Handicappers' Race Results
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Keeneland
Saturday - October 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (9/4/1/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $6.30 $6.30  
KEE-2   Win (9/1/5/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
KEE-3   Win (4/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $7.46 $7.46  
KEE-4   Win (7/4/9/1/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $6.74 $6.74  
KEE-5   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.14 $6.14 0.14
KEE-6   Win (10/8/6/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $13.66 $13.66 3.66
KEE-7   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $9.46  
KEE-8   Win (11/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $8.84 $8.84 0.84
KEE-9   Win (1/5/7/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $7.56 $7.56  
KEE-10   Win (9/1/2/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $4.14 $4.14  
KEE-11   Win (5/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $6.62 $6.62  
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($55K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:22 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ONE TRUE SHANCE 4 6 32 31½   12 11¾ (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.00 28% 2.60 2.15 W
9  J DAVID 8 1 43 66½   22 21¾ (drury j)MONCADA IRVING 112 2.50 34% 1.90 2.88 P
7  GALLO DE FUEGO 6 8 87¾ 56   54 36 (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 4.50 5% 18.50 7.72 S
1  COLONEL YORKE 1 5 2nk 2nk   42½ 46½ (calhoun willia)TORRES A 119 4.00 12% 7.20 3.31  
2  ALTOBELLI 2 4 1nk 1nk   32½ 57½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 11.24  
5  HOTLINE BLINK 5 3 65½ 43   68 610¾ (chavez manuel)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00 25.85  
3  CAVANAL 3 7 55 77½   810 710¾ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 27.54  
8  HANK HILL 7 2 77½ 89½   79½ 811¼ (brennan ter)TORRES A 119 8.00 7.65  
SCR  PRAY FOR THE BEAR               (bahena ismael)NAVAS YOEL 119 20.00    
 
KEE-2   10/05/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:234 :491 1:141 1:254   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STATES' RIGHTS 1 5 52½ 63 53 21½ 11¼ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 25% 3.00 1.20 W
4  BATTLE DRUM (FR) 4 6 21 21 2nk 11½ 21¼ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 6.75  
2  ANEGADA 2 2 31 31 31½ 31½ 33½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 38.38  
9  DREAM SCHEME 9 4 74¼ 84¼ 74½ 65½ 45¾ (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.00 45% 1.20 7.73  
5  CULTURE WAR 5 3 42 52½ 64 76 57 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 5% 19.00 5.33  
3  AUTHENTIC GALLOP 3 1 11 11 1nk 43½ 68 (amoss thoma)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 4.50 5% 19.00 4.51  
11  DOM TRACES 11 9 62¾ 42 42 55 78½ (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 119 8.00 29.06  
14  VIKING SUN 12 12 116 105¼ 106¼ 98 88½ (sweezey kent)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 20.00 46.08  
7  TURNBUCKLE 7 11 126 115¾ 117¼ 119¼ 910 (hancock dana)SANJUR SANTO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 24.12  
6  CRYSTAL HILL 6 10 84¼ 95¼ 84¾ 87 1011 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 119 20.00 69.31  
10  RAG TREE 10 7 94½ 74 95¾ 109 1112¼ (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 81.97  
8  NO REMATCH 8 8 104½ 127¼ 1215¼ 1221¼ 1236¾ (nihei michel)CORRALES GERARDO 119 50.00 ######  
SCR  HONOR POINT               (lynch a)MONCADA IRVING 112 10.00    
SCR  MARY'S LAD (IRE)               (beckman whit)TORRES A 119 30.00    
SCR  MY FATHER'S PLACE               (arnold george )GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00    
SCR  SAND CAST               (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
 
