Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - October 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (3/1/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/8)-(3/1/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/8)-(3/1/5/8)-(3/1/5/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/1/5/8)-(5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/8)-(5/1/4)-(1/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(1/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(1/3/7)-(5/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-3   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/3/7)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7)-(5/2/4)-(3/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-4   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(3/5/6)-(5/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(5/3/4)-(5/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(5/4/1)-(4/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   10/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON ON FIRE Sep16 Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 Jun05 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.50 26% 2.80    
2  THE EQUINEST Sep18 Aug27 Apr24 Apr09 Mar26 (bailey rica)BLANCHE RISHAWN 114 15.00    
3  CONSIDER ME Sep18 Aug19 Aug06 Mar26 Mar11 (tumblin andrew)PAUCAR E 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  DESTINO Sep18 Aug19 May21 May07 Apr29 (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 115 12.00    
5  GRAND DEAL Aug27 Aug13 Jul23 Jun27 Jun08 (schuster robin)PEREZ A 119 4.50 11% 7.90    
6  ARMOR PIERCING Sep18 Aug27 Aug07 Jul17 Jun25 (v)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 6.00    
7  EL BANDIDO Sep18 Aug27 Aug07 Jul25 Jul11 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 4.00    
8  CAPTURE MI Sep18 Sep05 Aug13 Jul23 Jun27 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-2   10/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONQUEST DANCER Aug31 Aug19 Jul21 Jun20 Apr25 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 115 1.80 21% 3.80    
2  GRAY ENOUGH Sep12 Aug15 Jul29 Jul11 Jun19 (atala jo)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00    
3  CRY IF I WANT TO Sep17 Jul29 Jul09 Jun04 May08 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 115 2.00    
4  ZIPPY ZINNY Sep12 Aug15 Jul04 Jun13 May20 (r)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  COLORMECAIRO Aug30 Aug02 Jul11 Jun08 May08 (morey e)BOWEN ROCCO 117 3.50 54% 0.90    
SCR  MAC'S CAILIN Sep02 Aug07 Jun12 May27 May08 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 115 10.00    
SCR  NOT TODAY Sep12 Aug15 Jul29 Jul11 Jun22 (ra)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 12.00    
 
TDN-3   10/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREERS FERRY Sep10 Aug28 Jul11 Jun22 Jun04 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 1.60 48% 1.10    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of DEE DEE BERTIE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
2  A VAN ON THE RUN Aug29 Jul02 May30 Mar28 Mar05 (huffman canda)TOLEDO S 119 4.50    
  (by RACE DAY out of BRIGHT REPLY by YONAGUSKA)
3  KEEPING IT SIMPLE         (romero a)JIMENEZ S 119 15.00 17% 4.80    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MISS DIVINITY by DIVINE PARK)
SCR  INTO THE BLACK Sep10 Aug15 Jul24 Jun12   (winters mich)HALDAR J 123 15.00    
  (by UPSTART out of MARCO GROOM by MARCO BAY)
5  LT'S JACKNTHEBOX Sep10 Aug27 Oct13 Sep29 Aug23 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 123 2.50    
  (by JACK MILTON out of TOMORROW'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  AVAILABILITY Sep10 Aug19 Jul06 Jun26 Jun12 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of INDIAN PRINCESS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
7  LEAVENWORTH Sep10 Aug28 Aug05 Jun19 Jun04 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of ELECTIVE by GRAND SLAM)
 
TDN-4   10/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUGAR LOVES IT Sep03 Aug12 Jul08 Jun17 Nov09 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 123 2.00    
2  THE MIRACLE KIUT Sep19 Sep04 Aug21 Aug14 Aug01 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 17% 4.80    
3  SEEYOUINMOTOWN Sep04 Aug14 Jul25 Jun24 May14 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 2.50    
4  LEDGENDARY KITTEN Sep17 Dec30 Oct06 Sep06 Jul22 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BODIL Sep04 Aug26 May18 Apr25 Mar28 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 48% 1.10    
6  SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL Sep16 Sep03 Aug14 Jul25 Jul16 (huffman canda)BRACHO A 119 5.00    
 
TDN-5   10/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE MOJITO Jul29 Jul01 May27     (crumley jevo)HALDAR J 119 15.00    
2  COWGIRLS HUMOR Sep05 Aug15 Jul29 Jul22 Jun12 (schuster robin)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50    
3  THIRTY SOMETHING Sep05 Aug15 Jul29 Jul17 Jul01 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 59% 0.70    
4  SOMETHING LUCKY Sep17 Aug26 Aug15 Aug07 Jul17 (doering )FERNANDEZ R 119 3.50    
5  RALPH'S LIL' VICKY Sep05 Aug26 Aug07 Jul17 Jul01 (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 119 1.60 11% 8.30    
6  RIVERS RUN RED Sep05 Aug26 Aug07 Nov14 Oct28 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   10/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ZAKARIA Sep12 Aug20 Jul30 Jul10 Jun17 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00    
2  MOMMA K'S BOY Sep16 Aug19 Jul31 Jul19 Jun26 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 2.00    
3  AUTHENTIC COWTOWN Sep12 Aug20 Jul30 Jul10 Jun17 (mcdonald jame)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 26% 2.90    
4  CLEVELAND POWER Sep14 Aug30 Aug09 Jul18 Jun26 (lopez e)SERPA ANGEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  RED CHILI PEPPER Sep12 Aug26 Jul31 May31 Nov15 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 117 2.50 28% 2.60    
6  ROLL ON BIG O Sep04 Aug22 Jul31 Jul15 Jun26 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 117 6.00    
 
TDN-7   10/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VENETIAN DREAM Sep16 Sep02 Aug15 Aug05 Jul22 (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  OPEN OUT Aug21 Jul29 Jul09 Jun19 May27 (win)GIRON ALEJANDRO 123 12.00    
3  OILER Sep03 Aug17 Aug05 Jul18 Jun27 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 123 4.50    
4  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Apr02 Feb20 Jan23 Dec12 Nov14 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 4.00 16% 5.40    
5  FAT DADDY Sep19 Sep10 Aug22 Aug06 Jul15 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 123 1.80 49% 1.00    
6  BROADWAY SKY Sep10 Aug20 Mar26 Feb22 Feb01 (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 123 2.00    
 
TDN-8   10/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY GIULIANA Jul04 Jun13 May20 May01 Nov16 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
2  RED HOT LASS Jul11 Jun22 Jun03 May01 Aug15 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 119 1.60 20% 3.90    
SCR  COMMAND STRIKE Aug13 Jul08 Jun11 May22 May01 (jackson jam)NUNEZ Y 119 6.00    
4  MISS BETTY Sep09 Aug19 Aug04 Jul11 Jun19 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 121 1.80 49% 1.00    
5  SOCIALBUTTERFLYTAM Aug15 Jun22 Apr22 Dec29 Oct21 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 117 3.00    
6  SHEISTHEHERO Sep09 Aug04 Jul11 May22 Apr29 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.