 3 31 42   4 58 (vanden berg)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 8% 11.90 7.19  
HUNTERTOWN 3 6 6 5   54 6 (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 28.07  
SOUTH DECATUR 7 2 5 6   7 7 (galindo-torres climac)MEZA JJ 121 20.00 5% 19.00 57.67  
PICO D'ORO 2 7 8 8   8 811¼ (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50 9% 10.10 21.22  
 
KEE-2   10/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($55K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:133 1:412   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREATDAYFORHOCKEY 3 2 68 7 4 13 1 (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 3.00 2.50  
IL MARCHESSE 7 3 22 2 23 3 2 (ennis john)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 6.35  
G. ERIK 1 8 7 6 6 5 37 (von donni)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.50 11% 8.10 6.31 S
LUMBER LEGACY 5 5 43 4 3 4 4 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
MR LEE 2 7 8 810 811 68 5 (humphries thomas)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 5% 19.00 26.29  
DEEPLY HIDDEN 4 1 12 1 13 23 611¾ (sweezey kent)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 63% 0.60 2.75  
CONSECRATED 8 4 32 3 5 711 717¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 10.06  
MORALLY 6 6 5 53 79 814 825¼ (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 7.13  
 
KEE-3   10/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($49K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  JUST LIKE YOU 11 9 32 2nk   2nk 1 (gorostieta ciri)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 4.00 65% 0.50 1.25 W
11  VALHALLA VIXEN 10 4 21 1nk   1nk 2 (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 16.77  
GODDESS OF WAR 5 5 6 66   46 3 (johnston lane)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00 44.52  
THREE POLKS 4 2 11 3½   31 45 (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 121 5.00 2.42  
SMART WITH HEART 8 7 10 77   5 55 (bahena ismael)MEZA JJ 118 20.00 79.48  
LIL TEMPTATION 6 6 7 8   8 6 (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 113 8.00 9.00  
SISTER ELLA 9 1 42 4   6 710¼ (puhich mike)MOJICA JR 118 8.00 12% 7.60 7.99  
RIVIERE 2 8 9 10   9 811¾ (rouck l)LEZCANO ABEL 121 15.00 36.17  
BUSINESS AS USUAL 7 3 5 55   7 912¾ (shorter aa)SANTANA JR 118 30.00 5% 19.00 26.26  
ROYAL BLOOD 3 11 11 11   1110¼ 1013 (habeeb j)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 20.00 16.10  
DEVIL OF PARADIS 1 10 8 9   10 1115¾ (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 31.86  
SCR  ANTIQUE SILVER               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 3.50    
SCR  SARISSA               (sandy step)RODRIGUEZ A 121 30.00    
SCR  SOMBRA DORADA               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50    
SCR  VEGAS LOVE               (morey e)ORTIZ L 118 4.00    
 
KEE-4   10/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:222 :461 1:113     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE BIG CALHOUNA 4 2 1½ 1½   1 11 (sweezey kent)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 8.82  
DESPO'S DREAM 6 3 7 43   34 21 (van thomas)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 1.95  
SCRUPULOUS 7 5 2½ 2½   2 3 (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 6% 16.50 14.89 S
UP ON THE EDGE 1 8 6 7   44 45 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 55% 0.80 3.66  
ANIMAL FRIES 8 1 42 3   56 57 (newton troy)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00 26.81  
PAT'SCHROMECOMPASS 3 7 52 6   67 6 (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 10.27  
SASSY WALKER 5 4 8 8   7 713 (esquivel jes)CORRALES GERARDO 121 12.00 5% 19.00 7.82  
KRICKLE 2 6 3 54   8 816¼ (holsapple h)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 8% 11.50 3.25  
 
KEE-5   10/16/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:22 :453 :58     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOON SPUN 5 3 2½ 2nk   1 12 (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 42% 1.40 1.03 W
PENNY'S SMILE 6 1 3 31   2 22 (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 120 4.50 36% 1.80 3.53 P
HARBOR SPRINGS 4 2 6 7   4 3 (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 5% 19.00 15.11 S
LA FORET 8 11 116 11   77 4 (catalano m)LANERIE J 118 20.00 18.50  
11  SWEET GAL OF MINE 10 4 10 8   9 56 (mccarthy michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 12.22  
MAY MAY STRONG 2 8 53 55   56 66 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 15.00 22.84  
ARCH STREET 3 9 95 9   8 7 (matz michae)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 12.00 18.62  
FOOLISH 1 7 1½ 1nk   33 8 (caramori ca)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 23.78  
10  BELLA HAZE 9 5 4 43   66 9 (santamaria car)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00 13.49  
12  BEETS 11 10 7 6   10 10 (mott i)TORRES A 118 8.00 13.10  
CABERNEIGH 7 6 85 10   1111¼ 1112¾ (barker w)CANUTO THIAGO 118 30.00 61.03  
SCR  CAIRO DREAM               (block chris)COHEN DAVID 120 4.50    
SCR  HEY OLIVIA               (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
SCR  PLUM TRICKY               (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
SCR  ROYAL SLIPPER               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.00    
SCR  THE GREAT MAYBE               (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 121 8.00    
 
