Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - September 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (1/8/4/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/4/3/5)-(1/8/4/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/4/3/5)-(1/8/4/3/5)-(1/8/4/3/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (1/8/4/3/5)-(1/6/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/4/3/5)-(1/6/3/5)-(7/2/3/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/5)-(1/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/5)-(1/6/3/5)-(1/6/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/3/5)-(7/2/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/5)-(7/2/3/9)-(5/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-3   WIN (7/2/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/9)-(7/2/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/9)-(7/2/3/9)-(7/2/3/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/3/9)-(5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/9)-(5/6/3)-(1/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(1/4/5)-(1/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/4/7/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(1/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(1/4/7/6)-(3/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-7   WIN (1/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/6)-(1/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/6)-(1/4/7/6)-(1/4/7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/7/6)-(3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAWLESS CAT Sep05 Aug19 Aug05 Jun08 May14 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.50 33% 2.10    
2  DESTINO Aug19 May21 May07 Apr29 Apr03 (moral)TABOADA LIMBER 115 4.00    
3  EL BANDIDO Aug27 Aug07 Jul25 Jul11 Jul03 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 4.50 5% 17.90    
4  CONSIDER ME Aug19 Aug06 Mar26 Mar11 Feb26 (tumblin andrew)PAUCAR E 119 5.00 16% 5.20    
5  THE EQUINEST Aug27 Apr24 Apr09 Mar26 Mar11 (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  CAPTURE MI Sep05 Aug13 Jul23 Jun27 Jun08 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
7  ARMOR PIERCING Aug27 Aug07 Jul17 Jun25 Jun08 (vlaun manuel)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
8  TONKAWA SPRINGS Aug24 Aug06 Jul18 Jul08 May17 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 25% 3.10    
9  VOORHEES Aug27 Aug07 Jul17 Jun25 Oct19 (g)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 6.00    
 
TDN-2   09/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMMY AND SHORTY Sep09 Aug20 Aug06 Jul17 Jun25 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 121 2.50 61% 0.60    
2  SWEET LEMON DROP Aug29 Aug06 Jul18 Jul03 Jun11 (jackson r)BAEZ M 119 6.00    
3  EAGLE NEST Aug27 Jul10 Jun17 May23 May08 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50 5% 18.00    
4  DASH OF FIRE Aug27 Aug06 Jul17 Jun25 Jun11 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 5.00    
5  STONE COLD CAT Aug29 Aug12 Jul17 Jun26 Jun05 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  DR. ZARNETT Aug30 Aug20 Jul30 Jul10 Jun22 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 6% 16.10    
7  NEBULOSA Aug27 Aug06 Jun25 Jun04 May15 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
 
TDN-3   09/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAUSE OF LOVE Aug29 Aug05 Jul17 Jun27 Jun11 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 4.50    
2  SHEZ SHACKED UP Aug10 Jul15 Dec13 Nov02 Jul19 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 22% 3.50    
3  TALE OF THE LYON Sep02 Aug14 Jun10 Mar17 Feb20 (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 8% 12.20    
SCR  SUSHI Q Aug20 Jan18 Jan01 Dec11 Nov29 (morales saul)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 15.00    
5  OUT FOR FUN Sep02 Aug21 Aug07 Jun10 May30 (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 12.00    
6  SWEET EMPIRE May18 May04 Apr04 Mar17 Feb08 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00    
7  PANAMANIAC Sep09 Aug01 Jul03 Jun05 May18 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 41% 1.40    
8  GAIL'S DANCER Sep02 Aug05 Jul17 Jun27 Jun08 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.00    
9  DOUBLE EDGED Sep26 Aug30 Jul05 Jun19 May03 (gonzal)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 7% 13.40    
 
TDN-4   09/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUDY'S COMET         (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 118 4.50    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MASTERFUL MISS by MIZZEN MAST)
2  KICKSTART         (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.50    
  (by PAYNTER out of SPEAK NO EVIL by HEAR NO EVIL)
3  TURNOFFTHENEWS         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 10.00 6% 15.30    
  (by LORD NELSON out of BUZZ HOME by BELLAMY ROAD)
4  FOURDATESFORHOCO Aug28         (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 6.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of PREACHINTOTHECHOIR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
5  FULL SPECTRUM Aug28 Aug10 Jul08     (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 118 2.00 35% 1.90    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of STREET SUCCESS by STREET CRY (IRE))
6  ED'S REWARD Aug28 Jul23 May29     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 2.50 24% 3.20    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of LEONA'S REWARD by PARENTS' REWARD)
 
TDN-5   09/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFLEET O ME Aug28 Aug13 Jul16 Jun05 May09 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 119 3.50 47% 1.10    
2  SPIRIT OF AKRON Sep04 Aug21 Jul31 Jul15 Jun27 (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 1.80    
3  TAMMY'S TOY Aug28 Aug13 Jul16 Jun27 May22 (brown gl)FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00    
4  A PRAYER FOR KIDS Aug28 Jul23 Jul04 Jun18 Jun08 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 2.00 25% 3.00    
5  LOTSA MATCHA Aug21 Jul18 Oct10 May08 Mar20 (gonzalez rica)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  HARSH TRUTH Aug28 Aug13 Jul18 Jun27 May28 (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 8.00    
 
TDN-6   09/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEELING EASY Aug31 Aug07 Jul18 Jun28 Jun17 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 115 2.00 50% 1.00    
2  HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ Sep02 Jul30 Jul10 Feb20 Jan10 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00    
3  SPUNKY ONE Sep02 Aug22 Jul31 Jul18 Jun17 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 5.00    
4  MANDOLIN BREEZE Sep02 Aug12 Jul10 Jun17 May29 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.50    
5  IMA MOM Jul31 Jul10 Jun22 May28 May13 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 115 8.00 8% 12.10    
6  TIERNEY Sep02 Aug03 Jul18 Jun28 Jun12 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 1.80 17% 5.00    
 
TDN-7   09/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARILLO Aug27 Aug01 Jun25 Jun04 May20 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 37% 1.70    
2  BEN DIESEL Jul30 Jul08 Jun22 Jun05 Apr26 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
3  STRIKE APPEAL Aug27 Jul09 Jun26 Dec28 Nov20 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 3.00    
4  HUNTER SCOTT Aug27 Aug06 Jul15 Jun25 Jun04 (poole m)BRACHO A 121 4.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  GOLDEN SPOKE Jul24 Jul11 Jun26 Jun05 May20 (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 10.00    
6  GOING IN STYLE Aug27 Aug06 Jul24 Jun22 May21 (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  ONE TEN Aug27 Aug06 Jul24 Jul11 Jun25 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 13% 6.90    
8  BREEZY MONEY Aug20 Jul30 Jul15 Jul03 Jan24 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
 
TDN-8   09/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY DANIELA Sep02 Aug07 Jul14 Jan11 Dec13 (blackhurst randy)AVILES YAN 117 5.00    
2  BEAUTIFUL SCORE Sep04 Aug14 Jul24 Jul03 May29 (gonzal)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 8.00 13% 6.50    
3  COMMISSIONER D Sep02 Aug07 Feb07 Jan22 Dec13 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 115 2.00 60% 0.70    
SCR  MAC'S CAILIN Sep02 Aug07 Jun12 May27 May08 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 115 3.50    
5  A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA Sep02 Aug15 Aug07 Jul17 Jul01 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK Sep02 Jul17 Jun12 May27 May07 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 115 3.00    
7  WILD MARIAH Sep04 Aug14 Jul03 Jun10 May29 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 115 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.