Handicappers' Racing Form
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Keeneland
Saturday - October 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (9/4/1/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-2   Win (9/1/5/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-3   Win (4/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-4   Win (7/4/9/1/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-5   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-6   Win (10/8/6/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-7   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-8   Win (11/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-9   Win (1/5/7/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-10   Win (9/1/2/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-11   Win (5/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
KEE-1   10/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($55K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLONEL YORKE Sep12 Aug03 Jul07 Jun08   (calhoun willia)TORRES A 119 4.00 12% 7.20    
2  ALTOBELLI Jun27         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00    
3  CAVANAL Sep04         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
4  ONE TRUE SHANCE         (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
5  HOTLINE BLINK Sep08 Aug24       (chavez manuel)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  PRAY FOR THE BEAR Sep18         (bahena ismael)NAVAS YOEL 119 20.00    
7  GALLO DE FUEGO Sep05 Aug05 Jul14     (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 4.50 5% 18.50    
8  HANK HILL Sep12 Aug17 Jul22     (brennan ter)TORRES A 119 8.00    
9  J DAVID         (drury j)MONCADA IRVING 112 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
KEE-2   10/05/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STATES' RIGHTS Jul27 Jun20       (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
2  ANEGADA Sep05 Aug10       (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
3  AUTHENTIC GALLOP Aug31 Jul20       (amoss thoma)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  BATTLE DRUM (FR) Aug31         (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00    
5  CULTURE WAR Sep01         (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  CRYSTAL HILL Sep08 Aug18 Aug03     (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
7  TURNBUCKLE Sep08 Aug19 Aug05 Jul20 Jun19 (hancock dana)SANJUR SANTO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  NO REMATCH Sep11 Aug01       (nihei michel)CORRALES GERARDO 119 50.00    
9  DREAM SCHEME Sep06         (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.00 45% 1.20    
10  RAG TREE Sep05 Aug10 Jul07 Jun17 May26 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
11  DOM TRACES Sep08         (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
SCR  MARY'S LAD (IRE)         (beckman whit)TORRES A 119 30.00    
SCR  HONOR POINT         (lynch a)MONCADA IRVING 112 10.00    
14  VIKING SUN         (sweezey k)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 20.00    
SCR  MY FATHER'S PLACE         (arnold george )GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00    
SCR  SAND CAST Sep05 Aug11 Jun22     (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
 
KEE-3   10/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BURIANA Aug18 Jul28 Jun26     (lukas wayne)TORRES A 119 8.00    
2  PLANILOQUENT         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 4.50    
SCR  BIG AIR Sep08 Jul22       (maker micha)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 15.00    
4  IMPULSE BUY Aug11         (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 34% 1.90    
5  COMPLEX SECRET Sep13 Aug23       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
6  LIBERATION DAY         (oliver victor)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00    
7  BEE BLUFF Aug23 Jul27       (schultz lindsa)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 10.00 15% 5.90    
8  QUANTUM BURST         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  ILLUMINATRICE         (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
 
KEE-4   10/05/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREEDOM TRAIL Aug17 Nov18 Sep21 Jul15 Jun03 (terranova jo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 5% 17.70    
2  BERRETTINI Aug18 Jun20 May12 Aug04 Jun22 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 124 20.00    
3  LINCOLN HIGHWAY Sep05 Jul29 Jun22 May18 Apr10 (oliver victor)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 30.00    
4  BEUYS (IRE) Sep01 Jul13 Jun16 May31 May02 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 14% 6.00    
5  VILLAIN Aug30 Aug11 Jul08 Jun02 Apr14 (schultz lindsa)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 15.00    
6  DEGREE OF RISK Sep05 Jun20 May23 Mar23 Aug03 (ramsey nolan)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00    
7  REBEL RED (GB) Sep01 Jul13 Jun16 Apr24   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
8  BAKWENA Aug29 Jun22 May31 Apr23 Mar11 (miller darr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 15.00    
9  LIAR'S POKER Aug30 Jul21 Jun30 May09 Nov26 (londono geneviev)ROCCO S 124 10.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  DESERT DUKE Sep07 Jul29 Jul06 May31 Dec30 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 6.00    
11  COWBOY JUSTICE (GB) Sep12 Aug22 Jun11 May21 May01 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 122 20.00    
12  CLYDE'S GOT A GUN Sep05 Aug04 Jun22 May31 May18 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00    
13  BENCH Aug18 Jun13 Mar09 Feb03   (vaccarezza carl)VELAZQUEZ R 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BIG HAT WILLIE Aug23 Aug03 Jul05 May19 Apr27 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 12.00    
 