KEE-6   10/16/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:13 1:384   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENEROUS TIPPER 5 2 21 2 5 6 11 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.13 W
10  D'ORO UNBRIDLED 10 7 43 4 31 11 21 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 6.00 9.40  
MOONLIGHT 4 4 8 9 7 42 3 (block chris)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 5.55  
DJANGO 2 8 109 10 10 7 4 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 5.00 17.16  
YELLOW BRICK 8 10 7 5 41 21 5 (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 45% 1.20 3.28  
BRIGHT LEAF 1 1 54 7 9 9 6 (williams se)TORRES A 122 6.00 12.21  
FOOTPRINT 6 9 9 8 6 8 7 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00 9.28  
THINK BIG 3 3 11 1 1½ 32 8 (stidham michael)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 4.17  
LIPS SAY BLISS 9 5 3 3 2½ 5 9 (medina robert)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.50 30% 2.30 9.11  
LUNA TAP 7 6 6 6 8 1010¼ 1017¼ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 38.70  
 
KEE-7   10/16/2024 7920ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:154 1:412 2:07 2:33   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDENEYE 3 7 5 4 3½ 1½ 1½ (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 10.00 6.12  
SIX MINUS 5 55 6 6 5 4 2½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 2.86  
12  BETTER BET 10 1011¾ 1012½ 10 10 8 3½ (sweezey kent)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 60% 0.70 4.69 S
10  MENDELSSOHNS MARCH 8 3 3 2½ 2nk 2½ 4 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 7.99  
11  IDRATHERBEBLESSED 9 1nk 11 1½ 1nk 3½ 5 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 4.50 16% 5.20 4.26  
EVENT DETAIL 7 1111¾ 1112¾ 9 8 56 6 (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 13.14  
CYBER NINJA 6 88 89 8 9 97 7 (mott i)TORRES A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 11.86  
FORTUNE SELLER 2 66 7 7 6 6 87 (rice kevin)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00 23.87  
WIND TWIST 1 2nk 21 32 43 7 9 (sandy step)RODRIGUEZ A 122 30.00 57.35  
RIGHTHERE RIGHTNOW 4 4 47 55 7 10 109 (stidham michael)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 18.08  
13  GREYSTONE 11 9 911 1111¼ 1113¾ 1119½ 1133 (pion sylvain)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00 16.56  
SCR  KING CURLIN               (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 8.00    
SCR  THE PRINCE'S SPUR               (maker mich)SANTANA JR 122 10.00    
 
KEE-8   10/16/2024 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:142 1:401   1:541   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOTTA HAVE DREAMS 7 6 117 12 11 2 1¼ (shorter aaron)GRAHAM J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 19.31 W
ULTIMATE STRIKE 9 5 4 3 3.2 1 2¼ (santamaria carlo)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 18% 4.50 13.12 P
10  ROCKET NIGHT 10 8 7 63 5 4 310¼ (van th)TORRES A 120 6.00 7.38  
11  WHISKEY OR WINE 11 9 106 96 9 910¼ 410¼ (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 5% 19.00 11.21  
REMARKABLE MO 3 10 5 74 85 810 511¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 8.00 28% 2.60 2.67 DH
UNCLE TUFFY 5 3 3 42 4 37 511¼ (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 120 20.00 22.76 DH
INDY CHARGE 2 1 1½ 11 1nk 6 713¾ (medina robert)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50 9.67  
12  ACTIVE DUTY (FR) 12 7 9 8 7 7 814 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 31% 2.20 1.74  
DANCING NOAH 6 4 2½ 21 2nk 5 915 (taylor brent)BEJARANO R 120 30.00 69.89  
KALAHARI KING 8 12 12 11 108 1015¼ 1024½ (sims philip)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00 31.73  
SCUBA 4 11 6 53 6 1116¾ 1131¼ (green troy)TORRES A 124 20.00 25.72  
COMMANDER'S COIN 1 2 8 10 129 1218¾ 1231½ (douglass devarus)RIQUELME J 120 30.00 62.32  
SCR  VINCITA               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.