KEE-3   10/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:221 :453 1:101     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  IMPULSE BUY 3 3 12 11½   16 111 (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 34% 1.90 2.73 W
8  QUANTUM BURST 7 1 22 21½   26 211 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00 15.82 P
7  BEE BLUFF 6 4 43½ 43   37 312¾ (schultz lindsa)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 10.00 15% 5.90 8.47 S
5  COMPLEX SECRET 4 2 32½ 32½   57½ 413¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 28% 2.60 2.04  
2  PLANILOQUENT 2 6 56 53½   47½ 513¾ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 11.78  
1  BURIANA 1 7 79½ 77½   610½ 618½ (lukas wayne)TORRES A 119 8.00 18.68  
6  LIBERATION DAY 5 5 66½ 65   713 723¼ (oliver victor)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00 34.03  
9  ILLUMINATRICE 8 8 812 811½   815 823½ (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 2.68  
SCR  BIG AIR               (maker micha)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 15.00    
 
KEE-4   10/05/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:222 :461 1:112 1:361   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  REBEL RED (GB) 7 10 108¾ 108¼ 125¾ 82¾ 12¾ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 46% 1.20 2.37 W
12  CLYDE'S GOT A GUN 11 11 1110¼ 119¼ 94½ 93¼ 22¾ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 14.34  
11  COWBOY JUSTICE (GB) 10 7 95¾ 95¾ 104¾ 31 33 (murphy conor)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 20.00 79.07  
1  FREEDOM TRAIL 1 5 73¾ 74¼ 73½ 51½ 43¼ (terranova jo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 5% 17.70 7.47  
4  BEUYS (IRE) 4 4 62¾ 63¼ 42½ 1½ 53¾ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 14% 6.00 4.64  
6  DEGREE OF RISK 6 3 52¾ 53 53 41 63¾ (ramsey nolan)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 3.06  
8  BAKWENA 8 12 1213¼ 129½ 115¼ 104¾ 75½ (miller darr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 15.00 44.66  
5  VILLAIN 5 2 2½ 41½ 31½ 61¾ 86½ (schultz lindsa)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 15.00 16.55  
9  LIAR'S POKER 9 6 3½ 21 21 2½ 97 (londono geneviev)ROCCO S 124 10.00 13% 6.60 21.03  
3  LINCOLN HIGHWAY 3 9 84¼ 84¼ 84 115¼ 1010 (oliver victor)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 30.00 54.33  
2  BERRETTINI 2 1 1½ 11 11 72¼ 1111 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 124 20.00 31.59  
13  BENCH 12 8 4¾ 31½ 63 1223¼ 1245¼ (vaccarezza carl)VELAZQUEZ R 122 20.00 5% 19.00 8.78  
SCR  BIG HAT WILLIE               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 12.00    
SCR  DESERT DUKE               (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 6.00    
 
KEE-5   10/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:214 :442 :564     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MACHO MUSIC 3 2 13 15   16 14½ (crichton rohan)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 51% 0.90 2.07 W
6  HEDGE 4 5 59½ 512½   510 24½ (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 26.31  
2  EIGHTY WEST 1 3 33 25   26 37¼ (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 21% 3.80 1.82 S
7  KIRIN 5 4 23 35½   38 47¾ (d'angelo jose )GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.00 ★ 2.15  
9  ACE IT 6 1 44½ 47   49½ 59½ (chapman james )TORRES A 122 6.00 13.22  
3  JACKSON'S ROAR 2 6 611 612½   612 610¼ (hiles a)LANERIE J 122 8.00 10.35  
SCR  CHARBONNAY               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00    
SCR  MO HAIR SAM               (hancock joh)TORRES A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SEXAGENARIAN               (maker mich)SANTANA JR 122 3.50    
 