KEE-5   10/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO HAIR SAM Aug29 Jul22 Jun30 Jun13 May09 (hancock joh)TORRES A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  EIGHTY WEST Aug08 Jun23       (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 21% 3.80    
3  JACKSON'S ROAR Aug29 Aug03       (hiles a)LANERIE J 122 8.00    
4  MACHO MUSIC Aug31 Aug10       (crichton rohan)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 51% 0.90    
SCR  SEXAGENARIAN Aug29 Aug05       (maker mich)SANTANA JR 122 3.50    
6  HEDGE Aug05 Jun13       (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
7  KIRIN Sep08 Aug03 May31     (d'angelo jose )GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  CHARBONNAY Aug11 Jun17 May24     (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00    
9  ACE IT Sep11 Aug30 Aug10 Jun08 May19 (chapman james )TORRES A 122 6.00    
 
KEE-6   10/05/2024 3630ft TURF RC13 FIRM Woodford Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE TIMER Sep07 Aug31 Jul28 Sep09 Aug06 (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 121 15.00    
SCR  AXTHELM Sep07 Sep01 Jun16 May04 Apr19 (joseph a)SMITH E 121 15.00    
3  CHARCOAL Sep07 Aug04 Jul05 Jun08 May06 (wisner tracey)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 30.00    
4  OUR SHOT Sep02 Jul28 Jun16 May04 Apr06 (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 5% 18.60    
5  NO NAY HUDSON (IRE) Aug31 Jul28 Dec01 Oct08 Aug13 (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 5.00 ★    
6  NOBALS Sep07 Jul28 Nov04 Sep09 Aug05 (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.50 18% 4.70    
7  LET MY PEOPLE GO Aug31 Jul20 Jul01 Jun14 Apr19 (oliver victoria)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00    
8  SOUPER QUEST Sep02 Jul28 Jun16 Apr27 Oct08 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
9  COPPOLA Sep07 Aug04 Jul05 Jun08 May04 (romans dale)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  ARZAK Sep02 Jul20 Jun08 Apr06 Nov04 (trombetta mich)TORRES A 125 6.00 32% 2.10    
11  GEAR JOCKEY Sep07 Nov04 Sep09 Jul22 Nov25 (arnold george )GEROUX FLORENT 121 20.00    
12  XY SPEED Aug17 May25 Apr27 Mar29 Mar01 (lerman mich)TORRES A 121 12.00    
SCR  DETERMINED KINGDOM Aug31 Aug11 Jul20 Jun28 Sep23 (schoenthal )CARRASCO R 121 20.00    
SCR  HEDWIG Sep07 Aug11 Feb17 Nov11 Sep13 (harty eoin)VELAZQUEZ R 118 30.00    
15  FOXTROTANNA Sep05 Aug11 Jul20 Jun11 Jan12 (wojczynski justi)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 30.00    
 
KEE-7   10/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC13 FAST Thoroughbred Club Purse ($350K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLEARLY UNHINGED Aug23 Jul24 May27 Apr30 Dec26 (asmussen st)TORRES A 122 3.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  ANYWHO Aug25 Jul06 Jun02 May17 Sep02 (sadler w)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00    
3  BRIGHTWORK Aug31 Nov03 Oct06 Sep03 Aug06 (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 31% 2.30    
4  SPIRIT WIND Aug23 Jul24 May27 May04 Mar09 (joseph a)SMITH E 122 3.50    
5  RUN FOR THE HILLS Sep14 Jul25 Jul11 Jun07 May03 (casse mark)SANTANA JR 120 20.00 10% 8.70    
6  ZEITLOS Sep14 Jul25 May24 Apr27 Mar30 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
7  RED CARPET READY Aug31 Aug03 May04 Apr06 Mar09 (arnold georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
 
