Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Wednesday - September 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (1/8/4/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $53.00  
TDN-2   Win (1/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
TDN-3   Win (7/2/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $13.40 $13.40 5.40
TDN-4   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
TDN-5   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $4.20  
TDN-6   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $12.40 $12.40 6.40
TDN-7   Win (1/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $13.80 $13.80 5.80
TDN-8   Win (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $16.40  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:22 :452 :59     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOORHEES 9 4 710 713   410½ 1¼ ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 6.00 25.50  
CAPTURE MI 6 3 3 3   39 2¼ (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 10.00 19.30  
CONSIDER ME 4 5 22 2   25 31 (tumblin andrew)PAUCAR E 119 5.00 16% 5.20 2.30 S
FLAWLESS CAT 1 6 12 1   15 4 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 121 3.50 33% 2.10 0.60  
ARMOR PIERCING 7 1 6 613   611½ 54 (vlaun manuel)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 30.00  
TONKAWA SPRINGS 8 2 58 511½   511½ 65 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 25% 3.10 15.20  
THE EQUINEST 5 7 47 411   711¾ 7 (baile)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 30.00 5% 19.00 ######  
EL BANDIDO 3 8 914 916½   916¼ 8 (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 119 4.50 5% 17.90 10.90  
DESTINO 2 9 812 814½   815¼ 9 (morales)TABOADA LIMBER 115 4.00 16.70  
 
TDN-2   09/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:232 :463 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMMY AND SHORTY 1 3 21 31   2nk 1nk (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 121 2.50 61% 0.60 1.90 DQ↓6
DR. ZARNETT 6 2 31 1½   1nk 2nk (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 6% 16.10 1.90 W
SWEET LEMON DROP 2 5 4 41   3.2 3 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 24.00  
STONE COLD CAT 5 6 6 6   5 4 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 123 10.00 5% 19.00 8.10 S
DASH OF FIRE 4 4 5 57   4 5 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 5.00 22.50  
NEBULOSA 7 1 11 2½   6 614½ (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 7.00  
EAGLE NEST 3 7 715½ 714¼   712¼ 719¾ (zielinski richa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50 5% 18.00 3.30  
 
TDN-3   09/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:222 :454 :59     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZ SHACKED UP 2 6 12 13   12 1nk (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 22% 3.50 5.70 W
CAUSE OF LOVE 1 7 4 35   32 2nk (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 4.50 3.80  
GAIL'S DANCER 7 1 7 5   4 3 (johnson ga)FERNANDEZ R 121 4.00 5.40  
PANAMANIAC 6 2 65 7   66 44 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 41% 1.40 0.80  
TALE OF THE LYON 3 3 22 23   22 55 (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 8% 12.20 24.50  
SWEET EMPIRE 5 4 5 47   55 6 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 13.40  
OUT FOR FUN 4 8 812 813½   710 78 (baile)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 12.00 37.10  
DOUBLE EDGED 8 5 3 6   812 820¼ (gonzalez)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 7% 13.40 20.70  
SCR  SUSHI Q               (morales m)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 15.00    
 
TDN-4   09/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:222 :464 :594     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ED'S REWARD 6 1 34 3   3 1 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 2.50 24% 3.20 2.20 W
FULL SPECTRUM 5 3 1nk 1nk   2nk 2 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 118 2.00 35% 1.90 1.20 P
FOURDATESFORHOCO 4 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 3 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 6.00 6.00  
KICKSTART 2 6 5 57   48 4 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.50 3.50  
JUDY'S COMET 1 5 6 6   510½ 516½ (zielinski richard)VIGIL NOEL 118 4.50 14.60  
TURNOFFTHENEWS 3 4 4 4   611½ 617½ (gorham m)DIAZ I 118 10.00 6% 15.30 17.20  
 
TDN-5   09/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT OF AKRON 2 5 1½ 13   1 13 (baile)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 1.80 1.10  
A PRAYER FOR KIDS 4 4 53 5   59 23 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 2.00 25% 3.00 1.80 P
AFLEET O ME 1 6 4 23   2 3 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 119 3.50 47% 1.10 3.00 S
TAMMY'S TOY 3 3 2½ 33   37 4 (brown glen)FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00 17.20  
HARSH TRUTH 6 1 6 6   4 5 ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 8.00 20.70  
LOTSA MATCHA 5 2 3 45   69 6 (gonzalez)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 20.20  
 
TDN-6   09/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:143     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMA MOM 5 5 42 32 2½ 1nk 1 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 115 8.00 8% 12.10 5.20 W
TIERNEY 6 6 21 2½ 1½ 2nk 2 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 1.80 17% 5.00 0.60 P
SPUNKY ONE 3 2 6 6 4 3 3 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 5.00 5.10  
FEELING EASY 1 4 32 42 5 47 4 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 115 2.00 50% 1.00 3.50  
MANDOLIN BREEZE 4 1 5 5 6 611 512½ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.50 13.30  
HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ 2 3 11 1½ 33 5 613¼ (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 51.40  
 
TDN-7   09/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:112     1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARILLO 1 7 6 6 67 64 1½ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 37% 1.70 5.90 W
BEN DIESEL 2 2 4 32 1nk 2nk 2½ (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 5.40  
GOING IN STYLE 5 3 11 11 2nk 1nk 3¾ (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.80 S
ONE TEN 6 6 5 54 5 4 4 (vecc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 13% 6.90 2.30  
STRIKE APPEAL 3 4 33 42 32 3 5 (winters michel)HALDAR J 123 3.00 2.20  
BREEZY MONEY 7 1 21 21 43 53 6 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 8.00 22.10  
HUNTER SCOTT 4 5 7 7 710 7 7 (poole m)BRACHO A 121 4.50 16% 5.10 7.50  
SCR  GOLDEN SPOKE               (baile)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 10.00    
 
TDN-8   09/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:152     1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK 5 3 4 32 1nk 12 1 (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 115 3.00 7.20  
A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA 4 4 6 6 4 22 2 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.00 P
COMMISSIONER D 3 5 54 5 5 34 3 (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 115 2.00 60% 0.70 0.70 S
MY DANIELA 1 1 11 1½ 2nk 46 414 (blackhurst randy)AVILES YAN 117 5.00 3.00  
WILD MARIAH 6 2 21 2½ 3.2 56 518¾ (johnson ga)FERNANDEZ R 115 12.00 25.00  
BEAUTIFUL SCORE 2 6 3 44 6 610 622½ (gonzalez)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 8.00 13% 6.50 20.10  
SCR  MAC'S CAILIN               (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 115 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.