Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Tuesday - October 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (3/1/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
TDN-2   Win (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
TDN-3   Win (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $35.60 $35.60 29.60
TDN-4   Win (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
TDN-5   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
TDN-6   Win (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 3.80
TDN-7   Win (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
TDN-8   Win (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   10/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:231 :47 :592     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON ON FIRE 1 7 65 23   21½ 11¾ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.50 26% 2.80 0.60 W
3  CONSIDER ME 3 1 12 13   11½ 21¾ (tumblin andrew)PAUCAR E 119 3.50 31% 2.20 3.20 P
2  THE EQUINEST 2 5 33 33½   32½ 34½ (bailey ricard)BLANCHE RISHAWN 114 15.00 47.50  
5  GRAND DEAL 4 4 44 54   46½ 46¼ (schuster robin)PEREZ A 119 4.50 11% 7.90 12.60  
7  EL BANDIDO 6 3 54½ 76½   611½ 510¾ (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 119 4.00 18.10  
8  CAPTURE MI 7 2 22 44   59 611¼ (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 8.00 5% 19.00 3.80  
6  ARMOR PIERCING 5 6 75½ 65½   712 715½ ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 6.00 33.40  
SCR  DESTINO               (morales m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 12.00    
 
TDN-2   10/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:134     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONQUEST DANCER 1 4 31 2½ 2nk 13 14 (farrior anthony)BARBARAN ERIK 115 1.80 21% 3.80 1.30 W
5  COLORMECAIRO 5 2 11 1½ 1nk 23 24 (morey e)BOWEN ROCCO 117 3.50 54% 0.90 0.80 P
3  CRY IF I WANT TO 3 5 52¼ 31½ 31½ 34½ 36¼ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 115 2.00 4.70  
2  GRAY ENOUGH 2 1 41¼ 41½ 48½ 418½ 428½ (atala jose)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00 15.70  
4  ZIPPY ZINNY 4 3 21 52 510½ 524½ 537 ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00 51.30  
SCR  MAC'S CAILIN               (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 115 10.00    
SCR  NOT TODAY               (ray )SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 12.00    
 
TDN-3   10/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:14     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LEAVENWORTH 6 4 11 11 2½ 21 11 (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00 5% 19.00 16.80 W
1  GREERS FERRY 1 3 64¼ 65¼ 43½ 11 21 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 1.60 48% 1.10 0.20 P
6  AVAILABILITY 5 5 51¼ 21 1½ 31 32¾ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 5.30  
2  A VAN ON THE RUN 2 1 41¼ 52¼ 33½ 47 46¼ (huffman candace)TOLEDO S 119 4.50 6.80  
5  LT'S JACKNTHEBOX 4 2 31 42 56½ 512 511 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 123 2.50 18.60  
3  KEEPING IT SIMPLE 3 6 21 32 66¾ 613½ 616 (romero a)JIMENEZ S 119 15.00 17% 4.80 51.60  
SCR  INTO THE BLACK               (winters michel)HALDAR J 123 15.00    
 
TDN-4   10/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  THE MIRACLE KIUT 2 1 21½ 11   15 18½ (vecc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 17% 4.80 1.10 W
3  SEEYOUINMOTOWN 3 4 33 21   25 28½ (rone mik)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 3.50  
1  SUGAR LOVES IT 1 5 55 42   37 311½ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 123 2.00 2.30  
6  SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL 6 2 11½ 31   49½ 413½ (huffman candace)BRACHO A 119 5.00 9.90  
5  BODIL 5 3 45 55   511½ 513½ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 48% 1.10 9.80  
4  LEDGENDARY KITTEN 4 6 66 66½   615½ 617¼ (urieta johanna)HALDAR J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 18.80  
 
TDN-5   10/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:004     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  THIRTY SOMETHING 3 2 1½ 11   12½ 11¾ (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 59% 0.70 1.70 W
4  SOMETHING LUCKY 4 4 42 32   33 21¾ (doering ma)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.50 1.20  
5  RALPH'S LIL' VICKY 5 1 2½ 21   22½ 33 (szczepanski emil)DIAZ I 119 1.60 11% 8.30 3.40 S
2  COWGIRLS HUMOR 2 3 31½ 54½   46 46¼ (schuster robin)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 9.30  
6  RIVERS RUN RED 6 5 53½ 43   57½ 512¼ (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 12.00 5% 19.00 12.50  
1  BLUE MOJITO 1 6 63½ 66   611½ 618¼ (crumley jevon)HALDAR J 119 15.00 45.50  
 
TDN-6   10/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:23 :47 :591     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AUTHENTIC COWTOWN 2 2 31 3½   1nk 1½ (mcdonald james)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 26% 2.90 3.90 W
5  RED CHILI PEPPER 4 1 11 1½   2nk 2½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 117 2.50 28% 2.60 3.20 P
2  MOMMA K'S BOY 1 5 52¾ 52¾   42¼ 33½ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 2.00 0.40  
6  ROLL ON BIG O 5 3 21 2½   32 45½ (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 117 6.00 15.30  
4  CLEVELAND POWER 3 4 42½ 4¾   54¼ 57½ (lopez e)TAPARA BRANDON 119 8.00 5% 19.00 22.90  
SCR  ZAKARIA               (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00    
 
TDN-7   10/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:131     1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FAT DADDY 5 5 53½ 43½ 1nk 13 12¼ (urieta johanna)HALDAR J 123 1.80 49% 1.00 2.10 W
4  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR 4 6 67½ 56½ 42 33 22¼ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 4.00 16% 5.40 2.80 P
3  OILER 3 1 1½ 11½ 2nk 23 32¼ (faulkner c)PEREZ A 123 4.50 3.10  
6  BROADWAY SKY 6 2 32 21½ 31 44 42½ (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 123 2.00 2.20  
1  VENETIAN DREAM 1 3 2½ 33 59 513 515¾ (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
2  OPEN OUT 2 4 43 66½ 613 619 631¾ (winte)GIRON ALEJANDRO 123 12.00 45.50  
 
TDN-8   10/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :453 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RED HOT LASS 2 2 21½ 1nk   1½ 15 (skerrett jeffre)BRACHO A 119 1.60 20% 3.90 1.50 W
4  MISS BETTY 3 3 31½ 2nk   2½ 25 (ramgeet tina)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 1.80 49% 1.00 1.10 P
5  SOCIALBUTTERFLYTAM 4 4 55½ 46   35½ 38¼ (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 117 3.00 2.50  
1  LADY GIULIANA 1 5 44½ 57   510½ 411¼ (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 26.50  
6  SHEISTHEHERO 5 1 11½ 33   410½ 511½ (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 18.00  
SCR  COMMAND STRIKE               (jackson james)NUNEZ Y 119 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.