KEE-8   10/05/2024 5280ft TURF RC14 FIRM First Lady Purse ($750K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLUFFY SOCKS Aug31 Jul13 May18 Apr13 Mar09 (brown chad )DETTORI LANFRANCO 125 20.00    
2  TARAWA         (weld dermot)HAYES CHRISTOPHER 125 4.50 ★    
3  SAFEEN Sep05 Aug04 Jun29 Jun02 Apr20 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 125 30.00    
4  GINA ROMANTICA Aug22 Jul13 Jun07 Apr13 Nov04 (brown c)ORTIZ L 125 3.00 29% 2.40    
5  WALKATHON Aug31 Aug04 Jun30 May04 Apr13 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  EVVIE JETS Aug31 Jul13 Jun07 May04 Oct07 (kantarmaci mer)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 20.00    
7  SPECIAL WAN (IRE) Sep07         (walsh p)VELAZQUEZ R 125 20.00    
8  CHILI FLAG (FR) Jul13 Jun07 May04 Mar02 Jan27 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 6.00 7% 13.40    
9  IMPLICATED Aug31 Jun29 May12 Feb03 Dec23 (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 125 20.00    
10  AG BULLET Aug31 Jul21 May04 Apr06 Feb25 (baltas richar)RISPOLI UMBERTO 125 6.00 ★    
11  WHITEBEAM (GB) Jul13 Jun07 May11 Dec03 Oct07 (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 125 3.50 40% 1.50    
 
KEE-9   10/05/2024 5610ft DIRT RC14 FAST Claiborne Breeders' Futurity Purse ($600K) 2 ALL PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEROCIOUS (BRZ) Sep02 Aug03       (delgado gustavo)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.60 28% 2.50    
2  SARATOGA CRUISER Aug20         (engler jeff)PARKER L 122 50.00    
3  OPTICAL Sep18 Sep05 Aug19 Jun22   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 30.00    
4  HANDSOME PANTS Sep14         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00    
5  EAST AVENUE Aug24         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
6  FILOSO Aug29 Jul20       (summers chad)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00    
7  MESERO Sep14 Jul29       (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 15.00 21% 3.70    
8  BIG BOAT Sep12         (divito jame)TORRES A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  TENACIOUS LEADER Aug29 Aug10 Jul13     (pletcher todd )GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00    
10  DAPPER MOON Aug31 Jul20       (stewart da)SANTANA JR 122 4.50 ★    
11  READY FOR PEACE Sep08 Aug17       (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-10   10/05/2024 5280ft TURF RC14 FIRM Coolmore Turf Mile Purse ($1250K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOUNTAIN BEAR (IRE) Nov03         (o'brien aid)HAYES CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00 16% 5.10    
2  KIKKULI         (charlton ha)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 4.00 14% 6.40    
3  MORE THAN LOOKS Aug11 Nov04 Sep30 Aug11 Jul07 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 126 3.00    
4  RUNNING BEE Sep01 Jul20 Jun15 May18 Apr06 (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  NOISES OFF Sep01 Jul06 May31 Apr19 Jan05 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 126 20.00    
6  TALK OF THE NATION Sep07 Aug11 Jul13 Jun08 May02 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 126 8.00    
7  CASH EQUITY (FR) Sep07 Sep01 Jul20 Jun28 Jun06 (joseph a)SMITH E 126 15.00    
8  SPIRIT OF ST LOUIS Aug25 Jul07 Jun09 Apr20 Oct29 (brown c)SAEZ LUIS 126 15.00 9% 9.80    
9  CARL SPACKLER (IRE) Aug11 Jul13 Jun08 May02 Sep01 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 2.00 29% 2.50    
 
KEE-11   10/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUNGLE LAW Jul15         (walden william)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 21% 3.70    
2  NYQUIST FREQUENCY Nov12 Oct18 Sep17     (blair jorda)TORRES A 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  VDAYTOTHETENACIOUS         (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 8.00    
4  ARMY HERO         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 5.00 ★    
5  EGLISE Sep15 Aug18 Jul28     (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 121 1.60 46% 1.20    
6  BIG SALT LICK Aug24 Jul07 Jun09     (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 124 30.00    
7  IT'S MY LIFE Aug31 Feb10       (arnold georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 10% 9.10    
8  TOUR PLAYER May27 May04 Apr06     (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 121 12.00    
9  TOP GUN ROCKET Aug24 Jul14 May27 May04 Feb16 (mott riley)TORRES A 121 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.