KEE-6   10/05/2024 3630ft TURF RC13 FIRM Woodford Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:212 :44 :56     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  OUR SHOT 3 5 63 52¾   42½ 11¾ (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 5% 18.60 5.83 W
3  CHARCOAL 2 6 94¼ 84¼   52¾ 21¾ (wisner tracey)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 30.00 29.73  
10  ARZAK 9 11 74 73¼   74¼ 32 (trombetta mich)TORRES A 125 6.00 32% 2.10 4.82 S
9  COPPOLA 8 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 42 (romans dale)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 20.00 5% 19.00 21.50  
1  ONE TIMER 1 10 129¾ 1210¼   117¾ 52¼ (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 121 15.00 5.03 DH
6  NOBALS 5 7 31½ 41¼   32 52¼ (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.50 18% 4.70 3.55 DH
12  XY SPEED 11 1 52½ 62¾   63¼ 72¾ (lerman mich)TORRES A 121 12.00 25.88  
8  SOUPER QUEST 7 4 1nk 1nk   2nk 83¼ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 22% 3.60 4.41  
7  LET MY PEOPLE GO 6 9 106¼ 116¾   94¾ 94¼ (oliver victoria)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00 66.90  
5  NO NAY HUDSON (IRE) 4 3 84¼ 95¼   105¼ 104¾ (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 5.00 ★ 7.09  
15  FOXTROTANNA 12 8 42 31   84¾ 117¾ (wojczynski justi)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 30.00 98.18  
11  GEAR JOCKEY 10 12 117¼ 105¾   128 129½ (arnold george )GEROUX FLORENT 121 20.00 23.84  
SCR  AXTHELM               (joseph a)SMITH E 121 15.00    
SCR  DETERMINED KINGDOM               (schoenthal )CARRASCO R 121 20.00    
SCR  HEDWIG               (harty eoin)VELAZQUEZ R 118 30.00    
 
KEE-7   10/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC13 FAST Thoroughbred Club Purse ($350K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:213 :443 :564     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ZEITLOS 5 6 65½ 32   3.2 12¾ (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 120 4.00 3.73  
4  SPIRIT WIND 3 5 21 2½   1nk 22¾ (joseph a)SMITH E 122 3.50 3.21  
3  BRIGHTWORK 2 3 32 42   42¾ 35¼ (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 31% 2.30 1.91 S
1  CLEARLY UNHINGED 1 1 11 1½   2nk 46¾ (asmussen st)TORRES A 122 3.00 34% 2.00 4.41  
5  RUN FOR THE HILLS 4 4 44 64½   65¾ 512¼ (casse mark)SANTANA JR 120 20.00 10% 8.70 28.96  
7  RED CARPET READY 6 2 54½ 52½   54¼ 613¼ (arnold georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 4.54  
SCR  ANYWHO               (sadler w)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00    
 
KEE-8   10/05/2024 5280ft TURF RC14 FIRM First Lady Purse ($750K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:094 1:213   1:334   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GINA ROMANTICA 4 1 32 32½ 22 1nk 12 (brown c)ORTIZ L 125 3.00 29% 2.40 3.42 W
8  CHILI FLAG (FR) 8 9 119 118 85¼ 52¾ 22 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 6.00 7% 13.40 4.90 P
1  FLUFFY SOCKS 1 4 97 95 53¼ 42¼ 34 (brown chad )DETTORI LANFRANCO 125 20.00 17.67  
10  AG BULLET 10 2 11½ 11½ 12 2nk 44¼ (baltas richard)SMITH E 125 6.00 ★ 2.98  
6  EVVIE JETS 6 6 53½ 63½ 73¾ 63¼ 54¼ (kantarmaci mer)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 20.00 27.42  
2  TARAWA (IRE) 2 11 107 105½ 118 96¾ 65 (weld dermot)HAYES CHRISTOPHER 125 4.50 ★ 7.57  
7  SPECIAL WAN (IRE) 7 7 43 42½ 42¼ 32 75½ (walsh p)VELAZQUEZ R 125 20.00 16.71  
5  WALKATHON 5 3 64 53 63¾ 74¾ 86¾ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 125 10.00 5% 19.00 6.11  
11  WHITEBEAM (GB) 11 8 21½ 21½ 32 84¾ 97½ (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 125 3.50 40% 1.50 8.64  
9  IMPLICATED 9 10 85½ 84½ 107¾ 118½ 108½ (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 125 20.00 45.70  
3  SAFEEN 3 5 75 74 96¼ 107 1111 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 125 30.00 57.78  
 
KEE-9   10/05/2024 5610ft DIRT RC14 FAST Claiborne Breeders' Futurity Purse ($600K) 2 ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:111 1:363   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  EAST AVENUE 5 1 11 11 12 14½ 15¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 24% 3.20 2.78 W
1  FEROCIOUS (BRZ) 1 2 32 42½ 32½ 24½ 25¼ (delgado gustavo)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.60 28% 2.50 1.07 P
6  FILOSO 6 7 1010 1011 911 610½ 39½ (summers chad)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00 29.88  
10  DAPPER MOON 10 5 21 21 22 36½ 410½ (stewart da)SANTANA JR 122 4.50 ★ 14.10  
7  MESERO 7 9 86 75½ 66½ 49 511¾ (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 15.00 21% 3.70 45.10  
9  TENACIOUS LEADER 9 8 96½ 96½ 87½ 811 613½ (pletcher todd )GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00 8.02  
8  BIG BOAT 8 10 64 65 76½ 710½ 714½ (divito jame)TORRES A 122 20.00 5% 19.00 29.98  
4  HANDSOME PANTS 4 3 52½ 54 43½ 59½ 816 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 7.70  
2  SARATOGA CRUISER 2 11 1110½ 1111½ 1014 916 922½ (engler jeff)PARKER L 122 50.00 ######  
11  READY FOR PEACE 11 6 42 32 56 1020 1036 (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 122 30.00 5% 19.00 61.70  
3  OPTICAL 3 4 75 86½ 1149 11100 11100 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 30.00 24.05  
 
KEE-10   10/05/2024 5280ft TURF RC14 FIRM Coolmore Turf Mile Purse ($1250K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:11 1:222   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CARL SPACKLER (IRE) 9 5 1½ 1½ 11½ 12½ 11 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 2.00 29% 2.50 1.07 W
3  MORE THAN LOOKS 3 9 96 97¼ 85¾ 75¼ 21 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 126 3.00 3.79  
1  MOUNTAIN BEAR (IRE) 1 7 84 54 53¾ 53¾ 32¼ (o'brien aid)HAYES CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00 16% 5.10 9.70 S
4  RUNNING BEE 4 1 42 42½ 21½ 32½ 42½ (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 126 12.00 5% 19.00 17.78  
8  SPIRIT OF ST LOUIS 8 6 31½ 32½ 31½ 22½ 52½ (brown c)SAEZ LUIS 126 15.00 9% 9.80 10.14  
2  KIKKULI (GB) 2 8 74 85¾ 63¾ 64¼ 64 (charlton ha)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 4.00 14% 6.40 7.35  
7  CASH EQUITY (FR) 7 4 63 75¾ 96¼ 87¼ 74¾ (joseph a)SMITH E 126 15.00 31.45  
6  TALK OF THE NATION 6 2 2½ 2½ 41¾ 42¾ 87¼ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 126 8.00 9.38  
5  NOISES OFF 5 3 52½ 64¼ 75¼ 98¾ 910¾ (lobo paulo )TORRES A 126 20.00 62.62  
 
KEE-11   10/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:222 :46 1:102     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  EGLISE 5 1 1nk 1½   1nk 11 (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 121 1.60 46% 1.20 2.31 W
9  TOP GUN ROCKET 9 4 62¼ 42   33 21 (mott riley)TORRES A 121 6.00 12.95  
8  TOUR PLAYER 8 5 3.2 2½   2nk 31¾ (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 121 12.00 5.37  
6  BIG SALT LICK 6 2 52¼ 63¼   45 44 (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 124 30.00 29.33  
2  NYQUIST FREQUENCY 2 6 72¾ 74¼   68½ 511 (blair jorda)TORRES A 121 15.00 5% 19.00 9.05  
1  JUNGLE LAW 1 9 83 94¾   78¾ 612¼ (walden william)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 21% 3.70 4.93  
3  VDAYTOTHETENACIOUS 3 7 41¾ 52¼   56½ 712½ (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 8.00 32.91  
4  ARMY HERO 4 8 93½ 84¾   812¾ 817¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 5.00 ★ 5.29  
7  IT'S MY LIFE 7 3 2nk 32   912¾ 933¼ (arnold georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 10% 9.10 4.84  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.